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← Back to GamesNov 19, 2022Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Delaware by 4.8

Home Win Probability

Villanova 38%

Market (consensus)

Villanova +7.5

Edge: Villanova +7.5 (2.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 19, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
DelawareDelaware
797326
Villanova
777829

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-07-77-1314-1314-1614-2321-2321-2629-26
VillanovaDelaware

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20DELVILDELVILDELVILDELVILDELVILDELDELVILDELVILDELDELVILDELVILDELVILDELTO28ydTD736ydTD572ydPUNT3-1ydDOWNS835ydPUNT418ydTD1785ydTD873ydFG1668ydPUNT514ydPUNT59ydTD235ydPUNT35ydDOWNS948ydTD666ydPUNT3-10ydFG929ydPUNT412ydPUNT614ydDOWNS69ydPUNT35ydTD410ydTO628yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Delaware and Villanova
StatisticDelawareVillanova
Passing37-595-16
Pass Yards347122
Rush Yards114128
Total Yards461250
Turnovers22
3rd Down8-194-12
Penalties7-573-30
Possession33:4526:15

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Delaware
passing
Nolan Henderson
37/59, 347 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Marcus Yarns
12 CAR, 67 YDS
receiving
Thyrick Pitts
7 REC, 96 YDS, 2 TD
Villanova
passing
Connor Watkins
5/16, 122 YDS
rushing
Dee Wil Barlee
22 CAR, 66 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Dez Boykin
2 REC, 96 YDS

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Matthew Mercurio kickoff for 60 yds , Kyron Cumby return for 23 yds to the Delaw 28

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Kyron Cumby run for 9 yds to the Delaw 37

2nd & 1Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-1 ydsPPA -2.46

Nolan Henderson pass complete to Jourdan Townsend for a loss of 1 yard Jourdan Townsend fumbled, recovered by Villa Ty Trinh

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

DeeWil Barlee run for 2 yds to the Delaw 34

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

DeeWil Barlee run for no gain to the Delaw 34

3rd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Dez Boykin run for 2 yds to the Delaw 32

4th & 6Penalty+18 yds

DELAWARE Penalty, Personal Foul (Liam Trainer) to the Delaw 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.78

DeeWil Barlee run for a loss of 6 yards to the Delaw 13

2nd & 13Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.09

Connor Watkins run for 6 yds to the Delaw 7

3rd & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.88

Connor Watkins run for 7 yds for a TD, (Matthew Mercurio KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Matthew Mercurio kickoff for 54 yds , Shuyab Brinkley return for 17 yds to the Delaw 28

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Marcus Yarns run for 4 yds to the Delaw 32

2nd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.23

Nolan Henderson pass complete to Chandler Harvin for 8 yds to the Delaw 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

DELAWARE Penalty, Offensive Holding (Fintan Brose) to the Delaw 33

1st & 17Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.61

Nolan Henderson pass complete to Jourdan Townsend for 19 yds to the Villa 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+48 ydsPPA +3.69

Nolan Henderson pass complete to Thyrick Pitts for 48 yds for a TD, (Garrett Bennion KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Andrew MacMillan kickoff for 52 yds , Dez Boykin return for 22 yds to the Villa 35

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

DeeWil Barlee run for 2 yds to the Villa 37

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

DeeWil Barlee run for 2 yds to the Villa 39

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

WATKINS, Connor pass to the right complete for 12 yards to LOPES, Daniel caught at the VIL49 and advanced to the DEL49 (WHITEHEAD, Kedrick;BUCHANAN, Johnny). PENALTY Before the snap, VIL Illegal Shift on BARLEE, DeeWil enforced 5 yards from the VIL39 to the VIL34. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

William Bartel punt for 29 yds

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Kyron Cumby run for 8 yds to the Delaw 45

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.36

Nolan Henderson pass incomplete

3rd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.61

Nolan Henderson pass complete to Michael Jackson for 6 yds to the Villa 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.83

Nolan Henderson pass complete to Brett Buckman for 15 yds to the Villa 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.01

Nolan Henderson pass complete to Jourdan Townsend for a loss of 2 yards to the Villa 36

2nd & 12Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Kyron Cumby run for 6 yds to the Villa 30

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Marcus Yarns run for 5 yds to the Villa 25

4th & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -3.35

Kyron Cumby run for a loss of 3 yards to the Villa 28

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.00

DeeWil Barlee run for 11 yds to the Villa 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

DeeWil Barlee run for 1 yd to the Villa 40

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Connor Watkins pass complete to Jack Stanton for 6 yds to the Villa 46

4th & 3Punt0 yds

William Bartel punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jourdan Townsend at the Delaw 15

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Nolan Henderson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Nolan Henderson pass complete to Thyrick Pitts for 4 yds to the Delaw 19

3rd & 6Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.85

Nolan Henderson pass complete to Bryce De Maille for 16 yds to the Delaw 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Quincy Watson run for 3 yds to the Delaw 38

