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← Back to GamesDec 3, 2022Week 14
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Boise State by 7

Home Win Probability

Boise State 63%

Market (consensus)

Boise State -3

Edge: Boise State -3 (4.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Dec 3, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Fresno StateFresno State
01401428
Boise StateBoise State
063716

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-03-149-149-219-2816-28
Boise StateFresno State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BSFSBSFSBSFSBSFSBSFSBSBSFSBSFSFSBSFSBSFSBSFSBSFSBSFSDOWNS730ydPUNT36ydPUNT519ydPUNT3-4ydPUNT31ydMISS860ydFG1571ydPUNT3-6ydPUNT415ydPUNT624ydTD30ydTO35ydTD317ydDOWNS845ydUncategorized00ydPUNT3-17ydFG824ydPUNT38ydPUNT519ydTD1387ydTO3-3ydTD634ydPUNT36ydPUNT30ydTD464ydEND931yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Fresno State and Boise State
StatisticFresno StateBoise State
Passing17-2717-38
Pass Yards184175
Rush Yards61146
Total Yards245321
Turnovers02
3rd Down5-155-17
Penalties2-205-40
Possession33:3126:29

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Fresno State
passing
Jake Haener
17/27, 184 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Jordan Mims
26 CAR, 83 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Nikko Remigio
5 REC, 68 YDS
defense
Boise State
passing
Taylen Green
17/38, 175 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
George Holani
13 CAR, 74 YDS
receiving
Davis Koetter
5 REC, 93 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

George Holani run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 36

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

George Holani run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 38

3rd & 7Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.33

Taylen Green pass complete to Riley Smith for 22 yds to the FrsSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

BOISE ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FrsSt 45

1st & 15Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.00

George Holani run for 10 yds to the FrsSt 35

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.87

George Holani run for no gain to the FrsSt 35

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Taylen Green pass incomplete to Riley Smith

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.00

Taylen Green pass incomplete to Eric McAlister

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Jordan Mims run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 37

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Jake Haener pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 7 yds to the FrsSt 44

3rd & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.43

Jordan Mims run for a loss of 3 yards to the FrsSt 41

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Carson King punt for 59 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Elelyon Noa run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 27

2nd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.62

George Holani run for 8 yds to the BoiSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

George Holani run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 39

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Taylen Green pass complete to Latrell Caples for 4 yds to the BoiSt 43

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.76

George Holani run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 44

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

BOISE ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the BoiSt 39

4th & 6Punt+10 yds

James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 41 yds , Nikko Remigio returns for 10 yds to the FrsSt 30

1st & 10Pass Reception-10 ydsPPA -1.56

Jake Haener pass complete to Jordan Mims for 5 yds to the FrsSt 35 FRESNO ST Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (-15 Yards) to the FrsSt 20

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Jake Haener pass incomplete to Nikko Remigio

3rd & 20Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.02

Jake Haener pass complete to Jordan Mims for 6 yds to the FrsSt 26

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Carson King punt for 41 yds, downed at the BoiSt 33

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.34

Taylen Green pass complete to Ashton Jeanty for a loss of 3 yards to the BoiSt 30

2nd & 13Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Taylen Green pass complete to Billy Bowens for 4 yds to the BoiSt 34

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Taylen Green pass incomplete to Billy Bowens

4th & 9Punt0 yds

James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Nikko Remigio at the FrsSt 23

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Jordan Mims run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 25

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Jake Haener pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 5 yds to the FrsSt 30

3rd & 3Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.72

Jake Haener pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +1.25

Jake Haener pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 32 yds to the BoiSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Jordan Mims run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 17

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Jake Haener pass incomplete to Mac Dalena

3rd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Jake Haener run for no gain to the BoiSt 17

4th & 9Field Goal Missed+35 yds

Abraham Montano 35 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Ashton Jeanty run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 21

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Taylen Green pass complete to Latrell Caples for 7 yds to the BoiSt 28

3rd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.22

Taylen Green pass complete to Davis Koetter for 6 yds to the BoiSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.72

