Skip to main content
← Back to GamesOct 8, 2022Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

St. Thomas (MN) by 0.6

Home Win Probability

St. Thomas (MN) 52%

Market (consensus)

St. Thomas (MN) +6

Edge: St. Thomas (MN) +6 (6.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 8, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Davidson
037616
St. Thomas (MN)
7146027

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-021-329-10
St. Thomas (MN)Davidson

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ST(DAVDAVST(DAVST(DAVST(DAVST(ST(DAVST(DAVST(ST(DAVDAVST(TD565ydDOWNS930ydUncategorized1128ydDOWNS611ydDOWNS4-1ydTD1170ydUncategorized32ydTD669ydFG1546ydEND10ydPUNT623ydTD1283ydTD1173ydDOWNS736ydPUNT3-6ydPUNT39ydDOWNS833ydTD1685ydUncategorized2-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Davidson and St. Thomas (MN)
StatisticDavidsonSt. Thomas (MN)
Passing9-1811-19
Pass Yards93136
Rush Yards235115
Total Yards328251
Turnovers00
3rd Down9-195-9
Penalties7-743-30
Possession33:4626:14

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Davidson
passing
Jayden Waddell
9/17, 93 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Coy Williams
13 CAR, 74 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Clarence Freeman IV
3 REC, 55 YDS
St. Thomas (MN)
passing
Cade Sexauer
11/19, 136 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Cade Sexauer
10 CAR, 45 YDS
receiving
Andrew McElroy
4 REC, 74 YDS, 2 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.70

Cade Sexauer pass complete to Andrew McElroy for 19 yds to the David 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Cade Sexauer run for 6 yds to the David 40

2nd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.39

Cade Sexauer pass complete to Jacob WIldermuth for 9 yds to the David 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.52

Hope Adebayo run for 8 yds to the David 23

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +2.32

Cade Sexauer pass complete to Andrew McElroy for 23 yds for a TD, (Louis Hyde KICK)

4th & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.07

Jayden Waddell sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the StThMN 35

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Mark McCurdy run for 5 yds to the David 40

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -1.06
3rd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +2.01

Coy Williams run for 6 yds to the David 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Jayden Waddell run for 2 yds to the David 48

2nd & 8Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.09

Bradyn Oakley run for 9 yds to the STTHOMASMN 43 ST THOMAS MN Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the StThMN 28

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Jayden Waddell run for 1 yd to the StThMN 27

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.82

Jayden Waddell run for a loss of 1 yard to the StThMN 28

3rd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.95
1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Caden Bonoffski kickoff for 61 yds , Andrew McElroy return for 23 yds to the StThMN 27

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Stephen Shagen kickoff for 54 yds , Aaron Maione return for 21 yds to the David 32

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jayden Waddell run for 4 yds to the StThMN 45

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.17

Bernard Turner Jr. run for 4 yds to the StThMN 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.31

Bernard Turner Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the StThMN 43

2nd & 12Rush-6 ydsPPA -2.04

Jayden Waddell run for 9 yds to the StThMN 34 DAVIDSON Penalty, personal foul (Dylan Sparks) to the StThMN 49

4th & 11Penalty0 yds

DAVIDSON Penalty, intentional grounding (Jayden Waddell) to the StThMN 42

1st & 10Punt+4 yds

Alexander Donald punt for 28 yds , Andrew McElroy returns for 4 yds to the StThMN 18

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.20

Aris Hilliard run for 9 yds to the David 32

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Bernard Turner Jr. run for 2 yds to the David 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99
2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Aris Hilliard run for 1 yd to the David 35

3rd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.71

Jayden Waddell pass complete to Clarence Freeman IV for 12 yds to the David 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Bernard Turner Jr. run for 4 yds to the StThMN 49

4th & 6Rush-21 ydsPPA -0.61

Kolby Gartner run for a loss of 21 yards to the StThMN 29

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51
2nd & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.81

Cade Sexauer pass complete to Andrew McElroy for 13 yds to the StThMN 31 DAVIDSON Penalty, personal foul (Darryn Kindles) to the StThMN 46

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Cade Sexauer run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

pass incomplete to Joshua Komis

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

pass incomplete to Jacob WIldermuth

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Coy Williams run for 3 yds to the StThMN 26

