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← Back to GamesSep 2, 2023Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Fresno State by 2.9

Home Win Probability

Purdue 44%

Market (consensus)

Purdue -5.5

Edge: Fresno State +5.5 (8.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 2, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Fresno StateFresno State
71081439
PurduePurdue
7147735

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-714-721-1421-1729-2528-3235-39
PurdueFresno State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20FSPURFSPURFSPURFSPURFSPURFSPURFSFSPURFSPURFSPURFSPURFSPURFSPUNT38ydTD392ydPUNT38ydPUNT30ydTD655ydPUNT417ydPUNT3-9ydTD817ydTD660ydTD659ydMISS1772ydPUNT3-4ydFG420ydPUNT32ydMISS734ydTD974ydPUNT721ydTD1485ydDOWNS1374ydTO526ydTD255ydTD979ydDOWNS519ydEND2-3yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Fresno State and Purdue
StatisticFresno StatePurdue
Passing32-4517-30
Pass Yards371254
Rush Yards116109
Total Yards487363
Turnovers10
3rd Down11-173-12
Penalties7-664-35
Possession36:3323:27

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Fresno State
passing
Mikey Keene
31/44, 366 YDS, 4 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Elijah Gilliam
20 CAR, 93 YDS
receiving
Erik Brooks
9 REC, 170 YDS, 2 TD
defense
Purdue
passing
Hudson Card
17/30, 254 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Devin Mockobee
16 CAR, 60 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Deion Burks
4 REC, 152 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

0th & 0placeholder0 yds

Purdue won the toss and has deferred to the second half. FSU will receive and PUR will defend the no

0th & 0Penalty-5 yds

KROCKOVER, Caleb kickoff 62 yards from the PUR35 to the FSU3, GILL, Jaelen returned 19 yards to the FSU22 (BOGUNIA-BRIGHT, Maddix), clock 14:54. PENALTY PUR Offsides on MILLER, Hudson enforced 5 yards from the PUR35 to the PUR30. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.94

Mikey Keene pass complete to Tre Watson for 8 yds to the PUR 47

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.27

Malik Sherrod run for no gain to the PUR 47

3rd & 2Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.14

Mikey Keene pass complete to Jalen Moss for no gain to the PUR 47

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Carson King punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Hudson Card pass complete to Devin Mockobee for 6 yds to the PUR 14

2nd & 4Fumble Recovery (Own)+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Devin Mockobee run for 2 yds to the PUR 16 Devin Mockobee fumbled, recovered by PUR

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+84 ydsPPA +6.93

Deion Burks 84 Yd pass from Hudson Card (Ben Freehill Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Mikey Keene pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 8 yds to the FRES 33

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Carson King punt for 49 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Hudson Card pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.23

Hudson Card run for no gain to the PUR 18

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Hudson Card pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jack Ansell punt for 37 yds, downed at the FRES 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Mikey Keene pass complete to Mac Dalena for 6 yds to the PUR 49

2nd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.48

Mikey Keene pass complete to Tre Watson for 5 yds to the PUR 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Malik Sherrod run for 3 yds to the PUR 41

3rd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.98

Mikey Keene pass complete to Jake Boust for 12 yds to the PUR 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +2.79

Mikey Keene pass complete to Erik Brooks for 29 yds for a TD (Dylan Lynch KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Hudson Card pass complete to Max Klare for 16 yds to the PUR 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Hudson Card pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Hudson Card pass incomplete

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Purdue Penalty, Illegal Snap on JOHNSON, Austin enforced (-5 Yards) to the PUR 36

3rd & 15Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.09

Hudson Card pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 6 yds to the PUR 42

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jack Ansell punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Erik Brooks at the FRES 15

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Malik Sherrod run for 2 yds to the FRES 17

2nd & 8Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.38

Mikey Keene pass complete to Jaelen Gill for a loss of 3 yards to the FRES 14

3rd & 11Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.11

Mikey Keene sacked by Kydran Jenkins for a loss of 8 yards to the FRES 6

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Carson King punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Dylan Downing run for 3 yds to the FRES 14

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Dylan Downing run for 2 yds to the FRES 12

3rd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.67

Hudson Card pass complete to Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen for 10 yds to the FRES 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Devin Mockobee run for 1 yd to the FRES 1

2nd & 1Penalty0 yds

TRACY JR., Tyrone rush up the middle for no gain, TRACY JR., Tyrone fumbled at FSU1 , recovered by PUR CARD, Hudson at the FSU1, returned 0 yards to the FSU1, End of Play. PENALTY FSU Offsides on BLOUNT, Tanner enforced half the distance from the goal, 0 yards from the FSU1 to the FSU1 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Devin Mockobee run for a loss of 1 yard to the FRES 2

