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← Back to GamesSep 16, 2023Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Louisville by 15

Home Win Probability

Indiana 20%

Market (Bovada)

Indiana +10

Edge: Louisville -10 (5.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 16, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
LouisvilleLouisville
7140021
IndianaIndiana
0014014

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-140-217-2114-21
IndianaLouisville

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20INDLOUINDLOUINDLOUINDLOUINDLOUINDLOUINDLOUINDLOUINDLOUINDLOUPUNT732ydMISS1071ydTO742ydTD285ydPUNT624ydTD1378ydPUNT6-3ydTD769ydPUNT417ydEND1-1ydTD354ydPUNT513ydDOWNS47ydTO36ydTD1397ydPUNT820ydPUNT38ydPUNT518ydDOWNS889ydEND943yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Louisville and Indiana
StatisticLouisvilleIndiana
Passing13-2324-34
Pass Yards238299
Rush Yards18458
Total Yards422357
Turnovers11
3rd Down7-125-13
Penalties6-504-20
Possession28:4831:12

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Louisville
passing
Jack Plummer
13/23, 238 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jawhar Jordan
18 CAR, 113 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jamari Thrash
4 REC, 159 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Indiana
passing
Tayven Jackson
24/34, 299 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jaylin Lucas
8 CAR, 29 YDS
receiving
Jaylin Lucas
10 REC, 98 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Tayven Jackson pass complete to Jaylin Lucas for 7 yds to the IU 32

2nd & 3Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.01

Jaylin Lucas run for 11 yds to the IU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Tayven Jackson pass complete to Jaylin Lucas for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.01

Josh Henderson run for 1 yd to the LOU 49

3rd & 2Penalty+5 yds

(12:37) JACKSON, Tayven pass deep to the right incomplete intended for CAMPER, Cam thrown to the LOU20, clock 12:33. PENALTY LOU Offsides on TELL, Dezmond enforced 5 yards from the LOU49 to the LOU44 and results in a 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.97

Tayven Jackson run for no gain to the LOU 44

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Tayven Jackson pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.73

Jaylin Lucas run for 1 yd to the LOU 43

4th & 9Punt0 yds

James Evans punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Kevin Coleman at the LOU 8

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Jawhar Jordan run for 7 yds to the LOU 15

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.00

Jack Plummer run for 3 yds to the LOU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.88

Jack Plummer pass complete to Josh Lifson for 13 yds to the LOU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jawhar Jordan run for 4 yds to the LOU 35

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Jack Plummer pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+43 ydsPPA +3.94

Jack Plummer pass complete to Jamari Thrash for 43 yds to the IU 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Isaac Guerendo run for 4 yds to the IU 18

2nd & 6Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.77

Jack Plummer sacked by Aaron Casey for a loss of 3 yards to the IU 21

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Jack Plummer pass incomplete

4th & 9Field Goal Missed+38 yds

Brock Travelstead 38 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Tayven Jackson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Tayven Jackson pass complete to Jaylin Lucas for 6 yds to the IU 27

3rd & 4Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.01

Tayven Jackson pass complete to Donaven McCulley for 24 yds to the LOU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.79

Tayven Jackson pass complete to Bradley Archer for 14 yds to the LOU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.45

Kamryn Perry run for a loss of 4 yards to the LOU 39

2nd & 14Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Tayven Jackson pass complete to Jaylin Lucas for 2 yds to the LOU 37

3rd & 12Interception0 ydsPPA -1.99

Tayven Jackson pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Jack Plummer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+85 ydsPPA +7.06

Jack Plummer pass complete to Jamari Thrash for 85 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jaylin Lucas run for 3 yds to the IU 28

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Tayven Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the IU 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.73

Tayven Jackson pass complete to Josh Henderson for 18 yds to the IU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Tayven Jackson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Josh Henderson run for 3 yds to the IU 48

3rd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Tayven Jackson run for 1 yd to the IU 49

4th & 6Punt0 yds

James Evans punt for 29 yds, downed at the LOU 22

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Isaac Guerendo run for 2 yds to the LOU 24