Ashton Jeanty run for 19 yds to the FrsSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.28

Taylen Green pass complete to Latrell Caples for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 48

2nd & 11Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.93

Taylen Green pass complete to Davis Koetter for 13 yds to the FrsSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Taylen Green pass incomplete to Davis Koetter

2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.03

Taylen Green run for 14 yds to the FrsSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Taylen Green run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 19

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Ashton Jeanty run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 15

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.46

Taylen Green pass complete to Riley Smith for 6 yds to the FrsSt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Taylen Green run for no gain to the FrsSt 9

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Taylen Green pass incomplete to Billy Bowens

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Taylen Green pass incomplete to Eric McAlister

4th & 9Field Goal Good+26 yds

Jonah Dalmas 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Jake Haener pass incomplete to Jalen Moreno-Cropper

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Jake Haener pass incomplete to Jalen Moreno-Cropper

3rd & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.98

Jake Haener sacked by Caleb Biggers for a loss of 6 yards to the FrsSt 41

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Carson King punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Latrell Caples at the BoiSt 26

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.05

George Holani run for 12 yds to the BoiSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Elelyon Noa run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 41

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Taylen Green pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Taylen Green pass incomplete to Latrell Caples

4th & 7Punt+2 yds

James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 49 yds , Nikko Remigio returns for 2 yds to the FrsSt 12

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jordan Mims run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 17

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Jordan Mims run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 20

3rd & 2Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.41

Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Moreno-Cropper for 13 yds to the FrsSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Jordan Mims run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 36

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Jake Haener pass incomplete to Nikko Remigio

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Jake Haener pass incomplete to Nikko Remigio

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Carson King punt for 39 yds , Latrell Caples returns for no gain to the BoiSt 25

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Taylen Green pass incomplete to Billy Bowens

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Taylen Green run for no gain to the BoiSt 25

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Taylen Green pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt+70 yds

James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 45 yds , Nikko Remigio returns for 70 yds for a TD (Abraham Montano KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Ashton Jeanty run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 30

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Ashton Jeanty run for no gain to the BoiSt 30

3rd & 5Pass Interception Return+25 ydsPPA -0.26

Taylen Green pass intercepted Cam Lockridge return for 25 yds to the BoiSt 17

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.38

Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Moreno-Cropper for 10 yds to the BoiSt 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.13

Jordan Mims run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Jordan Mims run for 2 yds for a TD (Abraham Montano KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Taylen Green pass incomplete to Latrell Caples

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.68

George Holani run for 9 yds to the BoiSt 34

3rd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.64

George Holani run for 9 yds to the BoiSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.45

Taylen Green pass complete to Davis Koetter for 21 yds to the FrsSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Taylen Green pass incomplete to Billy Bowens

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Taylen Green pass complete to Billy Bowens for 6 yds to the FrsSt 30

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Taylen Green pass incomplete to Eric McAlister

4th & 4Field Goal Good+47 yds

Jonah Dalmas 47 yd FG GOOD

0th & 4End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

No play data available
1st & 10Pass Reception-6 ydsPPA -1.11

Jake Haener pass complete to Jordan Mims for a loss of 6 yards to the FrsSt 19

2nd & 16Sack-11 ydsPPA -0.21

Jake Haener sacked by Jackson Cravens for a loss of 11 yards to the FrsSt 8

3rd & 27Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.01

Jake Haener pass incomplete to Raymond Pauwels

4th & 27Punt0 yds

Carson King punt for 43 yds, downed at the BoiSt 49

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

George Holani run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 45

2nd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.56

George Holani run for 9 yds to the FrsSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Taylen Green pass complete to Davis Koetter for 1 yd to the FrsSt 35

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.86

Taylen Green pass complete to Billy Bowens for 10 yds to the FrsSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

Ashton Jeanty run for no gain to the FrsSt 25

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Ashton Jeanty run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 22

3rd & 7Penalty-5 yds

BOISE ST Penalty, False Start (Mason Randolph) to the FrsSt 27

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Taylen Green pass incomplete to Eric McAlister

