Skip to main content
← Back to GamesDec 3, 2022Week 14

House Prediction

Model Margin

North Dakota State by 16.5

Home Win Probability

North Dakota State 83%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

North Dakota State -9

Edge: North Dakota State -9 (7.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Dec 3, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Montana
767626
North Dakota StateNorth Dakota State
147141449

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-014-714-1021-1021-2035-2049-20
North Dakota StateMontana

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NDSMONNDSMONNDSMONNDSMONNDSMONMONNDSMONNDSNDSMONNDSMONNDSMONNDSMONNDSMONPUNT32ydPUNT3-3ydTD676ydPUNT39ydTD373ydTD1366ydPUNT517ydFG1067ydPUNT835ydTD8-2ydFG532ydEND1-1ydPUNT30ydTD51ydTD175ydTO614ydTD270ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT58ydTO1163ydTD285ydPUNT31ydTD987ydUncategorized36yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Montana and North Dakota State
StatisticMontanaNorth Dakota State
Passing17-296-10
Pass Yards12958
Rush Yards148455
Total Yards277513
Turnovers31
3rd Down8-183-7
Penalties5-503-35
Possession27:0427:32

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Montana
passing
Lucas Johnson
8/14, 70 YDS
rushing
Isiah Childs
15 CAR, 90 YDS
receiving
Aaron Fontes
5 REC, 75 YDS
North Dakota State
passing
Cam Miller
6/10, 58 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Kobe Johnson
12 CAR, 206 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Zach Mathis
2 REC, 35 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Cam Miller run for 1 yd to the NDkSt 26

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

TaMerik Williams run for 1 yd to the NDkSt 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Cam Miller pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt+27 yds

Kaedin Steindorf punt for 45 yds , Junior Bergen returns for 27 yds to the NDkSt 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Lucas Johnson pass complete to Cole Grossman for 4 yds to the NDkSt 41

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

MONTANA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NDkSt 46

2nd & 11Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.42

Lucas Johnson sacked by Spencer Waege for a loss of 2 yards to the NDkSt 48

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Lucas Johnson pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt+14 yds

Patrick Rohrbach punt for 38 yds , Jayden Price returns for 14 yds to the NDkSt 24

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.90

Kobe Johnson run for 11 yds to the NDkSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.01

Cam Miller pass complete to Joe Stoffel for no gain to the NDkSt 35

2nd & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.84

Kobe Johnson run for 21 yds to the Mont 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Cam Miller pass complete to Logan Hofstedt for 5 yds to the Mont 10

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.48

Cam Miller run for 10 yds for a TD (Griffin Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Isiah Childs run for 5 yds to the Mont 33

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.54

Xavier Harris run for 2 yds to the Mont 35

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Xavier Harris run for 2 yds to the Mont 37

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Patrick Rohrbach punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jayden Price at the NDkSt 27

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Cole Payton run for 5 yds to the NDkSt 32

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Cam Miller pass incomplete

3rd & 5Rushing Touchdown+68 ydsPPA +6.65

Cam Miller run for 68 yds for a TD (Griffin Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Lucas Johnson pass complete to Cole Grossman for 6 yds to the Mont 40

2nd & 4Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.33

Lucas Johnson pass complete to Aaron Fontes for 13 yds to the NDkSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.80

Lucas Johnson pass complete to Aaron Fontes for 17 yds to the NDkSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Lucas Johnson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Isiah Childs run for 5 yds to the NDkSt 25

3rd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.75

Lucas Johnson pass complete to Aaron Fontes for 9 yds to the NDkSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Lucas Johnson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Isiah Childs run for 2 yds to the NDkSt 14

3rd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.20

Lucas Johnson pass complete to Matthew Rensvold for 7 yds to the NDkSt 7

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.01

Isiah Childs run for 2 yds to the NDkSt 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Lucas Johnson pass incomplete

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Lucas Johnson run for 4 yds to the NDkSt 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Lucas Johnson run for 1 yd for a TD (Nico Ramos KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Kobe Johnson run for 4 yds to the NDkSt 24

