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← Back to GamesSep 11, 2022Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

UTEP by 15.9

Home Win Probability

UTEP 84%

Market (consensus)

UTEP -17.5

Edge: New Mexico State +17.5 (1.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 11, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
New Mexico StateNew Mexico State
006713
UTEPUTEP
3143020

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142810-017-017-620-13
UTEPNew Mexico State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20UTENMSUTENMSUTENMSUTEUTENMSNMSUTENMSUTENMSNMSNMSNMSUTEUTENMSUTENMSUTENMSUTEFG1763ydTO649ydTO572ydPUNT35ydPUNT624ydPUNT30ydTD765ydTD122ydTO2-1ydPUNT34ydPUNT3-13ydPUNT4-7ydPUNT38ydEND24ydTD114ydPUNT36ydPUNT621ydPUNT3-10ydPUNT30ydMISS846ydFG852ydTD1675ydPUNT37ydTO1460ydUncategorized10yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing New Mexico State and UTEP
StatisticNew Mexico StateUTEP
Passing8-2513-27
Pass Yards111166
Rush Yards187108
Total Yards298274
Turnovers32
3rd Down4-143-12
Penalties7-855-55
Possession31:4228:18

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

New Mexico State
passing
Diego Pavia
7/20, 100 YDS
rushing
Diego Pavia
15 CAR, 69 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Star Thomas
2 REC, 50 YDS
defense
Chris Ojoh
0.5 TFL
UTEP
passing
Gavin Hardison
13/27, 166 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Ronald Awatt
21 CAR, 115 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Tyrin Smith
5 REC, 64 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Gavin Hardison run for 9 yds to the UTEP 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Ronald Awatt run for 2 yds to the UTEP 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Ronald Awatt run for 2 yds to the UTEP 38

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.81
3rd & 8Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +3.30

Gavin Hardison pass complete to Trent Thompson for 20 yds to the NMxSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Ronald Awatt run for 7 yds to the NMxSt 35

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Reynaldo Flores, broken up by BJ Sculark

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.84

Ronald Awatt run for 3 yds to the NMxSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Gavin Hardison run for 4 yds to the NMxSt 28

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Deion Hankins run for 4 yds to the NMxSt 24

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.88

Ronald Awatt run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMxSt 25

4th & 3Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.33

Gavin Hardison pass complete to Reynaldo Flores for 12 yds to the NMxSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Ronald Awatt run for 1 yd to the NMxSt 12

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Reynaldo Flores

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

pass incomplete to Kelly Akharaiyi

4th & 9Field Goal Good+29 yds

Gavin Baechle 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

pass incomplete to Tyrin Smith

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Gavin Frakes pass incomplete to Jamoni Jones, broken up by Blake Thompson

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jamoni Jones run for 3 yds to the NMxSt 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.52

Gavin Frakes pass complete to Ahmonte Watkins for 11 yds to the NMxSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+36 ydsPPA +2.15

Jonathan Brady run for 36 yds to the UTEP 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-15 ydsPPA -3.07

Gavin Frakes pass complete to Jamoni Jones NEW MEXICO ST Penalty, personal foul (Canaan Yarro) to the UTEP 40

1st & 25Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.52

Jonathan Brady run for 14 yds to the UTEP 26

1st & 7Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-2 ydsPPA -4.80

Deion Hankins run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMxSt 9 Deion Hankins fumbled, recovered by NMxSt Lazarus Williams

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.15

Gavin Hardison pass complete to James Tupou for 10 yds to the UTEP 31 NEW MEXICO ST Penalty, personal foul (Tyriece Thomas) to the UTEP 46

1st & 10Rush+36 ydsPPA +1.59

Ronald Awatt run for 36 yds to the NMxSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Ronald Awatt run for 7 yds to the NMxSt 11

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.09

Deion Hankins run for 4 yds to the NMxSt 7 for a 1ST down

4th & 5Punt+63 yds

Josh Carlson punt for 53 yds UTEP Penalty, Offensive holding (Jalen Joseph) to the UTEP 23

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jamoni Jones run for 5 yds to the NMxSt 14

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

pass incomplete to Jamoni Jones

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

pass incomplete to Jamoni Jones

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.97

Gavin Hardison pass complete to Reynaldo Flores for 12 yds to the UTEP 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

