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← Back to GamesOct 29, 2022Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Butler by 10.9

Home Win Probability

Butler 73%

Market (consensus)

Butler -8.5

Edge: Butler -8.5 (2.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 29, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Morehead State
707620
Butler
212114056

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-721-728-742-749-1456-1456-20
ButlerMorehead State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSBUTMSBUTMSBUTMSBUTMSBUTMSBUTMSBUTMSBUTMSBUTMSBUTMSBUTMSBUTMSBUTMSBUTPUNT39ydTD467ydTD785ydTD572ydPUNT3-1ydTD662ydPUNT620ydPUNT521ydPUNT38ydTD352ydPUNT3-2ydTD532ydPUNT3-4ydTD752ydPUNT38ydPUNT3-1ydEND411ydTD567ydTD1075ydPUNT632ydTO30ydTD11ydDOWNS747ydPUNT32ydDOWNS1426ydPUNT38ydTD875ydEND2-4yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Morehead State and Butler
StatisticMorehead StateButler
Passing24-429-14
Pass Yards274195
Rush Yards49290
Total Yards323485
Turnovers20
3rd Down4-173-9
Penalties8-3810-79
Possession32:1727:43

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Morehead State
passing
Grady Cramer
14/24, 142 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
James Louis
10 CAR, 35 YDS
receiving
Jeremiah Scott
4 REC, 60 YDS
Butler
passing
Bret Bushka
8/10, 195 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Joey Suchy
13 CAR, 99 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Tyler Adams
3 REC, 91 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Luka Zurak kickoff for 60 yds , Kenny Lewis Jr. return for 15 yds to the MorSt 20

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Grady Cramer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.55

Grady Cramer pass complete to Michael Armour for 9 yds to the MorSt 29

3rd & 1Penalty0 yds

MOREHEAD ST Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declined

4th & 1Punt+6 yds

Kip Warren punt for 44 yds , Joey Audia returns for 6 yds to the Butlr 33

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Luke Wooten run for 8 yds to the Butlr 41

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.06

Joey Suchy run for 2 yds to the Butlr 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +1.83

Bret Bushka pass complete to Tyler Adams for 36 yds to the MorSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.63

Joey Suchy run for 21 yds for a TD, (Luka Zurak KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+10 yds

Luka Zurak kickoff for 60 yds , Gunnison Bloodgood return for 10 yds to the MorSt 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Grady Cramer pass complete to Michael Armour for 5 yds to the MorSt 20

2nd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.77

Grady Cramer pass complete to Jeremiah Scott for 9 yds to the MorSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.85

Grady Cramer pass complete to Jeremiah Scott for 20 yds to the MorSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

James Louis run for 7 yds to the Butlr 44

2nd & 3Rush-5 ydsPPA -2.35

Gunnison Bloodgood run for a loss of 5 yards to the Butlr 49

3rd & 8Penalty+5 yds

CRAMER, Grady pass to the right incomplete intended for LEWIS JR., Kenny thrown to the BU5; QB hurried by STURTZ, Adam. PENALTY BU Offsides on HUBBARD II, Byron enforced 5 yards from the BU49 to the BU44 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Grady Cramer pass incomplete

4th & 3Passing Touchdown+44 ydsPPA +5.61

Grady Cramer pass complete to Kenny Lewis Jr. for 44 yds for a TD, (Sox Lee KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Sox Lee kickoff for 59 yds , Joey Audia return for 22 yds to the Butlr 28

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.97

AJ Deinhart run for 8 yds to the Butlr 36

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.23

AJ Deinhart run for 5 yds to the Butlr 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

AJ Deinhart run for 4 yds to the Butlr 45

2nd & 6Pass Reception+45 ydsPPA +2.31

Bret Bushka pass complete to Luka Popovic for 45 yds to the MorSt 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Brody Reder 10 Yd Run (Luka Zurak Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Grady Cramer pass complete to Chaz Geraghty for a loss of 1 yard to the MorSt 24

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Grady Cramer pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Grady Cramer pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Kip Warren punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Bret Bushka run for 5 yds to the Butlr 43

2nd & 5Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.97

Bret Bushka pass complete to Tyler Adams for 25 yds to the MorSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Joey Suchy run for 4 yds to the MorSt 28

2nd & 6Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.39

Joey Audia run for 15 yds to the MorSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.07

run for 10 yds to the MorSt 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Brody Reder 3 Yd Run (Luka Zurak Kick)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Luka Zurak kickoff for 63 yds , Gunnison Bloodgood return for 16 yds to the MorSt 18

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.80

Grady Cramer pass complete to Jeremiah Scott for 12 yds to the MorSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Grady Cramer pass complete to Gunnison Bloodgood for 6 yds to the MorSt 36

2nd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.76

Grady Cramer pass complete to Nick Dottore for 6 yds to the MorSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

MOREHEAD ST Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Grady Cramer) to the MorSt 33

2nd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Grady Cramer pass incomplete

3rd & 19Penalty+5 yds

BUTLER Penalty, Offsides (Byron Hubbard II) to the MorSt 38

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Grady Cramer pass incomplete