2nd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.14

Eli Green run for 10 yds to the NDkSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Cam Miller pass complete to Zach Mathis for 6 yds to the NDkSt 40

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Kobe Johnson run for 1 yd to the NDkSt 41

3rd & 3Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.15

Cam Miller run for a loss of 4 yards to the NDkSt 37

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Kaedin Steindorf punt for 52 yds, downed at the Mont 11

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Lucas Johnson pass complete to Eli Gillman for 5 yds to the Mont 16

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Eli Gillman run for 4 yds to the Mont 20

3rd & 1Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.56

Lucas Johnson run for 26 yds to the Mont 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Junior Bergen run for 3 yds to the Mont 49

2nd & 7Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.67

Eli Gillman run for 17 yds to the NDkSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.29

Eli Gillman run for 12 yds to the NDkSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Eli Gillman run for 2 yds to the NDkSt 20

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Lucas Johnson pass incomplete

3rd & 8Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.05

Lucas Johnson sacked by Jaxon Duttenhefer for a loss of 2 yards to the NDkSt 22

4th & 10Field Goal Good+39 yds

Nico Ramos 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Cam Miller pass complete to Eli Green for 10 yds to the NDkSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.55

RaJa Nelson run for a loss of 4 yards to the NDkSt 31

2nd & 14Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Cam Miller run for 5 yds to the NDkSt 36

3rd & 9Penalty+10 yds

MILLER, Cam sacked for a loss of 1 yard at the NDS35, fumble on the sack (forced by NUCE, Henry), recovered by MON O'CONNELL, Patrick at the NDS35, returned 0 yards to the NDS35, End of Play, clock 07:12. PENALTY MON Holding on HAUCK, Robby enforced 10 yards from the NDS36 to the NDS46 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Kobe Johnson run for 6 yds to the Mont 48

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.40

Kobe Johnson run for 4 yds to the Mont 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

TaMerik Williams run for 6 yds to the Mont 38

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.19

TaMerik Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mont 39

3rd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.30

Cam Miller run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mont 40

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Kaedin Steindorf punt for 38 yds, downed at the Mont 2

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Isiah Childs run for 2 yds to the Mont 4

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Lucas Johnson pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.60

Lucas Johnson pass complete to Malik Flowers for 9 yds to the Mont 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Isiah Childs run for 5 yds to the Mont 18

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Isiah Childs run for 4 yds to the Mont 22

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.54

Isiah Childs run for 2 yds to the Mont 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.06

Lucas Johnson sacked by Dylan Hendricks for a loss of 6 yards to the Mont 18

2nd & 16Sack-18 yds

Lucas Johnson sacked for a loss of 18 yards MONTANA Penalty, Defensive Holding ( Yards) declined (Griffin Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +1.22

Isiah Childs run for 26 yds to the NDkSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Daniel Britt run for 4 yds to the NDkSt 21

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Isiah Childs run for 5 yds to the NDkSt 16

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

MONTANA Penalty, False Start (Cole Grossman) to the NDkSt 21

3rd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Daniel Britt pass complete to Keelan White for 2 yds to the NDkSt 19

4th & 4Field Goal Good+36 yds

Nico Ramos 36 yd FG GOOD

0th & 11End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.67

[SG] Kneel down by MILLER, Cam at NDS23 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Daniel Britt run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mont 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Daniel Britt pass complete to Junior Bergen for 4 yds to the Mont 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.35

Daniel Britt pass complete to Isiah Childs for a loss of 3 yards to the Mont 25

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Patrick Rohrbach punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jayden Price at the NDkSt 40

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Kobe Johnson run for 4 yds to the NDkSt 44

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Cam Miller pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.33

Cam Miller pass complete to RaJa Nelson for 8 yds to the Mont 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.31

TaMerik Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mont 49

2nd & 11Penalty-10 yds

MILLER, Cam pass to the right incomplete dropped by JOHNSON, Kobe thrown to the MON44. PENALTY NDS Holding on BROZIO, Hunter enforced 10 yards from the MON49 to the NDS41. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 21Interception0 ydsPPA -0.25

