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← Back to GamesOct 8, 2022Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Troy by 13.8

Home Win Probability

Troy 79%

Market (consensus)

Troy -7

Edge: Troy -7 (6.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 8, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Southern MissSouthern Miss
073010
TroyTroy
3771027

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-03-710-717-717-1027-10
TroySouthern Miss

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SMTROSMTROSMTROSMTROSMTROSMTROSMTROSMTROSMTROSMTROSMTROSMTROSMPUNT520ydPUNT629ydTO31ydFG828ydPUNT30ydTO10ydTD113ydTO771ydTO942ydTD627ydPUNT69ydPUNT30ydEND1-1ydTD683ydPUNT39ydPUNT67ydFG926ydPUNT840ydTO10ydFG522ydTO2-8ydTD123ydPUNT4-7ydPUNT414ydEND1566yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Southern Miss and Troy
StatisticSouthern MissTroy
Passing19-3517-23
Pass Yards157237
Rush Yards48101
Total Yards205338
Turnovers42
3rd Down6-145-12
Penalties8-854-35
Possession25:1234:48

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Southern Miss
passing
Zach Wilcke
19/35, 157 YDS, 1 TD, 3 INT
rushing
Frank Gore Jr.
15 CAR, 67 YDS
receiving
Jason Brownlee
12 REC, 105 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Troy
passing
Jarret Doege
17/23, 237 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Kimani Vidal
17 CAR, 79 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Deshon Stoudemire
5 REC, 82 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Zach Wilcke pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 8 yds to the SoMis 33

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.21

Frank Gore Jr. run for 5 yds to the SoMis 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Frank Gore Jr. run for 7 yds to the SoMis 45

2nd & 3Sack-4 ydsPPA -2.09

Zach Wilcke sacked by T.J. Jackson and TJ Harris for a loss of 4 yards to the SoMis 41

3rd & 7Penalty-5 yds

SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SoMis 36

3rd & 12Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.48

Zach Wilcke pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 9 yds to the SoMis 45

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Mason Hunt punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Deshon Stoudemire at the Troy 10

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Kimani Vidal run for 2 yds to the Troy 12

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Jarret Doege pass complete to Marcus Rogers for 6 yds to the Troy 18

3rd & 2Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.23

Jarret Doege pass complete to Marcus Rogers for 23 yds to the Troy 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Kimani Vidal run for 3 yds to the Troy 44

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.21

DK Billingsley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 43

3rd & 8Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.84

Jarret Doege sacked by Dominic Quewon for a loss of 4 yards to the Troy 39

4th & 12Punt+23 yds

Mike Rivers punt for 40 yds , Natrone Brooks returns for 23 yds to the SoMis 44

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Zach Wilcke pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 2 yds to the SoMis 46

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.20

Frank Gore Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the SoMis 45

3rd & 9Interception0 ydsPPA -0.74

Zach Wilcke pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.95

DK Billingsley run for 11 yds to the SoMis 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

DOEGE, Jarret pass up the middle complete for 23 yards to JOHNSON, RaJae' caught at the USM24 and advanced to the USM24 (SHORTS, Malik;SCOTT, Eric). PENALTY Before the snap, TRO Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the USM47 to the TRO48. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Jarret Doege pass incomplete

2nd & 15Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.18

Jarret Doege pass complete to Deshon Stoudemire for 10 yds to the SoMis 42

3rd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.62

Jarret Doege pass complete to Tez Johnson for 7 yds to the SoMis 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Kimani Vidal run for 1 yd to the SoMis 34

2nd & 9Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.15

Jarret Doege sacked by Jordyn Mahaffey for a loss of 6 yards to the SoMis 40

3rd & 15Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.13

Jarret Doege pass complete to Deshon Stoudemire for 10 yds to the SoMis 30

4th & 5Field Goal Good+48 yds

Brooks Buce 48 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Frank Gore Jr. run for 5 yds to the SoMis 30

2nd & 5Sack-12 ydsPPA -1.35

Zach Wilcke sacked by T.J. Jackson for a loss of 12 yards to the SoMis 18

3rd & 17Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.04

Zach Wilcke pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 7 yds to the SoMis 25

4th & 10Punt+7 yds

Mason Hunt punt for 52 yds , Deshon Stoudemire returns for 7 yds to the Troy 30

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -1.31

Jarret Doege pass intercepted

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

Zach Wilcke pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 13 yds for a TD, (Briggs Bourgeois KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Kimani Vidal run for 7 yds to the Troy 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.91

