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← Back to GamesSep 9, 2023Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

Tennessee by 19.8

Home Win Probability

Tennessee 89%

Market (DraftKings)

Tennessee -45.5

Edge: Austin Peay +45.5 (25.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 9, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Austin Peay
330713
TennesseeTennessee
31010730

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-33-33-66-620-623-630-13
TennesseeAustin Peay

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20APAPTENAPTENTENAPTENAPTENAPTENTENAPTENAPTENAPTENAPTENAPTENAPTENEND1-2ydFG848ydPUNT35ydPUNT31ydPUNT413ydFG42ydPUNT64ydDOWNS839ydFG1267ydFG865ydPUNT3-5ydTD1167ydTD566ydPUNT31ydPUNT3-4ydDOWNS519ydFG844ydDOWNS1020ydTO527ydTO69ydPUNT37ydTD690ydTD475ydDOWNS1474ydEND29yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Austin Peay and Tennessee
StatisticAustin PeayTennessee
Passing29-4121-33
Pass Yards260228
Rush Yards79228
Total Yards339456
Turnovers21
3rd Down5-183-12
Penalties9-7510-88
Possession39:0120:44

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Austin Peay
passing
Mike Diliello
29/39, 260 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Mike Diliello
21 CAR, 36 YDS
receiving
Trey Goodman
3 REC, 70 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Sam Howard
1.5 TFL
Tennessee
passing
Joe Milton
21/33, 228 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Jaylen Wright
13 CAR, 118 YDS
receiving
Ramel Keyton
5 REC, 52 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Tre Shackelford for 2 yds to the APSU 23

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Kenny Odom for 1 yd to the APSU 24

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Trey Goodman pass incomplete to Tre Shackelford

3rd & 11Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.27

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Kam Thomas for 9 yds to the APSU 33

4th & 2Rush+45 ydsPPA +4.25

Mike DiLiello run for 45 yds to the TENN 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Tre Shackelford for 6 yds to the TENN 16

2nd & 19Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Kam Thomas for 4 yds to the TENN 27

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Mike DiLiello pass incomplete to Kam Thomas

4th & 15Field Goal Good+45 yds

Maddux Trujillo 45 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Bru McCoy

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Jaylen Wright run for 5 yds to the TENN 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Squirrel White

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jackson Ross punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the APSU 40

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.34

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Trey Goodman for 9 yds to the APSU 49

2nd & 1Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.78

Mike DiLiello sacked by Kurott Garland for a loss of 6 yards to the APSU 43

3rd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Kenny Odom for 2 yds to the APSU 41

4th & 9Punt+5 yds

Riley Stephens punt for 40 yds , Dee Williams returns for 5 yds to the TENN 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.90

Joe Milton III pass complete to Jaylen Wright for 11 yds to the TENN 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Jaylen Wright run for 2 yds to the TENN 37

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Joe Milton III pass incomplete to McCallan Castles

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Squirrel White

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jackson Ross punt for 49 yds , Kam Thomas returns for no gain to the APSU 13 Kam Thomas fumbled, recovered by APSU Warren Burrell

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jaylen Wright run for 5 yds to the APSU 8

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Jaylen Wright run for 3 yds to the APSU 11

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Bru McCoy

4th & 8Field Goal Good+28 yds

Charles Campbell 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Mike DiLiello run for 3 yds to the APSU 22

2nd & 13Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.42

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Trey Goodman for 9 yds to the APSU 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Mike DiLiello pass incomplete to Kam Thomas

4th & 4Penalty+5 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun DiLiello,Mike pass incomplete deep right to Hawkins,Brenen PENALTY TENN Offside (Norman-Lott,Omarr) 5 yards from APSU31 to APSU36, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Jevon Jackson run for no gain to the APSU 36

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.41

Jevon Jackson run for 2 yds to the APSU 38

4th & 17Punt+13 yds

Riley Stephens punt for 40 yds , Dee Williams returns for 13 yds to the TENN 44

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.28

Jabari Small run for 18 yds to the APSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Jabari Small run for 3 yds to the APSU 35

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Dont'e Thornton Jr.

3rd & 7Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.53

Jabari Small run for 11 yds to the APSU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jabari Small run for 4 yds to the APSU 20

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Jabari Small run for 1 yd to the APSU 19

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Dylan Sampson run for 2 yds to the APSU 17

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.63

Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Dont'e Thornton Jr.