3rd & 2Penalty0 yds

CARD, Hudson pass short to the left incomplete intended for BURKS, Deion thrown to the FSU0. PENALTY FSU Pass Interference on HAMILTON, Al'zillion enforced half the distance from the goal, 1 yards to the FSU1 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Hudson Card run for no gain to the FRES 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for no gain to the FRES 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Ben Freehill KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Malik Sherrod run for 7 yds to the FRES 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+49 ydsPPA +2.87

Mikey Keene pass complete to Erik Brooks for 49 yds to the PUR 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Mikey Keene pass complete to Artis Cole for 8 yds to the PUR 11

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Devon Rivers run for no gain to the PUR 11

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.34

Elijah Gilliam run for 3 yds to the PUR 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Mikey Keene pass complete to Jalen Moss for 8 yds for a TD Fresno State Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jalen Moss) to the PUR 0 (Dylan Lynch KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

CARD, Hudson pass deep to the right incomplete intended for BURKS, Deion thrown to the FSU30. PENALTY FSU Pass Interference on NORRIS JR., Morice enforced 15 yards to the FSU44 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Devin Mockobee run for 1 yd to the FRES 43

2nd & 9Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.46

Hudson Card pass complete to Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen for 18 yds to the FRES 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Dylan Downing run for 4 yds to the FRES 21

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.20

Dylan Downing run for 8 yds to the FRES 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.58

Hudson Card pass complete to Tyrone Tracy Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the FRES 17

2nd & 14Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +3.12

Hudson Card pass complete to Deion Burks for 17 yds for a TD (Ben Freehill KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Malik Sherrod run for no gain to the FRES 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Mikey Keene pass complete to Erik Brooks for 7 yds to the FRES 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.71

Mikey Keene pass complete to Erik Brooks for 8 yds to the FRES 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Malik Sherrod run for 1 yd to the FRES 41

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.85

Mikey Keene pass complete to Jalen Moss for 8 yds to the FRES 49

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.97

Elijah Gilliam run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

3rd & 13Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +3.33

Mikey Keene pass complete to Elijah Gilliam for 14 yds to the PUR 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.66

Mikey Keene sacked by OC Brothers for a loss of 4 yards to the PUR 43

2nd & 14Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Elijah Gilliam run for 4 yds to the PUR 39

3rd & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.35

Mikey Keene pass complete to Erik Brooks for 19 yds to the PUR 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.57

Elijah Gilliam run for 14 yds to the PUR 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Elijah Gilliam run for 1 yd to the PUR 5

2nd & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Mikey Keene pass complete to Malik Sherrod for 2 yds to the PUR 3

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Mikey Keene pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 7 yds to the PUR 43

3rd & 3Penalty-10 yds

KEENE, Mikey pass short to the right incomplete thrown to the PUR40. PENALTY FSU Holding on SPOMER, Jacob enforced 10 yards from the PUR43 to the FSU47 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

4th & 3Field Goal Missed+20 yds

Dylan Lynch 20 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Hudson Card run for no gain to the PUR 20

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Hudson Card pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.16

Devin Mockobee run for a loss of 4 yards to the PUR 16

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Jack Ansell punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.00

Mikey Keene pass complete to Tre Watson for 15 yds to the PUR 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Logan Fife pass complete to Erik Brooks for 5 yds to the PUR 33

3rd & 5Field Goal Good+52 yds

Dylan Lynch 52 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return Touchdown+98 yds

Tyrone Tracy Jr. 98 Yd Kickoff Return (Ben Freehill Kick)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Devon Rivers run for 2 yds to the FRES 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Carson King punt for 33 yds

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Devin Mockobee run for 7 yds to the PUR 47

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Devin Mockobee run for 7 yds to the FRES 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.64

Hudson Card run for 13 yds to the FRES 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Devin Mockobee run for 4 yds to the FRES 29

2nd & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.04

Devin Mockobee run for a loss of 2 yards to the FRES 31

3rd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Hudson Card pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 5 yds to the FRES 26

4th & 3Field Goal Missed+43 yds

Ben Freehill 43 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Devon Rivers run for 3 yds to the FRES 29

2nd & 7Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.85

Devon Rivers run for 14 yds to the FRES 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.11

Mikey Keene pass complete to Jalen Moss for 14 yds to the PUR 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

