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← Back to GamesAug 27, 2022Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Western Kentucky by 13.1

Home Win Probability

Western Kentucky 77%

Market (consensus)

Western Kentucky -32.5

Edge: Austin Peay +32.5 (19.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Aug 27, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Austin Peay
1073727
Western KentuckyWestern Kentucky
71401738

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-314-1021-1721-2035-2038-27
Western KentuckyAustin Peay

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20WKAPWKAPWKAPWKAPWKAPWKAPAPWKAPWKAPWKAPWKAPWKAPWKAPWKWKPUNT519ydTO3-3ydTD751ydFG1251ydPUNT33ydTD783ydTD875ydPUNT35ydPUNT3-13ydPUNT611ydPUNT39ydTD10ydTD1160ydEND16ydPUNT38ydPUNT33ydFG79ydPUNT34ydPUNT815ydTD771ydTO426ydTD351ydPUNT33ydTO333ydTD385ydFG1170ydEND621yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Austin Peay and Western Kentucky
StatisticAustin PeayWestern Kentucky
Passing15-2120-34
Pass Yards156279
Rush Yards171108
Total Yards327387
Turnovers41
3rd Down7-185-14
Penalties8-608-86
Possession32:3927:31

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Austin Peay
passing
Mike Diliello
15/21, 156 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Joshua Samuel
20 CAR, 77 YDS
receiving
Drae McCray
6 REC, 90 YDS, 2 TD
defense
Western Kentucky
passing
Austin Reed
20/34, 279 YDS, 4 TD, 1 INT
rushing
receiving
Daewood Davis
6 REC, 124 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for 6 yds to the WKent 31

2nd & 4Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.18

Jakairi Moses run for 11 yds to the WKent 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Jakairi Moses run for 2 yds to the WKent 44

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Austin Reed pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Austin Reed pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Tom Ellard punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception-6 ydsPPA -0.78

Mike Diliello pass complete to Kam Thomas for a loss of 6 yards to the APeay 12

2nd & 16Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.04

CJ Evans Jr. run for 3 yds to the APeay 15

3rd & 13Interception0 ydsPPA +0.31

Mike Diliello pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.91

Daewood Davis run for 15 yds to the APeay 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Austin Reed pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Jakairi Moses run for 5 yds to the APeay 31

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Austin Reed pass incomplete

4th & 5Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.05

Austin Reed pass complete to Daewood Davis for 15 yds to the APeay 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Jakairi Moses run for no gain to the APeay 16

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.90

Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for 16 yds for a TD, (Brayden Narveson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

CJ Evans Jr. run for 3 yds to the APeay 28

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Mike Diliello run for 3 yds to the APeay 31

3rd & 4Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.60

Drae McCray run for 17 yds to the APeay 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.88

Mike Diliello pass complete to Drae McCray for 8 yds to the WKent 44

2nd & 2Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.12

Mike Diliello pass complete to Trey Goodman for 8 yds to the WKent 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.40

Mike Diliello run for 7 yds to the WKent 29

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Josh Samuel run for 1 yd to the WKent 28

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Mike Diliello run for 7 yds to the WKent 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Josh Samuel run for 4 yds to the WKent 17

2nd & 6Penalty0 yds

AUSTINPEAY Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Mike Diliello) to the WKent 28

3rd & 17Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Mike Diliello pass complete to Josh Samuel for 4 yds to the WKent 24

4th & 13Field Goal Good+41 yds

Maddux Trujillo 41 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.10

Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 28

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Austin Reed pass incomplete

3rd & 12Penalty+5 yds

REED, Austin pass to the right complete for 10 yards to CORLEY, Malachi caught at the WKU38 and advanced to the WKU38 (SMITH, Devin), out of bounds. PENALTY APS Offsides enforced 5 yards from the WKU28 to the WKU33 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Austin Reed pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Tom Ellard punt for 50 yds, downed at the APeay 17

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.48

Mike Diliello run for 20 yds to the APeay 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Mike Diliello pass complete to Drae McCray for 7 yds to the APeay 44

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.28

Josh Samuel run for no gain to the APeay 44

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.62

Josh Samuel run for 4 yds to the APeay 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Josh Samuel run for 7 yds to the WKent 45

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Josh Samuel run for 1 yd to the WKent 44

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+44 ydsPPA +4.32

Drae McCray 44 Yd pass from Mike DiLiello (Maddux Trujillo Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 4 yds to the WKent 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Austin Reed pass complete to Daewood Davis for 4 yds to the WKent 33

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.44

Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 6 yds to the WKent 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 3 yds to the WKent 42

2nd & 7Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.99

Austin Reed pass complete to Michael Mathison for no gain to the WKent 42

3rd & 7Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.46

Austin Reed pass complete to Daewood Davis for 28 yds to the APeay 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.29