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Shotgun DiLiello,Mike pass incomplete deep right to Shackelford,Tre PENALTY TENN Pass Interference (Hadden,Kamal) 15 yards from APSU17 to APSU32, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.42

Mike DiLiello pass complete to MJ Singleton for 15 yds to the APSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Mike DiLiello pass incomplete to Tre Shackelford

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

CJ Evans Jr. run for 5 yds to the TENN 48

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

CJ Evans Jr. run for 4 yds to the TENN 44

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.04

Mike DiLiello run for 2 yds to the TENN 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.88

Mike DiLiello run for 9 yds to the TENN 33

2nd & 1Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.89

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Tre Shackelford for no gain to the TENN 33

3rd & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.67

Mike DiLiello run for 12 yds to the TENN 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 15Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Mike DiLiello pass complete to MJ Singleton for 1 yd to the TENN 27

2nd & 16Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.71

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Tre Shackelford for 11 yds to the TENN 16

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Mike DiLiello pass incomplete to CJ Evans Jr.

4th & 5Field Goal Good+34 yds

Maddux Trujillo 34 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+8 yds

Riley Stephens kickoff for 57 yds , Dee Williams return for 8 yds to the TENN 16

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.89

Joe Milton III pass complete to Jabari Small for 14 yds to the TENN 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Joe Milton III pass complete to Bru McCoy for 7 yds to the TENN 37

2nd & 3Rush+38 ydsPPA +2.32

Jabari Small run for 38 yds to the APSU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Milton III,Joe pass complete short right to Keyton,Ramel for 14 yards to the APSU11 (Lyles,Jaden) PENALTY TENN Pass Interference (White,Squirrel) 15 yards from APSU25 to APSU40. NO PLAY.

1st & 25Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.13

Joe Milton III pass complete to Jacob Warren for 11 yds to the APSU 29

2nd & 14Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.66

Joe Milton III pass complete to Bru McCoy for 10 yds to the APSU 19

3rd & 4Pass Reception-7 ydsPPA -1.86

Joe Milton III pass complete to Squirrel White for 3 yds to the APSU 16 Tennessee Penalty, Offensive Holding (Bru McCoy) to the APSU 26

3rd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Joe Milton III pass complete to Ramel Keyton for 7 yds to the APSU 19

4th & 4Field Goal Good+37 yds

Charles Campbell 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Jordan Goco for 1 yd to the APSU 26

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Mike DiLiello run for 5 yds to the APSU 21

3rd & 14Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Mike DiLiello pass complete to MJ Singleton for 4 yds to the APSU 25

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Riley Stephens punt for 47 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Joe Milton III pass complete to Squirrel White for 1 yd to the TENN 34

2nd & 9Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.30

Jaylen Wright run for 15 yds to the TENN 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.13

Joe Milton III pass complete to Jaylen Wright for no gain to the TENN 49

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.08

Joe Milton III pass complete to Bru McCoy for 16 yds to the APSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.75

Joe Milton III pass complete to Ramel Keyton for 9 yds to the APSU 26

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.41

Jaylen Wright run for 5 yds to the APSU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.80

Joe Milton III pass complete to Squirrel White for 6 yds to the APSU 15 Tennessee Penalty, Offensive Holding (Ramel Keyton) to the APSU 25

1st & 14Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.65

Jaylen Wright run for 17 yds to the APSU 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Bru McCoy

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Jaylen Wright run for 2 yds to the APSU 6

3rd & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.82

Joe Milton III 6 Yd Run (Charles Campbell Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+33 yds

Riley Stephens kickoff for 64 yds , Dee Williams return for 33 yds to the TENN 34

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Joe Milton III pass complete to Jaylen Wright for 7 yds to the TENN 41

2nd & 3Rush+26 ydsPPA +1.73

Jaylen Wright run for 26 yds to the APSU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+31 ydsPPA +1.69

Jaylen Wright run for 31 yds to the APSU 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+3 yds

Jaylen Wright run for 3 yds to the APSU 5

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Joe Milton III pass complete to Ramel Keyton for 5 yds for a TD (Charles Campbell KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

CJ Evans Jr. run for 3 yds to the APSU 38

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Mike DiLiello run for 2 yds to the APSU 36

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Mike DiLiello pass incomplete to Tre Shackelford

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Riley Stephens punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TENN 30

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.45

Joe Milton III sacked by J'Vian McCray for a loss of 7 yards to the TENN 23

2nd & 17Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.07

Jabari Small run for 3 yds to the TENN 26

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Jabari Small

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Jackson Ross punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Kam Thomas at the APSU 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Brenen Hawkins for 5 yds to the APSU 34

2nd & 5Penalty+15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun DiLiello,Mike pass incomplete deep right to Thomas,Kam PENALTY TENN Pass Interference (Hadden,Kamal) 15 yards from APSU34 to APSU49, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Mike DiLiello pass incomplete to Kam Thomas

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Trey Goodman pass incomplete to Kenny Odom

3rd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.45

CJ Evans Jr. run for 7 yds to the TENN 44

4th & 3Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.39

Mike DiLiello sacked by Wesley Walker for a loss of 8 yards to the APSU 48

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Joe Milton III run for 8 yds to the APSU 40

2nd & 2Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY TENN False Start (Spraggins,Javontez) 5 yards from APSU40 to APSU45. NO PLAY.

