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← Back to GamesOct 2, 2022Week 5

House Prediction

Model Margin

New Mexico State by 9.8

Home Win Probability

New Mexico State 69%

Market (consensus)

New Mexico State -16

Edge: Florida International +16 (6.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 2, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Florida InternationalFlorida International
7140021
New Mexico StateNew Mexico State
07007

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-77-77-147-21
New Mexico StateFlorida International

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20FINMSFINMSFINMSFINMSFINMSFINMSFINMSFINMSFINMSFIPUNT3-9ydPUNT611ydTD1289ydTD1475ydTD865ydPUNT33ydTD669ydPUNT933ydPUNT38ydPUNT35ydEND1-1ydPUNT516ydPUNT55ydPUNT37ydMISS1040ydMISS953ydPUNT629ydDOWNS741ydEND1244yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Florida International and New Mexico State
StatisticFlorida InternationalNew Mexico State
Passing14-2013-27
Pass Yards182139
Rush Yards15282
Total Yards334221
Turnovers00
3rd Down5-114-14
Penalties5-484-30
Possession29:5030:10

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Florida International
passing
Grayson James
13/19, 175 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Lexington Joseph
14 CAR, 80 YDS
receiving
Tyrese Chambers
6 REC, 72 YDS, 1 TD
defense
New Mexico State
passing
Diego Pavia
8/14, 85 YDS
rushing
Jamoni Jones
12 CAR, 50 YDS
receiving
Bryce Childress
5 REC, 43 YDS
defense
Syrus Dumas
2 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

FLORIDA INTL Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FlaIn 20

1st & 15Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Grayson James pass complete to EJ Wilson Jr. for 3 yds to the FlaIn 23

2nd & 12Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.33

Grayson James sacked by Sterling Webb for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaIn 20

3rd & 15Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.09

Grayson James sacked by Izaiah Reed for a loss of 4 yards to the FlaIn 16

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Daton Montiel punt for 40 yds , Lawrence Dixon returns for no gain to the NMxSt 44

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Jordin Parker run for 2 yds to the NMxSt 46

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jamoni Jones run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 49

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.42

Jamoni Jones run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Jonathan Brady run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 45

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Gavin Frakes pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Gavin Frakes pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Josh Carlson punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Tyrese Chambers at the FlaIn 11

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Grayson James run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 16

2nd & 5Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.84

EJ Wilson Jr. run for 12 yds to the FlaIn 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.80

Jalen Bracey run for no gain to the FlaIn 28

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.90

Grayson James pass complete to Tyrese Chambers for 12 yds to the FlaIn 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

EJ Wilson Jr. run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 44

2nd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.08

Grayson James pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Grayson James run for 7 yds to the NMxSt 43

2nd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.31

Grayson James run for 9 yds to the NMxSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Grayson James pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+32 ydsPPA +2.39

Lexington Joseph run for 32 yds to the NMxSt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.12

Lexington Joseph run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMxSt 4

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Grayson James pass complete to Tyrese Chambers for 4 yds for a TD, (Chase Gabriel KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Gavin Frakes run for 2 yds to the NMxSt 27

2nd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.60

Star Thomas run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMxSt 25

3rd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.98

Gavin Frakes pass complete to Justice Powers for 11 yds to the NMxSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.01

Gavin Frakes pass complete to Bryce Childress for 25 yds to the FlaIn 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Gavin Frakes run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 37

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Star Thomas run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 35

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Star Thomas run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 33

4th & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.02

Gavin Frakes pass complete to Eric Marsh for 10 yds to the FlaIn 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jamoni Jones run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 18

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jamoni Jones run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 14

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.09

Jamoni Jones run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.36

Jamoni Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 13

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Star Thomas run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 10

3rd & 8Penalty+8 yds

FRAKES, Gavin pass up the middle incomplete intended for BRADY, Jonathan thrown to the FIU0. PENALTY FIU Pass Interference on HILL, Demetrius enforced 8 yards to the FIU2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Star Thomas run for 2 yds for a TD, (Brett Money KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

EJ Wilson Jr. run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 39

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Grayson James run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 40

3rd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.92

Grayson James pass complete to Tyrese Chambers for 5 yds to the FlaIn 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.27

Grayson James pass complete to Tyrese Chambers for 19 yds to the NMxSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Grayson James run for 5 yds to the NMxSt 31

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Grayson James run for 6 yds to the NMxSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Grayson James pass incomplete

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +3.15

Grayson James pass complete to Jalen Bracey for 25 yds for a TD, (Chase Gabriel KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NEW MEXICO ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NMxSt 20

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Jamoni Jones run for 1 yd to the NMxSt 21

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Gavin Frakes pass incomplete

3rd & 14Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.07

Jamoni Jones run for 7 yds to the NMxSt 28

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Josh Carlson punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Grayson James run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 34

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Jalen Bracey run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 35

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.03

Dean Patterson pass complete to Dean Patterson for 7 yds to the FlaIn 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.55

Grayson James pass complete to Ross Fournet for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 40

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Grayson James pass incomplete

3rd & 12Passing Touchdown+60 ydsPPA +6.77

Grayson James pass complete to Lexington Joseph for 60 yds for a TD, (Chase Gabriel KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Star Thomas run for 1 yd to the NMxSt 26

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Jonathan Brady run for 2 yds to the NMxSt 28

3rd & 7Penalty+15 yds

FRAKES, Gavin pass to the right incomplete intended for POWERS, Justice thrown to the NMS40. PENALTY FIU Pass Interference on COLE, Adrian enforced 15 yards to the NMS43 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Gavin Frakes pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Jamoni Jones run for 6 yds to the NMxSt 49

