Skip to main content
← Back to GamesSep 2, 2023Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Arkansas by 13.4

Home Win Probability

Arkansas 79%

Market (Bovada)

Arkansas -38

Edge: Western Carolina +38 (24.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 2, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Western Carolina
307313
ArkansasArkansas
211471456

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428425614-021-335-342-1049-1056-13
ArkansasWestern Carolina

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20WCARKWCARKWCARKWCARKWCARKWCARKWCARKWCARKARKWCARKWCARKWCARKWCWCPUNT36ydTD279ydPUNT3-4ydTD747ydPUNT36ydPUNT49ydTO3-2ydTD131ydFG859ydPUNT614ydPUNT846ydPUNT34ydTO2-7ydTD532ydTO122ydTD847ydPUNT3-7ydTD653ydTD969ydTO944ydPUNT616ydPUNT420ydTD748ydTD955ydFG1360yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Western Carolina and Arkansas
StatisticWestern CarolinaArkansas
Passing25-4020-25
Pass Yards227274
Rush Yards64105
Total Yards291379
Turnovers50
3rd Down4-156-13
Penalties3-307-86
Possession30:4329:17

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Western Carolina
passing
Cole Gonzales
9/14, 118 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Branson Adams
4 CAR, 38 YDS
receiving
Censere Lee
3 REC, 41 YDS
defense
Arkansas
passing
KJ Jefferson
18/23, 246 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Raheim Sanders
15 CAR, 42 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Jaedon Wilson
3 REC, 83 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Jaheim Thomas
1.5 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Cole Gonzales run for 2 yds to the WCU 23

2nd & 12Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.35

Desmond Reid run for 8 yds to the WCU 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Cole Gonzales pass incomplete to Desmond Reid

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Stephen Brantley punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ARK 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.09

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Luke Hasz for 14 yds to the ARK 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+65 ydsPPA +5.24

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Jaedon Wilson for 65 yds for a TD (Cam Little KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Desmond Reid run for 1 yd to the WCU 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Cole Gonzales pass incomplete to Calvin Jones

3rd & 9Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY WCU Delay Of Game 5 yards from WCU26 to WCU21. NO PLAY.

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Cole Gonzales pass incomplete to Censere Lee

4th & 14Punt+12 yds

Stephen Brantley punt for 38 yds , Isaiah Sategna returns for 12 yds to the WCU 47

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.05

Raheim Sanders run for no gain to the WCU 47

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.40

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Raheim Sanders for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 13Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.57

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Isaac TeSlaa for 25 yds to the WCU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.17

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Isaiah Sategna for 13 yds to the WCU 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Raheim Sanders run for 5 yds to the WCU 7

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Raheim Sanders run for 4 yds to the WCU 3

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.47

Raheim Sanders run for 3 yds for a TD (Cam Little KICK)

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

run for 12 yds to the WCU 13

2nd & 22Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.09

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Calvin Jones for 9 yds to the WCU 22

3rd & 13Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.19

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Ajay Belanger for 9 yds to the WCU 31

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Stephen Brantley punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Sategna at the ARK 18

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.80

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 12 yds to the ARK 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.36

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Tyrone Broden for 3 yds to the ARK 33

2nd & 7Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.68

Raheim Sanders run for 11 yds to the ARK 22

3rd & 18Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 5 yds to the ARK 27

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Max Fletcher punt for 51 yds , AJ Colombo returns for no gain to the WCU 22

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Branson Adams run for 3 yds to the WCU 25

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Charlie Dean pass complete to Branson Adams for 5 yds to the WCU 20

3rd & 12Interception0 ydsPPA +0.25

Charlie Dean pass intercepted

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +2.84

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Isaac TeSlaa for 31 yds for a TD (Cam Little KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Cam Little kickoff for 58 yds , Calvin Jones return for 17 yds to the WCU 24

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Charlie Dean pass incomplete to Branson Adams

2nd & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.72

Branson Adams run for 8 yds to the WCU 32 for a 1ST down Arkansas Penalty, Personal Foul (Jordan Crook) to the WCU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Branson Adams run for 5 yds to the ARK 48

2nd & 5Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.25

Charlie Dean pass complete to De'Andre Tamarez for 21 yds to the ARK 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+12 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Dean,Charlie pass incomplete deep left to White,David, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY ARK Pass Interference (Johnson,Lorando) 12 yards from ARK27 to ARK15, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Charlie Dean pass complete to Branson Adams for 6 yds to the ARK 21

2nd & 16Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Charlie Dean pass complete to Calvin Jones for 4 yds to the ARK 17

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Charlie Dean pass incomplete to Zion Booker

4th & 12Field Goal Good+34 yds

Richard McCollum 34 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

AJ Green run for 4 yds to the ARK 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.34

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Isaac TeSlaa for 10 yds to the ARK 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.61

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Luke Hasz for 5 yds to the WCU 44 for a 1ST down Western Carolina Penalty, Personal Foul (Hayward McQueen Jr.) to the WCU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

KJ Jefferson run for 3 yds to the WCU 38

2nd & 7Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.92

run for 19 yds to the ARK 43

3rd & 26Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.11

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Rashod Dubinion for 1 yd to the ARK 44

4th & 25Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY ARK False Start 5 yards from ARK44 to ARK39. NO PLAY.

