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← Back to GamesAug 27, 2022Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Alabama State by 7.4

Home Win Probability

Alabama State 66%

Market (consensus)

Alabama State +1

Edge: Alabama State +1 (8.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Aug 27, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Howard
330713
Alabama State
677323

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-36-313-620-623-13
Alabama StateHoward

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20HOWASHOWASHOWASHOWASHOWASHOWASHOWASHOWASHOWASHOWASHOWFG1256ydPUNT3-3ydTO319ydTD855ydPUNT516ydTD777ydFG1872ydTO2-11ydDOWNS5-5ydPUNT73ydDOWNS27ydPUNT34ydDOWNS629ydTD999ydPUNT32ydTO540ydTO31ydPUNT3-6ydTD647ydFG1263ydUncategorized434yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Howard and Alabama State
StatisticHowardAlabama State
Passing17-3217-24
Pass Yards141245
Rush Yards127115
Total Yards268360
Turnovers12
3rd Down4-124-11
Penalties8-6511-100
Possession30:4129:19

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Howard
passing
Quinton Williams
17/32, 141 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Kasey Hawthorne
4 CAR, 39 YDS
receiving
Richie Ilarraza
7 REC, 36 YDS
Alabama State
passing
Dematrius Davis
16/23, 184 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jacory Merritt
15 CAR, 55 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Isaiah Scott
4 REC, 83 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Nathanial Eichner kickoff for 61 yds , Ian Wheeler return for 24 yds to the Howrd 28

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Jarett Hunter run for 9 yds to the Howrd 37

2nd & 1Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.44

Quinton Williams pass complete to Richie Ilarraza for 10 yds to the Howrd 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Quinton Williams run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Eden James run for 2 yds to the AlbSt 48

3rd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.82

Quinton Williams pass complete to Nah'Shawn Hezekiah for 5 yds to the AlbSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

Eden James run for no gain to the AlbSt 43

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Quinton Williams pass incomplete to Antoine Murray

3rd & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.72

Quinton Williams pass complete to Ian Wheeler for 22 yds to the AlbSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Quinton Williams pass complete to Richie Ilarraza for 5 yds to the AlbSt 16

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Quinton Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Quinton Williams pass incomplete to Matthew McDonald

4th & 10Field Goal Good+33 yds

Dylan West 33 yd FG GOOD

4th & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Dylan West kickoff for 55 yds , Robert McMinn return for 22 yds to the AlbSt 32

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.46

Jacory Merritt run for a loss of 5 yards to the AlbSt 27

2nd & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Dematrius Davis run for 2 yds to the AlbSt 29

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Dematrius Davis pass incomplete to E'Shawn Mayes

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Aubrey Grace punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Richie Ilarraza at the Howrd 29

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Jarett Hunter run for 7 yds to the Howrd 36

2nd & 3Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.11

Quinton Williams pass complete to Antoine Murray for 12 yds to the Howrd 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+2 ydsPPA -2.99

Quinton Williams pass intercepted Adrian Maddox return for 2 yds to the AlbSt 45

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Santos Dunn run for 1 yd to the AlbSt 46

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jacory Merritt run for 5 yds to the Howrd 49

3rd & 4Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.22

Dematrius Davis pass complete to Jacory Merritt for 16 yds to the Howrd 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Jacory Merritt run for 3 yds to the Howrd 30

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.72

Jacory Merritt run for no gain to the Howrd 30

3rd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.95

Jacory Merritt run for no gain to the Howrd 30

4th & 7Penalty+5 yds

HOWARD Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Howrd 25

4th & 2Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.30

Dematrius Davis pass complete to Santos Dunn for 22 yds to the Howrd 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Ja'Won Howell run for 3 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Nathanial Eichner kickoff for 60 yds , Ian Wheeler return for 20 yds to the Howrd 25

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Eden James run for 5 yds to the Howrd 30