3rd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Gavin Frakes pass complete to Bryce Childress for 3 yds to the FlaIn 48

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +2.29

Star Thomas run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Star Thomas run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 42

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Gavin Frakes pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Gavin Frakes pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Josh Carlson punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Tyrese Chambers at the FlaIn 13

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Grayson James pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.18

Grayson James run for no gain to the FlaIn 13

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Daton Montiel punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Lawrence Dixon at the NMxSt 28

3rd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.13

Grayson James run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 21

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Gavin Frakes pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Gavin Frakes pass complete to Bryce Childress for 5 yds to the NMxSt 33

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Gavin Frakes pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt+49 yds

Josh Carlson punt for 49 yds , Tyrese Chambers returns for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 17

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Diego Pavia pass complete to Justice Powers for 6 yds to the NMxSt 31

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.60

Star Thomas run for 5 yds to the NMxSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Diego Pavia run for no gain to the NMxSt 36

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Diego Pavia pass complete to Kordell David for 5 yds to the NMxSt 41

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Diego Pavia pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Josh Carlson punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Dean Patterson at the FlaIn 30

1st & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

EJ Wilson Jr. run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 34

2nd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.02

Grayson James pass complete to Josiah Miamen for 7 yds to the FlaIn 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Grayson James pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Grayson James run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 45

3rd & 6Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.15

Grayson James run for a loss of 5 yards to the FlaIn 40

4th & 11Penalty-5 yds

FLORIDA INTL Penalty, False Start (Andrew Volmar) to the FlaIn 35

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Daton Montiel punt for 64 yds, downed at the NMxSt 1

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Jamoni Jones run for 6 yds to the NMxSt 7

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Diego Pavia pass incomplete

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.12

Diego Pavia run for 1 yd to the NMxSt 8

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Josh Carlson punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Tyrese Chambers at the NMxSt 49

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Grayson James run for 7 yds to the NMxSt 42

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.05

Lexington Joseph run for 3 yds to the NMxSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Lexington Joseph run for 7 yds to the NMxSt 32

2nd & 3Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.09

Lexington Joseph run for 12 yds to the NMxSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Lexington Joseph run for 2 yds to the NMxSt 18

2nd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.94

Grayson James pass complete to Tyrese Chambers for 13 yds to the NMxSt 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Lexington Joseph run for 2 yds to the NMxSt 3

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.48

EJ Wilson Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMxSt 4

3rd & 4Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.71

Grayson James sacked by Chris Ojoh for a loss of 5 yards to the NMxSt 9

4th & 9Field Goal Missed+26 yds

Chase Gabriel 26 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.63

Jamoni Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMxSt 19

2nd & 11Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.29

Diego Pavia run for a loss of 3 yards to the NMxSt 16

3rd & 14Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.75

Diego Pavia pass complete to Justice Powers for 26 yds to the NMxSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Diego Pavia pass complete to Thomaz Whitford for 6 yds to the NMxSt 48

2nd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.81

Diego Pavia pass complete to Chris Bellamy for 9 yds to the FlaIn 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Keegan Davis) to the FlaIn 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NEW MEXICO ST Penalty, False Start (Canaan Yarro) to the FlaIn 33

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Diego Pavia pass incomplete

2nd & 15Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Diego Pavia pass complete to Bryce Childress for 6 yds to the FlaIn 27

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Diego Pavia pass incomplete

4th & 9Field Goal Missed+47 yds

Carson Zilmer 47 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Grayson James run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 28

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

EJ Wilson Jr. run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 30

3rd & 7Penalty+15 yds

JOSEPH, Lexington pass to the left incomplete intended for CHAMBERS, Tyrese thrown to the FIU32. PENALTY NMS Pass Interference on OJOH, Chris enforced 15 yards to the FIU45 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

EJ Wilson Jr. run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.20

Grayson James pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Grayson James pass complete to Jalen Bracey for 4 yds to the NMxSt 46

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.11

Lexington Joseph run for 2 yds to the NMxSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Punt0 yds

Daton Montiel punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Lawrence Dixon at the NMxSt 18

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PAVIA, Diego pass up the middle complete for 13 yards to BELLAMY, Chris caught at the NMS25 and advanced to the NMS31 (VOLMAR, Andrew). PENALTY NMS Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on YARRO, Canaan enforced 5 yards from the NMS18 to the NMS13 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 15Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Diego Pavia pass complete to Bryce Childress for 4 yds to the NMxSt 17

2nd & 11Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.31

Diego Pavia pass complete to Kordell David for 23 yds to the NMxSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.14

Jamoni Jones run for 13 yds to the FlaIn 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Diego Pavia run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 43

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Diego Pavia run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 41

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Diego Pavia pass incomplete

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.54

Diego Pavia pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

EJ Wilson Jr. run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 42

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Lexington Joseph run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 48

3rd & 3Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.35

Grayson James pass complete to Tyrese Chambers for 19 yds to the NMxSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Lexington Joseph run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMxSt 34

2nd & 11Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.52

Lexington Joseph run for 8 yds to the NMxSt 26

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.51

Grayson James run for 3 yds to the NMxSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Lexington Joseph run for 4 yds to the NMxSt 19

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Lexington Joseph run for 4 yds to the NMxSt 15

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Lexington Joseph run for 1 yd to the NMxSt 14

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.56

Grayson James run for 1 yd to the NMxSt 13 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Florida International

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
32%
22 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
75%
4 plays
63%
8 plays
56%
9 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
2 plays

New Mexico State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
33%
18 plays
0%
3 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
44%
9 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
0%
6 plays
25%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays