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← Back to GamesNov 19, 2022Week 12
UL MonroeUL Monroe
16
-Final
34
TroyTroy
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Troy by 22.3

Home Win Probability

Troy 90%

Market (consensus)

Troy -15

Edge: Troy -15 (7.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 19, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
UL MonroeUL Monroe
037616
TroyTroy
3177734

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-06-020-327-1034-1034-16
TroyUL Monroe

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TROUMTROUMTROUMTROUMUMUMTROUMTROUMTROUMTROUMPUNT1130ydPUNT30ydFG933ydPUNT38ydFG1158ydDOWNS1038ydTD663ydTD2-12ydFG1165ydPUNT3-2ydTD245ydTD1182ydDOWNS1350ydDOWNS516ydTD754ydTD1475ydPUNT32ydEND18yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing UL Monroe and Troy
StatisticUL MonroeTroy
Passing17-2910-17
Pass Yards14578
Rush Yards83264
Total Yards228342
Turnovers10
3rd Down7-136-12
Penalties7-5311-120
Possession27:1832:42

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

UL Monroe
passing
Chandler Rogers
17/28, 145 YDS
rushing
Chandler Rogers
18 CAR, 44 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Tyrone Howell
1 REC, 34 YDS
defense
Troy
passing
Gunnar Watson
10/17, 78 YDS
rushing
Kimani Vidal
29 CAR, 242 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Tez Johnson
6 REC, 42 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+25 yds

Calum Sutherland kickoff for 62 yds , Jamontez Woods return for 25 yds to the Troy 28

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.39

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Tez Johnson for 15 yds to the Troy 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Kimani Vidal run for 6 yds to the Troy 49

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.99

Kimani Vidal run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.65

Gunnar Watson run for 6 yds to the LaMon 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Peyton Higgins for 4 yds to the LaMon 40

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

4th & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +2.67

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Tez Johnson for 6 yds to the LaMon 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Kimani Vidal run for 3 yds to the LaMon 31

2nd & 7Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Tez Johnson for 1 yd to the LaMon 30

3rd & 6Sack-12 ydsPPA -3.05

Gunnar Watson sacked by Lu Tillery for a loss of 12 yards to the LaMon 42

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Mike Rivers punt for 34 yds, downed at the LaMon 8

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Chandler Rogers run for 3 yds to the LaMon 11

2nd & 7Penalty-2 yds

JACKSON, Malik rush to the right for a gain of 2 yards to the ULM13 (FLETCHER, O'shai). PENALTY ULM Holding on FRETT, Jevin enforced half the distance from the goal, 5 yards from the ULM11 to the ULM6 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.06

Malik Jackson run for 2 yds to the LaMon 8

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Chandler Rogers pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt+15 yds

Devyn McCormick punt for 57 yds , Tez Johnson returns for 15 yds to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Kimani Vidal run for 2 yds to the LaMon 48

2nd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.42

Gunnar Watson pass complete to RaJae' Johnson for 11 yds to the LaMon 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Kimani Vidal run for 1 yd to the LaMon 36

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.89

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Deshon Stoudemire for 13 yds to the LaMon 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.63

Kimani Vidal run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaMon 25

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.49

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Tez Johnson for 8 yds to the LaMon 17

4th & 4Field Goal Good+35 yds

Brooks Buce 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Chandler Rogers run for 1 yd to the LaMon 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Chandler Rogers pass complete to Andrew Henry for 7 yds to the LaMon 33

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Chandler Rogers pass incomplete

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Devyn McCormick punt for 53 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.43

DK Billingsley run for 9 yds to the Troy 23

3rd & 1Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Tez Johnson for 8 yds to the Troy 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.89

Gunnar Watson run for no gain to the Troy 31

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

DK Billingsley run for 3 yds to the Troy 34

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.15

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Deshon Stoudemire for 8 yds to the Troy 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

TROY Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the LaMon 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

WATSON, Gunnar pass to the right intercepted by VIGERS, Car'lin at the ULM30 intended for JOHNSON, Tez. Vigers return for 0 yards to the ULM30, End of Play, clock 13:21. PENALTY ULM Unnecessary Roughness on SNYDER, Kenard enforced 15 yards from the ULM37 to the ULM22 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush-10 ydsPPA -1.81

Jamontez Woods run for a loss of 10 yards to the LaMon 32

2nd & 20Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Gunnar Watson pass complete to Tez Johnson for 4 yds to the LaMon 28

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

4th & 16Field Goal Good+45 yds

Brooks Buce 45 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Malik Jackson run for 1 yd to the LaMon 26

2nd & 9Penalty+10 yds

ROGERS, Chandler scrambles to the right for no gain, ROGERS, Chandler fumbled at ULM26 forced by STEWARD, Reddy out of bounds to the ULM26. PENALTY TRO Holding on HARRIS, TJ enforced 10 yards from the ULM26 to the ULM36 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Alred Luke run for 3 yds to the LaMon 39

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.47

Chandler Rogers pass complete to Boogie Knight for 8 yds to the LaMon 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Malik Jackson run for 2 yds to the LaMon 49

2nd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Chandler Rogers pass complete to Malik Jackson for 3 yds to the Troy 48

3rd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.88

Chandler Rogers run for 6 yds to the Troy 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.81

Chandler Rogers sacked by Will Choloh for a loss of 9 yards to the LaMon 49

2nd & 19Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Chandler Rogers pass complete to Andrew Henry for 4 yds to the Troy 47

3rd & 15Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.03

Chandler Rogers run for 10 yds to the Troy 37

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.80

Chandler Rogers pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Kimani Vidal run for 8 yds to the Troy 45

2nd & 2Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.87

Kimani Vidal run for 16 yds to the LaMon 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.40

Kimani Vidal run for 12 yds to the LaMon 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Kimani Vidal run for 7 yds to the LaMon 20

2nd & 3Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.47

Kimani Vidal run for 19 yds to the LaMon 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Penalty0 yds

UL MONROE Penalty, Offsides (Caleb Thomas) to the LaMon 1

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

DK Billingsley run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brooks Buce KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Chandler Rogers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Fumble Return Touchdown+13 ydsPPA -7.22

Antonio Showers 13 Yd Fumble Return (Brooks Buce Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Chandler Rogers pass complete to Malik Jackson for 6 yds to the LaMon 31

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.60

Chandler Rogers run for 5 yds to the LaMon 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

UL MONROE Penalty, False Start (Jevin Frett) to the LaMon 31

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Chandler Rogers pass incomplete

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.31

Chandler Rogers sacked by Javon Solomon for a loss of 8 yards to the Troy 43

2nd & 18Penalty-5 yds

UL MONROE Penalty, False Start (Victor Cutler) to the Troy 48

2nd & 23Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Chandler Rogers pass complete to Alred Luke for 4 yds to the Troy 44

3rd & 19Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +3.84

Chandler Rogers pass complete to Tyrone Howell for 34 yds to the Troy 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Chandler Rogers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Chandler Rogers pass incomplete

2nd & 15Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Chandler Rogers pass complete to Malik Jackson for 2 yds to the LaMon 33

3rd & 13Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +3.21

Chandler Rogers pass complete to Fred Lloyd Jr. for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

ROGERS, Chandler pass to the left incomplete intended for MORTIMER, Bugs broken up by STEWARD, Reddy at the TRO17. PENALTY TRO Unnecessary Roughness on STEWARD, Reddy enforced 15 yards from the ULM50 to the TRO35 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 10Field Goal Good+27 yds

Calum Sutherland 27 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+28 yds

Zach Long kickoff for 59 yds , Alred Luke return for 28 yds to the LaMon 34

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Chandler Rogers pass complete to Boogie Knight for 4 yds to the LaMon 38

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Andrew Henry run for 1 yd to the LaMon 39

3rd & 5Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.98

Chandler Rogers sacked by Richard Jibunor for a loss of 7 yards to the LaMon 32

4th & 12Punt+28 yds

Devyn McCormick punt for 41 yds , Tez Johnson returns for 28 yds to the LaMon 45

1st & 10Rush+40 ydsPPA +1.59

Kimani Vidal run for 40 yds to the LaMon 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Kimani Vidal run for 5 yds for a TD, (Brooks Buce KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Brooks Buce kickoff for 65 yds , Alred Luke return for 18 yds to the LaMon 18

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.75

Chandler Rogers pass complete to Jevin Frett for 8 yds to the LaMon 26

2nd & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Chandler Rogers pass complete to Andrew Henry for 7 yds to the LaMon 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Andrew Henry run for 2 yds to the LaMon 35

2nd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.84

Chandler Rogers pass complete to Fred Lloyd Jr. for 11 yds to the LaMon 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.97

Chandler Rogers sacked by Antonio Showers for a loss of 4 yards to the LaMon 42

2nd & 14Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.89

Chandler Rogers pass complete to Zach Rasmussen for 9 yds to the Troy 49

3rd & 5Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.26

Chandler Rogers pass complete to Jevin Frett for 13 yds to the Troy 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.58