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Nolan Henderson pass complete to Thyrick Pitts for 6 yds to the Delaw 44

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.53

Marcus Yarns run for 7 yds to the Villa 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.83

Nolan Henderson pass complete to Brett Buckman for 15 yds to the Villa 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Nolan Henderson pass complete to Brett Buckman for 5 yds to the Villa 29

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Marcus Yarns run for 2 yds to the Villa 27

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.80

Quincy Watson run for no gain to the Villa 27

4th & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.41

Nolan Henderson pass complete to Chandler Harvin for 7 yds to the Villa 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Nolan Henderson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

DELAWARE Penalty, Illegal Block (Bradly Anyanwu) to the Villa 25

2nd & 15Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Nolan Henderson pass complete to Chandler Harvin for 6 yds to the Villa 19

3rd & 9Penalty0 yds

VILLANOVA Penalty, Offsides (Jordan Nelson) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 8Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Nolan Henderson pass complete to Marcus Yarns for 1 yd to the Villa 7

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

Nolan Henderson pass complete to Thyrick Pitts for 7 yds for a TD, (Garrett Bennion PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.95

Connor Watkins pass complete to Daniel Lopes for 8 yds to the Villa 35

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.98

DeeWil Barlee run for 1 yd to the Villa 36

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.30

Connor Watkins run for 5 yds to the Villa 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.79

DeeWil Barlee run for no gain to the Villa 41

3rd & 10Pass Reception+58 ydsPPA +5.65

Connor Watkins pass complete to Dez Boykin for 58 yds to the Delaw 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

DeeWil Barlee run for no gain to the Delaw 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

DeeWil Barlee run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matthew Mercurio KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+13 yds

Matthew Mercurio kickoff for 61 yds , Kyron Cumby return for 13 yds to the Delaw 17

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Nolan Henderson pass complete to Brett Buckman for 4 yds to the Delaw 21

2nd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.09

Nolan Henderson pass complete to Brett Buckman for 11 yds to the Delaw 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Nolan Henderson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Nolan Henderson pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +3.12

Nolan Henderson pass complete to Luke Frederick for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Nolan Henderson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Nolan Henderson pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.97

Nolan Henderson pass complete to Thyrick Pitts for 14 yds to the Villa 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Nolan Henderson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Nolan Henderson pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Kyron Cumby run for 8 yds to the Villa 28

4th & 2Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.40

Nolan Henderson pass complete to Brett Buckman for 10 yds to the Villa 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

HENDERSON, Nolan pass to the left incomplete intended for DE MAILLE, Bryce broken up by HARTZELL, Shane at the VIL0. PENALTY DEL Holding on SPARKS, Blaise enforced 10 yards from the VIL18 to the VIL28 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.56

Nolan Henderson run for 11 yds to the Villa 17

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Nolan Henderson pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Nolan Henderson pass complete to Marcus Yarns for 2 yds to the Villa 15

4th & 7Field Goal Good+32 yds

Brandon Ratcliffe 32 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.99

Connor Watkins pass complete to Daniel Lopes for 12 yds to the Villa 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

DeeWil Barlee run for 2 yds to the Villa 44

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.98

Dez Boykin run for no gain to the Villa 44

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

William Bartel punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jourdan Townsend at the Delaw 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.14

Nolan Henderson pass complete to Jourdan Townsend for 9 yds to the Delaw 30

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Kyron Cumby run for 2 yds to the Delaw 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Nolan Henderson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Marcus Yarns run for 3 yds to the Delaw 35

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Nolan Henderson pass incomplete

4th & 7Penalty-5 yds

DELAWARE Penalty, False Start (Kaelin Costello) to the Delaw 30

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Ben Dinkel punt for 32 yds , returns for no gain to the Villa 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.27

Nolan Henderson pass complete to Jourdan Townsend for 10 yds to the Villa 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +2.70

Nolan Henderson pass complete to Jourdan Townsend for 25 yds for a TD, (Brandon Ratcliffe KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Brandon Ratcliffe kickoff for 46 yds , Ethan Potter return for 24 yds to the Villa 43

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

DeeWil Barlee run for 2 yds to the Villa 45

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Connor Watkins run for 3 yds to the Villa 48

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt+11 yds

William Bartel punt for 45 yds , Jourdan Townsend returns for 11 yds to the Delaw 18

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Kyron Cumby run for 6 yds to the Delaw 24

2nd & 4Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.46

Kyron Cumby run for 16 yds to the Delaw 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.50

Marcus Yarns run for a loss of 2 yards to the Delaw 38

2nd & 12Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.41

Nolan Henderson pass complete to Khory Spruill for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.87

Marcus Yarns run for 15 yds to the Villa 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Nolan Henderson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.57

Kyron Cumby run for a loss of 3 yards to the Villa 38

3rd & 13Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Nolan Henderson pass complete to Brett Buckman for 4 yds to the Villa 34

