Skip to main content
← Back to GamesDec 3, 2022Week 14
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Troy by 9.9

Home Win Probability

Troy 70%

Market (consensus)

Troy -6.5

Edge: Troy -6.5 (3.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Dec 3, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Coastal CarolinaCoastal Carolina
0761326
TroyTroy
171414045

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-010-017-031-031-738-1345-1345-1945-26
TroyCoastal Carolina

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TROCCTROCCTROCCTROCCTROCCTROCCTROCCTROCCTROCCTROCCTROCCTROCCTROFG957ydPUNT37ydTD165ydPUNT54ydTD462ydDOWNS47ydPUNT3-10ydPUNT32ydTD248ydPUNT32ydTD574ydDOWNS838ydPUNT3-9ydTD970ydEND1-1ydTD675ydTD672ydTO1-12ydTD87ydTD1075ydPUNT67ydTD1085ydPUNT34ydTO1084ydEND320yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Coastal Carolina and Troy
StatisticCoastal CarolinaTroy
Passing29-4112-17
Pass Yards319319
Rush Yards11393
Total Yards432412
Turnovers20
3rd Down4-134-11
Penalties7-456-65
Possession32:2227:38

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Coastal Carolina
passing
Grayson McCall
29/41, 319 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Reese White
8 CAR, 44 YDS
receiving
Tyson Mobley
7 REC, 109 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Troy
passing
Gunnar Watson
12/17, 319 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
DK Billingsley
9 CAR, 57 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
RaJae' Johnson
4 REC, 134 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Kimani Vidal run for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.60

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Deyunkrea Lewis for 21 yds to the Troy 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Kimani Vidal run for 1 yd to the Troy 46

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Kimani Vidal run for 1 yd to the Troy 47

3rd & 8Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +3.33

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Tez Johnson for 29 yds to the CCaro 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Kimani Vidal run for 1 yd to the CCaro 23

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

3rd & 9Penalty+5 yds

COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the CCaro 18

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

4th & 4Field Goal Good+35 yds

Brooks Buce 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Grayson McCall pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 4 yds to the CCaro 29

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

CJ Beasley run for 3 yds to the CCaro 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Grayson McCall pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Evan Crenshaw punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Troy 35

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+65 ydsPPA +5.24

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Deshon Stoudemire for 65 yds for a TD (Brooks Buce KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Braydon Bennett run for 5 yds to the CCaro 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.84

Grayson McCall pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 6 yds to the CCaro 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Grayson McCall run for 3 yds to the CCaro 39

2nd & 7Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.35

Grayson McCall pass complete to CJ Beasley for a loss of 4 yards to the CCaro 35

3rd & 11Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.42

Grayson McCall sacked by Will Choloh for a loss of 6 yards to the CCaro 29

4th & 17Punt+10 yds

Evan Crenshaw punt for 43 yds , Orlando Lacey returns for 10 yds to the Troy 38

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.54

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Tez Johnson for 18 yds to the CCaro 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.93

DK Billingsley run for 9 yds to the CCaro 35

2nd & 1Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +0.16

Gunnar Watson pass complete to RaJae' Johnson for 27 yds to the CCaro 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

DK Billingsley run for 8 yds for a TD (Brooks Buce KICK)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-14 ydsPPA -1.28

TEAM run for a loss of 14 yards to the CCaro 11 TEAM fumbled, recovered by CCaro

2nd & 24Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.11

Braydon Bennett run for 11 yds to the CCaro 22

3rd & 13Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.44

Grayson McCall pass complete to Tyson Mobley for 12 yds to the CCaro 34

4th & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.20

Grayson McCall run for a loss of 2 yards to the CCaro 32

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

TROY Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the CCaro 42

1st & 20Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Kimani Vidal run for 1 yd to the CCaro 41

2nd & 19Fumble Recovery (Own)-6 ydsPPA -1.68

Gunnar Watson sacked by Adrian Hope for a loss of 6 yards to the CCaro 48 Gunnar Watson fumbled, recovered by Troy Clayton Ollendieck , return for 0 yards , return for a loss of 1 yard to the CCaro 48

