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← Back to GamesSep 16, 2023Week 3
Samford
13
-Final
45
AuburnAuburn

House Prediction

Model Margin

Auburn by 5.3

Home Win Probability

Auburn 62%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

Auburn -37.5

Edge: Samford +37.5 (32.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 16, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Samford
0013013
AuburnAuburn
017141445

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-024-031-731-1338-1345-13
AuburnSamford

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SAMAUBSAMAUBSAMAUBSAMAUBSAMAUBSAMAUBSAMAUBSAMAUBSAMSAMAUBSAMAUBSAMAUBSAMAUBPUNT825ydTO1564ydPUNT929ydDOWNS855ydPUNT616ydTD378ydTO21ydTO33ydTO24ydTD622ydPUNT32ydFG951ydEND1-1ydTD1376ydTD575ydTD558ydPUNT417ydTD39ydPUNT520ydPUNT3-6ydTD533ydPUNT624ydTD676ydDOWNS933ydEND2-4yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Samford and Auburn
StatisticSamfordAuburn
Passing19-3327-36
Pass Yards144340
Rush Yards74222
Total Yards218562
Turnovers23
3rd Down5-147-14
Penalties1-55-45
Possession26:3233:28

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Samford
passing
Michael Hiers
18/31, 141 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Damonta Witherspoon
5 CAR, 30 YDS
receiving
Chandler Smith
3 REC, 80 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Auburn
passing
Payton Thorne
24/32, 282 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Payton Thorne
11 CAR, 123 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Jay Fair
7 REC, 93 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Michael Hiers pass complete to D.J. Rias for 8 yds to the SAM 33

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.12

Jay Stanton run for 4 yds to the SAM 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Michael Hiers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.66

Michael Hiers pass complete to Jay Stanton for no gain to the SAM 37

3rd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.86

Michael Hiers pass complete to Ty King for 12 yds to the SAM 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Michael Hiers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Michael Hiers pass complete to Tate Taylor for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Michael Hiers pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Will Thorley punt for 20 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.94

Payton Thorne pass complete to Shane Hooks for 10 yds to the AUB 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Payton Thorne pass complete to Omari Kelly for 5 yds to the AUB 45

2nd & 5Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.37

Payton Thorne sacked by Joseph Mera for a loss of 1 yard to the AUB 44

3rd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +2.26

Payton Thorne run for 7 yds to the SAM 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Payton Thorne pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.81

Payton Thorne pass complete to Jay Fair for 8 yds to the SAM 41

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.07

Jarquez Hunter run for 6 yds to the SAM 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jarquez Hunter run for 5 yds to the SAM 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Payton Thorne pass complete to Rivaldo Fairweather for 4 yds to the SAM 26

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Jarquez Hunter run for 6 yds to the SAM 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Payton Thorne pass complete to Jeremiah Cobb for 8 yds to the SAM 12

2nd & 2Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.22

Payton Thorne pass complete to Jeremiah Cobb for 11 yds to the SAM 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Payton Thorne pass incomplete

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Payton Thorne pass incomplete

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

Auburn Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SAM 6

3rd & 6Interception0 ydsPPA -4.18

Payton Thorne pass intercepted, touchback.

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Michael Hiers pass complete to D.J. Rias for 4 yds to the SAM 24

2nd & 6Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.33

Mychael Hamilton run for 12 yds to the SAM 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Mychael Hamilton run for 2 yds to the SAM 38

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Mychael Hamilton run for 1 yd to the SAM 39

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Michael Hiers pass complete to Brendan Jenkins for 6 yds to the SAM 45

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +2.06

Mychael Hamilton run for 1 yd to the SAM 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Damonta Witherspoon run for 1 yd to the SAM 47

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Michael Hiers pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Michael Hiers pass complete to Camden Simons for 7 yds to the AUB 46

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

Samford Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SAM 49

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Will Thorley punt for 26 yds, downed at the AUB 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Payton Thorne pass complete to Jay Fair for 5 yds to the AUB 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.75

Payton Thorne pass complete to Rivaldo Fairweather for no gain to the AUB 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.59

Payton Thorne pass complete to Rivaldo Fairweather for 6 yds to the AUB 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +2.38

Payton Thorne pass complete to Jay Fair for 36 yds to the SAM 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Damari Alston run for 2 yds to the SAM 26

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Brian Battie run for 1 yd to the SAM 25

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Payton Thorne pass complete to Damari Alston for 6 yds to the SAM 19