Elijah Gilliam run for no gain to the PUR 43

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.75

Mikey Keene pass complete to Erik Brooks for 24 yds to the PUR 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Elijah Gilliam run for 1 yd to the PUR 18

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +3.30

M. Keene pass to J. Gill for 18 yds for a TD (M. Keene pass to J. Moss for Two-Point Conversion)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Dylan Lynch kickoff for 64 yds , return for no gain to the PUR 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Hudson Card pass complete to Devin Mockobee for 4 yds to the PUR 19

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Hudson Card pass complete to Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen for 5 yds to the PUR 24

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

Devin Mockobee run for no gain to the PUR 24

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.05

Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 2 yds to the PUR 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

CARD, Hudson pass to the right incomplete intended for YASEEN, Abdur-Rahmaan thrown to the PUR40. PENALTY FSU Holding on LOCKRIDGE, Cameron enforced 10 yards from the PUR26 to the PUR36 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Hudson Card pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Hudson Card pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Hudson Card pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jack Ansell punt for 49 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Malik Sherrod run for 3 yds to the FRES 18

2nd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.11

Mikey Keene pass complete to Tre Watson for 12 yds to the FRES 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Elijah Gilliam run for no gain to the FRES 30

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Mikey Keene pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 5 yds to the FRES 35

3rd & 5Penalty+15 yds

Purdue Penalty, Roughing the Passer on SCOURTON, Nic enforced (Nic Scourton) to the PUR 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Elijah Gilliam run for 6 yds to the PUR 37

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.19

Elijah Gilliam run for 5 yds to the PUR 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.86

Elijah Gilliam run for 12 yds to the PUR 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Mikey Keene pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.53

Elijah Gilliam run for 17 yds to the PUR 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Elijah Gilliam run for 2 yds to the PUR 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Elijah Gilliam run for no gain to the PUR 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Malik Sherrod run for 1 yd for a TD (Dylan Lynch KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Hudson Card pass complete to Max Klare for 6 yds to the PUR 31

2nd & 4Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.18

Devin Mockobee run for 11 yds to the PUR 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.09

Hudson Card pass complete to Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen for 13 yds to the FRES 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Hudson Card run for 8 yds to the FRES 37

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Devin Mockobee run for 1 yd to the FRES 36

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Dylan Downing run for no gain to the FRES 36

4th & 1Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.77

Hudson Card pass complete to Deion Burks for 7 yds to the FRES 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Hudson Card pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.90

Devin Mockobee run for 20 yds to the FRES 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Devin Mockobee run for 2 yds to the FRES 7

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Hudson Card pass complete to Devin Mockobee for 6 yds to the FRES 1

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Hudson Card pass incomplete

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -4.21

Devin Mockobee run for no gain to the FRES 1

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Mikey Keene run for 2 yds to the FRES 3

2nd & 8Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.07

Elijah Gilliam run for 22 yds to the FRES 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Elijah Gilliam run for 2 yds to the FRES 27

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Elijah Gilliam run for no gain to the FRES 27

3rd & 8Interception0 ydsPPA +0.01

Mikey Keene pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +1.75

Hudson Card pass complete to Deion Burks for 44 yds to the FRES 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Devin Mockobee run for 11 yds for a TD (Ben Freehill KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Elijah Gilliam run for 1 yd to the FRES 22

2nd & 9Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.87

Mikey Keene pass complete to Mac Dalena for 16 yds to the FRES 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Mikey Keene pass complete to Jalen Moss for 8 yds to the FRES 46

2nd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.61

Elijah Gilliam run for a loss of 1 yard to the FRES 45

3rd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.77

Mikey Keene pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 6 yds to the PUR 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.79

Mikey Keene pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 14 yds to the PUR 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.27

Mikey Keene pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 10 yds to the PUR 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Elijah Gilliam run for 3 yds to the PUR 22

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.84

Mikey Keene pass complete to Erik Brooks for 22 yds for a TD (Dylan Lynch KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Hudson Card pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 11 yds to the PUR 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Hudson Card pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Hudson Card pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.41

Hudson Card run for 8 yds to the PUR 44

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Hudson Card pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.97

[NH] Kneel down by KEENE, Mikey at PUR45 (team loss of 1).

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -1.05

[NH] Kneel down by KEENE, Mikey at PUR47 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Fresno State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
38%
34 plays
2nd
20%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
68%
19 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
63%
8 plays
83%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
4th

Purdue

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
43%
23 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
60%
5 plays
33%
9 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
40%
5 plays
100%
1 play
40%
5 plays
100%
1 play
4th
50%
4 plays