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Dylan Sampson run for 3 yds to the APSU 42

3rd & 4Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.74

Joe Milton III pass complete to Ramel Keyton for 17 yds to the APSU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.82

Joe Milton III pass complete to Squirrel White for 20 yds to the APSU 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Jabari Small run for 1 yd to the APSU 4

2nd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Joe Milton III pass complete to for 3 yds to the APSU 4

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Squirrel White

4th & 4Field Goal Good+22 yds

Charles Campbell 22 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Brenen Hawkins for 9 yds to the APSU 34

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Mike DiLiello run for 3 yds to the APSU 32

3rd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.61

Jevon Jackson run for 7 yds to the APSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Mike DiLiello pass incomplete to Kenny Odom

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Jevon Jackson run for 6 yds to the APSU 45

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.84

Mike DiLiello run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.36

Mike DiLiello sacked by Joshua Josephs for a loss of 6 yards to the APSU 44

2nd & 16Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.62

Mike DiLiello pass complete to MJ Singleton for 8 yds to the TENN 48

3rd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Jevon Jackson run for 3 yds to the TENN 45

4th & 5Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.07

Mike DiLiello sacked by Aaron Beasley for a loss of 10 yards to the APSU 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Joe Milton III pass complete to Bru McCoy for 2 yds to the APSU 47

2nd & 12Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.99

Jaylen Wright run for 9 yds to the APSU 38

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Ramel Keyton

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY TENN False Start (Spraggins,Javontez) 5 yards from APSU34 to APSU39. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Jaylen Wright run for 7 yds to the APSU 32

2nd & 8Fumble Recovery (Own)+14 ydsPPA +0.70

Joe Milton III pass complete to Ramel Keyton for 14 yds Ramel Keyton fumbled, recovered by APSU Sam Howard

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Kam Thomas run for 4 yds to the APSU 22

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Mike DiLiello pass incomplete to Kenny Odom

3rd & 6Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.28

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Kam Thomas for 18 yds to the APSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Mike DiLiello pass incomplete to Kam Thomas

2nd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.28

Mike DiLiello sacked by James Pearce Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the APSU 33

3rd & 23Interception0 ydsPPA +0.32

Mike DiLiello pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jabari Small run for 4 yds to the TENN 39

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jabari Small run for 5 yds to the TENN 44

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.11

Jabari Small run for 2 yds to the TENN 42

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Jackson Ross punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Kam Thomas at the APSU 10

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Jaden Barnes for 6 yds to the APSU 16

2nd & 4Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Mike DiLiello pass complete to CJ Evans Jr. for 1 yd to the APSU 17

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.59

Mike DiLiello run for 3 yds to the APSU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.20

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Tre Shackelford for 26 yds to the APSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

CJ Evans Jr. run for 2 yds to the APSU 48

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+52 ydsPPA +4.86

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Trey Goodman for 52 yds for a TD (Maddux Trujillo KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Joe Milton III pass complete to Dylan Sampson for 9 yds to the TENN 34

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Dylan Sampson run for 3 yds to the TENN 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.70

Joe Milton III pass complete to Bru McCoy for 20 yds to the APSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+43 ydsPPA +3.35

Joe Milton III pass complete to McCallan Castles for 43 yds for a TD (Charles Campbell KICK)

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

CJ Evans Jr. run for 1 yd to the APSU 21

2nd & 14Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.95

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Tre Shackelford for 15 yds to the APSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Mike DiLiello pass complete to MJ Singleton for 4 yds to the APSU 40

2nd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.30

Mike DiLiello pass complete to CJ Evans Jr. for 8 yds to the APSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 25Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Jaden Barnes for 6 yds to the APSU 39

2nd & 19Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.59

Mike DiLiello pass complete to CJ Evans Jr. for 22 yds to the TENN 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Tre Shackelford for 2 yds to the TENN 37

2nd & 8Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.86

Mike DiLiello run for 11 yds to the TENN 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.21

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Jaden Barnes for 16 yds to the TENN 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

CJ Evans Jr. run for 1 yd to the TENN 11

2nd & 11Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY TENN Offside (Herring,Caleb) 5 yards from TENN11 to TENN06. NO PLAY.

1st & 3Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.97

Mike DiLiello sacked by Tyler Baron for a loss of 2 yards to the TENN 5

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Mike DiLiello run for 3 yds to the TENN 2

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Mike DiLiello run for 1 yd to the TENN 1

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -4.21

Mike DiLiello run for no gain to the TENN 1

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Jabari Small run for 3 yds to the TENN 4

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Jabari Small run for 6 yds to the TENN 10

Situational Analysis

Austin Peay

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
36%
25 plays
33%
3 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
56%
9 plays
71%
7 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
50%
4 plays
0%
1 play

Tennessee

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
52%
25 plays
100%
3 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
56%
9 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
33%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play