4th & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -3.69

Damari Alston run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAM 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Michael Hiers pass complete to Chandler Smith for 5 yds to the SAM 25

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Michael Hiers pass complete to D.J. Rias for 4 yds to the SAM 29

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.15

Jay Stanton run for 6 yds to the SAM 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Jay Stanton run for 1 yd to the SAM 36

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Michael Hiers pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Michael Hiers pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Will Thorley punt for 40 yds , returns for no gain to the AUB 22

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Jarquez Hunter run for 6 yds to the AUB 28

2nd & 4Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +3.09

Payton Thorne pass complete to Omari Kelly for 40 yds to the SAM 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +2.87

Payton Thorne pass complete to Shane Hooks for 32 yds for a TD (Alex McPherson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Mychael Hamilton run for 1 yd to the SAM 26

2nd & 9Interception0 ydsPPA -0.33

Michael Hiers pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Brian Battie run for 3 yds to the SAM 42

2nd & 7Penalty-10 yds

BATTIE, Brian rush up the middle for a gain of 12 yards to the SAM30 (MARTIN, Noah). PENALTY AU Holding on WADE, Dillon enforced 10 yards from the SAM42 to the AU48 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 17Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.12

Payton Thorne pass complete to Jyaire Shorter for 10 yds to the SAM 42

3rd & 7Interception0 ydsPPA -2.13

Payton Thorne pass intercepted, touchback.

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Jay Stanton run for 4 yds to the SAM 24

2nd & 6Interception0 ydsPPA -0.53

Michael Hiers pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.63

Jarquez Hunter run for 9 yds to the SAM 13

2nd & 1Penalty-10 yds

THORNE, Payton pass up the middle incomplete intended for HOOKS, Shane thrown to the SAM0. PENALTY AU Holding on WADE, Dillon enforced 10 yards from the SAM13 to the SAM23 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 11Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Payton Thorne pass complete to Shane Hooks for 5 yds to the SAM 18

3rd & 6Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.42

Payton Thorne run for 14 yds to the SAM 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Jarquez Hunter run for 1 yd to the SAM 3

2nd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.55

Jarquez Hunter run for a loss of 2 yards to the SAM 5

3rd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.76

Payton Thorne run for 5 yds for a TD (Alex McPherson KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Michael Hiers pass complete to Ty King for 4 yds to the SAM 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.82

Michael Hiers pass complete to Mychael Hamilton for a loss of 2 yards to the SAM 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Michael Hiers pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Will Thorley punt for 33 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Payton Thorne pass complete to Jay Fair for 6 yds to the SAM 49

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.71

Damari Alston run for 2 yds to the SAM 47

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Damari Alston run for 1 yd to the SAM 46

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.11

Payton Thorne run for 2 yds to the SAM 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +1.95

Payton Thorne pass complete to Rivaldo Fairweather for 41 yds to the SAM 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.87

Payton Thorne pass complete to Jeremiah Cobb for a loss of 1 yard to the SAM 4

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Payton Thorne pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Payton Thorne pass incomplete

4th & 4Field Goal Good+22 yds

Alex McPherson 22 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Jay Stanton run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAM 24

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.00

Payton Thorne run for 12 yds to the AUB 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Payton Thorne pass complete to Rivaldo Fairweather for 6 yds to the AUB 42

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.46

Jarquez Hunter run for 3 yds to the AUB 45

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Jarquez Hunter run for no gain to the AUB 45

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.15

Jarquez Hunter run for 2 yds to the AUB 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Damari Alston run for 5 yds to the SAM 48

2nd & 5Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.23

Payton Thorne pass complete to Jay Fair for 20 yds to the SAM 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.67

Payton Thorne pass complete to Damari Alston for 9 yds to the SAM 19

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.45

Damari Alston run for 5 yds to the SAM 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Damari Alston run for 3 yds to the SAM 11

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.18

Payton Thorne run for 8 yds to the SAM 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Jeremiah Cobb run for 2 yds to the SAM 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Robby Ashford run for 1 yd for a TD (Alex McPherson KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jay Stanton run for no gain to the SAM 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +3.77

Michael Hiers pass complete to Chandler Smith for 39 yds to the AUB 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.29

Michael Hiers pass complete to Ty King for a loss of 3 yards to the AUB 39

2nd & 13Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Michael Hiers pass complete to Jay Stanton for 3 yds to the AUB 36