2nd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.32

Kasey Hawthorne run for 11 yds to the Howrd 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Quinton Williams pass incomplete to Kasey Hawthorne

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jarett Hunter run for 4 yds to the Howrd 45

3rd & 6Penalty-10 yds

HOWARD Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Howrd 35

3rd & 16Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.07

Quinton Williams pass complete to Richie Ilarraza for 6 yds to the Howrd 41

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Phillip Richards punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Robert McMinn at the AlbSt 23

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Dematrius Davis pass complete to Isaiah Scott for 7 yds to the AlbSt 30

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.49

Jacory Merritt run for 6 yds to the AlbSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Dematrius Davis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +3.37

Dematrius Davis pass complete to La'Vontae Shenault for 34 yds to the Howrd 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-14 yds

ALABAMA ST Penalty, Illegal Block (-14 Yards) to the Howrd 44

1st & 24Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.54

Dematrius Davis pass complete to Jacory Merritt for 13 yds to the Howrd 31

2nd & 11Penalty+15 yds

Davis, Dematrius pass incomplete, PENALTY HOWARD face mask 15 yards to the HOWARD16, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ALABAMAST.

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.52

Dematrius Davis run for 10 yds to the Howrd 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 0Penalty-5 yds

ALABAMA ST Penalty, Offensive Offside (-5 Yards) to the Howrd 11

1st & 11Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.59

Dematrius Davis pass complete to Isaiah Scott for 11 yds for a TD, (Nathanial Eichner KICK)

1st & 15Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Nathanial Eichner kickoff for 65 yds , Ian Wheeler return for 17 yds to the Howrd 17

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.68

Quinton Williams pass complete to Antoine Murray for 11 yds to the Howrd 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.01

Ian Wheeler run for a loss of 2 yards to the Howrd 26

2nd & 12Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Quinton Williams pass complete to Richie Ilarraza for 4 yds to the Howrd 30

3rd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.17

Quinton Williams pass complete to Jarett Hunter for 10 yds to the Howrd 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Quinton Williams pass complete to Nah'Shawn Hezekiah for 7 yds to the Howrd 47

2nd & 3Penalty+15 yds

ALABAMA ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the AlbSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Quinton Williams pass incomplete to Kasey Hawthorne

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Quinton Williams pass complete to Richie Ilarraza for 3 yds to the AlbSt 35

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Quinton Williams pass incomplete to Richie Ilarraza

4th & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.51

Quinton Williams pass complete to Richie Ilarraza for 8 yds to the AlbSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Ian Wheeler run for 2 yds to the AlbSt 25

2nd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.42

Ian Wheeler run for 8 yds to the AlbSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Kasey Hawthorne run for 7 yds to the AlbSt 10

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Jarett Hunter run for 2 yds to the AlbSt 8

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.64

Jarett Hunter run for 3 yds to the AlbSt 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Jarett Hunter run for a loss of 1 yard to the AlbSt 6

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Quinton Williams pass incomplete to Antoine Murray

3rd & 0Penalty-5 yds

HOWARD Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the AlbSt 11

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Quinton Williams pass incomplete

4th & 11Field Goal Good+28 yds

Dylan West 28 Yd Field Goal

4th & 16Kickoff Return (Offense)+28 yds

Dylan West kickoff for 51 yds , Rodney Echols Jr. return for 28 yds to the AlbSt 42

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.55

Santos Dunn run for a loss of 2 yards to the AlbSt 40

2nd & 12Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.16

Dematrius Davis sacked by Marcus Brown for a loss of 9 yards to the AlbSt 31 Dematrius Davis fumbled, recovered by Howrd

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Eden James run for 4 yds to the AlbSt 27

2nd & 6Rush-10 ydsPPA -2.59

Jarett Hunter run for no gain to the AlbSt 27 HOWARD Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the AlbSt 37