3rd & 26Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.10

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Kimani Vidal for 6 yds to the CCaro 42

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Mike Rivers punt for 34 yds, downed at the CCaro 8

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Reese White run for 1 yd to the CCaro 9

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Grayson McCall pass incomplete

3rd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.06

Grayson McCall run for 1 yd to the CCaro 10

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Evan Crenshaw punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Tez Johnson at the CCaro 48

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.78

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Deshon Stoudemire for 15 yds to the CCaro 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +2.90

DK Billingsley run for 33 yds for a TD (Brooks Buce KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

CJ Beasley run for 2 yds to the CCaro 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Grayson McCall pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Grayson McCall pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt+47 yds

Evan Crenshaw punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Tez Johnson at the TROY 36 TROY Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Troy 26

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Kimani Vidal run for 2 yds to the Troy 28

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Deshon Stoudemire for 19 yds to the Troy 47 TROY Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (-15 Yards) to the Troy 32

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Kimani Vidal run for 1 yd to the Troy 33

4th & 3Passing Touchdown+67 ydsPPA +6.95

Gunnar Watson pass complete to RaJae' Johnson for 67 yds for a TD (Brooks Buce KICK)

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Reese White run for 17 yds to the CCaro 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.95

Reese White run for 11 yds to the Troy 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Reese White run for 3 yds to the Troy 44

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.96

Grayson McCall pass complete to Tyson Mobley for 8 yds to the Troy 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

CJ Beasley run for 5 yds to the Troy 31

2nd & 5Penalty-10 yds

COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Troy 41

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Grayson McCall pass incomplete

3rd & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

CJ Beasley run for 4 yds to the Troy 37

4th & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Grayson McCall pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

DK Billingsley run for 1 yd to the Troy 38

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

DK Billingsley run for no gain to the Troy 38

3rd & 9Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.68

Gunnar Watson sacked by Jerrod Clark for a loss of 10 yards to the Troy 28

4th & 19Punt+7 yds

Mike Rivers punt for 49 yds , Tyson Mobley returns for 7 yds to the CCaro 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Grayson McCall pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 5 yds to the CCaro 35

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Braydon Bennett run for 4 yds to the CCaro 39

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.27

Braydon Bennett run for 4 yds to the CCaro 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.28

Grayson McCall pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 9 yds to the Troy 48

2nd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.04

Braydon Bennett run for 9 yds to the Troy 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +0.57

Grayson McCall pass complete to Tyson Mobley for 23 yds to the Troy 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Grayson McCall pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 6 yds to the Troy 10

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

CJ Beasley run for 2 yds to the Troy 8

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.61

Grayson McCall run for 8 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 24

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.42

CJ Beasley run for 16 yds to the CCaro 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.25

Grayson McCall pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 15 yds to the Troy 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Grayson McCall pass complete to CJ Beasley for 8 yds to the Troy 36

2nd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.38

Grayson McCall run for 8 yds to the Troy 28 COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Troy 38

2nd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.30

Grayson McCall pass complete to Braydon Bennett for 8 yds to the Troy 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +2.81

Grayson McCall pass complete to Jared Brown for 30 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.10

Gunnar Watson sacked by Kennedy Roberts for a loss of 3 yards to the Troy 25

2nd & 13Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.86

Kimani Vidal run for 22 yds to the Troy 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Kimani Vidal run for no gain to the Troy 47

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Kimani Vidal run for 5 yds to the CCaro 48

3rd & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.16

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Tez Johnson for 12 yds to the CCaro 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+36 ydsPPA +3.01

Gunnar Watson pass complete to RaJae' Johnson for 36 yds for a TD (Brooks Buce KICK)

1st & 10Sack-12 ydsPPA -0.92

Grayson McCall sacked by T.J. Jackson for a loss of 12 yards to the CCaro 7 Grayson McCall fumbled, recovered by Troy T.J. Jackson , return for 0 yards

