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← Back to GamesOct 29, 2022Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Tennessee State by 13.8

Home Win Probability

Murray State 19%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

Murray State +14

Edge: Murray State +14 (0.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 29, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Tennessee State
03003
Murray State
066719

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-36-39-319-3
Murray StateTennessee State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TSMSTSMSTSMSTSMSTSMSTSMSMSTSMSTSMSTSMSTSMSTSMSTSMSPUNT437ydPUNT645ydMISS1370ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT35ydPUNT615ydPUNT2-10ydMISS618ydFG963ydTD575ydPUNT3-7ydEND23ydPUNT32ydPUNT630ydFG851ydDOWNS41ydFG43ydPUNT3-10ydTD853ydPUNT416ydPUNT48ydTO944ydPUNT34ydDOWNS935ydEND13yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Tennessee State and Murray State
StatisticTennessee StateMurray State
Passing22-398-17
Pass Yards24689
Rush Yards77194
Total Yards323283
Turnovers10
3rd Down2-144-14
Penalties13-897-55
Possession28:1931:41

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Tennessee State
passing
Draylen Ellis
20/34, 230 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Jalen Rouse
14 CAR, 84 YDS
receiving
Jeremiah Holloman
9 REC, 94 YDS
Murray State
passing
Jayden Stinson
8/17, 89 YDS
rushing
Damonta Witherspoon
28 CAR, 99 YDS
receiving
Taylor Shields
2 REC, 50 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 15Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.55

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Jalen Rouse for 33 yds to the TenSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

TENNESSEE ST Penalty, False Start (Chazan Page) to the TenSt 37

1st & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.79

Jalen Rouse run for no gain to the TenSt 37

2nd & 15Penalty-5 yds

TENNESSEE ST Penalty, False Start (Jaalon Gupton) to the TenSt 32

2nd & 20Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.37

Jalen Rouse run for 9 yds to the TenSt 41

3rd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.87

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Karate Brenson for 10 yds to the MurrS 49

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Matthew Phillips punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Jayden Stinson pass complete to LaMartez Brooks for 6 yds to the MurrS 18

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Damonta Witherspoon run for 1 yd to the MurrS 19

3rd & 3Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.98

Jayden Stinson pass complete to DeQuan Dallas for 19 yds to the MurrS 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

TENNESSEE ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Jahsun Bryant) to the MurrS 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MURRAY ST Penalty, False Start (Levi Nesler) to the MurrS 43

1st & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Damonta Witherspoon run for 5 yds to the MurrS 48

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Damonta Witherspoon run for 4 yds to the TenSt 48

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jayden Stinson pass complete to Jake Saathoff for 5 yds to the TenSt 43

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Lewis Halton punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Draylen Ellis pass complete to JJ Holloman for 7 yds to the TenSt 13

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Jalen Rouse run for 1 yd to the TenSt 14

3rd & 2Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.11

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Karate Brenson for 14 yds to the TenSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.76

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Josh Trueheart for 19 yds to the TenSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.57

Draylen Ellis sacked by Eric Samuta for a loss of 8 yards to the TenSt 39

2nd & 18Rush+22 ydsPPA +3.52

Jalen Rouse run for 22 yds to the MurrS 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

TENNESSEE ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MurrS 44

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Jalen Rouse run for 3 yds to the MurrS 41

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Draylen Ellis pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.70

Draylen Ellis pass complete to JJ Holloman for 16 yds to the MurrS 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Draylen Ellis pass complete to JJ Holloman for 5 yds to the MurrS 20

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Draylen Ellis pass incomplete

3rd & 5Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.33

Jalen Rouse run for a loss of 4 yards to the MurrS 24

4th & 9Blocked Field Goal+41 yds

Kaleb Mosley 41 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Jayden Stinson pass complete to LaMartez Brooks for a loss of 1 yard to the MurrS 24

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.33

Damonta Witherspoon run for a loss of 1 yard to the MurrS 23

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Jayden Stinson pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Lewis Halton punt for 37 yds , Boogie Trotter returns for no gain to the TenSt 40

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

Devon Starling run for no gain to the TenSt 40

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Devon Starling run for 5 yds to the TenSt 45

3rd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.79

Devon Starling run for no gain to the TenSt 45

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Matthew Phillips punt for 55 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MURRAY ST Penalty, False Start (Ashton Flinn) to the MurrS 15

1st & 15Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Jayden Stinson pass complete to DeQuan Dallas for 5 yds to the MurrS 20

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.55

Damonta Witherspoon run for 9 yds to the MurrS 29

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.96

Damonta Witherspoon run for 4 yds to the MurrS 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Damonta Witherspoon run for 2 yds to the MurrS 35