UTEP Penalty, false start (Jeremiah Byers) to the UTEP 30

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

pass incomplete to Tyrin Smith

2nd & 15Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.61

Gavin Hardison pass complete to Ronald Awatt for 15 yds to the UTEP 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Ronald Awatt run for 6 yds to the NMxSt 49

2nd & 4Rush-4 ydsPPA -2.11

Ronald Awatt run for a loss of 4 yards to the UTEP 47

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

pass incomplete to Tyrin Smith

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Joshua Sloan punt for 48 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Ahmonte Watkins run for 1 yd to the NMxSt 6

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.17

Ahmonte Watkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMxSt 5

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Gavin Frakes pass incomplete to Jonathan Brady, broken up by Tyrice Knight

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Josh Carlson punt for 45 yds , Marcus Bellon returns for no gain to the UTEP 5 UTEP Penalty, illegal block (Ilijah Johnson) to the UTEP 35

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Ronald Awatt run for 2 yds to the UTEP 37

2nd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.11

Gavin Hardison pass complete to James Tupou for 14 yds to the NMxSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.97

Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 20 yds to the NMxSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53
2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Ronald Awatt run for 5 yds to the NMxSt 24

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +0.85

Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Reynaldo Flores for a 1ST down NEW MEXICO ST Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Linwood Crump) to the NMxSt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Tyrin Smith 9 Yd pass from Gavin Hardison (Gavin Baechle Kick)

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.65

Ronald Awatt 22 Yd Run (Gavin Baechle Kick)

2nd & 11Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-2 ydsPPA -0.12

Star Thomas run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMxSt 22 Star Thomas fumbled, recovered by UTEP James Neal

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Gavin Frakes run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMxSt 24 Gavin Frakes fumbled, recovered by NMxSt

4th & 6Punt+1 yds

Josh Carlson punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UTEP 25 , Marcus Bellon returns for 1 yd to the UTEP 25

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Diego Pavia run for 4 yds to the NMxSt 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Diego Pavia pass incomplete to Kordell David, broken up by Ilijah Johnson

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Diego Pavia pass incomplete to Justice Powers, broken up by Ilijah Johnson

4th & 23Punt0 yds

Joshua Sloan punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Tyrin Smith, broken up by Dylan Early

3rd & 23Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.02

pass incomplete to Jeremiah Ballard

2nd & 20Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Jamoni Jones run for 3 yds to the NMxSt 38

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Josh Carlson punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion-10 ydsPPA -2.66

Diego Pavia pass incomplete to Jonathan Brady NEW MEXICO ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Isaiah Mursalat) to the NMxSt 35

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

pass incomplete to Jordin Parker

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Joshua Sloan punt for 64 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Ronald Awatt run for 2 yds to the UTEP 30

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Ronald Awatt run for 5 yds to the UTEP 35

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Ronald Awatt run for 1 yd to the UTEP 36

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Star Thomas run for 4 yds to the NMxSt 24

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51
1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.55

Diego Pavia run for 14 yds for a TD, (Ethan Albertson PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Star Thomas run for 8 yds to the NMxSt 38

2nd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.65

Ahmonte Watkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMxSt 36

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

pass incomplete to Star Thomas

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Josh Carlson punt for 41 yds

4th & 10Punt+1 yds

Josh Carlson punt for 41 yds , Marcus Bellon returns for 1 yd to the UTEP 14

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jamoni Jones run for 3 yds to the NMxSt 28

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Diego Pavia run for 3 yds to the NMxSt 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +2.43

Diego Pavia pass incomplete to Jamoni Jones for a 1ST down UTEP Penalty, personal foul (Ty'Reke James) to the NMxSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Diego Pavia run for 1 yd to the NMxSt 47

2nd & 9Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.85

Diego Pavia sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the NMxSt 40

3rd & 16Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.10

Diego Pavia run for 6 yds to the NMxSt 46

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Joshua Sloan punt for 55 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

pass incomplete to Reynaldo Flores

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Ronald Awatt run for 1 yd to the UTEP 26

3rd & 9Sack-11 ydsPPA -0.32

Gavin Hardison sacked for a loss of 11 yards to the UTEP 15

4th & 10Punt+43 yds

Joshua Sloan punt for 43 yds NEW MEXICO ST Penalty, roughing kicker (Keyshaun Elliott) to the NMxSt 34

