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← Back to GamesNov 19, 2022Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Southeast Missouri State by 30

Home Win Probability

Southeast Missouri State 95%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

Southeast Missouri State -27.5

Edge: Southeast Missouri State -27.5 (2.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 19, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Murray State
366722
Southeast Missouri State
211014752

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428425614-014-321-924-931-938-1552-22
Southeast Missouri StateMurray State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSMSSMSMSSMSMSSMSMSSMSMSSMSMSSMSMSSMSMSSMSMSMSSMSMSSMSMSSMSMSTD32ydPUNT33ydTD1055ydFG956ydTD173ydPUNT37ydPUNT34ydTD1085ydFG1173ydPUNT30ydTD880ydPUNT33ydPUNT513ydEND514ydPUNT433ydDOWNS711ydTD231ydTD1577ydPUNT38ydPUNT36ydTD274ydTD775ydPUNT3-6ydPUNT627ydEND35yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Murray State and Southeast Missouri State
StatisticMurray StateSoutheast Missouri State
Passing11-2510-19
Pass Yards15181
Rush Yards174364
Total Yards325445
Turnovers20
3rd Down8-196-12
Penalties4-602-20
Possession33:5726:03

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Murray State
passing
Lucas Maue
2/4, 87 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Damonta Witherspoon
18 CAR, 88 YDS
receiving
DeQuan Dallas
3 REC, 73 YDS, 1 TD
Southeast Missouri State
passing
Patrick Heitert
10/19, 81 YDS
rushing
Geno Hess
26 CAR, 317 YDS, 4 TD
receiving
Johnny King
3 REC, 39 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Damonta Witherspoon run for 1 yd to the MurrS 36

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Damonta Witherspoon run for 1 yd to the MurrS 37

3rd & 8Interception Return Touchdown+49 ydsPPA -7.35

William McCall 49 Yd Interception Return (DC Pippin Kick)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Damonta Witherspoon run for 2 yds to the MurrS 13

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Jayden Stinson pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.09

Jayden Stinson pass complete to DeQuan Dallas for 1 yd to the MurrS 14

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Lewis Halton punt for 41 yds , Dalyn McDonald returns for no gain to the SEMo 45

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Geno Hess run for 3 yds to the SEMo 48

2nd & 7Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.46

Geno Hess run for 11 yds to the MurrS 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Geno Hess run for 1 yd to the MurrS 40

2nd & 9Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.29

Patrick Heitert pass complete to Johnny King for 20 yds to the MurrS 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Geno Hess run for no gain to the MurrS 20

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Patrick Heitert pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.95

Patrick Heitert run for 10 yds to the MurrS 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Patrick Heitert run for 4 yds to the MurrS 6

2nd & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.42

Geno Hess run for a loss of 2 yards to the MurrS 8

3rd & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.95

Ryan Flournoy 8 Yd Run (DC Pippin Kick)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+31 yds

Logan Bruns kickoff for 64 yds , Dameon Gomes return for 31 yds to the MurrS 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Jayden Stinson pass complete to DeQuan Dallas for 2 yds to the MurrS 34

2nd & 8Rush+42 ydsPPA +3.42

Deshun Britten run for 42 yds to the SEMo 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Damonta Witherspoon run for 6 yds to the SEMo 18

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Damonta Witherspoon run for 1 yd to the SEMo 17

3rd & 3Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +0.31

Jayden Stinson pass complete to LaMartez Brooks for 3 yds to the SEMo 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Cortezz Jones run for no gain to the SEMo 14

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Cortezz Jones run for 2 yds to the SEMo 12

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Jayden Stinson pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+30 yds

Aaron Baum 30 Yd Field Goal

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+27 yds

Zaden Webber kickoff for 65 yds , Dalyn McDonald return for 27 yds to the SEMo 27

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+73 ydsPPA +5.93

Geno Hess 73 Yd Run (DC Pippin Kick)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Logan Bruns kickoff for 60 yds , Dameon Gomes return for 23 yds to the MurrS 28

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Cortezz Jones run for 5 yds to the MurrS 33

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.54

Lucas Maue run for 2 yds to the MurrS 35

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Jayden Stinson pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt+19 yds

Lewis Halton punt for 40 yds , Dalyn McDonald returns for 19 yds to the SEMo 44

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Geno Hess run for 4 yds to the SEMo 48