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Kip Warren punt for 48 yds, downed at the Butlr 14

1st & 10Rush+36 ydsPPA +2.82

Luke Wooten run for 46 yds to the BUTLER 40 BUTLER Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Butlr 22

1st & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA -1.32

Joey Audia run for 7 yds to the Butlr 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Bret Bushka pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Joey Audia run for 6 yds to the Butlr 35

3rd & 4Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.54

Bret Bushka pass complete to Joey Suchy for no gain to the Butlr 35

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Luka Zurak punt for 39 yds , Noah Skobis returns for no gain to the MorSt 35 MOREHEAD ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Gunnison Bloodgood) to the MorSt 15

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

James Louis run for 1 yd to the MorSt 16

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.13

James Louis run for 6 yds to the MorSt 22

3rd & 3Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Grady Cramer pass complete to James Louis for 1 yd to the MorSt 23

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Kip Warren punt for 29 yds

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.15

Joey Suchy run for 9 yds to the MorSt 43

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.20

Joey Suchy run for no gain to the MorSt 43

3rd & 1Passing Touchdown+43 ydsPPA +4.05

Bret Bushka pass complete to Jared Suchevits for 43 yds for a TD, (Luka Zurak KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Luka Zurak kickoff for 62 yds , Noah Skobis return for no gain to the MorSt 3 Noah Skobis fumbled, recovered by MorSt Noah Skobis

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Grady Cramer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.14

James Louis run for a loss of 2 yards to the MorSt 1

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.03

Grady Cramer pass incomplete

4th & 12Penalty0 yds

MOREHEAD ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct ( Yards) to the MorSt 1

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Kip Warren punt for 31 yds, downed at the MorSt 32

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Bret Bushka run for 6 yds to the MorSt 26

2nd & 4Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.33

AJ Deinhart run for 18 yds to the MorSt 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Joey Suchy run for 2 yds to the MorSt 6

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

run for 3 yds to the MorSt 3

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Brody Reder 3 Yd Run (Luka Zurak Kick)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

James Louis run for 1 yd to the MorSt 26

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

James Louis run for no gain to the MorSt 26

3rd & 9Penalty-5 yds

MOREHEAD ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MorSt 21

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Grady Cramer pass incomplete

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Kip Warren punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Joey Audia at the Butlr 48

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.82

Bret Bushka pass complete to Jeremy Johnson for 12 yds to the MorSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +0.61

Joey Suchy run for 23 yds to the MorSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Joey Suchy run for 1 yd to the MorSt 16

2nd & 9Penalty0 yds

BUSHKA, Bret pass to the right incomplete intended for ADAMS, Tyler thrown to the MSU3. PENALTY MSU Holding on JONES, Donte enforced half the distance from the goal, 8 yards from the MSU16 to the MSU8 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 8Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.36

Brody Reder pass complete to Joey Suchy for no gain to the MorSt 8

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Bret Bushka pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.09

Bret Bushka run for 6 yds to the MorSt 2

4th & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.85

Bret Bushka run for 2 yds for a TD, (Luka Zurak KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

James Louis run for 2 yds to the MorSt 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Grady Cramer pass complete to Kenny Lewis Jr. for 6 yds to the MorSt 33

3rd & 2Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.60

Grady Cramer pass complete to James Louis for no gain to the MorSt 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Kip Warren punt for 46 yds

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

SUCHY, Joey rush to the right for a gain of 17 yards to the BU38 (JONES, Donte). PENALTY BU Holding enforced 10 yards from the BU21 to the BU11 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Joey Suchy run for 3 yds to the Butlr 14

2nd & 17Rush0 ydsPPA -0.08

Joey Suchy run for no gain to the Butlr 14

3rd & 17Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.02

Bret Bushka run for 6 yds to the Butlr 20

4th & 11Punt+18 yds

Luka Zurak punt for 54 yds , Kenny Lewis Jr. returns for 18 yds to the MorSt 44

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.32

Grady Cramer pass complete to Jeremiah Scott for 19 yds to the Butlr 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Grady Cramer pass complete to Kyle Daly for 6 yds to the Butlr 31

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Grady Cramer pass incomplete

3rd & 4Sack-14 ydsPPA -3.33

Grady Cramer sacked by Steven Williams II for a loss of 14 yards to the Butlr 45

0th & 4End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+31 yds

Sox Lee kickoff for 63 yds , Joey Audia return for 31 yds to the Butlr 33

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.33

Kwesi Kyei-Fordjour run for 14 yds to the Butlr 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Kwesi Kyei-Fordjour run for 5 yds to the MorSt 48

2nd & 5Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.20

Joey Audia run for 19 yds to the MorSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

BUTLER Penalty, False Start (Colton Ruhland) to the MorSt 34

1st & 15Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Bret Bushka pass complete to Luke Wooten for 4 yds to the MorSt 30

2nd & 11Passing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +3.46

Bret Bushka pass complete to Tyler Adams for 30 yds for a TD, (Luka Zurak KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Carter Cravens run for 9 yds to the MorSt 34

2nd & 1Penalty+15 yds

BUTLER Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Adam Sturtz) to the Butlr 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.04

