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← Back to GamesOct 1, 2022Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Davidson by 19.6

Home Win Probability

Davidson 86%

Market (consensus)

Davidson -21.5

Edge: Butler +21.5 (1.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 1, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Butler
00000
Davidson
30141431

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142824-0
DavidsonButler

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20DAVBUTDAVBUTDAVBUTDAVBUTDAVBUTBUTDAVBUTDAVBUTDAVBUTDAVBUTFG1446ydPUNT539ydPUNT938ydDOWNS1080ydPUNT32ydPUNT3-4ydUncategorized665ydPUNT37ydDOWNS1297ydEND633ydPUNT3-1ydTD479ydTO347ydTD1076ydPUNT31ydTD1264ydTO619ydTD541ydTO539yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Butler and Davidson
StatisticButlerDavidson
Passing14-297-11
Pass Yards150116
Rush Yards140498
Total Yards290614
Turnovers30
3rd Down1-88-16
Penalties6-443-30
Possession19:1840:42

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Butler
passing
Bret Bushka
14/29, 150 YDS, 3 INT
rushing
Bret Bushka
6 CAR, 102 YDS
receiving
Tyler Adams
2 REC, 49 YDS
Davidson
passing
Jayden Waddell
5/9, 76 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Dylan Sparks
16 CAR, 180 YDS
receiving
Mark McCurdy
4 REC, 52 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Luka Zurak kickoff for 59 yds , Aaron Maione return for 24 yds to the David 30

4th & 13Field Goal Good+44 yds

Caden Bonoffski 44 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Caden Bonoffski kickoff for 60 yds , Joey Audia return for 19 yds to the DAVIDSON 46 BUTLER Penalty, Offensive holding (Matthew Oudeman) to the Butlr 14

1st & 10Rush-8 ydsPPA -1.49

Dylan Sparks run for 2 yds to the David 32 DAVIDSON Penalty, Offensive holding (Kyler Herring) to the David 22

1st & 18Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.36

Jayden Waddell pass complete to Mark McCurdy for 8 yds to the David 30

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.80

Dylan Sparks run for 10 yds to the David 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jayden Waddell run for 3 yds to the David 43

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Dylan Sparks run for 4 yds to the David 47

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.74

Coy Williams run for 6 yds to the Butlr 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.64

Jayden Waddell pass complete to Mark McCurdy for 12 yds to the Butlr 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.56

Jayden Waddell run for 8 yds to the Butlr 27

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Coy Williams run for 3 yds to the Butlr 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.43
2nd & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Coy Williams run for 2 yds to the Butlr 27

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

pass incomplete to Clarence Freeman IV

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+36 yds

Caden Bonoffski kickoff for 60 yds , Joey Audia return for 36 yds to the Butlr 41

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+25 yds

Caden Bonoffski kickoff for 60 yds , Joey Audia return for 25 yds to the Butlr 30

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Caden Bonoffski kickoff for 55 yds , Joey Audia return for 22 yds to the DAVIDSON 43 BUTLER Penalty, illegal block (Thomas Brown) to the Butlr 22

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Caden Bonoffski kickoff for 64 yds , Joey Audia return for 24 yds to the Butlr 25

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Caden Bonoffski kickoff for 64 yds , Joey Audia return for 21 yds to the Butlr 22

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Luka Zurak punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Rush+36 ydsPPA +2.82

Bret Bushka run for 36 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-9 ydsPPA -2.78

AJ Deinhart run for 1 yd to the Butlr 49 BUTLER Penalty, Offensive holding (Thomas Brown) to the Butlr 41

1st & 19Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Joey Suchy run for 4 yds to the Butlr 45

2nd & 15Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.67

Bret Bushka pass complete to Joey Suchy for 8 yds to the David 47

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

pass incomplete to Tyler Adams

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Alexander Donald punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Dylan Sparks run for 7 yds to the David 10

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Dylan Sparks run for 3 yds to the David 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jayden Waddell run for 5 yds to the David 18

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.55

Dylan Sparks run for 7 yds to the David 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Dylan Sparks run for 2 yds to the David 27

2nd & 8Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.68

Jayden Waddell run for 12 yds to the David 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Dylan Sparks run for 2 yds to the David 41

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.90
3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.69

AJ Deinhart run for 8 yds to the Butlr 23

2nd & 2Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.33

Bret Bushka pass complete to Jared Suchevits for 8 yds to the Butlr 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Bret Bushka pass complete to Johnny O'Shea for 6 yds to the Butlr 37

2nd & 4Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.13

Bret Bushka run for 25 yds to the David 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.37

Bret Bushka pass complete to Jared Suchevits for 12 yds to the David 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.17

Bret Bushka run for 12 yds to the David 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Bret Bushka pass incomplete to Johnny O'Shea, broken up by Kaedon Jenkins

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.19

Bret Bushka run for 7 yds to the David 7

3rd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Bret Bushka pass complete to Luke Wooten for 2 yds to the David 5

