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← Back to GamesSep 17, 2022Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Princeton by 10.7

Home Win Probability

Stetson 27%

Market (consensus)

Stetson +33.5

Edge: Stetson +33.5 (22.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 17, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Princeton
71510739
Stetson
770014

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-714-2214-39
StetsonPrinceton

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20STEPRISTEPRISTEPRISTEPRISTEPRISTEPRISTEPRISTEPRIPRISTESTEPRISTEPRISTEPRIDOWNS942ydTO838ydTD368ydTD1270ydTD568ydTD1071ydPUNT3-3ydTD872ydSAF3-9ydPUNT38ydPUNT3-3ydTD1063ydPUNT33ydFG925ydPUNT59ydPUNT616ydTD125ydUncategorized311ydPUNT3-7ydPUNT63ydTO39ydDOWNS41ydUncategorized1264ydUncategorized20yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Princeton and Stetson
StatisticPrincetonStetson
Passing23-3323-35
Pass Yards256253
Rush Yards161-10
Total Yards417243
Turnovers13
3rd Down5-133-13
Penalties8-658-80
Possession39:2320:37

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Princeton
passing
Blake Stenstrom
23/33, 256 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Ryan Butler
7 CAR, 67 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Andrei Iosivas
6 REC, 84 YDS, 2 TD
Stetson
passing
Brady Meitz
23/35, 253 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jalen Leary
11 CAR, 22 YDS
receiving
Nazeviah Burris
8 REC, 89 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Jeffrey Sexton kickoff for 57 yds , Kaderris Roberts return for 15 yds to the Stets 23

4th & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -1.93

Kaderris Roberts run for 2 yds to the Princ 35

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Marshall Golick kickoff for 58 yds , AJ Barber return for 23 yds to the Princ 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.97

Brady Meitz pass complete to Nazeviah Burris for 12 yds to the Stets 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Brady Meitz pass complete to Kaleb Costner for 11 yds to the Stets 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.92

Brady Meitz pass complete to Nazeviah Burris for 8 yds to the Princ 46

2nd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.51

Jalen Leary run for a loss of 1 yard to the Princ 47

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.42

Jalen Leary run for 4 yds to the Princ 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

pass incomplete to Michael Martinez

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Brady Meitz pass complete to Dominic Carlucci for 2 yds to the Princ 41

3rd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jalen Leary run for 4 yds to the Princ 37

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+27 yds

Jeffrey Sexton kickoff for 60 yds , Jalen Mason return for 27 yds to the Stets 32

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Marshall Golick kickoff for 52 yds , AJ Barber return for 16 yds to the Princ 29 AJ Barber fumbled, recovered by Princ AJ Barber , return for no gain to the Princ 29

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+10 yds

Jeffrey Sexton kickoff for 55 yds , Jalen Mason return for 10 yds to the Stets 45 STETSON Penalty, illegal block (Jalon Warthen-Carr) to the Stets 10

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+10 yds

Marshall Golick kickoff for 52 yds , AJ Barber return for 10 yds to the Princ 38

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Jeffrey Sexton kickoff for 61 yds , Jalen Mason return for 16 yds to the STETSON 49 STETSON Penalty, Offensive holding (Javaris Young) to the Stets 10

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+34 yds

Jeffrey Sexton kickoff for 61 yds , Jalen Mason return for 34 yds to the Stets 38

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+45 yds

Jeffrey Sexton kickoff for 59 yds , Jalen Mason return for 45 yds to the STETSON 20 STETSON Penalty, Offensive holding (Jordan Williams) to the Stets 41

2nd & 2Fumble Recovery (Own)-1 ydsPPA -0.86

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Dylan Classi for a loss of 1 yard Blake Stenstrom fumbled, recovered by Stets David Stubbs

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

John Volker run for 4 yds to the Princ 39

2nd & 6Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.93

Blake Stenstrom run for 16 yds to the Stets 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Ja'Derris Carr run for 5 yds to the Stets 40

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

PRINCETON Penalty, false start (Connor Scaglione) to the Stets 45

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Jo Jo Hawkins for 7 yds to the Stets 38

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Ja'Derris Carr run for 2 yds to the Stets 36

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.59

Niko Vangarelli run for 1 yd to the Stets 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.56

Jo Jo Hawkins run for 8 yds to the Stets 27

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+60 ydsPPA +5.81

Brady Meitz pass complete to Michael Carley for 60 yds for a TD, (Cameron Gillis KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jalen Leary run for 5 yds to the Stets 37

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Jalen Leary run for 3 yds to the Stets 40

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Blake Stenstrom run for 6 yds to the Princ 36

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

John Volker run for 3 yds to the Princ 39

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.98

John Volker run for 1 yd to the Princ 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Jo Jo Hawkins for 5 yds to the Princ 45

2nd & 5Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.59

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Michael Axelrood for 18 yds to the Stets 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Blake Stenstrom run for 1 yd to the Stets 36