Jarret Doege pass complete to Deshon Stoudemire for 10 yds to the Troy 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.36

Kimani Vidal run for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 41

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Jarret Doege pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +3.30

Jarret Doege pass complete to Devonte Ross for 16 yds to the SoMis 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +1.66

Jarret Doege pass complete to Deshon Stoudemire for 39 yds to the SoMis 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Interception0 ydsPPA -5.31

Jarret Doege pass intercepted, touchback.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Zach Wilcke run for 2 yds to the SoMis 22

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Zach Wilcke pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 7 yds to the SoMis 29

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.96

Frank Gore Jr. run for 4 yds to the SoMis 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.23

Frank Gore Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the SoMis 31

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Zach Wilcke pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.88

Zach Wilcke pass complete to Demarcus Jones for 15 yds to the SoMis 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.92

Frank Gore Jr. run for 18 yds to the TROY 36 SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, Offensive Holding (Demarcus Jones) to the SoMis 49

1st & 7Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.31

Frank Gore Jr. run for 13 yds to the Troy 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -3.91

Zach Wilcke pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.18

Jarret Doege pass complete to Jabre Barber for 12 yds to the SoMis 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Kimani Vidal run for 3 yds to the SoMis 12

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.97

Jarret Doege pass complete to Jabre Barber for 8 yds to the SoMis 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Kimani Vidal run for 2 yds to the SoMis 2

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Jarret Doege run for 1 yd to the SoMis 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

DK Billingsley run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brooks Buce KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+30 yds

Zach Long kickoff for 65 yds , Camron Harrell return for 30 yds to the TROY 35 SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) to the SoMis 10

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Zach Wilcke pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Zach Wilcke pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.91

Zach Wilcke pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 10 yds to the SoMis 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.89

Zach Wilcke sacked by AJ Pierce for a loss of 7 yards to the SoMis 13

2nd & 17Penalty-5 yds

SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, False Start (Tykeem Doss) to the SoMis 8

2nd & 22Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.03

Zach Wilcke pass incomplete

3rd & 22Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.05

Frank Gore Jr. run for 11 yds to the SoMis 19

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Mason Hunt punt for 37 yds, downed at the Troy 44

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jarret Doege pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.49

Jarret Doege sacked by Josh Ratcliff for a loss of 6 yards to the Troy 38

3rd & 16Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.09

Jarret Doege pass complete to Kimani Vidal for 6 yds to the Troy 44

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Mike Rivers punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Natrone Brooks at the SoMis 10

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

[NH] Kneel down by USM at USM9 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Briggs Bourgeois kickoff for 65 yds , Peyton Higgins return for 17 yds to the Troy 17

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

DK Billingsley run for 2 yds to the Troy 19

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

DK Billingsley run for no gain to the Troy 19

1st & 10Rush+29 ydsPPA +2.45

Kimani Vidal run for 29 yds to the SoMis 41 for a 1ST down

2nd & 9Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +1.40

Jarret Doege pass complete to Tez Johnson for 30 yds to the SoMis 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Kimani Vidal run for 1 yd to the SoMis 40

3rd & 8Penalty+11 yds

DOEGE, Jarret pass up the middle incomplete intended for ROGERS, Marcus thrown to the TRO30. PENALTY USM Pass Interference on SCOTT, Eric enforced at the spot of the foul for 11 yards to the TRO30 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Kimani Vidal run for 10 yds for a TD, (Brooks Buce KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Frank Gore Jr. run for 8 yds to the SoMis 33

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Frank Gore Jr. run for 1 yd to the SoMis 34

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Frank Gore Jr. run for no gain to the SoMis 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Mason Hunt punt for 56 yds, fair catch by Deshon Stoudemire at the Troy 10

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Kimani Vidal run for 5 yds to the Troy 15

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Kimani Vidal run for 2 yds to the Troy 17

3rd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.65

Jarret Doege pass complete to Michael Vice for 4 yds to the Troy 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Damien Taylor run for 3 yds to the Troy 24

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Kimani Vidal run for 1 yd to the Troy 25

3rd & 6Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.40

Jarret Doege sacked by Dominic Quewon for a loss of 8 yards to the Troy 17

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Mike Rivers punt for 26 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Zach Wilcke pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 7 yds to the Troy 36

2nd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Zach Wilcke pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 4 yds to the Troy 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Frank Gore Jr. run for 2 yds to the Troy 30