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Patrick Heitert pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Patrick Heitert pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Zach Haynes punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +1.86

Damonta Witherspoon run for 25 yds to the MurrS 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.34

Lucas Maue run for 9 yds to the MurrS 49

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.13

Damonta Witherspoon run for 5 yds to the SEMo 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Damonta Witherspoon run for 5 yds to the SEMo 41

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.47

Lucas Maue run for 6 yds to the SEMo 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Jayden Stinson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Jayden Stinson pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +3.64

Jayden Stinson pass complete to Taylor Shields for 34 yds to the SEMo 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Quinaz Turner run for no gain to the SEMo 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Lucas Maue 1 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Zaden Webber kickoff for 64 yds , Dalyn McDonald return for 18 yds to the SEMo 19

1st & 10Rush+41 ydsPPA +3.25

Geno Hess run for 26 yds to the MurrS 45 for a 1ST down MURRAY ST Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Dylan Appleton) to the MurrS 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Darrell Smith run for 5 yds to the MurrS 35

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Darrell Smith run for 3 yds to the MurrS 32

3rd & 2Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.75

Geno Hess run for 11 yds to the MurrS 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Geno Hess run for 5 yds to the MurrS 16

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Patrick Heitert run for 1 yd to the MurrS 15

3rd & 4Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.20

Patrick Heitert pass complete to Damoriea Vick for 11 yds to the MurrS 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.75

Geno Hess run for a loss of 1 yard to the MurrS 5

2nd & 5Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.51

Patrick Heitert run for a loss of 3 yards to the MurrS 8

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Patrick Heitert pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+26 yds

DC Pippin 26 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jayden Stinson pass complete to LaMartez Brooks for no gain to the MurrS 25

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Lucas Maue run for no gain to the MurrS 25

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Jayden Stinson pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Lewis Halton punt for 55 yds, downed at the SEMo 20

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Geno Hess run for 2 yds to the SEMo 22

2nd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.06

Patrick Heitert pass complete to Johnny King for 8 yds to the SEMo 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Patrick Heitert pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Geno Hess run for 6 yds to the SEMo 36

3rd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.16

Patrick Heitert pass complete to Geno Hess for 10 yds to the SEMo 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Patrick Heitert pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.99

Patrick Heitert pass complete to Johnny King for 11 yds to the MurrS 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+43 ydsPPA +3.35

Geno Hess 43 Yd Run (DC Pippin Kick)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Damonta Witherspoon run for 1 yd to the MurrS 31

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

run for 2 yds to the MurrS 33

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Jayden Stinson pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Lewis Halton punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Dalyn McDonald at the SEMo 27

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.95

Patrick Heitert pass complete to Ryan Flournoy for 8 yds to the SEMo 35

2nd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Patrick Heitert pass complete to Ryan Flournoy for 6 yds to the SEMo 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.08

Patrick Heitert sacked by Lawaun Powell for a loss of 6 yards to the SEMo 35

2nd & 16Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Patrick Heitert run for 5 yds to the SEMo 40

3rd & 11Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.38

Patrick Heitert pass complete to Pervis Frazier for no gain to the SEMo 40

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Zach Haynes punt for 35 yds

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Damonta Witherspoon run for 8 yds to the MurrS 33

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Jayden Stinson pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.93

Damonta Witherspoon run for 11 yds to the MurrS 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jayden Stinson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.42

Jayden Stinson sacked by Nasim Cairo for a loss of 5 yards to the MurrS 39

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.32

Geno Hess run for 26 yds to the MurrS 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Geno Hess run for 1 yd to the MurrS 48

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Patrick Heitert pass incomplete

3rd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Geno Hess run for 6 yds to the MurrS 42

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Zach Haynes punt for 42 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Damonta Witherspoon run for 1 yd to the MurrS 21

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Jayden Stinson pass complete to LaMartez Brooks for 7 yds to the MurrS 28

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.22

Lucas Maue run for 6 yds to the MurrS 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Jayden Stinson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Jawaun Northington run for 2 yds to the MurrS 36

3rd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Jayden Stinson pass complete to Jake Saathoff for 7 yds to the MurrS 43