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Jayden Stinson pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Jayden Stinson pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Lewis Halton punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Boogie Trotter at the TenSt 22

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.61

Draylen Ellis pass complete to John Roberts IV for no gain to the TenSt 22

2nd & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.49

Draylen Ellis sacked by Andrew Long for a loss of 10 yards to the TenSt 12

3rd & 20Penalty-4 yds

ELLIS, Draylen pass to the right complete for 4 yards to THORNTON, Zaire caught at the TSU17 and advanced to the TSU17 (SAMUTA, Eric;WALKER, Nick). PENALTY MUR Unsportsmanlike Conduct on WALKER, Nick TSU Unsportsmanlike Conduct on THORNTON, Zaire , Offsetting penalties [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

4th & 20Punt+18 yds

Matthew Phillips punt for 53 yds , LaMartez Brooks returns for 18 yds to the TenSt 47

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Damonta Witherspoon run for 5 yds to the TenSt 42

2nd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.46

Jayden Stinson pass complete to LaMartez Brooks for 5 yds to the TenSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Damonta Witherspoon run for 6 yds to the TenSt 31

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.41

Damonta Witherspoon run for 2 yds to the TenSt 29

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Jayden Stinson pass incomplete

4th & 2Field Goal Missed+47 yds

Aaron Baum 47 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.85

Jalen Rouse run for 20 yds to the TenSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Draylen Ellis run for 3 yds to the MurrS 48

2nd & 7Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.58

Draylen Ellis pass complete to JJ Holloman for 21 yds to the MurrS 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Jalen Rouse run for 4 yds to the MurrS 23

2nd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.36

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Da'Shon Davis for 14 yds to the MurrS 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Draylen Ellis pass incomplete

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Draylen Ellis pass incomplete

3rd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Draylen Ellis run for 1 yd to the MurrS 8

4th & 8Field Goal Good+25 yds

Kaleb Mosley 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Damonta Witherspoon run for 9 yds to the MurrS 34

2nd & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.64

Damonta Witherspoon run for 12 yds to the MurrS 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+46 ydsPPA +1.87

Cortezz Jones run for 46 yds to the TenSt 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Damonta Witherspoon run for 3 yds to the TenSt 5

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

LaMartez Brooks run for 5 yds for a TD, (Zaden Webber PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Draylen Ellis pass complete to JJ Holloman for 5 yds to the TenSt 47

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

TENNESSEE ST Penalty, False Start (Christopher Georgia) to the TenSt 42

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Draylen Ellis pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.75

Draylen Ellis sacked by Cade Shupperd for a loss of 7 yards to the TenSt 35

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Matthew Phillips punt for 48 yds , LaMartez Brooks returns for no gain to the MurrS 35 MURRAY ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Dylan Appleton) to the MurrS 20

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Damonta Witherspoon run for 2 yds to the MurrS 22

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Damonta Witherspoon run for 1 yd to the MurrS 23

0th & 8End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Damonta Witherspoon run for 2 yds to the MurrS 24

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Damonta Witherspoon run for no gain to the MurrS 24

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Jayden Stinson pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Lewis Halton punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Boogie Trotter at the TenSt 38

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jalen Rouse run for 3 yds to the TenSt 41

2nd & 7Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.33

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Da'Shon Davis for 22 yds to the MurrS 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

TENNESSEE ST Penalty, False Start (Karate Brenson) to the MurrS 42

1st & 15Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.12

Draylen Ellis run for 15 yds to the MurrS 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Draylen Ellis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Draylen Ellis pass incomplete

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

TENNESSEE ST Penalty, False Start (Chazan Page) to the MurrS 32

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Draylen Ellis pass incomplete

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Kaleb Mosley punt for 32 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Cortezz Jones run for 1 yd to the MurrS 21

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Jayden Stinson pass incomplete

3rd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.56

Damonta Witherspoon run for 10 yds to the MurrS 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +2.82

Jayden Stinson pass complete to Taylor Shields for 40 yds to the TenSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

Damonta Witherspoon run for no gain to the TenSt 29

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Cortezz Jones run for 3 yds to the TenSt 26

3rd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Cortezz Jones run for 2 yds to the TenSt 24

4th & 5Penalty-5 yds

MURRAY ST Penalty, False Start (Jake Saathoff) to the TenSt 29

4th & 10Field Goal Good+47 yds

Aaron Baum 47 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Devon Starling for 5 yds to the TenSt 30

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Draylen Ellis run for 1 yd to the TenSt 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Draylen Ellis pass incomplete