4th & 12Field Goal Good+44 yds

Jonah Dalmas 44 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-9 ydsPPA -1.20

TEAM run for a loss of 9 yards to the FrsSt 16

2nd & 19Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Moreno-Cropper for 5 yds to the FrsSt 21

3rd & 14Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.37

Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Moreno-Cropper for 12 yds to the FrsSt 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Carson King punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Latrell Caples at the BoiSt 36

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Taylen Green pass incomplete to Billy Bowens

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.35

Taylen Green pass complete to Latrell Caples for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Taylen Green run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 46

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Taylen Green run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 45

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Taylen Green pass incomplete to Billy Bowens

4th & 5Punt0 yds

James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Nikko Remigio at the FrsSt 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Jake Haener pass complete to Zane Pope for 7 yds to the FrsSt 20

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Malik Sherrod run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.26

Jake Haener sacked by Herbert Gums for a loss of 9 yards to the FrsSt 17

2nd & 19Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.46

Jake Haener pass complete to Zane Pope for 13 yds to the FrsSt 30

3rd & 6Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.97

Jake Haener pass complete to Jalen Moreno-Cropper for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Malik Sherrod run for no gain to the 50 yard line

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

FRESNO ST Penalty, False Start (Braylen Nelson) to the FrsSt 45

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Jake Haener pass incomplete to Mac Dalena

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Jake Haener pass incomplete to Zane Pope

4th & 15Penalty+15 yds

BOISE ST Penalty, Roughing the Kicker (Jaylen Clark) to the BoiSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jordan Mims run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 35

2nd & 5Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.45

Jordan Mims run for 13 yds to the BoiSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.40

Jordan Mims run for no gain to the BoiSt 22

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Jake Haener pass incomplete to Jalen Moreno-Cropper

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +3.57

Jake Haener pass complete to Zane Pope for 22 yds for a TD (Abraham Montano KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Taylen Green pass incomplete to Riley Smith

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

BOISE ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jack Beresford) to the BoiSt 28

2nd & 20Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.13

Taylen Green pass complete to Riley Smith for 7 yds to the BoiSt 35

3rd & 13Pass Interception Return+21 ydsPPA -0.00

Taylen Green pass intercepted Cam Lockridge return for 21 yds to the BoiSt 34

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.32

Jordan Mims run for 14 yds to the BoiSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jordan Mims run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 15

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.35

Jordan Mims run for 8 yds to the BoiSt 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Jordan Mims run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 6

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Jordan Mims run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 3

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Jordan Mims run for 3 yds for a TD (Abraham Montano KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Taylen Green pass incomplete to Latrell Caples

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Taylen Green pass incomplete to Eric McAlister

3rd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.08

Taylen Green pass complete to Riley Smith for 6 yds to the BoiSt 31

4th & 4Punt0 yds

James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Nikko Remigio at the FrsSt 31

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.24

Jordan Mims run for a loss of 3 yards to the FrsSt 28

2nd & 13Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Jake Haener pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 4 yds to the FrsSt 32

3rd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.31

Jordan Mims run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 31

4th & 10Punt+11 yds

Carson King punt for 44 yds , Latrell Caples returns for 11 yds to the BoiSt 36

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Taylen Green run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 42

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.46

Taylen Green run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 45

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.19

George Holani run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+52 ydsPPA +4.01

Taylen Green pass complete to Davis Koetter for 52 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Jordan Mims run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 38

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Jordan Mims run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 36

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Jordan Mims run for no gain to the BoiSt 36

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.63

Jordan Mims run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.74

Jake Haener pass complete to Zane Pope for 9 yds to the BoiSt 25

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Jordan Mims run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.64

Jake Haener run for 9 yds to the BoiSt 14

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Jordan Mims run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.42

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the BoiSt 14

Situational Analysis

Fresno State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
44%
25 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
33%
6 plays
33%
6 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
100%
1 play
20%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Boise State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
31%
26 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
100%
1 play
17%
6 plays
46%
13 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
33%
6 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play