Austin Reed pass complete to Davion Ervin-Poindexter for 19 yds to the APeay 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for 11 yds for a TD, (Brayden Narveson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Mike Diliello run for 2 yds to the APeay 24

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Mike Diliello pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Mike Diliello pass complete to Josh Samuel for 3 yds to the APeay 27

4th & 5Punt+19 yds

Matt Rigney punt for 43 yds , Upton Stout returns for 19 yds to the WKent 49

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Austin Reed pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-15 yds

ROBICHAUX, Kye rush to the right for a gain of 5 yards to the APS46 (RUDOLPH, Joshua;CASELBERRY, Ethan). PENALTY WKU Tripping on GOODE, Mark enforced 15 yards from the WKU49 to the WKU34 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 25Rush-8 ydsPPA -0.25

Jakairi Moses run for a loss of 8 yards to the WKent 26

3rd & 33Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.05

Kye Robichaux run for 10 yds to the WKent 36

4th & 23Punt0 yds

Tom Ellard punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

James Burns run for no gain to the APeay 43

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Mike Diliello run for 8 yds to the WKent 49

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.45

CJ Evans Jr. run for 6 yds to the WKent 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.16

Mike Diliello sacked by JaQues Evans for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 44

2nd & 11Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.05

Mike Diliello pass complete to Drae McCray for no gain to the WKent 44

3rd & 11Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.10

Mike Diliello sacked by Lorenzo Hernandez and JaQues Evans for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 46

4th & 13Punt+12 yds

Matt Rigney punt for 39 yds , Upton Stout returns for 12 yds to the WKent 19

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Kye Robichaux run for 5 yds to the WKent 24

2nd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Austin Reed pass complete to Kye Robichaux for 3 yds to the WKent 27

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.38

Kye Robichaux run for 1 yd to the WKent 28

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Tom Ellard punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Kam Thomas at the APeay 32

1st & 10Interception Return Touchdown+34 ydsPPA -8.48

Upton Stout 34 Yd Interception Return (Brayden Narveson Kick)

0th & 0Penalty-5 yds

MUNSON, Cory kickoff 62 yards from the WKU35 to the APS3, BURNS, James return 7 yards to the APS10 (DAVIS, Daewood). PENALTY WKU Offsides enforced 5 yards from the WKU35 to the WKU30. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Josh Samuel run for 5 yds to the APeay 45

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.70

Josh Samuel run for 2 yds to the APeay 47

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.66

Mike Diliello run for 5 yds to the WKent 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Josh Samuel run for 1 yd to the WKent 47

2nd & 9Rush+24 ydsPPA +1.86

Josh Samuel run for 24 yds to the WKent 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Josh Samuel run for 2 yds to the WKent 21

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.27

Mike Diliello run for 7 yds to the WKent 14

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.47

Josh Samuel run for no gain to the WKent 14

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.56

Mike Diliello run for 1 yd to the WKent 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+11 yds

DILIELLO, Mike pass to the right incomplete intended for MCCRAY, Drae broken up by BAKER, Desmyn at the WKU0. PENALTY WKU Pass Interference on BAKER, Desmyn enforced at the spot of the foul for 11 yards to the WKU2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Josh Samuel run for 1 yd to the WKent 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Mike DiLiello 1 Yd Run (Maddux Trujillo Kick)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Jakairi Moses run for 6 yds to the WKent 31

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

CJ Evans Jr. run for 3 yds to the APeay 28

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

CJ Evans Jr. run for 2 yds to the APeay 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Mike Diliello pass complete to Trey Goodman for 3 yds to the APeay 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Matt Rigney punt for 45 yds, downed at the WKent 22

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Austin Reed pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for 3 yds to the WKent 25

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Austin Reed pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt+33 yds

Tom Ellard punt for 49 yds , Kam Thomas returns for 33 yds to the WKent 41

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Mike Diliello pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+5 yds

EVANS, CJ rush up the middle for a gain of 1 yard to the WKU40 (HAILASSIE, Kahlef). PENALTY WKU Offsides on EVANS, JaQues enforced 5 yards from the WKU41 to the WKU36 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

CJ Evans Jr. run for 4 yds to the WKent 32

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.43

Josh Samuel run for 2 yds to the WKent 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Mike Diliello pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.41

Mike Diliello run for 2 yds to the WKent 28

3rd & 8Penalty-10 yds

DILIELLO, Mike pass to the right incomplete intended for BURNS, James broken up by HAILASSIE, Kahlef at the WKU24; QB hurried by THOMPSON, Terrion. PENALTY APS Holding on WRIGHT, Isaiah enforced 10 yards from the WKU28 to the WKU38 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 18Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Mike Diliello pass complete to James Burns for 6 yds to the WKent 32

4th & 12Field Goal Good+49 yds

Maddux Trujillo 49 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 1 yd to the WKent 26