Chandler Rogers run for 8 yds to the Troy 28

2nd & 2Penalty0 yds

ROGERS, Chandler pass to the left incomplete intended for FRETT, Jevin thrown to the TRO0. PENALTY TRO Pass Interference on FLETCHER, O'shai enforced half the distance from the goal, 15 yards to the TRO13 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Bugs Mortimer run for 1 yd to the Troy 12

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Chandler Rogers pass incomplete

3rd & 9Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +3.09

Chandler Rogers run for 12 yds for a TD, (Calum Sutherland KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Calum Sutherland kickoff for 63 yds , Jamontez Woods return for 20 yds to the Troy 1

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Kimani Vidal run for 2 yds to the Troy 14

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Kimani Vidal run for 5 yds to the Troy 19

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.86

Kimani Vidal run for 6 yds to the Troy 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

DK Billingsley run for 6 yds to the Troy 31

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.60

DK Billingsley run for 5 yds to the Troy 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.96

DK Billingsley run for 10 yds to the Troy 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

DK Billingsley run for 1 yd to the Troy 47

2nd & 9Penalty-15 yds

TROY Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Troy 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.42

Kimani Vidal run for 18 yds to the LaMon 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

DK Billingsley run for 3 yds to the LaMon 38

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

DK Billingsley run for 2 yds to the LaMon 36

3rd & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.49

DK Billingsley run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaMon 38

4th & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.46

Gunnar Watson pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.66

Chandler Rogers run for 20 yds to the Troy 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

ROGERS, Chandler pass to the left complete for 1 yard to MORTIMER, Bugs caught at the TRO47 and advanced to the TRO41 (CHOLOH, Will). PENALTY ULM Holding on QUINLAN, Nolan enforced 10 yards from the TRO42 to the ULM48 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Malik Jackson run for 1 yd to the LaMon 49

2nd & 19Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Chandler Rogers run for 5 yds to the Troy 46

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Chandler Rogers pass incomplete

4th & 14Penalty0 yds

UL MONROE Penalty, turnover on downs. PENALTY Holding on WILKINS, Stacey ( Yards) declined

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kimani Vidal run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Kimani Vidal run for 2 yds to the LaMon 48

3rd & 4Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.15

Kimani Vidal run for 16 yds to the LaMon 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Kimani Vidal run for 4 yds to the LaMon 28

2nd & 6Penalty+3 yds

UL MONROE Penalty, Face mask (3 yards) (Car'lin Vigers) to the LaMon 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Kimani Vidal run for 7 yds to the LaMon 5

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.23

Kimani Vidal run for 5 yds for a TD, (Brooks Buce KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

TROY Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (15 Yards) to the LaMon 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.12

Chandler Rogers pass complete to Will Derrick for no gain to the LaMon 40

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.79

Chandler Rogers pass complete to Will Derrick for 8 yds to the LaMon 48

3rd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.80

Malik Jackson run for 10 yds to the Troy 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Chandler Rogers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.05

Andrew Henry run for no gain to the Troy 42

3rd & 10Penalty+15 yds

TROY Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Will Choloh) to the Troy 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Chandler Rogers run for 5 yds to the Troy 22

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Chandler Rogers run for 5 yds to the Troy 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Chandler Rogers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Chandler Rogers run for 3 yds to the Troy 14

3rd & 7Penalty+5 yds

ROGERS, Chandler pass to the right incomplete intended for WILEY, Dariyan thrown to the TRO0. PENALTY TRO Offsides on SHOWERS, Antonio enforced 5 yards from the TRO14 to the TRO9 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.57

Malik Jackson run for 3 yds to the Troy 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Malik Jackson run for 3 yds to the Troy 3

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Malik Jackson run for 2 yds to the Troy 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Malik Jackson run for no gain to the Troy 1

4th & 1Penalty0 yds

ROGERS, Chandler pass up the middle incomplete intended for FRETT, Jevin thrown to the TRO0, clock 03:18. PENALTY TRO Holding on STEWARD, Reddy enforced half the distance from the goal, 0 yards from the TRO1 to the TRO1 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Chandler Rogers 1 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Kimani Vidal run for 5 yds to the LaMon 41

2nd & 5Penalty-10 yds

VIDAL, Kimani rush to the right for a gain of 10 yards to the ULM31 (TILLERY, Lucius). PENALTY TRO Holding enforced 10 yards from the ULM41 to the TRO49 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 15Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.94

Kimani Vidal run for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 48

3rd & 16Penalty0 yds

TROY Penalty, Illegal Shift ( Yards) declined

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Mike Rivers punt for 44 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Malik Jackson run for 8 yds to the LaMon 28

Situational Analysis

UL Monroe

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
27%
22 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
40%
10 plays
33%
6 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Troy

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
46%
24 plays
2nd
100%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
38%
8 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play