2nd & 7Rush-10 ydsPPA -2.54

Jayden Waddell run for a loss of 10 yards to the StThMN 36

3rd & 17Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Aris Hilliard run for 1 yd to the StThMN 35

4th & 16Penalty+5 yds

ST THOMAS MN Penalty, delay of game (Kellan McKeag) to the StThMN 30

4th & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.76

Jayden Waddell pass incomplete to Bradyn Oakley, broken up by Branden Smith

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.82

Jacob WIldermuth 6 Yd pass from Cade Sexauer (Louis Hyde Kick)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Shawn Shipman run for 7 yds to the StThMN 37

2nd & 3Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.18

Cade Sexauer pass complete to Jacob WIldermuth for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Shawn Shipman run for 2 yds to the David 48

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Cade Sexauer run for 7 yds to the David 41

3rd & 1Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.22

Cade Sexauer run for 18 yds to the David 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Cade Sexauer pass complete to Wesley Juszczak for 6 yds to the David 17

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Cade Sexauer pass incomplete to Jacob WIldermuth, broken up by Jordan Burrell

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Cade Sexauer pass complete to Joshua Komis for 7 yds to the David 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Cade Sexauer pass incomplete to Jacob WIldermuth, broken up by Daniel Carter

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Cade Sexauer run for 4 yds to the David 6

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Alexander Donald punt for 38 yds , Andrew McElroy returns for no gain to the StThMN 31

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Aris Hilliard run for 2 yds to the David 37

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.77
3rd & 8Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.64

Jayden Waddell run for a loss of 6 yards to the David 31

0th & 8End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.60

Andrew McElroy 19 Yd pass from Cade Sexauer (Louis Hyde Kick)

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.14

Hope Adebayo run for 12 yds to the StThMN 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Hope Adebayo run for 5 yds to the StThMN 48

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.71

Cade Sexauer run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion+16 ydsPPA +2.13

Cade Sexauer pass incomplete to Bryce Boyd for a 1ST down DAVIDSON Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Kaedon Jenkins) to the David 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.33

for a 1ST down DAVIDSON Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Dylan Sparks) to the David 19 for a 1ST down

2nd & 12Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.97

Jayden Waddell pass complete to Lucas Raber for 9 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.65

Bradyn Oakley run for 6 yds to the StThMN 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

pass incomplete to Bradyn Oakley

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.74

Aris Hilliard run for 8 yds to the StThMN 36

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.83

Aris Hilliard run for 6 yds to the StThMN 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

pass incomplete to Aaron Maione

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Jayden Waddell run for 6 yds to the StThMN 24

3rd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.63

Bradyn Oakley run for 10 yds to the StThMN 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.13

Jayden Waddell sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the StThMN 23 DAVIDSON Penalty, intentional grounding (Jayden Waddell) to the StThMN 23

2nd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

pass incomplete to Mark McCurdy

3rd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

pass incomplete to Mark McCurdy

4th & 19Field Goal Good+40 yds

Caden Bonoffski 40 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Coy Williams run for 7 yds to the David 38

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.46

Jayden Waddell run for 5 yds to the David 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.56

Coy Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the David 41

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.99

Cade Sexauer run for a loss of 1 yard to the David 35

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

pass incomplete to Jacob WIldermuth

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.01

Gabriel Abel run for 12 yds to the David 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

pass incomplete to Andrew McElroy

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.26

Cade Sexauer run for a loss of 1 yard to the David 42

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

pass incomplete to Andrew McElroy

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Kolby Gartner punt for 25 yds

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Shawn Shipman run for 12 yds to the StThMN 47 Shawn Shipman fumbled, recovered by StThMN Max Zimmerman for a 1ST down

3rd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +2.01

Coy Williams run for 7 yds to the David 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Jayden Waddell run for 6 yds to the StThMN 45 Jayden Waddell fumbled, recovered by David Aris Hilliard

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.52

Coy Williams run for 8 yds to the StThMN 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Coy Williams run for 1 yd to the StThMN 36

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Jayden Waddell run for 7 yds to the StThMN 29

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.51

Coy Williams run for 4 yds to the StThMN 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

pass incomplete to Lucas Raber

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +3.15

Coy Williams 25 Yd Run (Caden Bonoffski Kick)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jayden Waddell run for 5 yds to the David 22

2nd & 5Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.31

Coy Williams run for 14 yds to the David 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Jayden Waddell run for 1 yd to the David 37