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Jack Plummer pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.03

Jack Plummer pass complete to Jamari Thrash for 13 yds to the LOU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Ahmari Huggins-Bruce run for 5 yds to the LOU 42

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Isaac Guerendo run for 2 yds to the LOU 44

3rd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.78

Jack Plummer pass complete to Ahmari Huggins-Bruce for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Isaac Guerendo run for 5 yds to the IU 45

2nd & 5Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.98

Jack Plummer pass complete to Isaac Guerendo for 17 yds to the IU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Isaac Guerendo run for 3 yds to the IU 25

2nd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Jack Plummer pass complete to Jadon Thompson for 7 yds to the IU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Maurice Turner run for 6 yds to the IU 12

2nd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.19

Maurice Turner run for 10 yds to the IU 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Maurice Turner run for 2 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Christian Turner run for 5 yds to the IU 30

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Christian Turner run for 4 yds to the IU 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Tayven Jackson run for 2 yds to the IU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-13 ydsPPA -2.12

run for a loss of 13 yards to the IU 23 fumbled, recovered by IU Tayven Jackson

2nd & 23Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.11

Tayven Jackson pass complete to Christian Turner for a loss of 3 yards to the IU 20

3rd & 26Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.01

Tayven Jackson pass complete to Donaven McCulley for 2 yds to the IU 22

4th & 24Punt0 yds

James Evans punt for 52 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jawhar Jordan run for 5 yds to the LOU 36

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.04

Jawhar Jordan run for 7 yds to the LOU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jawhar Jordan run for 5 yds to the LOU 48

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.20

Jack Plummer pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.62

Jack Plummer pass complete to Jamari Thrash for 18 yds to the IU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.74

Jack Plummer run for 9 yds to the IU 25

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +2.20

Jawhar Jordan run for 25 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Tayven Jackson pass complete to Jaylin Lucas for 10 yds to the IU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jaylin Lucas run for 4 yds to the IU 39

2nd & 6Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.11

Tayven Jackson pass complete to Jaylin Lucas for a loss of 1 yard to the IU 38

3rd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Tayven Jackson run for 4 yds to the IU 42

4th & 3Punt0 yds

James Evans punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

(00:24) Kneel down by PLUMMER, Jack at LOU17 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.28

Tayven Jackson pass complete to Jaylin Lucas for 21 yds to the LOU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Josh Henderson run for 3 yds to the LOU 30 Josh Henderson fumbled, recovered by IU Josh Henderson

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +3.10

Tayven Jackson pass complete to Jaylin Lucas for 30 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jawhar Jordan run for 5 yds to the LOU 30

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.93

Jawhar Jordan run for 7 yds to the LOU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Jawhar Jordan run for 2 yds to the LOU 39

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jack Plummer run for 4 yds to the LOU 43

3rd & 4Penalty-10 yds

(11:37) PLUMMER, Jack pass deep to the left complete for 57 yards to THRASH, Jamari caught at the IND25 and advanced to the IND0, TOUCHDOWN LOU, score nullified by penalty, clock 11:26 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY LOU Holding on TYLER III, Willie enforced 10 yards from the LOU43 to the LOU33 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 14Penalty+5 yds

Indiana Penalty, Offsides (Andre Carter) to the LOU 38

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Jack Plummer pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Brock Travelstead punt for 18 yds

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Indiana Penalty, False Start (Kahlil Benson) to the IU 39

1st & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Tayven Jackson run for no gain to the IU 39

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Tayven Jackson pass incomplete

3rd & 15Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.92

Tayven Jackson pass complete to Josh Henderson for 12 yds to the LOU 49

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Tayven Jackson pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Jack Plummer run for 6 yds to the IU 45

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Maurice Turner run for no gain to the IU 45

3rd & 4Interception0 ydsPPA -2.27

Jack Plummer pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Tayven Jackson pass complete to Donaven McCulley for 6 yds to the IU 9

2nd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.45

Tayven Jackson run for a loss of 2 yards to the IU 7

3rd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.53

Tayven Jackson pass complete to Jaylin Lucas for 6 yds to the IU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.84