2nd & 9Penalty0 yds

REED, Austin pass to the right complete for 3 yards to MATHISON, Michael caught at the WKU28 and advanced to the WKU29 (CASELBERRY, Ethan). PENALTY Before the snap, APS Illegal Substitution enforced 0 yards from the WKU30 to the WKU30. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 4 yds to the WKent 34

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for no gain to the WKent 34

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the WKent 29

4th & 6Punt+61 yds

Tom Ellard punt for 61 yds , Kam Thomas returns for a loss of 1 yard to the APeay 9

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.55

Josh Samuel run for 13 yds to the APeay 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Mike Diliello pass complete to James Burns for 6 yds to the APeay 28

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Josh Samuel run for 2 yds to the APeay 30

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Josh Samuel run for 1 yd to the APeay 31

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.47

Josh Samuel run for 2 yds to the APeay 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Josh Samuel run for no gain to the APeay 33

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

AUSTINPEAY Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the APeay 23

2nd & 20Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.09

CJ Evans Jr. run for 7 yds to the APeay 30

3rd & 13Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.25

Mike Diliello sacked by Kahlef Hailassie for a loss of 6 yards to the APeay 24

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Matt Rigney punt for 47 yds , Craig Burt Jr. returns for no gain to the WKent 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.92

Austin Reed pass complete to Daewood Davis for 10 yds to the WKent 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Kye Robichaux run for 2 yds to the WKent 41

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Austin Reed pass complete to Michael Mathison for 6 yds to the WKent 47

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.57

Austin Reed run for 6 yds to the APeay 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Austin Reed pass complete to Michael Mathison for 7 yds to the APeay 40

2nd & 3Penalty+15 yds

REED, Austin pass to the left incomplete intended for CORLEY, Malachi thrown to the APS5. PENALTY APS Pass Interference on RUFFIN, Kam enforced 15 yards to the APS25 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

Kye Robichaux run for no gain to the APeay 25

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +3.15

Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for 25 yds for a TD, (Brayden Narveson KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Personal Foul (Darius Shipp) to the WKent 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

CJ Evans Jr. run for 2 yds to the WKent 42

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Mike Diliello pass incomplete

3rd & 8Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-7 ydsPPA -2.00

Mike Diliello run for a loss of 7 yards to the WKent 49 Mike Diliello fumbled, recovered by WKent Aaron Key

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Austin Reed pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Jakairi Moses run for 3 yds to the APeay 48

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+48 ydsPPA +5.45

Austin Reed pass complete to Daewood Davis for 48 yds for a TD, (Brayden Narveson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Josh Samuel run for 5 yds to the APeay 40

2nd & 5Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.72

Mike Diliello sacked by Terrion Thompson for a loss of 5 yards to the APeay 35

3rd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Mike Diliello pass complete to Trey Goodman for 3 yds to the APeay 38

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Matt Rigney punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Craig Burt Jr. at the WKent 27

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Jakairi Moses run for 3 yds to the WKent 30

2nd & 7Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +3.06

Austin Reed pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 30 yds to the APeay 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -3.81

Austin Reed pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Mike Diliello pass complete to Drae McCray for 7 yds to the APeay 22

2nd & 3Penalty+15 yds

WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Personal Foul (Tre Shaw) to the WKent 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.68

Drae McCray 24 Yd pass from Mike DiLiello (Maddux Trujillo Kick)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 9 yds to the WKent 34

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 2 yds to the WKent 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.67

Austin Reed pass complete to Daewood Davis for 19 yds to the APeay 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Austin Reed pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.73

Austin Reed pass complete to Craig Burt Jr. for 18 yds to the APeay 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Austin Reed pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Austin Reed pass incomplete

3rd & 10Penalty0 yds

REED, Austin pass up the middle incomplete intended for HALL, Jaylen broken up by RUFFIN, Kam at the APS0. PENALTY APS Pass Interference on RUFFIN, Kam enforced half the distance from the goal, 15 yards to the APS12 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.36

Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for a loss of 1 yard to the APeay 13

2nd & 11Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.24

Austin Reed pass complete to Michael Mathison for 8 yds to the APeay 5

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Austin Reed run for no gain to the APeay 5

4th & 3Field Goal Good+23 yds

Brayden Narveson 23 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Cory Munson kickoff for 62 yds , Drae McCray return for 24 yds to the APeay 27 Drae McCray fumbled, recovered by APeay Ethan Caselberry , return for no gain to the APeay 27 , return for no gain to the APeay 27

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 3 yds to the APeay 24

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 2 yds to the APeay 22

3rd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.64

Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 9 yds to the APeay 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 4 yds to the APeay 9

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 5 yds to the APeay 4

Situational Analysis

Austin Peay

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
44%
25 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
0%
4 plays
38%
8 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
75%
8 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
4th
100%
2 plays

Western Kentucky

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
34%
29 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
40%
5 plays
50%
12 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
40%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play