1st & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Kimani Vidal run for 1 yd to the CCaro 6

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

3rd & 6Penalty+4 yds

COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (4 Yards) to the CCaro 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Penalty-5 yds

TROY Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the CCaro 7

1st & 7Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.66

Gunnar Watson sacked by Ja'Quon Griffin for a loss of 4 yards to the CCaro 11

2nd & 11Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.69

Kimani Vidal run for a loss of 4 yards to the CCaro 15

3rd & 15Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Gunnar Watson pass complete to RaJae' Johnson for 4 yds to the CCaro 11

4th & 11Penalty+6 yds

COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, Personal Foul (6 Yards) to the CCaro 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Kimani Vidal run for 2 yds to the CCaro 3

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

DK Billingsley run for 3 yds for a TD (Brooks Buce KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Reese White run for 4 yds to the CCaro 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Grayson McCall pass complete to Jared Brown for 5 yds to the CCaro 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Reese White run for 2 yds to the CCaro 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Reese White run for 3 yds to the CCaro 39

2nd & 7Penalty+15 yds

TROY Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Troy 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.70

Grayson McCall pass complete to Jared Brown for 15 yds to the Troy 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.31

Grayson McCall pass complete to Tyson Mobley for 19 yds to the Troy 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Grayson McCall run for 1 yd to the Troy 11

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Grayson McCall pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Grayson McCall pass incomplete

4th & 9Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +3.50

Grayson McCall pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 11 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

DK Billingsley run for 2 yds to the CCaro 46

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

DK Billingsley run for 3 yds to the CCaro 43

3rd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.64

Kimani Vidal run for 6 yds to the CCaro 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.94

Kimani Vidal run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCaro 38

2nd & 11Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.64

Kimani Vidal run for a loss of 3 yards to the CCaro 41

3rd & 14Rush0 ydsPPA -0.82

Kimani Vidal run for no gain to the CCaro 41

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Mike Rivers punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CCaro 15

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Reese White run for 3 yds to the CCaro 18

2nd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.73

Grayson McCall pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 7 yds to the CCaro 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Grayson McCall pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 8 yds to the CCaro 33

2nd & 2Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.70

Grayson McCall pass complete to Xavier Gravette for 10 yds to the CCaro 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.17

Grayson McCall pass complete to Tyson Mobley for 15 yds to the Troy 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.67

Grayson McCall run for 8 yds to the Troy 34

2nd & 2Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA -0.10

Grayson McCall pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 8 yds to the Troy 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Grayson McCall pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Grayson McCall run for 5 yds to the Troy 21

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +3.14

Grayson McCall pass complete to Tyson Mobley for 21 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.49

Kimani Vidal run for a loss of 2 yards to the CCaro 48

2nd & 12Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.77

Gunnar Watson run for 8 yds to the CCaro 40

3rd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.53

DK Billingsley run for a loss of 2 yards to the CCaro 42

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Mike Rivers punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Tyson Mobley at the CCaro 6

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.56

Grayson McCall pass complete to CJ Beasley for 28 yds to the CCaro 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

TROY Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the CCaro 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.96

Grayson McCall pass complete to Xavier Gravette for 12 yds to the Troy 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Grayson McCall pass complete to Xavier Gravette for 2 yds to the Troy 42

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Grayson McCall run for 4 yds to the Troy 38

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Tyson Mobley

4th & 4Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.47

Grayson McCall pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 13 yds to the Troy 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.15

Grayson McCall pass complete to Tyson Mobley for 11 yds to the Troy 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Grayson McCall pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Grayson McCall pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 4 yds to the Troy 10

3rd & 6Pass Interception Return+5 ydsPPA -4.11

Grayson McCall pass intercepted TJ Harris return for 5 yds to the Troy 9

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.05

Kimani Vidal run for 20 yds to the Troy 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Kimani Vidal run for 1 yd to the Troy 30

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.58

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 29

Situational Analysis

Coastal Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
59%
34 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
50%
6 plays
33%
9 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

Troy

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
36%
22 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
14%
7 plays
50%
6 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
40%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play