4th & 1Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-11 ydsPPA -0.63

Lucas Maue run for a loss of 11 yards to the MurrS 31 Lucas Maue fumbled, recovered by SEMo Christian Fuhrman

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Patrick Heitert pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +3.42

Geno Hess 31 Yd Run (DC Pippin Kick)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Logan Bruns kickoff for 59 yds , Dameon Gomes return for 17 yds to the MurrS 23

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Damonta Witherspoon run for no gain to the MurrS 23

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.44

Damonta Witherspoon run for 8 yds to the MurrS 31

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.98

Deshun Britten run for 2 yds to the MurrS 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Damonta Witherspoon run for 3 yds to the MurrS 36

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Jayden Stinson pass complete to Taylor Shields for 6 yds to the MurrS 42

3rd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.64

Damonta Witherspoon run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Cortezz Jones run for 1 yd to the SEMo 49

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Cortezz Jones run for 5 yds to the SEMo 44

3rd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.45

Jayden Stinson pass complete to Taylor Shields for 4 yds to the SEMo 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Jayden Stinson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Lucas Maue run for 3 yds to the SEMo 37

3rd & 7Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.81

Jayden Stinson run for 5 yds to the SEMo 32 for a 1ST down SE MISSOURI Penalty, Horse Collar Tackle on NORMAN, Bryce enforced (Bryce Norman) to the SEMo 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Lucas Maue run for 5 yds to the SEMo 12

2nd & 5Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.82

Trey Jefferson run for a loss of 5 yards to the SEMo 17

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +3.32

Taylor Shields 17 Yd pass from Lucas Maue (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)

0th & 0Kickoff Return Touchdown+52 yds

Ryan Flournoy 52 Yd Kickoff Return (DC Pippin Kick)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+26 yds

Logan Bruns kickoff for 62 yds , DeQuan Dallas return for 26 yds to the MurrS 29

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Cortezz Jones run for 3 yds to the MurrS 32

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Quindarrius Mayes run for 5 yds to the MurrS 37

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Lucas Maue pass incomplete

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Lewis Halton punt for 43 yds, downed at the SEMo 20

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Geno Hess run for 4 yds to the SEMo 24

2nd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Patrick Heitert pass complete to Damoriea Vick for 3 yds to the SEMo 27

3rd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.45

Geno Hess run for a loss of 1 yard to the SEMo 26

4th & 4Punt+7 yds

Zach Haynes punt for 40 yds , LaMartez Brooks returns for 7 yds to the MurrS 19

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

DeQuan Dallas run for 4 yds to the MurrS 30

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+70 ydsPPA +6.13

Lucas Maue pass complete to DeQuan Dallas for 70 yds for a TD, (Aaron Baum KICK)

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Geno Hess run for 15 yds to the SEMo 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Patrick Heitert pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

MURRAY ST Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Nate Chambers) to the MurrS 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Patrick Heitert pass complete to Ryan Flournoy for 4 yds to the MurrS 34

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Geno Hess run for 4 yds to the MurrS 30

3rd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.63

Geno Hess run for 9 yds to the MurrS 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.63

Geno Hess run for 21 yds for a TD, (DC Pippin KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Logan Bruns kickoff for 58 yds , Dameon Gomes return for 24 yds to the MurrS 31

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.89

Damonta Witherspoon run for no gain to the MurrS 31

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Lucas Maue pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.36

Lucas Maue sacked by Sam Keeper and Nasim Cairo for a loss of 6 yards to the MurrS 25

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Lewis Halton punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.13

Geno Hess run for 12 yds to the SEMo 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Darrell Smith run for 4 yds to the SEMo 46

2nd & 6Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.38

Darrell Smith run for 11 yds to the MurrS 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.61

Darrell Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the MurrS 46

2nd & 13Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Darrell Smith run for 6 yds to the MurrS 40

3rd & 7Penalty-5 yds

SE MISSOURI Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MurrS 45

3rd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Darrell Smith run for 2 yds to the MurrS 43

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Cortezz Jones run for 3 yds to the MurrS 39

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Cortezz Jones run for 1 yd to the MurrS 40

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Cortezz Jones run for 1 yd to the MurrS 41

Situational Analysis

Murray State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
28%
25 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
35%
17 plays
3rd
71%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
40%
10 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Southeast Missouri State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
38%
26 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
13%
8 plays
75%
8 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
4th