Tayven Jackson pass complete to James Bomba for 15 yds to the IU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Jaylin Lucas run for 1 yd to the IU 29

2nd & 9Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.76

Tayven Jackson pass complete to Cam Camper for 22 yds to the LOU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Tayven Jackson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Tayven Jackson pass complete to Donaven McCulley for 7 yds to the LOU 42

3rd & 3Penalty+5 yds

Louisville Penalty, Offsides (Jared Dawson) to the LOU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +0.51

Tayven Jackson pass complete to Bradley Archer for 24 yds to the LOU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Indiana Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the LOU 18

1st & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Josh Henderson run for 5 yds to the LOU 13

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Tayven Jackson pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.96

Tayven Jackson pass complete to Cam Camper for 11 yds to the LOU 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Josh Henderson run for 2 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Jawhar Jordan run for 8 yds to the LOU 33

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.12

Jawhar Jordan run for 4 yds to the LOU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Jack Plummer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Jack Plummer pass complete to Kevin Coleman for 5 yds to the LOU 42

3rd & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.51

Jack Plummer pass complete to Ahmari Huggins-Bruce for 12 yds to the IU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jawhar Jordan run for 5 yds to the IU 41

2nd & 5Penalty0 yds

Louisville Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Jack Plummer) to the LOU 49

3rd & 15Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.69

Jack Plummer pass complete to Jawhar Jordan for a loss of 4 yards to the LOU 45

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Brock Travelstead punt for 41 yds, downed at the IU 14

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Tayven Jackson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Tayven Jackson pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.13

Tayven Jackson pass complete to Omar Cooper Jr. for 8 yds to the IU 22

4th & 2Punt0 yds

James Evans punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Kevin Coleman at the LOU 42

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jawhar Jordan run for 3 yds to the LOU 45

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.52

Jack Plummer pass complete to Ahmari Huggins-Bruce for 10 yds to the IU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-8 ydsPPA -2.68

Kevin Coleman run for a loss of 8 yards to the LOU 47

2nd & 18Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.76

Jack Plummer pass complete to Jawhar Jordan for 13 yds to the IU 40

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Jack Plummer pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Brock Travelstead punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Lucas at the IU 10

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Jaylin Lucas run for 7 yds to the IU 17

2nd & 3Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.64

Josh Henderson run for 12 yds to the IU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +2.96

Tayven Jackson pass complete to Cam Camper for 41 yds to the LOU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.20

Tayven Jackson pass complete to Jaylin Lucas for 10 yds to the LOU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

(06:19) JACKSON, Tayven pass deep to the right incomplete intended for CAMPER, Cam thrown to the LOU0, clock 06:15. PENALTY LOU Pass Interference on DUCK, Storm enforced half the distance from the goal, 15 yards to the LOU5 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 5Penalty-5 yds

Indiana Penalty, False Start (Carter Smith) to the LOU 10

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Jaylin Lucas run for 3 yds to the LOU 7

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.34

Jaylin Lucas run for a loss of 1 yard to the LOU 8

3rd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.16

Tayven Jackson run for 7 yds to the LOU 1

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -4.21

Josh Henderson run for no gain to the LOU 1

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.33

Jack Plummer run for 13 yds to the LOU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.88

Jawhar Jordan run for 15 yds to the LOU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Jawhar Jordan run for 1 yd to the LOU 30

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Jack Plummer pass incomplete

3rd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Jack Plummer run for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down Louisville Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Renato Brown) to the LOU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Jawhar Jordan run for 3 yds to the LOU 38

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Jawhar Jordan run for 3 yds to the LOU 41

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.73

Jawhar Jordan run for 4 yds to the LOU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

(00:28) Kneel down by PLUMMER, Jack at LOU44 (team loss of 1), clock 00:15.

Situational Analysis

Louisville

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
52%
27 plays
2nd
100%
3 plays
44%
9 plays
50%
8 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
100%
1 play
67%
6 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th

Indiana

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
50%
24 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
40%
10 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
100%
2 plays
57%
7 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
2 plays