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← Back to GamesNov 19, 2022Week 12
Dayton
23
-Final
24
Davidson
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Davidson by 4.1

Home Win Probability

Davidson 58%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

Davidson -8.5

Edge: Dayton +8.5 (4.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 19, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Dayton
737623
Davidson
7314024

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-77-710-710-1010-1717-1724-23
DavidsonDayton

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20DAYDAVDAYDAVDAYDAVDAYDAVDAYDAVDAYDAVDAYDAVDAYDAVDAYDAVDAYDAVDAYDAVTD864ydTD583ydPUNT3-12ydFG1137ydPUNT35ydTO757ydTO28ydDOWNS46ydFG950ydPUNT39ydEND11ydTO68ydTD961ydTD175ydPUNT3-5ydTD562ydTD785ydMISS948ydMISS1050ydPUNT715ydDOWNS616ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Dayton and Davidson
StatisticDaytonDavidson
Passing9-175-8
Pass Yards123113
Rush Yards165281
Total Yards288394
Turnovers12
3rd Down3-94-14
Penalties3-305-50
Possession30:0429:56

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Dayton
passing
Shane Hamm
9/17, 123 YDS
rushing
Jake Chisholm
19 CAR, 90 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Luke Brenner
2 REC, 50 YDS
Davidson
passing
Jayden Waddell
5/8, 113 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Coy Williams
12 CAR, 99 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Maxwell Weaver
2 REC, 80 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+7 yds

Caden Bonoffski kickoff for 36 yds , Cade Beam return for 7 yds to the Dayt 36

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Shane Hamm pass complete to Jake Chisholm for 4 yds to the Dayt 40

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.12

Shane Hamm run for 6 yds to the Dayt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY DAV Offside (Hammond,Jonathan) 5 yards from DAY46 to DAV49. NO PLAY.

1st & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.54

Jake Chisholm run for 5 yds to the David 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.48

Shane Hamm pass complete to Joey Swanson for 10 yds to the David 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.55

Jake Chisholm run for 8 yds to the David 26

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.23

Shane Hamm run for 6 yds to the David 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jake Chisholm run for 5 yds to the David 15

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.54

Jake Chisholm run for 15 yds for a TD, (Sam Webster KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Michael Denning kickoff for 63 yds , Anthony Njoku return for 15 yds to the David 17

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Dylan Sparks run for 5 yds to the David 22

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Dylan Sparks run for 2 yds to the David 24

3rd & 3Rush+72 ydsPPA +5.11

Dylan Sparks run for 72 yds to the Dayt 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Dylan Sparks run for 1 yd to the Dayt 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Coy Williams run for 3 yds for a TD, (Caden Bonoffski KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Caden Bonoffski kickoff for 53 yds , Luke Brenner return for 19 yds to the Dayt 31

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Shane Hamm pass incomplete to Luke Brenner

2nd & 10Sack-11 ydsPPA -0.85

Shane Hamm sacked by Aaron Warren for a loss of 11 yards to the Dayt 20

3rd & 21Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.03

Shane Hamm run for 1 yd to the Dayt 19

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Drew Nieman punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Coy Williams run for 3 yds to the David 48

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Mark McCurdy run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 5Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.43

Aaron Maione run for 16 yds to the Dayt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Coy Williams run for 1 yd to the Dayt 35 Coy Williams fumbled, recovered by David Tyler Payne

2nd & 11Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.70

Mark McCurdy run for 9 yds to the Dayt 26

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.58

Mason Sheron run for 1 yd to the Dayt 25

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.97

Jake Stylski run for 1 yd to the Dayt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY DAV Delay Of Game 5 yards from DAY24 to DAY29. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Jayden Waddell run for 1 yd to the Dayt 28

2nd & 14Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Aaron Maione run for 5 yds to the Dayt 23

3rd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Mark McCurdy run for 5 yds to the Dayt 18

4th & 4Field Goal Good+35 yds

Caden Bonoffski 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+5 yds

Caden Bonoffski kickoff for 40 yds , Alec Keathley return for 5 yds to the Dayt 30

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Jake Chisholm run for no gain to the Dayt 30

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Jake Chisholm run for 7 yds to the Dayt 37

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Jake Chisholm run for 2 yds to the Dayt 35

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Drew Nieman punt for 55 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the David 10

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Dylan Sparks run for 1 yd to the David 11

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Jayden Waddell run for 6 yds to the David 17

3rd & 3Penalty+5 yds

DAYTON Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the David 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+45 ydsPPA +3.37

Jayden Waddell pass complete to Maxwell Weaver for 45 yds to the Dayt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Dylan Sparks run for 3 yds to the Dayt 30

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Aris Hilliard run for 2 yds to the Dayt 32

3rd & 9Interception0 ydsPPA -2.81

Jayden Waddell pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Shane Hamm pass complete to Jake Chisholm for 10 yds to the Dayt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA -2.90

Jake Chisholm run for 2 yds to the Dayt 45 Jake Chisholm fumbled, recovered by David Mikah Kent

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Coy Williams run for 1 yd to the Dayt 44

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Aaron Maione run for 5 yds to the Dayt 39

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Aaron Maione run for 2 yds to the Dayt 37

4th & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.83

Jayden Waddell run for 2 yds to the Dayt 39

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +1.88

Jake Chisholm run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down DAVIDSON Penalty, Personal Foul (Jerrad Price) to the David 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Shane Hamm run for 2 yds to the David 33

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Jake Chisholm run for 7 yds to the David 26

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.28

Shane Hamm run for 2 yds to the David 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.15

Luke Brenner run for 12 yds to the David 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Michael Neel run for 3 yds to the David 9

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Shane Hamm run for 2 yds to the David 11

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Shane Hamm pass incomplete to Sam Bubonics

4th & 9Field Goal Good+28 yds

Sam Webster 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Michael Denning kickoff for 63 yds , Aaron Maione return for 14 yds to the David 16

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Coy Williams run for 1 yd to the David 17

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.26

Jayden Waddell pass complete to Mark McCurdy for 7 yds to the David 24

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Aaron Maione run for 1 yd to the David 25

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Alexander Donald punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Sam Bubonics at the Dayt 36

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Shane Hamm run for 1 yd to the Dayt 37

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jayden Waddell run for 2 yds to the David 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.29

Jayden Waddell pass complete to Clarence Freeman IV for 8 yds to the David 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Dylan Sparks run for 4 yds to the David 39

2nd & 6Penalty-10 yds

DAVIDSON Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the David 38

2nd & 7Fumble Recovery (Own)+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Aris Hilliard run for 5 yds to the David 33 Aris Hilliard fumbled, recovered by David Aris Hilliard

3rd & 12Interception0 ydsPPA +0.01

Jayden Waddell pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Shane Hamm run for 2 yds to the Dayt 41

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Shane Hamm run for 4 yds to the Dayt 45

3rd & 4Penalty+15 yds

PENALTY DAV UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Thomas,Yusef) 15 yards from DAY45 to DAV40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Jake Chisholm run for 1 yd to the David 39

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.65

Jake Chisholm run for 8 yds to the David 31

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.38

Shane Hamm run for 1 yd to the David 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Shane Hamm run for 3 yds to the David 27

2nd & 7Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.30

Luke Brenner run for 23 yds to the David 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Jake Chisholm run for 1 yd to the David 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Jake Chisholm run for 3 yds for a TD, (Sam Webster KICK)

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +6.08

Coy Williams run for 75 yds for a TD, (Caden Bonoffski KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Joey Swanson run for no gain to the Dayt 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Shane Hamm pass incomplete to Sam Bubonics

3rd & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.23

Shane Hamm sacked by Mikah Kent for a loss of 5 yards to the Dayt 20

4th & 15Punt+1 yds

Drew Nieman punt for 43 yds , Aaron Maione returns for 1 yd to the David 38

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Dylan Sparks run for 4 yds to the David 42

2nd & 6Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.93

Jayden Waddell pass complete to Mark McCurdy for 18 yds to the Dayt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Dylan Sparks run for 3 yds to the Dayt 37

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Dylan Sparks run for 2 yds to the Dayt 35

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+35 ydsPPA +3.97

Jayden Waddell pass complete to Maxwell Weaver for 35 yds for a TD, (Caden Bonoffski KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+58 yds

Caden Bonoffski kickoff for 56 yds , Luke Brenner return for 58 yds to the DAVIDSON 7 DAYTON Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Dayt 15

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Jake Chisholm run for 1 yd to the Dayt 16

2nd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.30

Shane Hamm pass complete to Derek Willits for 14 yds to the Dayt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Jake Chisholm run for 1 yd to the Dayt 31

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

Jake Chisholm run for no gain to the Dayt 31

3rd & 9Pass Reception+47 ydsPPA +4.30

Shane Hamm pass complete to Luke Brenner for 47 yds to the David 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Shane Hamm run for 5 yds to the David 17

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.57

Shane Hamm run for 17 yds for a TD, (Sam Webster PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Coy Williams run for 3 yds to the David 28

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.23

Aaron Maione run for 8 yds to the David 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Dylan Sparks run for 2 yds to the David 38

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Bradyn Oakley run for 4 yds to the David 42

3rd & 4Rush+29 ydsPPA +3.14

Aaron Maione run for 14 yds to the DAVIDSON 44 for a 1ST down DAYTON Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Cole Hildebrand) to the Dayt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Mason Sheron run for 2 yds to the Dayt 27

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Jayden Waddell run for no gain to the Dayt 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Jayden Waddell pass incomplete to Lucas Raber

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+44 yds

Caden Bonoffski 44 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.98

Shane Hamm pass complete to Joey Swanson for 11 yds to the Dayt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Luke Brenner run for 3 yds to the Dayt 41

2nd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.76

Shane Hamm pass complete to Joey Swanson for 12 yds to the David 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.68

Jake Chisholm run for 13 yds to the David 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Luke Brenner run for 2 yds to the David 32

2nd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.61

Jake Chisholm run for 8 yds to the David 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Shane Hamm run for 2 yds to the David 26

2nd & 12Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Shane Hamm pass complete to Luke Brenner for 3 yds to the David 23

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Shane Hamm pass incomplete to Sam Bubonics

4th & 9Blocked Field Goal+40 yds

Sam Webster 40 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Tyreece White

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Coy Williams run for 2 yds to the David 25

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Coy Williams run for 4 yds to the David 29

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Mark McCurdy run for 3 yds to the David 32

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.53

Coy Williams run for 2 yds to the David 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Coy Williams run for 5 yds to the David 39

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Coy Williams run for 1 yd to the David 40

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Mark McCurdy run for 2 yds to the David 38

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Alexander Donald punt for 46 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Shane Hamm pass incomplete to Sam Bubonics

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.19

Shane Hamm pass complete to Derek Willits for 12 yds to the Dayt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Shane Hamm pass incomplete to Joey Swanson

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Shane Hamm run for 4 yds to the Dayt 32

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Shane Hamm pass incomplete to Joey Swanson

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.10

Shane Hamm pass incomplete to Sam Bubonics

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.76

Kneel down by Davidson at DAY33 for loss of 1 yards.

Situational Analysis

Dayton

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
33%
27 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
100%
3 plays
57%
14 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play
25%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play

Davidson

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
21%
19 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
1 play
33%
3 plays
50%
12 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
50%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
3 plays