4th & 30Punt0 yds

Max Fletcher punt for 46 yds, fair catch by AJ Colombo at the WCU 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Charlie Dean pass complete to Calvin Jones for 4 yds to the WCU 19

2nd & 6Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.35

Charlie Dean pass complete to Calvin Jones for 15 yds to the WCU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Charlie Dean pass complete to Censere Lee for 5 yds to the WCU 39

2nd & 5Penalty+15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Dean,Charlie pass incomplete deep left to White,David broken up by Clark,Hudson PENALTY ARK Roughing The Passer (Thomas,Jaheim) 15 yards from WCU39 to ARK46, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Charlie Dean pass incomplete to Corey Washington

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.63

Charlie Dean pass complete to Desmond Reid for 12 yds to the ARK 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Dean,Charlie pass incomplete deep right to Lee,Censere PENALTY WCU Pass Interference offsetting ARK Pass Interference offsetting. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Desmond Reid run for 1 yd to the ARK 35

2nd & 11Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Charlie Dean pass complete to Censere Lee for 4 yds to the ARK 39

3rd & 15Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.84

Charlie Dean pass complete to Desmond Reid for no gain to the ARK 39

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Stephen Brantley punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Sategna at the ARK 6

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Raheim Sanders run for 1 yd to the ARK 7

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.06

Raheim Sanders run for 3 yds to the ARK 10

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Andrew Armstrong

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Max Fletcher punt for 52 yds, fair catch by AJ Colombo at the WCU 38

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Desmond Reid run for 7 yds to the WCU 31

2nd & 17Interception0 ydsPPA -0.06

Charlie Dean pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Andrew Armstrong

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Rashod Dubinion run for 2 yds to the WCU 30

3rd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.40

Rashod Dubinion run for 7 yds to the WCU 23

4th & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.94

Rashod Dubinion run for 6 yds to the WCU 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.58

KJ Jefferson run for 17 yds for a TD (Cam Little KICK)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+22 ydsPPA -0.92

Branson Adams run for 22 yds to the WCU 47 Branson Adams fumbled, recovered by ARK TJ Metcalf

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Jaedon Wilson for 4 yds to the WCU 43

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Raheim Sanders run for 2 yds to the WCU 41

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.34

Raheim Sanders run for 5 yds to the WCU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +0.81

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 29 yds to the WCU 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Raheim Sanders run for 2 yds to the WCU 5

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

KJ Jefferson run for 4 yds to the WCU 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

KJ Jefferson run for no gain to the WCU 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Raheim Sanders run for 1 yd for a TD (Cam Little KICK)

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+55 yds

Paxton Robertson kickoff for 65 yds , Isaiah Sategna return for 55 yds to the ARK 10 Arkansas Penalty, Illegal Block (9 Yards) to the ARK 9

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Luke Hasz

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.09

Raheim Sanders run for 6 yds to the ARK 15

3rd & 4Fumble Recovery (Own)-13 ydsPPA -0.33

KJ Jefferson sacked by Ed Jones IV for a loss of 13 yards to the ARK 2 KJ Jefferson fumbled, recovered by ARK KJ Jefferson , return for 0 yards

4th & 17Punt+1 yds

Max Fletcher punt for 52 yds , AJ Colombo returns for 1 yd to the WCU 47

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Desmond Reid run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Ajay Belanger for 6 yds to the ARK 44

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.20

Desmond Reid run for no gain to the ARK 44

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.04

Desmond Reid run for 2 yds to the ARK 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +2.08

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Censere Lee for 40 yds to the ARK 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Desmond Reid run for 2 yds for a TD (Richard McCollum KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+28 yds

Paxton Robertson kickoff for 62 yds , Isaiah Sategna return for 28 yds to the ARK 31

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.36

AJ Green run for 9 yds to the ARK 40

2nd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.23

AJ Green run for 8 yds to the ARK 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+18 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Jefferson,KJ pass complete short left to Wilson,Jaedon for 18 yards to the WCU34 (Dukes,Samaurie) PENALTY ARK Holding offsetting WCU Personal Foul offsetting. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Raheim Sanders run for 5 yds to the WCU 47