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Andrei Iosivas for 5 yds to the Stets 31

3rd & 4Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.02

Ryan Butler run for 18 yds to the Stets 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Blake Stenstrom pass incomplete to Andrei Iosivas, broken up by Javeon Ensley

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.38

Ryan Butler run for 10 yds to the Stets 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Niko Vangarelli run for 2 yds to the Stets 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Ryan Butler run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jeffrey Sexton KICK)

2nd & 14Passing Touchdown+49 ydsPPA +5.38

Nazeviah Burris 49 Yd pass from Brady Meitz (Cameron Gillis Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Brady Meitz pass complete to Nazeviah Burris for 4 yds to the Stets 36

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Brady Meitz pass incomplete to Michael Carley, broken up by Tamatoa Falatea

3rd & 6Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +3.06

Brady Meitz pass complete to Jalen Leary for 4 yds to the Princ 40 for a 1ST down PRINCETON Penalty, roughing passer (Uche Ndukwe) to the Princ 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Brady Meitz pass complete to Nazeviah Burris for 1 yd to the Princ 44

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

STETSON Penalty, false start (Andrew Nadolski) to the Princ 49

1st & 4Rush-10 ydsPPA -1.35

PRINCETON Penalty, Offensive holding (Connor Scaglione) to the Stets 14

1st & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Blake Stenstrom pass incomplete to Carson Bobo, broken up by Alex Alteus

2nd & 14Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.21

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Jo Jo Hawkins for 8 yds to the Stets 6

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Ryan Butler run for 1 yd to the Stets 5

4th & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +3.05

Andrei Iosivas 5 Yd pass from Blake Stenstrom (Jeffrey Sexton Kick)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Blake Stenstrom run for 1 yd to the Princ 30

2nd & 9Penalty0 yds

PRINCETON Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Majeste Hansberry) to the Princ 30

2nd & 9Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -0.53

Blake Stenstrom fumbled, recovered by Princ Blake Stenstrom

3rd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.33

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Jo Jo Hawkins for 8 yds to the Princ 38

4th & 1Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+15 ydsPPA -0.36

Blake Stenstrom fumbled, recovered by Princ Ryan Butler for a 1ST down for a 1ST down STETSON Penalty, personal foul (Javeon Ensley) to the Stets 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+43 ydsPPA +1.93

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Andrei Iosivas for 43 yds to the Stets 4 for a 1ST down

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Marshall Golick punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Jalen Leary run for 2 yds to the Stets 37

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

STETSON Penalty, false start (Logan Wylie) to the Stets 32

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

pass incomplete to Nazeviah Burris

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

pass incomplete to Jalen Leary

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.39

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Andrei Iosivas for 10 yds for a TD, (Jeffrey Sexton PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.00

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Michael Axelrood for 11 yds to the Princ 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.31

for a 1ST down STETSON Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Finau Fine) to the Stets 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to John Volker for 7 yds to the Stets 39

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

pass incomplete to Jo Jo Hawkins

3rd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.15

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Dylan Classi for 7 yds to the Stets 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.30

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Dylan Classi for 16 yds to the Stets 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Blake Stenstrom run for 6 yds to the Stets 10

3rd & 19Safety0 ydsPPA -1.61

Team Safety

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.54

Brady Meitz sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the Stets 3

2nd & 17Fumble Recovery (Own)-2 ydsPPA -0.05

Brady Meitz run for a loss of 2 yards to the Stets 1 Brady Meitz fumbled, recovered by Stets Brady Meitz

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Will Powers punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

John Volker run for 5 yds to the Princ 43

2nd & 5Fumble Recovery (Own)-12 ydsPPA -2.36

Blake Stenstrom run for a loss of 12 yards to the Princ 31 Blake Stenstrom fumbled, recovered by Princ Henry Byrd

3rd & 17Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.91

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Ryan Butler for 15 yds to the Princ 46

3rd & 6Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.37

Brady Meitz sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the Stets 17

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Marshall Golick punt for 54 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Brady Meitz pass complete to Michael Carley for 8 yds to the Stets 28

2nd & 2Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.40

Jalen Leary run for a loss of 4 yards to the Stets 24

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

John Volker 1 Yd Run (Jeffrey Sexton Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.21

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Carson Bobo for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.05

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Jo Jo Hawkins for 21 yds to the Stets 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Blake Stenstrom pass incomplete to Dylan Classi, broken up by Rassie Littlejohn

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Ryan Butler run for 4 yds to the Stets 25

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

PRINCETON Penalty, false start (Zackary Zambrano) to the Stets 30

3rd & 11Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Andrei Iosivas for 6 yds to the Stets 24

4th & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.43

Blake Stenstrom run for 7 yds to the Stets 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

John Volker run for 6 yds to the Stets 11

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.34

John Volker run for 5 yds to the Stets 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.15

John Volker run for 5 yds to the Stets 1

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Marshall Golick punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Brady Meitz pass complete to Nazeviah Burris for 3 yds to the Stets 13