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+36 ydsPPA +4.67

Michael Hiers pass complete to Chandler Smith for 36 yds for a TD (Wilson Beaverstock KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Brian Battie run for 5 yds to the AUB 47

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.04

Brian Battie run for 9 yds to the SAM 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Payton Thorne pass complete to Tyler Fromm for 5 yds to the SAM 39

2nd & 5Rush+38 ydsPPA +2.38

Payton Thorne run for 38 yds to the SAM 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Jarquez Hunter run for 1 yd for a TD (Alex McPherson KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.93

Iaan Cousin run for a loss of 2 yards to the SAM 24

2nd & 12Penalty+15 yds

HIERS, Michael pass deep to the right incomplete intended for SMITH, Chandler thrown to the SAM45; QB hurried by FAULK, Keldric. PENALTY AU Pass Interference on JAMES, DJ enforced 15 yards to the SAM39 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Mychael Hamilton run for 2 yds to the SAM 41

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Michael Hiers pass complete to Mychael Hamilton for 6 yds to the SAM 47

3rd & 2Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.58

Mychael Hamilton run for a loss of 4 yards to the SAM 43

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Will Thorley punt for 37 yds , returns for no gain to the AUB 9

1st & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Mychael Hamilton run for 3 yds to the AUB 6

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Michael Hiers run for 3 yds to the AUB 3

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Michael Hiers run for 3 yds for a TD (Wilson Beaverstock PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Damari Alston run for 8 yds to the AUB 38

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.13

Payton Thorne run for 4 yds to the AUB 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Payton Thorne pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Brian Battie run for 3 yds to the AUB 45

3rd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Payton Thorne pass complete to Jay Fair for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Oscar Chapman punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Chandler Smith at the SAM 9

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.53

Michael Hiers sacked by Lawrence Johnson for a loss of 8 yards to the SAM 1

2nd & 18Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.02

Jay Stanton run for 2 yds to the SAM 3

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.02

Michael Hiers pass incomplete

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Will Thorley punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Simpson at the SAM 33

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.97

Jeremiah Cobb run for a loss of 2 yards to the SAM 35

2nd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.73

Jeremiah Cobb run for 1 yd to the SAM 34

3rd & 11Penalty-5 yds

Auburn Penalty, False Start (Gunner Britton) to the SAM 39

3rd & 16Rush+16 ydsPPA +3.00

Payton Thorne run for 16 yds to the SAM 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Payton Thorne pass complete to Koy Moore for 5 yds to the SAM 18

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.59

Payton Thorne run for 18 yds for a TD (Alex McPherson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Michael Hiers run for 13 yds to the SAM 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Michael Hiers pass complete to Ty King for 9 yds to the SAM 47

2nd & 1Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Michael Hiers pass complete to Ty King for 2 yds to the SAM 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Michael Hiers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Michael Hiers pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Michael Hiers pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Will Thorley punt for 27 yds, downed at the AUB 24

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Jeremiah Cobb run for 2 yds to the AUB 26

2nd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.72

Robby Ashford pass complete to Jay Fair for 13 yds to the AUB 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Robby Ashford pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.28

Robby Ashford pass complete to Koy Moore for 13 yds to the SAM 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.81

Robby Ashford run for 16 yds to the SAM 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +2.87

Robby Ashford pass complete to Micah Riley for 32 yds for a TD (Marshall Meyers KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Quincy Crittendon run for 5 yds to the SAM 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Quincy Crittendon pass complete to Thomas D'Armond for 3 yds to the SAM 33

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.15

Damonta Witherspoon run for 3 yds to the SAM 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.97

Quincy Crittendon sacked by Cam Riley for a loss of 9 yards to the SAM 27

2nd & 19Rush+22 ydsPPA +3.20

Damonta Witherspoon run for 22 yds to the SAM 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Damonta Witherspoon run for 2 yds to the AUB 49

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Quincy Crittendon pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Quincy Crittendon run for 5 yds to the AUB 44

4th & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -1.39

Damonta Witherspoon run for 2 yds to the AUB 42

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

R. Ashford takes a knee

2nd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -0.66

R. Ashford takes a knee

Situational Analysis

Samford

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
21%
24 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
17%
6 plays
20%
10 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
56%
9 plays
0%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays

Auburn

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
25%
4 plays
0%
1 play
70%
30 plays
2nd
50%
6 plays
45%
11 plays
67%
6 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
67%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th
67%
3 plays