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

pass incomplete to Zach Fryar

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

pass incomplete to Tyrin Smith

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Gavin Hardison pass incomplete to Tyrin Smith, broken up by Andre Seldon

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+37 yds

Ethan Albertson 37 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NEW MEXICO ST Penalty, false start (Dominic Gicinto) to the NMxSt 29

1st & 15Pass Incompletion-10 ydsPPA -0.95

Diego Pavia pass incomplete to Jamoni Jones NEW MEXICO ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Gabriel Preciado) to the NMxSt 19

1st & 25Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +4.16

Diego Pavia pass complete to Star Thomas for 44 yds to the UTEP 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+31 ydsPPA +1.00

Diego Pavia run for 31 yds to the UTEP 32

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.30

Star Thomas run for 9 yds to the UTEP 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Diego Pavia run for 3 yds to the UTEP 20

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Diego Pavia pass incomplete to Justice Powers, broken up by Ty'Reke James

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

pass incomplete to Kordell David

3rd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.61

Ronald Awatt run for a loss of 3 yards to the NMxSt 28

4th & 8Field Goal Good+46 yds

Gavin Baechle 46 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

pass incomplete to Tyrin Smith

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Gavin Hardison pass complete to Reynaldo Flores for 5 yds to the NMxSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -1.37

Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for a loss of 5 yards to the NMxSt 35

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.52

Ronald Awatt run for 13 yds to the UTEP 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Ahmonte Watkins run for 1 yd to the NMxSt 26

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Diego Pavia run for 4 yds to the NMxSt 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.49

Diego Pavia pass complete to Chris Bellamy for 5 yds to the NMxSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Star Thomas run for 2 yds to the NMxSt 37

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Star Thomas run for 3 yds to the NMxSt 40

3rd & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.51

Diego Pavia pass complete to Chris Bellamy for 12 yds to the UTEP 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

pass incomplete to Terrell Warner

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Star Thomas run for 2 yds to the UTEP 46

3rd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.52

Diego Pavia pass complete to Jamoni Jones for 14 yds to the UTEP 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jamoni Jones run for 5 yds to the UTEP 27

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Diego Pavia run for 2 yds to the UTEP 25

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Jamoni Jones run for 1 yd to the UTEP 24

4th & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.06

Jamoni Jones run for 3 yds to the UTEP 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.12

Star Thomas run for 11 yds to the UTEP 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.34

Diego Pavia run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 11

2nd & 11Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.86

Diego Pavia run for 11 yds for a TD, (Ethan Albertson KICK)

4th & 3Punt+4 yds

Joshua Sloan punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NMxSt 27 , Lawrence Dixon returns for 4 yds to the NMxSt 27

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

pass incomplete to Reynaldo Flores

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Ronald Awatt run for 3 yds to the UTEP 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 4 yds to the UTEP 32

4th & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.03

Diego Pavia pass complete to Jonathan Brady for 8 yds to the UTEP 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

pass incomplete to Kordell David

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Diego Pavia pass incomplete to Grant Oberheu

3rd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.16

Diego Pavia pass complete to Jonathan Brady for 11 yds to the UTEP 13 for a 1ST down

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

pass incomplete to Kordell David

3rd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-1 ydsPPA -3.83

Diego Pavia run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 14 Diego Pavia fumbled, recovered by UTEP Cal Wallerstedt

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Star Thomas run for 3 yds to the NMxSt 30

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.20

Star Thomas run for 7 yds to the NMxSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.00

Diego Pavia run for 11 yds to the UTEP 48 UTEP Penalty, personal foul (Tyrice Knight) to the UTEP 37

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Diego Pavia pass incomplete to Star Thomas

2nd & 10Rush-15 ydsPPA -3.24

NEW MEXICO ST Penalty, personal foul (Shiyazh Pete) to the NMxSt 48

2nd & 25Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Diego Pavia pass complete to Star Thomas for 6 yds to the UTEP 46

3rd & 19Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.77

Diego Pavia run for 14 yds to the UTEP 32

0th & 10End of Regulation0 yds

End of 4th Quarter

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.52

Ronald Awatt run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 14

Situational Analysis

New Mexico State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
32%
25 plays
50%
4 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
20%
5 plays
17%
12 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
50%
6 plays
40%
5 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

UTEP

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
40%
25 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
50%
10 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
50%
4 plays
100%
1 play
14%
7 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play