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← Back to GamesNov 26, 2022Week 13

House Prediction

Model Margin

Weber State by 14.6

Home Win Probability

Weber State 81%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

Weber State -11

Edge: Weber State -11 (3.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 26, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
North Dakota
01431431
Weber State
7247038

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-031-1438-24
Weber StateNorth Dakota

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20WSWSNDWSNDNDWSNDWSNDWSNDNDWSNDWSNDWSNDWSNDFG1033ydPUNT54ydPUNT810ydTD994ydPUNT37ydPUNT620ydTD1088ydPUNT34ydTD355ydTD575ydTD1075ydTD277ydFG932ydTD958ydDOWNS617ydMISS736ydTD1380ydPUNT513ydTD1174ydPUNT32ydDOWNS52yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing North Dakota and Weber State
StatisticNorth DakotaWeber State
Passing23-445-11
Pass Yards184110
Rush Yards204330
Total Yards388440
Turnovers00
3rd Down8-167-14
Penalties6-657-50
Possession28:5331:07

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

North Dakota
passing
Tommy Schuster
23/43, 184 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Tyler Hoosman
14 CAR, 138 YDS
receiving
Garett Maag
5 REC, 63 YDS
Weber State
passing
Bronson Barron
5/11, 110 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Josh Davis
21 CAR, 129 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Jon Christensen
2 REC, 58 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Bronson Barron pass incomplete to Jacob Sharp, broken up by C.J. Siegel

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Josh Davis run for 5 yds to the WebSt 49

3rd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.98

Josh Davis run for 6 yds to the NDKTA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Josh Davis run for 5 yds to the NDKTA 40

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Josh Davis run for 4 yds to the NDKTA 36

3rd & 1Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.83

Josh Davis run for 13 yds to the NDKTA 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Damon Bankston run for 3 yds to the NDKTA 20

2nd & 7Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.84

Bronson Barron sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the NDKTA 23

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Bronson Barron pass incomplete to Ty MacPherson, broken up by C.J. Siegel

4th & 10Field Goal Good+40 yds

Kyle Thompson 40 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Brady Stevens kickoff for 65 yds , Abraham Williams return for 23 yds to the WebSt 23

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Jack Burgess punt for 30 yds

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Sloan Calder kickoff for 65 yds , Red Wilson return for 16 yds to the WEBERST 49 NORTH DAKOTA Penalty, Offensive holding (Luke Lennon) to the NDKTA 8

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Sloan Calder kickoff for 42 yds , Luke Lennon return for no gain to the NDKTA 23

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Brady Stevens kickoff for 40 yds , Abraham Williams return for 16 yds WEBER ST Penalty, illegal block (Alema Tupuola) to the WebSt 26

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+60 yds

Sloan Calder kickoff for 63 yds , Red Wilson return for 60 yds to the WebSt 38

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+63 yds

Brady Stevens kickoff for 63 yds , Abraham Williams return for 12 yds to the WebSt 42 , Abraham Williams return for 28 yds to the WebSt 42

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+30 yds

Sloan Calder kickoff for 59 yds , Red Wilson return for 30 yds to the NDKTA 36

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

pass incomplete to Marcus Preston

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

pass incomplete to Garett Maag

3rd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.58

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Red Wilson for 12 yds to the WebSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Tyler Hoosman run for 2 yds to the WebSt 30

2nd & 8Sack-12 ydsPPA -3.10

Tommy Schuster sacked for a loss of 12 yards to the WebSt 42

3rd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

pass incomplete to Isaiah Smith

4th & 20Penalty-5 yds

NORTH DAKOTA Penalty, delay of game (Cade Peterson) to the WebSt 47

4th & 25Punt0 yds

Cade Peterson punt for 41 yds

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Dontae McMillan run for 2 yds for a TD, (Kyle Thompson KICK)

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Cade Peterson punt for 38 yds , Hudson Schenck returns for no gain to the WebSt 32 NORTH DAKOTA Penalty, kick catching interference (Marcus Preston) to the WebSt 44

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Cade Peterson punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete to Bo Belquist, broken up by LJ Anderson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Tyler Hoosman for 6 yds to the NDKTA 31

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +2.81

Josh Davis 30 Yd Run (Kyle Thompson Kick)

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Cade Peterson punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+39 ydsPPA +3.14

Damon Bankston 39 Yd Run (Kyle Thompson Kick)

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+63 ydsPPA +6.19

Isaiah Smith 63 Yd Run (Brady Stevens Kick)

3rd & 8Fumble Recovery (Own)+11 ydsPPA +2.64

Bronson Barron run for 11 yds to the WebSt 48 Bronson Barron fumbled, recovered by WebSt Jordan Lutui for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.14

Dontae McMillan run for 20 yds to the NDKTA 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

pass incomplete to Ty MacPherson

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Damon Bankston run for 2 yds to the NDKTA 30

3rd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Damon Bankston run for 5 yds to the NDKTA 25

4th & 3Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +3.87

Hayden Meacham 25 Yd pass from Bronson Barron (Kyle Thompson Kick)

1st & 10placeholder0 ydsPPA -0.83

rush for loss of 2 yards to the WSU24, UND wins the toss and chooses receive.

1st & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Jaden Norby 5 Yd pass from Tommy Schuster (Brady Stevens Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Isaiah Smith for 6 yds to the WebSt 18

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Red Wilson run for 1 yd to the WebSt 17

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.32

Tyler Hoosman run for 4 yds to the WebSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.37

Red Wilson run for a loss of 1 yard to the WebSt 14

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

pass incomplete to Jack Wright

3rd & 11Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.28

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Garett Maag for 8 yds to the WebSt 6

4th & 3Field Goal Good+23 yds

Brady Stevens 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Tyler Hoosman run for 6 yds to the WebSt 32

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.16

Tyler Hoosman run for 8 yds to the WebSt 24 for a 1ST down

4th & 1Pass Incompletion+7 ydsPPA +2.50

Bronson Barron pass incomplete to Jacob Sharp for a 1ST down NORTH DAKOTA Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Kadon Kauppinen) to the NDKTA 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +0.70

Bronson Barron pass complete to Ty MacPherson for 24 yds to the NDKTA 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Bronson Barron pass complete to Hayden Meacham for 3 yds to the NDKTA 15

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Dontae McMillan run for 2 yds to the NDKTA 13

3rd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.69

Josh Davis run for 11 yds to the NDKTA 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Josh Davis run for 2 yds for a TD, (Kyle Thompson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.30

Dontae McMillan run for 9 yds to the NDKTA 49

2nd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.90

Dontae McMillan run for a loss of 2 yards to the WebSt 49

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

WEBER ST Penalty, false start (George Barrera) to the WebSt 44

3rd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Bronson Barron run for 7 yds to the NDKTA 49

4th & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.18

Cade Peterson run for 6 yds to the WEBERST 47 NORTH DAKOTA Penalty, Defensive holding (Colin Lavell) to the WebSt 47

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Jaden Norby for 2 yds to the NDKTA 38

2nd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.70

Tyler Hoosman run for 9 yds to the NDKTA 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

pass incomplete to Garett Maag

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

pass incomplete to Bo Belquist

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

pass incomplete to Bo Belquist

4th & 3Field Goal Missed+34 yds

Kyle Thompson 34 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Damon Bankston run for 5 yds to the NDKTA 48

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Damon Bankston run for 2 yds to the WebSt 49

3rd & 8Rush+27 ydsPPA +3.16

Damon Bankston run for 27 yds to the NDKTA 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.54

Josh Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDKTA 25

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Josh Davis run for 5 yds to the NDKTA 20

3rd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Josh Davis run for 3 yds to the NDKTA 17

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Tyler Hoosman for 5 yds to the NDKTA 25

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Tyler Hoosman run for 3 yds to the NDKTA 28

3rd & 2Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.70

Tyler Hoosman run for 11 yds to the NDKTA 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete to Jack Wright, broken up by Kamden Garrett

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.05

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Garett Maag for 9 yds to the NDKTA 48

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.23

Quincy Vaughn run for 4 yds to the WebSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.78

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Adam Zavalney for 15 yds to the WebSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion+10 ydsPPA +0.24

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete to Garett Maag for a 1ST down WEBER ST Penalty, illegal use of hands (Sione Lapuaho) to the WebSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Red Wilson for 4 yds to the WebSt 14

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Tyler Hoosman run for 2 yds to the WebSt 12

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Tyler Hoosman run for 1 yd to the WebSt 11

4th & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.93

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Adam Zavalney for 4 yds to the WebSt 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Adam Zavalney 7 Yd pass from Tommy Schuster (Brady Stevens Kick)

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jack Burgess punt for 36 yds

1st & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Jack Wright 4 Yd pass from Tommy Schuster (Brady Stevens Kick)

2nd & 13Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Damon Bankston run for 2 yds to the NDKTA 45

3rd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Josh Davis run for 3 yds to the NDKTA 42

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jack Burgess punt for 26 yds

4th & 21Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.39

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete to Caden Dennis, broken up by Garrett Beck

Situational Analysis

North Dakota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
43%
14 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
57%
7 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
100%
3 plays
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

Weber State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
54%
13 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
20%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
67%
3 plays
80%
5 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
2 plays