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Zach Wilcke pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.32

Zach Wilcke pass complete to Latreal Jones for 11 yds to the Troy 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Frank Gore Jr. run for 2 yds to the Troy 17

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Zach Wilcke pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Zach Wilcke pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+34 yds

Briggs Bourgeois 34 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Briggs Bourgeois kickoff for 62 yds , Peyton Higgins return for no gain to the Troy 3

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

DK Billingsley run for 2 yds to the Troy 5

2nd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.43

DK Billingsley run for 8 yds to the Troy 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

DK Billingsley run for 3 yds to the Troy 16

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

DOEGE, Jarret pass to the right complete for 3 yards to VIDAL, Kimani caught at the TRO16 and advanced to the TRO19 (STANLEY, Jay), clock 00:00. PENALTY Before the snap, TRO Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the TRO16 to the TRO11. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 12Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.05

Jarret Doege pass complete to Deshon Stoudemire for 13 yds to the Troy 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Micheal Caraway Jr.) to the Troy 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

DK Billingsley run for 4 yds to the Troy 43

2nd & 6Penalty-10 yds

DOEGE, Jarret pass to the left complete for 22 yards to ROSS, Devonte caught at the USM35 and advanced to the USM35 (SHORTS, Malik). PENALTY TRO Holding on BUTLER, Deandre enforced 10 yards from the TRO43 to the TRO33 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 16Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.32

Jarret Doege pass complete to Kimani Vidal for no gain to the Troy 33

3rd & 16Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.38

Jarret Doege run for 10 yds to the Troy 43

4th & 6Punt+7 yds

Mike Rivers punt for 51 yds , Natrone Brooks returns for 7 yds to the SoMis 13

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.30

Zach Wilcke pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.41

Jarret Doege pass complete to Tez Johnson for 20 yds to the SoMis 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

DK Billingsley run for 2 yds to the SoMis 13

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Jarret Doege run for no gain to the SoMis 13

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Jarret Doege pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+30 yds

Brooks Buce 30 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Zach Long kickoff for 58 yds , Camron Harrell return for 24 yds to the SoMis 31

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Zach Wilcke pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.80

Zach Wilcke sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the SoMis 23

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +2.66

Jarret Doege pass complete to Tez Johnson for 23 yds for a TD, (Brooks Buce KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Zach Wilcke pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 11 yds to the SoMis 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.21

Frank Gore Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the SoMis 35

2nd & 11Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.84

Zach Wilcke sacked by Shakel Brown for a loss of 5 yards to the SoMis 30

3rd & 16Penalty-15 yds

SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, turnover on downs. PENALTY Unnecessary Roughness on BARNES, Kyron enforced (-15 Yards) to the SoMis 18

4th & 28Punt0 yds

Mason Hunt punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Deshon Stoudemire at the Troy 42

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.09

Kimani Vidal run for 13 yds to the SoMis 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.00

Kimani Vidal run for no gain to the SoMis 45

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Kimani Vidal run for 5 yds to the SoMis 40

3rd & 5Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.84

Kimani Vidal run for a loss of 4 yards to the SoMis 44

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Mike Rivers punt for 44 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Janari Dean run for 3 yds to the SoMis 23

2nd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Zach Wilcke pass complete to Cole Cavallo for 3 yds to the SoMis 26

3rd & 4Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.25

Zach Wilcke pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 16 yds to the SoMis 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Zach Wilcke pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Zach Wilcke pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.85

Zach Wilcke pass complete to Latreal Jones for 10 yds to the Troy 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.97

Zach Wilcke pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 11 yds to the SoMis 37 for a 1ST down SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Chandler Pittman) to the SoMis 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Zach Wilcke pass complete to Janari Dean for 3 yds to the Troy 49

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Zach Wilcke run for 1 yd to the Troy 48

3rd & 6Penalty+15 yds

TROY Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Carlton Martial) to the Troy 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Zach Wilcke pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Zach Wilcke pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.81

Zach Wilcke run for 9 yds to the Troy 24

4th & 1Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA +0.92

Zach Wilcke pass complete to Janari Dean for 1 yd to the Troy 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.64

Zach Wilcke pass complete to Janari Dean for 9 yds to the Troy 14

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Zach Wilcke pass incomplete

Situational Analysis

Southern Miss

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
37%
27 plays
2nd
20%
5 plays
0%
1 play
10%
10 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
67%
6 plays
100%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Troy

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
40%
25 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
45%
11 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
100%
4 plays
4th