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← Back to GamesOct 15, 2022Week 7
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Richmond by 6.4

Home Win Probability

Richmond 66%

Market (consensus)

Richmond -4.5

Edge: Richmond -4.5 (1.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 15, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Villanova
730010
Richmond
0140620

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-77-1014-1017-1020-10
RichmondVillanova

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20RICVILRICVILRICVILRICVILRICVILRICVILRICVILRICVILRICVILRICVILRICVILRICPUNT39ydPUNT418ydDOWNS1027ydTD1062ydTD874ydFG1377ydTD1272ydPUNT37ydPUNT614ydMISS540ydEND1-1ydPUNT70ydPUNT636ydTO32ydTO526ydPUNT410ydPUNT31ydDOWNS556ydFG1368ydPUNT31ydFG925ydTO616ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Villanova and Richmond
StatisticVillanovaRichmond
Passing11-2816-23
Pass Yards146104
Rush Yards129227
Total Yards275331
Turnovers21
3rd Down3-127-16
Penalties8-594-39
Possession27:2832:32

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Villanova
passing
Connor Watkins
11/26, 146 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
TD Ayo-Durojaiye
11 CAR, 106 YDS
receiving
Jaaron Hayek
4 REC, 89 YDS
Richmond
passing
Reece Udinski
16/23, 104 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Aaron Dykes
23 CAR, 89 YDS
receiving
Jasiah Williams
5 REC, 47 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Jasiah Williams run for 1 yd to the Richm 30

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Reece Udinski run for 4 yds to the Richm 34

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Reece Udinski pass complete to Jasiah Williams for 4 yds to the Richm 38

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Aaron Trusler punt for 62 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.02

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for 24 yds to the Villa 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Connor Watkins pass incomplete to Dez Boykin

2nd & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for 4 yds to the Villa 43

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Connor Watkins pass incomplete to Dez Boykin

4th & 16Punt0 yds

William Bartel punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Savon Smith at the Richm 35

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Aaron Dykes run for 6 yds to the Richm 41

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.71

Aaron Dykes run for 2 yds to the Richm 43

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.46

Aaron Dykes run for 4 yds to the Richm 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Aaron Dykes run for 4 yds to the Villa 49

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Aaron Dykes run for 2 yds to the Villa 47

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.63

Aaron Dykes run for 5 yds to the Villa 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Reece Udinski run for 2 yds to the Villa 40

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Savon Smith run for 2 yds to the Villa 38

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Reece Udinski pass incomplete to Jakob Herres

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.58

Reece Udinski pass incomplete to Jasiah Williams

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.94

DeeWil Barlee run for 10 yds to the Villa 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

DeeWil Barlee run for 3 yds to the Richm 49

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Rayjoun Pringle run for 6 yds to the Richm 43

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.81

DeeWil Barlee run for 2 yds to the Richm 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

DeeWil Barlee run for 3 yds to the Richm 38

2nd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Connor Watkins pass complete to Charlie Gilroy for 7 yds to the Richm 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Connor Watkins pass incomplete to Rayjoun Pringle

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for 5 yds to the Richm 26

3rd & 5Penalty+10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Watkins,Connor pass incomplete short middle to Hayek,Jaaron broken up by Banks,Aaron QB hurried by Wheeler,Tristan PENALTY RICH Holding (Parker,Bryson) 10 yards from RICH26 to RICH16, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for 3 yds to the Richm 13

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.67

Connor Watkins run for 13 yds for a TD, (Matthew Mercurio KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Matthew Mercurio kickoff for 53 yds , Aaron Dykes return for 14 yds to the Richm 26

1st & 10Rush+49 ydsPPA +3.31

Savon Smith run for 49 yds to the Villa 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Reece Udinski pass incomplete to Leroy Henley

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.60

Savon Smith run for 11 yds to the Villa 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.23

Savon Smith run for 5 yds to the Villa 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Savon Smith run for 3 yds to the Villa 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Savon Smith run for no gain to the Villa 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Reece Udinski run for no gain to the Villa 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Reece Udinski run for 1 yd for a TD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Andrew Lopez kickoff for 49 yds , TD Ayo-Durojaiye return for no gain to the Villa 16

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Connor Watkins pass incomplete to Dez Boykin

2nd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.43

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for 15 yds to the Villa 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Connor Watkins run for 1 yd to the Villa 32

2nd & 9Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.81

Connor Watkins sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the Villa 28