2nd & 16Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.79

Quinton Williams pass complete to Christion Carter for 9 yds to the AlbSt 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Quinton Williams pass incomplete to Richie Ilarraza

4th & 7Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.42

Quinton Williams sacked by Stefon Young-Rolle for a loss of 8 yards to the AlbSt 36

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.22

Dematrius Davis pass complete to Jeremiah Hixon for 13 yds to the AlbSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Dematrius Davis pass complete to La'Vontae Shenault for 4 yds to the Howrd 47

2nd & 6Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Jeremiah Hixon run for 11 yds to the Howrd 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

ALABAMA ST Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the AlbSt 49

1st & 10Pass Reception-7 ydsPPA -2.50

Dematrius Davis pass complete to Robert McMinn for 3 yds to the ALABAMAST 48 ALABAMA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the AlbSt 42

1st & 17Penalty-5 yds

ALABAMA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the AlbSt 37

1st & 22Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.73

Dematrius Davis run for 9 yds to the AlbSt 46

2nd & 13Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.40

Dematrius Davis sacked by Kenny Gallop Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the AlbSt 39

3rd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Dematrius Davis pass incomplete

4th & 20Blocked Punt+19 yds

Aubrey Grace punt blocked by Jevin Jackson blocked by Jevin Jackson Kasey Hawthorne return for 19 yds to the AlbSt 20

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Quinton Williams run for 2 yds to the AlbSt 18

2nd & 8Penalty+5 yds

ALABAMA ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the AlbSt 13

2nd & 3Field Goal Missed+30 yds

Dylan West 30 yd FG MISSED

0th & 3End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+8 yds

Dylan West kickoff for 53 yds , Rodney Echols Jr. return for 8 yds to the AlbSt 20

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Jacory Merritt run for 9 yds to the AlbSt 29

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

Jacory Merritt run for no gain to the AlbSt 29

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Jacory Merritt run for no gain to the AlbSt 29

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

ALABAMA ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the AlbSt 24

4th & 6Punt+4 yds

Aubrey Grace punt for 40 yds , Richie Ilarraza returns for 4 yds to the Howrd 40

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Eden James run for 4 yds to the Howrd 44

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.24

Kasey Hawthorne run for 8 yds to the AlbSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.71

Kasey Hawthorne run for 13 yds to the AlbSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Quinton Williams pass incomplete to Richie Ilarraza

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Jarett Hunter run for 4 yds to the AlbSt 31

3rd & 6Penalty-10 yds

HOWARD Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the AlbSt 41

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Quinton Williams pass incomplete to Ian Wheeler

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Phillip Richards punt for 40 yds, downed at the AlbSt 1

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.24

Ja'Won Howell run for no gain to the AlbSt 1

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.19

Dematrius Davis run for 8 yds to the AlbSt 9

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.28

Ja'Won Howell run for 2 yds to the AlbSt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Dematrius Davis pass incomplete to Isaiah Scott

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.10

Dematrius Davis pass complete to Santos Dunn for 2 yds to the AlbSt 13

3rd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.90

Dematrius Davis run for 8 yds to the AlbSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+61 ydsPPA +3.74

Myles Crawley pass complete to Isaiah Scott for 61 yds to the Howrd 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.60

Jacory Merritt run for a loss of 3 yards to the Howrd 21

2nd & 13Rushing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +3.19

Jacory Merritt run for 21 yds for a TD, (Nathanial Eichner KICK)

2nd & 13Penalty-15 yds

ALABAMA ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the AlbSt 20

2nd & 28Kickoff Return (Offense)+28 yds

Nathanial Eichner kickoff for 63 yds , Ian Wheeler return for 28 yds to the Howrd 45

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Jarett Hunter run for 1 yd to the Howrd 46

2nd & 9Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.29

Jarett Hunter run for a loss of 2 yards to the Howrd 44

3rd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Richie Ilarraza run for 3 yds to the Howrd 47

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Phillip Richards punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Robert McMinn at the AlbSt 13