James Louis run for 9 yds to the Butlr 39

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Zavier Lomax run for no gain to the Butlr 39

3rd & 1Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.07

Carter Cravens run for 17 yds to the Butlr 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Zavier Lomax run for 5 yds to the Butlr 17

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Zavier Lomax run for 2 yds to the Butlr 15

3rd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.61

James Louis run for 8 yds to the Butlr 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.48

Carter Cravens run for a loss of 1 yard to the Butlr 8

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Carter Cravens run for 4 yds for a TD, (Sox Lee KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Joey Suchy run for 5 yds to the Butlr 33

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Eddie Schott run for 3 yds to the Butlr 36

3rd & 2Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.92

Joey Suchy run for 24 yds to the MorSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Joey Suchy run for 5 yds to the MorSt 35

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Eddie Schott pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Eddie Schott pass incomplete

4th & 5Penalty-5 yds

BUTLER Penalty, False Start (Eddie Schott) to the MorSt 40

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Carter Cravens pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Carter Cravens pass incomplete

3rd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA +0.28

Carter Cravens pass intercepted

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Owen Keane run for 1 yd for a TD, (Luka Zurak KICK)

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.02

Carter Cravens sacked by Jake LaBarre for a loss of 4 yards to the MorSt 21

2nd & 14Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Carter Cravens pass complete to Zavier Lomax for 5 yds to the MorSt 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.53

Carter Cravens pass complete to Michael Armour for 28 yds to the Butlr 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

CRAVENS, Carter pass to the left incomplete intended for SCOTT, Jeremiah thrown to the BU20. PENALTY BU Pass Interference on MASON, Will enforced 15 yards to the BU31 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Zavier Lomax run for 6 yds to the Butlr 25

2nd & 4Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.05

Zavier Lomax run for a loss of 3 yards to the Butlr 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Carter Cravens pass incomplete

4th & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.42

Carter Cravens pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.80

Kwesi Kyei-Fordjour run for no gain to the Butlr 28

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Kwesi Kyei-Fordjour run for 2 yds to the Butlr 30

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Eddie Schott pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Luka Zurak punt for 34 yds, downed at the MorSt 36

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Zavier Lomax run for 4 yds to the MorSt 40

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.21

Zavier Lomax run for 7 yds to the MorSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Zavier Lomax run for 4 yds to the Butlr 49

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Carter Cravens pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.22

Nate Adebayo run for 9 yds to the Butlr 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-11 ydsPPA -3.09

Carter Cravens run for a loss of 11 yards to the MorSt 49 Carter Cravens fumbled, recovered by MorSt Carter Cravens

2nd & 21Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.58

Carter Cravens pass complete to Matt Guilfoil for 8 yds to the Butlr 43

3rd & 13Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.59

Carter Cravens run for 12 yds to the Butlr 31

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.29

Zavier Lomax run for 1 yd to the Butlr 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.28

Carter Cravens pass complete to Michael Armour for 18 yds to the Butlr 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.36

Carter Cravens run for a loss of 1 yard to the Butlr 13

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Carter Cravens run for 1 yd to the Butlr 12

3rd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Nate Adebayo run for 1 yd to the Butlr 11

4th & 9Penalty-5 yds

MOREHEAD ST Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the Butlr 16

4th & 14Sack-22 ydsPPA -2.74

Carter Cravens sacked for a loss of 22 yards to the Butlr 38

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Kwesi Kyei-Fordjour run for 9 yds to the Butlr 47

2nd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.95

Seth Mencer run for a loss of 2 yards to the Butlr 45

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Eddie Schott run for 1 yd to the Butlr 46

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

BUTLER Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Butlr 41

4th & 7Penalty+5 yds

MOREHEAD ST Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the Butlr 46

4th & 2Punt+8 yds

Luka Zurak punt for 37 yds , Kenny Lewis Jr. returns for 8 yds to the MorSt 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Carter Cravens pass complete to Isaiah Davis for 8 yds to the MorSt 33

2nd & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Carter Cravens pass complete to Gunnison Bloodgood for 7 yds to the MorSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Carter Cravens pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.20

Carter Cravens pass complete to Gunnison Bloodgood for 12 yds to the Butlr 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.02

Carter Cravens pass complete to Isaiah Davis for 25 yds to the Butlr 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.47

Carter Cravens pass complete to Isaiah Davis for 8 yds to the Butlr 15

2nd & 2Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.98

Carter Cravens pass complete to Isaiah Davis for 13 yds to the Butlr 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Carter Cravens run for 2 yds for a TD, (Sox Lee PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

LEE, Sox PAT kick attempt is good, score nullified by penalty. PENALTY Before the snap, MSU False Start on BROWN, Alan enforced 5 yards from the BU3 to the BU8. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Kneel down by SCHOTT, Eddie at BU23 (team loss of 2).

2nd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -0.25

Kneel down by SCHOTT, Eddie at BU21 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Morehead State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
52%
29 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
43%
7 plays
57%
7 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
40%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Butler

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
67%
3 plays
68%
25 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
63%
8 plays
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play