3rd & 13Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +3.81

Connor Watkins pass complete to Jaaron Hayek for 29 yds to the Richm 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

DeeWil Barlee run for 3 yds to the Richm 25

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.34

Connor Watkins pass complete to DeeWil Barlee for 8 yds to the Richm 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 15Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Connor Watkins run for 6 yds to the Richm 16

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.32

Connor Watkins run for 8 yds to the Richm 8

3rd & 1Penalty+4 yds

PENALTY RICH Offside (Stocklinski,Carsen) 4 yards from RICH08 to RICH04, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

DeeWil Barlee run for 2 yds to the Richm 6

2nd & 6Sack-12 ydsPPA -1.44

Connor Watkins sacked by Zander Barnett for a loss of 12 yards to the Richm 18

3rd & 18Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.76

Connor Watkins pass complete to Dez Boykin for 11 yds to the Richm 7

4th & 7Field Goal Good+24 yds

Matthew Mercurio 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+25 yds

Matthew Mercurio kickoff for 62 yds , Aaron Dykes return for 25 yds to the Richm 28

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Aaron Dykes run for 9 yds to the Richm 37

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Aaron Dykes run for 1 yd to the Richm 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.27

Reece Udinski pass complete to Jasiah Williams for 14 yds to the Villa 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Reece Udinski pass complete to Leroy Henley for 6 yds to the Villa 42

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Aaron Dykes run for 3 yds to the Villa 39

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.71

Reece Udinski run for 3 yds to the Villa 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.37

Reece Udinski sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the Villa 44

2nd & 18Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.70

Reece Udinski pass complete to Jasiah Williams for 20 yds to the Villa 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Aaron Dykes run for 2 yds to the Villa 22

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Reece Udinski pass incomplete to Leroy Henley

1st & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Reece Udinski pass complete to Connor Deveney for 6 yds for a TD, (Andrew Lopez KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Connor Watkins pass complete to Jaaron Hayek for 6 yds to the Villa 31

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Connor Watkins run for 1 yd to the Villa 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Connor Watkins pass incomplete to Jaaron Hayek

4th & 3Punt0 yds

William Bartel punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Savon Smith at the Richm 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Reece Udinski pass complete to Leroy Henley for 7 yds to the Richm 22

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Reece Udinski pass incomplete to Nick DeGennaro

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.92

Reece Udinski run for 5 yds to the Richm 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Reece Udinski pass complete to Aaron Dykes for 2 yds to the Richm 29

2nd & 8Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.53

Reece Udinski pass complete to Nick DeGennaro for no gain to the Richm 29

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Reece Udinski pass incomplete to Jasiah Williams

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Aaron Trusler punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jaquan Allen at the Villa 31

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Aaron Trusler punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jaquan Allen at the Villa 31

1st & 20Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.06

Connor Watkins pass complete to DeeWil Barlee for 13 yds to the Villa 34

2nd & 7Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +3.25

Connor Watkins pass complete to Jaaron Hayek for 40 yds to the Richm 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.85

Connor Watkins sacked by Jeremiah Grant for a loss of 3 yards to the Richm 29

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

3rd & 13Field Goal Missed+46 yds

Matthew Mercurio 46 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.95

R. Udinski takes a knee

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+13 yds

Andrew Lopez kickoff for 48 yds , TD Ayo-Durojaiye return for 13 yds to the Villa 30

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

DeeWil Barlee run for 4 yds to the Villa 34

2nd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.08

Connor Watkins pass complete to Dez Boykin for 6 yds to the Villa 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

DeeWil Barlee run for 3 yds to the Villa 43

2nd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.35

Connor Watkins pass complete to Dez Boykin for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

DeeWil Barlee run for 2 yds to the Richm 48

2nd & 8Sack-22 ydsPPA -2.88

Connor Watkins sacked by Zander Barnett for a loss of 22 yards to the Villa 30

3rd & 30Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.03

Connor Watkins pass incomplete to Rayjoun Pringle

4th & 30Punt0 yds

William Bartel punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Savon Smith at the Richm 25

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.15

Milan Howard run for 24 yds to the Richm 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Milan Howard run for 3 yds to the Villa 48

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.18

Milan Howard run for 9 yds to the Villa 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Milan Howard run for 3 yds to the Villa 42

2nd & 13Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Reece Udinski run for 5 yds to the Villa 37

3rd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Milan Howard run for 2 yds to the Villa 39

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Aaron Trusler punt for 24 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for 2 yds to the Villa 17