2nd & 7Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.27

Brady Meitz pass complete to Nazeviah Burris

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Brady Meitz pass incomplete to Michael Martinez

4th & 15Field Goal Good+46 yds

Jeffrey Sexton 46 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.00

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Ja'Derris Carr for 14 yds to the Stets 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Blake Stenstrom pass incomplete to Dylan Classi, broken up by Micah Adams

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Ja'Derris Carr run for 5 yds to the Stets 35

3rd & 5Rush-10 ydsPPA -2.77

PRINCETON Penalty, Offensive holding (Henry Byrd) to the Stets 45

3rd & 15Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +3.40

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Jo Jo Hawkins for 21 yds to the Stets 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Ryan Butler for 5 yds to the Stets 19

2nd & 5Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.81

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to AJ Barber for a loss of 3 yards to the Stets 22

3rd & 8Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.18

Blake Stenstrom sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the Stets 29

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Marshall Golick punt for 53 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.48

Brady Meitz pass complete to Kaleb Costner for 17 yds to the Princ 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.23

Jalen Leary run for a loss of 1 yard to the Princ 46

2nd & 11Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Brady Meitz pass complete to Michael Martinez for 3 yds to the Princ 43

3rd & 8Pass Reception-10 ydsPPA -2.02

Brady Meitz pass complete to Michael Martinez STETSON Penalty, Offensive holding (Logan Wylie) to the Stets 47

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

pass incomplete to Michael Carley

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PRINCETON Penalty, false start (Connor Scaglione) to the Princ 15

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Blake Stenstrom run for 1 yd to the Princ 16

2nd & 14Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.19

Blake Stenstrom run for 8 yds to the Princ 24

3rd & 6Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.13

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Andrei Iosivas for 15 yds to the Princ 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

John Volker run for 2 yds to the Princ 41

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion-5 ydsPPA -1.44

Blake Stenstrom pass incomplete to Dylan Classi PRINCETON Penalty, delay of game (Blake Stenstrom) to the Princ 36

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

pass incomplete to John Volker

3rd & 13Punt+1 yds

Will Powers punt for 48 yds , Michael Martinez returns for 1 yd to the Stets 17

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +2.70

Ryan Butler 25 Yd Run (Jeffrey Sexton Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Brady Meitz pass complete to Jalen Leary for 8 yds to the Stets 25

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Jalen Leary run for 3 yds to the Stets 28 for a 1ST down

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Marshall Golick punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Brady Meitz pass incomplete to Michael Carley, broken up by Nicholas Sanker

2nd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.35

Brady Meitz sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the Stets 34

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

pass incomplete to Nazeviah Burris

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Will Powers punt for 64 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Blake Stenstrom run for 3 yds to the Princ 35

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.43

Ryan Butler run for 8 yds to the Princ 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.90

Ja'Derris Carr run for a loss of 4 yards to the Princ 39

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Blake Stenstrom pass incomplete to Tyler Picinic, broken up by Ethan Hull

3rd & 14Pass Reception-10 ydsPPA -0.46

Blake Stenstrom pass complete to Tyler Picinic PRINCETON Penalty, Offensive holding (Nicholas Hilliard) to the Princ 29

3rd & 24Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.02

Blake Stenstrom run for 6 yds to the Princ 35

3rd & 1Interception0 ydsPPA -0.04

Brady Meitz pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

pass incomplete to Nazeviah Burris

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.27

Brady Meitz pass complete to Kaleb Costner for 9 yds to the Stets 10

4th & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.39

Blake Stenstrom pass incomplete to Christopher Paige, broken up by David Stubbs

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Blake Stenstrom run for 1 yd to the Stets 13

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

pass incomplete to Matthew Mahoney

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Blake Stenstrom pass incomplete to Matthew Mahoney, broken up by Micah Adams

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.64

Brady Meitz pass complete to Quinton Lane for 8 yds to the Stets 21

2nd & 2Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.91

Brady Meitz pass complete to Michael Martinez for 15 yds to the Stets 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Jalen Leary run for 8 yds to the Stets 44

2nd & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.10

Brady Meitz pass complete to Kaleb Costner for 4 yds to the Stets 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Brady Meitz run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

pass incomplete to Nazeviah Burris

3rd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.66

Brady Meitz pass complete to Nazeviah Burris for 12 yds to the Princ 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Brady Meitz pass complete to Kaleb Costner for 5 yds to the Princ 33

2nd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.31

Brady Meitz pass complete to Michael Martinez for 8 yds to the Princ 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Brady Meitz pass incomplete to Quinton Lane, broken up by Ken Lim

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Brady Meitz pass complete to Dominic Carlucci for 2 yds to the Princ 23

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96
2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Davis Kline run for 6 yds to the Princ 33

Situational Analysis

Princeton

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays
61%
28 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
57%
7 plays
60%
10 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
80%
5 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play

Stetson

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
48%
21 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
17%
6 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play