Cam Miller pass intercepted for a TD (Nico Ramos KICK)

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +6.08

Kobe Johnson run for 75 yds for a TD (Griffin Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Daniel Britt run for 4 yds to the Mont 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Daniel Britt pass complete to Matthew Rensvold for 5 yds to the Mont 34

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.86

Eli Gillman run for 1 yd to the Mont 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Daniel Britt run for 1 yd to the Mont 36

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Daniel Britt pass complete to Mitch Roberts for 3 yds to the Mont 39

3rd & 6Interception0 ydsPPA -0.63

Daniel Britt pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

TaMerik Williams run for 2 yds to the NDkSt 32

2nd & 8Rushing Touchdown+68 ydsPPA +6.24

TaMerik Williams run for 68 yds for a TD (Griffin Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Daniel Britt run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mont 24

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Daniel Britt pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Daniel Britt pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Patrick Rohrbach punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jayden Price at the NDkSt 39

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Kobe Johnson run for 5 yds to the NDkSt 44

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.82

Kobe Johnson run for 5 yds to the NDkSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

TaMerik Williams run for 4 yds to the Mont 47

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

TaMerik Williams run for 2 yds to the Mont 45

3rd & 4Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.18

Cam Miller sacked by Henry Nuce for a loss of 8 yards to the NDkSt 47

4th & 12Punt+1 yds

Kaedin Steindorf punt for 42 yds , Junior Bergen returns for 1 yd to the Mont 12

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.54

Daniel Britt sacked by Nick Kubitz for a loss of 4 yards to the Mont 8

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Daniel Britt pass incomplete

3rd & 14Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.59

Daniel Britt pass complete to Aaron Fontes for 32 yds to the Mont 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Daniel Britt pass complete to Aaron Fontes for 4 yds to the Mont 44

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Daniel Britt run for 4 yds to the Mont 48

3rd & 2Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.04

Isiah Childs run for 15 yds to the NDkSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Daniel Britt run for 4 yds to the NDkSt 33

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Daniel Britt pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Isiah Childs run for 5 yds to the NDkSt 28

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.17

Isiah Childs run for 3 yds to the NDkSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -4.30

Daniel Britt pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.69

Kobe Johnson run for a loss of 3 yards to the NDkSt 12 for a 1ST down MONTANA Penalty, Personal Foul (Garrett Graves) to the NDkSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+73 ydsPPA +5.93

Kobe Johnson run for 73 yds for a TD (Griffin Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Isiah Childs run for 6 yds to the Mont 46

2nd & 4Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.65

Daniel Britt sacked by Tony Pierce and Dylan Hendricks for a loss of 10 yards to the Mont 36

3rd & 14Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Kris Brown pass complete to Isiah Childs for 5 yds to the Mont 41

4th & 9Punt+6 yds

Patrick Rohrbach punt for 52 yds , Jayden Price returns for 6 yds to the NDkSt 13

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

TaMerik Williams run for 4 yds to the NDkSt 17

2nd & 6Rush+28 ydsPPA +2.48

Cole Payton run for 28 yds to the NDkSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

TaMerik Williams run for no gain to the NDkSt 45

2nd & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.30

TaMerik Williams run for 16 yds to the Mont 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.35

Cam Miller run for 10 yds to the Mont 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

TK Marshall run for 4 yds to the Mont 25

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

TK Marshall run for 3 yds to the Mont 22

3rd & 3Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.82

Cole Payton run for 15 yds to the Mont 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

TK Marshall run for 7 yds for a TD (Griffin Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Isiah Childs run for 3 yds to the Mont 28

2nd & 7Penalty-15 yds

MONTANA Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Mitch Roberts) to the Mont 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.27

Daniel Britt pass complete to Keelan White for 7 yds to the Mont 31

Situational Analysis

Montana

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
32%
25 plays
2nd
30%
10 plays
33%
6 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
83%
6 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
100%
2 plays

North Dakota State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
52%
25 plays
2nd
45%
11 plays
75%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th