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -4.15

Bret Bushka pass incomplete to Jared Suchevits, broken up by Marcus Heard Jr.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Coy Williams run for 1 yd to the David 6

2nd & 9Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.19

Mark McCurdy run for a loss of 3 yards to the David 3

3rd & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.00

Coy Williams run for 4 yds to the David 7

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Alexander Donald punt for 32 yds

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Luka Zurak punt for 41 yds

4th & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -2.66

Jayden Waddell run for 3 yds to the Butlr 25

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Jayden Waddell sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the Butlr 34

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Luka Zurak punt for 67 yds

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Bernard Turner Jr. run for 2 yds to the Butlr 34

3rd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.10

Coy Williams run for 5 yds to the Butlr 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.67

Mark McCurdy run for 14 yds to the Butlr 15 for a 1ST down DAVIDSON Penalty, personal foul (Chris Quiroga) to the Butlr 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.29

Jayden Waddell pass complete to Mark McCurdy for 19 yds to the Butlr 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Coy Williams run for 4 yds to the Butlr 7

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Coy Williams run for 2 yds to the Butlr 5

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Jayden Waddell run for 1 yd to the Butlr 4

4th & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -4.06

Coy Williams run for 2 yds to the Butlr 2

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

pass incomplete to Luke Wooten

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

pass incomplete to Tyler Adams

3rd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.58

Joey Suchy run for 10 yds to the David 35 for a 1ST down

4th & 11Punt+1 yds

Luka Zurak punt for 40 yds , Aaron Maione returns for 1 yd to the David 21

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.83

AJ Deinhart run for a loss of 4 yards to the Butlr 37

2nd & 14Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Bret Bushka pass complete to Johnny O'Shea for 6 yds to the Butlr 43

3rd & 8Penalty-5 yds

BUTLER Penalty, delay of game (Thomas Brown) to the Butlr 38

3rd & 13Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Bret Bushka pass complete to AJ Deinhart for 2 yds to the Butlr 40

2nd & 8Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.69

Aaron Maione 9 Yd Run (Caden Bonoffski Kick)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Dylan Sparks run for 1 yd to the David 22

2nd & 9Rush+67 ydsPPA +4.30

Dylan Sparks run for 67 yds to the Butlr 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Dylan Sparks run for 2 yds to the Butlr 9

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Bret Bushka pass incomplete to Jared Suchevits, broken up by Aaron Warren

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

AJ Deinhart run for 1 yd to the Butlr 31

2nd & 9Pass Reception+46 ydsPPA +3.74

Bret Bushka pass complete to Tyler Adams for 46 yds to the David 23 for a 1ST down

3rd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.70

Jayden Waddell 4 Yd Run (Caden Bonoffski Kick)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.67
2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.77

Jayden Waddell pass complete to Mark McCurdy for 13 yds to the David 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Coy Williams run for 5 yds to the David 42

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Coy Williams run for 1 yd to the David 43

3rd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.24

Mark McCurdy run for 10 yds to the Butlr 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Coy Williams run for 6 yds to the Butlr 41

2nd & 4Rush+31 ydsPPA +0.78

Bradyn Oakley run for 31 yds to the Butlr 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Coy Williams run for 2 yds to the Butlr 8

2nd & 8Penalty+4 yds

BUTLER Penalty, off-side (Thomas Brown) to the Butlr 4

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36
4th & 9Punt0 yds

Luka Zurak punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

AJ Deinhart run for 1 yd to the Butlr 23

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

pass incomplete to Luke Wooten

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Bret Bushka pass incomplete to Jared Suchevits, broken up by Daniel Carter

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Dylan Sparks run for 4 yds to the David 40

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99
3rd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Luke Durkin pass complete to Aris Hilliard for 4 yds to the David 44

4th & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +2.65

Dylan Sparks run for 7 yds to the Butlr 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.67

Aris Hilliard run for 11 yds to the Butlr 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Dylan Sparks run for 3 yds to the Butlr 35

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Bernard Turner Jr. run for 6 yds to the Butlr 29

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.37

Bernard Turner Jr. run for 3 yds to the Butlr 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Bernard Turner Jr. run for 3 yds to the Butlr 23

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Aris Hilliard run for 4 yds to the Butlr 19

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Bernard Turner Jr. run for 2 yds to the Butlr 17

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +3.21

Aaron Maione 17 Yd Run (Caden Bonoffski Kick)

2nd & 5Interception0 ydsPPA -2.26

Bret Bushka pass intercepted

3rd & 15Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +4.16

Bradyn Oakley 24 Yd pass from Jayden Waddell (Caden Bonoffski Kick)

2nd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -3.05

Bret Bushka pass intercepted

Situational Analysis

Butler

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
42%
12 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play

Davidson

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
33%
24 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
33%
6 plays
55%
11 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
67%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
0%
1 play
33%
3 plays
4th
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play