2nd & 5Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.00

Raheim Sanders run for 14 yds to the WCU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Isaac TeSlaa

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.65

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Raheim Sanders for 1 yd to the WCU 34

3rd & 11Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.01

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 16 yds to the WCU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Raheim Sanders run for 2 yds to the WCU 16

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.79

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Andrew Armstrong for 16 yds for a TD (Cam Little KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Cam Little kickoff for 65 yds , Calvin Jones return for 20 yds to the WCU 45 Western Carolina Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the WCU 10

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Desmond Reid run for 2 yds to the WCU 8

2nd & 12Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.04

Cole Gonzales pass complete to David White Jr. for 3 yds to the WCU 11

3rd & 9Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.94

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Desmond Reid for 23 yds to the WCU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Desmond Reid run for 1 yd to the WCU 35

2nd & 9Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.31

Cole Gonzales pass complete to David White Jr. for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Desmond Reid run for 4 yds to the ARK 46

2nd & 6Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.48

Cole Gonzales sacked by Keivie Rose for a loss of 7 yards to the WCU 47

3rd & 13Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Branson Adams for 7 yds to the ARK 46

4th & 6Interception0 ydsPPA -0.89

Cole Gonzales pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Dominique Johnson run for 3 yds to the ARK 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.47

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Isaiah Sategna for 1 yd to the ARK 29

3rd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.70

Dominique Johnson run for 7 yds to the ARK 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Dominique Johnson run for 4 yds to the ARK 40

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

AJ Green run for 1 yd to the ARK 41

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Isaiah Sategna

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Max Fletcher punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WCU 15

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Camury Reid run for 3 yds to the WCU 18

2nd & 7Penalty+15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Gonzales,Cole pass incomplete short right to Reid,Camury PENALTY ARK Targeting (Paul Jr.,Chris) 15 yards from WCU18 to WCU33, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY. The previous play is under review. The ruling on the field is confirmed.

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.44

Cole Gonzales sacked by Taurean Carter for a loss of 4 yards to the WCU 29

2nd & 14Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Camury Reid for 6 yds to the WCU 35

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Cole Gonzales pass incomplete to AJ Colombo

4th & 8Punt+39 yds

Stephen Brantley punt for 52 yds , Isaiah Sategna returns for 39 yds to the WCU 48

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Jacolby Criswell run for no gain to the WCU 48

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.82

Jacolby Criswell pass complete to Jaedon Wilson for 14 yds to the WCU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Isaiah Augustave run for 5 yds to the WCU 29

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Isaiah Augustave run for 4 yds to the WCU 25

3rd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.34

Isaiah Augustave run for 8 yds to the WCU 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Isaiah Augustave run for 3 yds to the WCU 14

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.69

Jacolby Criswell pass complete to Davion Dozier for 14 yds for a TD (Cam Little KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Marlin Cochran run for 3 yds to the WCU 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Charlie Dean pass incomplete to Ajay Belanger

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.79

Charlie Dean pass complete to Corey Washington for 8 yds to the WCU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.22

Charlie Dean pass complete to Zion Booker for 13 yds to the WCU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Charlie Dean pass complete to Corey Washington for 7 yds to the ARK 44

2nd & 3Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +0.70

Charlie Dean pass complete to Corey Washington for 24 yds to the ARK 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.37

Charlie Dean pass complete to Marlin Cochran for no gain to the ARK 20

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Charlie Dean pass incomplete to Corey Washington

3rd & 10Interception Return Touchdown+85 ydsPPA -10.54

Brad Spence 85 Yd Interception Return (Cam Little Kick)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Markel Townsend run for 3 yds to the WCU 28

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Markel Townsend run for 3 yds to the WCU 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.05

Brody Palhegyi pass complete to Markel Townsend for 11 yds to the WCU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Markel Townsend run for 7 yds to the WCU 49

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.75

Markel Townsend run for 2 yds to the ARK 49

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.07

Markel Townsend run for 3 yds to the ARK 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Brody Palhegyi pass incomplete to Zion Booker

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

Arkansas Penalty, Targeting (15 Yards) to the ARK 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.16

Brody Palhegyi run for 10 yds to the ARK 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Brody Palhegyi pass incomplete to Corey Washington

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Markel Townsend run for 2 yds to the ARK 15

3rd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.52

Brody Palhegyi run for no gain to the ARK 15

4th & 8Field Goal Good+33 yds

Richard McCollum 33 yd FG GOOD

Situational Analysis

Western Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
34%
29 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
10 plays
43%
7 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
50%
6 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

Arkansas

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
44%
27 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
29%
7 plays
55%
11 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
100%
1 play
75%
4 plays
4th
100%
2 plays