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.50

Dematrius Davis pass complete to Jayce Medlock for a loss of 2 yards to the AlbSt 11

2nd & 12Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +3.19

Dematrius Davis pass complete to Tyree Saunders for 37 yds to the AlbSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Santos Dunn run for 5 yds to the Howrd 47

2nd & 5Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.17

Dematrius Davis pass complete to Jeremiah Hixon for no gain to the Howrd 47

3rd & 5Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.92

Dematrius Davis pass intercepted Terrance Hollon return for no gain to the Howrd 45

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Quinton Williams pass incomplete to Richie Ilarraza

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Quinton Williams run for 1 yd to the Howrd 46

3rd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Quinton Williams pass complete to Richie Ilarraza for 5 yds Richie Ilarraza fumbled, recovered by Howrd

4th & 9Punt+7 yds

Phillip Richards punt for 40 yds , Robert McMinn returns for 7 yds to the AlbSt 21

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

ALABAMA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the AlbSt 16

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Santos Dunn run for 1 yd to the AlbSt 17

2nd & 14Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.17

Dematrius Davis pass complete to Robert McMinn for a loss of 2 yards to the AlbSt 15

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

Dematrius Davis pass incomplete to La'Vontae Shenault

4th & 16Punt+12 yds

Aubrey Grace punt for 44 yds , Richie Ilarraza returns for 12 yds to the AlbSt 47

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.74

Ian Wheeler run for 15 yds to the AlbSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Quinton Williams pass incomplete to Matthew McDonald

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

HOWARD Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the AlbSt 37

2nd & 15Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.74

Quinton Williams run for 17 yds to the AlbSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Quinton Williams pass complete to Antoine Murray for 9 yds to the AlbSt 11

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Tony Bedell run for 6 yds to the AlbSt 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Jarett Hunter run for 5 yds for a TD, (Dylan West KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+10 yds

Dylan West kickoff for 50 yds , Santos Dunn return for 10 yds to the AlbSt 25

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Jacory Merritt run for 13 yds to the AlbSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Dematrius Davis pass complete to La'Vontae Shenault for 6 yds to the AlbSt 44

2nd & 4Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.79

Jacory Merritt run for a loss of 3 yards to the AlbSt 41

3rd & 7Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +3.10

Dematrius Davis pass complete to Jacory Merritt for 18 yds to the Howrd 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.40

Jacory Merritt run for 10 yds to the Howrd 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Dematrius Davis run for 3 yds to the Howrd 28

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Ja'Won Howell run for 6 yds to the Howrd 22

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.26

Santos Dunn run for 7 yds to the Howrd 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Dematrius Davis pass complete to Isaiah Scott for 4 yds to the Howrd 11

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Dematrius Davis pass incomplete to Isaiah Scott

3rd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.50

Jacory Merritt run for a loss of 1 yard to the Howrd 12

4th & 7Field Goal Good+29 yds

Nathanial Eichner 29 yd FG GOOD

4th & 7Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Nathanial Eichner kickoff for 60 yds , Ian Wheeler return for 21 yds to the Howrd 26

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Quinton Williams pass incomplete to Antoine Murray

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.18

Quinton Williams pass complete to Nah'Shawn Hezekiah for 16 yds to the Howrd 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

HOWARD Penalty, False Start (Jamal Hines) to the Howrd 37

1st & 15Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.31

Quinton Williams sacked by Stefon Young-Rolle for a loss of 6 yards to the Howrd 31

2nd & 21Penalty+5 yds

ALABAMA ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Howrd 36

2nd & 16Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.50

Quinton Williams pass complete to Christion Carter for 9 yds to the AlbSt 45 for a 1ST down ALABAMA ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the AlbSt 40 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Howard

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
40%
25 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
75%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
22%
9 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
60%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
50%
2 plays

Alabama State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
41%
22 plays
75%
4 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
67%
6 plays
33%
6 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play