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jayden Waddell run for 5 yds to the David 42

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Joshua Komis 2 Yd Run (Louis Hyde PAT failed)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Gabriel Abel run for 7 yds to the StThMN 34

2nd & 3Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.46

Gabriel Abel run for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.35

Gabriel Abel run for a loss of 1 yard to the StThMN 49

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Cade Sexauer pass incomplete to Andrew McElroy, broken up by Jordan Burrell

3rd & 11Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +3.02

Cade Sexauer pass complete to Gabriel Abel for 12 yds to the David 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Gabriel Abel run for 3 yds to the David 36

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Gabriel Abel run for 1 yd to the David 35

3rd & 6Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.55

Cade Sexauer pass complete to Jacob WIldermuth for 9 yds to the David 26 DAVIDSON Penalty, personal foul (Jordan Burrell) to the David 13

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Joshua Komis run for 1 yd to the David 12

2nd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.57

Cade Sexauer run for 10 yds to the David 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jayden Waddell run for 5 yds to the David 37

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.98
3rd & 5Rush+32 ydsPPA +3.55

Bernard Turner Jr. run for 32 yds to the StThMN 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Coy Williams run for 1 yd to the StThMN 30

2nd & 9Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.13

Jayden Waddell run for a loss of 2 yards to the StThMN 32

3rd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01
4th & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.57

pass incomplete to Maxwell Weaver

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.58

Joshua Komis run for a loss of 2 yards to the StThMN 48

2nd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.56

Joshua Komis run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.16

Cade Sexauer sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the StThMN 44

4th & 16Punt+4 yds

Kolby Gartner punt for 45 yds , Aaron Maione returns for 4 yds to the David 15

4th & 1Punt+2 yds

Kolby Gartner punt for 44 yds , Aaron Maione returns for 2 yds to the David 17

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Joshua Komis run for 6 yds to the StThMN 38

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Joshua Komis run for 2 yds to the StThMN 40

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.68

Cade Sexauer run for 1 yd to the StThMN 41

4th & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Jayden Waddell run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48
2nd & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.59

Aaron Maione run for 16 yds to the David 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jayden Waddell run for 5 yds to the David 38

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion+10 ydsPPA +1.31

Jayden Waddell pass incomplete to Aris Hilliard, broken up by Grif Wurtz for a 1ST down ST THOMAS MN Penalty, Defensive holding (Luke Glenna) to the David 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Jayden Waddell run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Aaron Maione run for 3 yds to the StThMN 47

3rd & 5Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.70

Aris Hilliard run for a loss of 5 yards to the David 48

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Jayden Waddell run for 1 yd to the David 23

4th & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.19

Jayden Waddell run for 4 yds to the David 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Jayden Waddell pass complete to Maxwell Weaver for 7 yds to the David 34

2nd & 3Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.88

Jayden Waddell sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the David 25

3rd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.09

Jayden Waddell run for 2 yds to the David 27

4th & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +4.08

Jayden Waddell pass complete to Clarence Freeman IV for 33 yds to the StThMN 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Bernard Turner Jr. run for 3 yds to the StThMN 37

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Jayden Waddell pass incomplete to Aaron Maione, broken up by Johnson Fallah

3rd & 7Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Jayden Waddell pass complete to Mark McCurdy for 1 yd to the StThMN 36

4th & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.44

Jayden Waddell pass complete to Bradyn Oakley for 7 yds to the StThMN 29 for a 1ST down

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.74

Jayden Waddell run for 12 yds to the StThMN 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.38

Jayden Waddell pass complete to Clarence Freeman IV for 10 yds to the StThMN 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Mark McCurdy 7 Yd pass from Jayden Waddell (Caden Bonoffski PAT failed)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Jayden Waddell pass complete to Mark McCurdy for 7 yds to the David 22

2nd & 3Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.68

Jayden Waddell fumbled, recovered by David Beck Kipperman

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.42

Cade Sexauer run for a loss of 2 yards to the David 46

2nd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.21

Cade Sexauer run for a loss of 1 yard to the David 46

Situational Analysis

Davidson

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
38%
29 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
50%
6 plays
53%
15 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
80%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
33%
3 plays
0%
2 plays

St. Thomas (MN)

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
50%
24 plays
2nd
100%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
57%
7 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play