4th & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.61

Nolan Henderson pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +3.56

Connor Watkins pass complete to Dez Boykin for 38 yds to the Delaw 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

DeeWil Barlee run for 5 yds to the Delaw 23

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Connor Watkins run for 3 yds to the Delaw 20

3rd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.33

DeeWil Barlee run for 9 yds to the Delaw 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

DeeWil Barlee run for 11 yds for a TD, (Matthew Mercurio KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Matthew Mercurio kickoff for 50 yds , Kyron Cumby return for 14 yds to the Delaw 29

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.46

Nolan Henderson sacked by Shane Hartzell for a loss of 9 yards to the Delaw 20

2nd & 19Fumble Recovery (Own)-10 ydsPPA -0.16

Nolan Henderson run for a loss of 10 yards to the Delaw 10 Nolan Henderson fumbled, recovered by Delaw Nolan Henderson

3rd & 29Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.05

Marcus Yarns run for 14 yds to the Delaw 24

4th & 15Penalty-5 yds

DINKEL, Ben punt 41 yards to the VIL35 downed by REED, Jake. PENALTY Before the snap, DEL Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the DEL24 to the DEL19. NO PLAY (replay the down).

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Ben Dinkel punt for 43 yds , returns for no gain to the Villa 37

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Nolan Henderson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.08

Nolan Henderson pass complete to Jourdan Townsend for 11 yds to the Villa 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Nolan Henderson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.39

Marcus Yarns run for 8 yds to the Villa 18

3rd & 2Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.38

Nolan Henderson pass complete to Thyrick Pitts for 9 yds to the Villa 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Kyron Cumby run for no gain to the Villa 9

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Nolan Henderson pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Nolan Henderson pass complete to Kyron Cumby for 1 yd to the Villa 8

4th & 8Field Goal Good+25 yds

Brandon Ratcliffe 25 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Brandon Ratcliffe kickoff for 60 yds , Dez Boykin return for 19 yds to the Villa 24

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.00

Connor Watkins run for 12 yds to the Villa 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.63

DeeWil Barlee run for no gain to the Villa 36

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

William Bartel punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jourdan Townsend at the Delaw 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Nolan Henderson pass complete to Brett Buckman for 5 yds to the Delaw 34

2nd & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.12

Quincy Watson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Delaw 32

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.04

Nolan Henderson pass complete to Thyrick Pitts for 8 yds to the Delaw 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Marcus Yarns run for 3 yds to the Delaw 43

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Nolan Henderson pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Nolan Henderson pass incomplete

4th & 7Blocked Punt0 yds

punt blocked by Richie Kimmel blocked by Richie Kimmel

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.66

DeeWil Barlee run for 9 yds to the Delaw 18

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.47

DeeWil Barlee run for 4 yds to the Delaw 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Connor Watkins run for 5 yds to the Delaw 9

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

DeeWil Barlee run for 1 yd to the Delaw 8

3rd & 4Penalty-10 yds

WATKINS, Connor scrambles to the right for a gain of 1 yard to the DEL7 (HENLEY, Justis;PLACK, Noah). PENALTY VIL Holding on PICARD, Jake enforced 10 yards from the DEL8 to the DEL18 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

4th & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.56

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Khory Spruill run for 1 yd to the Delaw 19

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Khory Spruill run for 4 yds to the Delaw 23

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Nolan Henderson pass incomplete

4th & 5Blocked Punt0 yds

punt blocked by Devon Marshall blocked by Devon Marshall

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

DeeWil Barlee run for 4 yds to the Delaw 6

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

DeeWil Barlee run for 5 yds to the Delaw 1

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.40

Connor Watkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the Delaw 2

4th & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.85

Connor Watkins run for 2 yds for a TD, (C. Watkins Run For Two-point Conversion)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+13 yds

Matthew Mercurio kickoff for 57 yds , Kyron Cumby return for 13 yds to the Delaw 21

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

DELAWARE Penalty, Offensive Holding (Brock Gingrich) to the Delaw 16

1st & 15Penalty+15 yds

HENDERSON, Nolan pass to the left incomplete intended for PITTS, Thyrick broken up by MARSHALL, Devon at the DEL40. PENALTY VIL Pass Interference on MARSHALL, Devon enforced 15 yards to the DEL31 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Nolan Henderson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Nolan Henderson pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Nolan Henderson pass complete to Marcus Yarns for 6 yds to the Delaw 37

4th & 4Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.87

Nolan Henderson pass complete to Chandler Harvin for 11 yds to the Delaw 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+1 ydsPPA -2.99

Nolan Henderson pass complete to Kyron Cumby for 1 yd Kyron Cumby fumbled, recovered by Villa Daniel Abraham

Situational Analysis

Delaware

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
36%
33 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
27%
15 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
56%
9 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
67%
3 plays
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

Villanova

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
39%
18 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
22%
9 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play
50%
6 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play