4th & 4Rush-5 ydsPPA +0.05

run for a loss of 5 yards to the TenSt 26

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Lucas Maue run for 2 yds to the TenSt 24

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Damonta Witherspoon run for 1 yd to the TenSt 23

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Jayden Stinson pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Good+41 yds

Aaron Baum 41 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty+7 yds

TENNESSEE ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (John Roberts IV) to the TenSt 9

2nd & 26Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.01

Jalen Rouse run for 2 yds to the TenSt 11

3rd & 24Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.00

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Karate Brenson for 4 yds to the TenSt 15

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Kaleb Mosley punt for 38 yds, fair catch by LaMartez Brooks at the MurrS 47

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Damonta Witherspoon run for 1 yd to the MurrS 48

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

MURRAY ST Penalty, False Start (Levi Nesler) to the MurrS 43

2nd & 14Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.67

Cortezz Jones run for 8 yds to the TenSt 49

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.27

Jayden Stinson pass complete to Taylor Shields for 10 yds to the TenSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Damonta Witherspoon run for 4 yds to the TenSt 35

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Damonta Witherspoon run for 1 yd to the TenSt 34

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Jayden Stinson pass incomplete

4th & 5Penalty+15 yds

STINSON, Jayden pass to the left incomplete intended for BROOKS, LaMartez thrown to the TSU0. PENALTY TSU Pass Interference on WATKINS, Jashon enforced 15 yards to the TSU19 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Damonta Witherspoon run for 5 yds to the TenSt 14

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.53

Cortezz Jones run for 14 yds for a TD, (Zaden Webber KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.05

Draylen Ellis pass complete to JJ Holloman for 12 yds to the TenSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Draylen Ellis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.03

Jalen Rouse run for 9 yds to the TenSt 47

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

TENNESSEE ST Penalty, False Start (Jalen Rouse) to the TenSt 42

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Draylen Ellis pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Kaleb Mosley punt for 58 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

MURRAY ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the MurrS 17

1st & 13Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Cortezz Jones run for 7 yds to the MurrS 24

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Cortezz Jones run for 4 yds to the MurrS 28

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Jayden Stinson pass incomplete

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Lewis Halton punt for 33 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Draylen Ellis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.61

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Jytireus Smith for 18 yds to the MurrS 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Jalen Rouse run for 6 yds to the MurrS 37

2nd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.28

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Ray Rose for 8 yds to the MurrS 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

TENNESSEE ST Penalty, False Start (Jaalon Gupton) to the MurrS 34

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Draylen Ellis pass incomplete

2nd & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.76

Jalen Rouse run for 1 yd to the MurrS 33

3rd & 14Penalty+15 yds

ELLIS, Draylen pass to the right incomplete intended for ROUSE, Jalen thrown to the MUR15. PENALTY MUR Pass Interference on APPLETON, Dylan enforced 15 yards to the MUR18 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Draylen Ellis pass complete to JJ Holloman for 7 yds to the MurrS 11

2nd & 3Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.98

Draylen Ellis sacked by Cade Shupperd for a loss of 6 yards to the MurrS 17

3rd & 9Interception0 ydsPPA -3.74

Draylen Ellis pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Damonta Witherspoon run for 2 yds to the TenSt 43

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.30

Damonta Witherspoon run for a loss of 1 yard to the TenSt 44

3rd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Damonta Witherspoon run for 3 yds to the TenSt 41

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Lewis Halton punt for 41 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.34

Draylen Ellis pass complete to JJ Holloman for 17 yds to the TenSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.92

Draylen Ellis sacked by Cade Shupperd for a loss of 7 yards to the TenSt 30

2nd & 17Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.92

Deveon Bryant pass complete to Da'Shon Davis for 12 yds to the TenSt 42

3rd & 5Penalty-10 yds

BRYANT, Deveon scrambles to the right for a gain of 3 yards to the TSU45 (WALKER, Nick). PENALTY TSU Holding on GUPTON, Jaalon enforced 10 yards from the TSU42 to the TSU32 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 15Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.50

Deveon Bryant run for 11 yds to the TenSt 43

4th & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.87

Jalen Rouse run for 8 yds to the MurrS 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Deveon Bryant pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Deveon Bryant pass complete to JJ Holloman for 4 yds to the MurrS 45

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Deveon Bryant pass incomplete

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Deveon Bryant pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Cortezz Jones run for 3 yds to the MurrS 48

Situational Analysis

Tennessee State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
45%
22 plays
40%
5 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
10 plays
50%
6 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
0%
5 plays
0%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
4th
67%
3 plays

Murray State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
37%
19 plays
100%
3 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
43%
7 plays
11%
9 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
17%
6 plays
0%
1 play
4th