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Connor Watkins pass incomplete to Rayjoun Pringle

3rd & 8Interception0 ydsPPA +0.19

Connor Watkins pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Reece Udinski pass complete to Jakob Herres for 8 yds to the Villa 37

2nd & 2Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.03

Reece Udinski run for 11 yds to the Villa 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.47

Reece Udinski pass complete to Aaron Dykes for no gain to the Villa 26

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.28

Reece Udinski pass complete to Connor Deveney for 7 yds to the Villa 19

3rd & 3Interception0 ydsPPA -4.09

Reece Udinski pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for 3 yds to the Villa 23

2nd & 7Penalty+10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Watkins,Connor pass incomplete short right to Hayek,Jaaron PENALTY RICH Holding (Rankin,Angelo) 10 yards from NOVA23 to NOVA33, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for 3 yds to the Villa 30

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Connor Watkins pass incomplete to Rayjoun Pringle

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Connor Watkins pass incomplete to Jaquan Allen

4th & 13Punt0 yds

William Bartel punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Savon Smith at the Richm 29

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Savon Smith run for 4 yds to the Richm 33

2nd & 6Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.78

Reece Udinski pass complete to Savon Smith for no gain to the Richm 33

3rd & 6Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.53

Reece Udinski sacked by Bryce Ganious for a loss of 3 yards to the Richm 30

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Aaron Trusler punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Rayjoun Pringle at the Villa 26

1st & 10Rush+51 ydsPPA +3.34

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for 51 yds to the Richm 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Eli Smith run for 2 yds to the Richm 21

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for 1 yd to the Richm 20

3rd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Connor Watkins run for 2 yds to the Richm 18

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.41

Connor Watkins pass incomplete to Jaaron Hayek

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.80

Milan Howard run for 12 yds to the Richm 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Reece Udinski pass complete to Milan Howard for 11 yds to the Richm 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Reece Udinski pass complete to Jasiah Williams for 2 yds to the Richm 43

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Aaron Dykes run for no gain to the Richm 43

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Aaron Dykes run for 6 yds to the Villa 43

2nd & 4Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.66

Aaron Dykes run for 15 yds to the Villa 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Milan Howard run for 1 yd to the Villa 27

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.42

Aaron Dykes run for 8 yds to the Villa 19

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.14

Reece Udinski run for 1 yd to the Villa 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Aaron Dykes run for 4 yds to the Villa 14

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Aaron Dykes run for 2 yds to the Villa 16

3rd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Aaron Dykes run for 2 yds to the Villa 14

4th & 6Field Goal Good+31 yds

Andrew Lopez 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Connor Watkins pass incomplete to Rayjoun Pringle

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

TD Ayo-Durojaiye run for 1 yd to the Villa 29

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Connor Watkins pass incomplete to Rayjoun Pringle

4th & 9Punt0 yds

William Bartel punt for 16 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Villa 45

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.00

Reece Udinski run for no gain to the Villa 45

2nd & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.71

Aaron Dykes run for 17 yds to the Villa 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Aaron Dykes run for 3 yds to the Villa 25

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.57

Aaron Dykes run for no gain to the Villa 25

3rd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.90

Reece Udinski pass complete to Jasiah Williams for 7 yds to the Villa 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Aaron Dykes run for 3 yds to the Villa 15

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Aaron Dykes run for 4 yds to the Villa 19

3rd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Aaron Dykes run for 1 yd to the Villa 20

4th & 12Field Goal Good+37 yds

Andrew Lopez 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

Andrew Lopez kickoff for 55 yds , TD Ayo-Durojaiye return for 12 yds to the Villa 22

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Connor Watkins pass incomplete to Rayjoun Pringle

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Connor Watkins pass incomplete to TD Ayo-Durojaiye

3rd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.03

Connor Watkins pass complete to Jaaron Hayek for 14 yds to the Villa 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Connor Watkins pass complete to TD Ayo-Durojaiye for 5 yds to the Villa 41

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Connor Watkins pass incomplete

3rd & 5Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+3 ydsPPA -0.87

Connor Watkins run for 3 yds to the Villa 31 Connor Watkins fumbled, recovered by Villa Philip O'Connor

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.73

R. Udinski takes a knee

Situational Analysis

Villanova

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
22%
23 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
60%
15 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
50%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Richmond

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
67%
3 plays
37%
30 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
17%
6 plays
42%
12 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
67%
6 plays
25%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play