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← Back to GamesOct 1, 2022Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Western Carolina by 10.1

Home Win Probability

Western Carolina 72%

Market (consensus)

Western Carolina -7.5

Edge: Western Carolina -7.5 (2.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 1, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
VMI
730717
Western Carolina
14710738

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284214-1021-1024-1031-1038-17
Western CarolinaVMI

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20VMIWCVMIWCVMIWCVMIWCWCVMIWCVMIVMIWCWCWCWCVMIVMIVMIWCVMIWCVMIWCVMIVMIWCWCPUNT36ydPUNT3-4ydPUNT414ydTD460ydTD1288ydTD1080ydFG968ydTO64ydPUNT934ydTO413ydTD540ydPUNT4-5ydTO3-1ydMISS35ydFG1056ydTD121ydDOWNS1168ydPUNT3-3ydUncategorized20ydPUNT30ydPUNT3-6ydTD421ydTD780ydPUNT3-1ydTO34ydDOWNS611ydDOWNS827ydPUNT612ydUncategorized13-4yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing VMI and Western Carolina
StatisticVMIWestern Carolina
Passing18-3933-50
Pass Yards194360
Rush Yards76161
Total Yards270521
Turnovers32
3rd Down4-157-16
Penalties8-879-82
Possession22:0437:56

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

VMI
passing
Collin Ironside
14/27, 142 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Korey Bridy
12 CAR, 70 YDS
receiving
Chance Knox
9 REC, 105 YDS
Western Carolina
passing
Carlos Davis
30/44, 336 YDS, 4 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Desmond Reid
15 CAR, 96 YDS
receiving
Raphael Williams
6 REC, 103 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

4th & 4Punt+38 yds

Jack Culbreath punt for 43 yds VMI Penalty, illegal formation (Eric Weaver) to the WCaro 31

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Jack Culbreath kickoff for 64 yds , Terrence Horne return for 19 yds to the WCaro 20

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Paxton Robertson kickoff for 57 yds , Korey Bridy return for 18 yds to the VMI 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Collin Ironside pass complete to Aidan Twombly for 6 yds to the VMI 31

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.87
3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Collin Ironside pass incomplete to Chance Knox, broken up by Cameron McCutcheon

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Jack Culbreath kickoff for 63 yds , Terrence Horne return for 14 yds to the WCaro 16

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Paxton Robertson kickoff for 60 yds , Korey Bridy return for 19 yds to the VMI 24

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+10 yds

Paxton Robertson kickoff for 64 yds , Korey Bridy return for 10 yds to the VMI 11

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Jack Culbreath kickoff for 65 yds , Terrence Horne return for 24 yds to the WCaro 24

3rd & 11Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.26

Carlos Davis sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the WCaro 27

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Brandon Dickerson punt for 54 yds , Chance Knox returns for no gain to the VMI 19

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.47

Carlos Davis sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the WCaro 25

2nd & 16Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Carlos Davis pass complete to David White Jr. for 5 yds to the WCaro 30

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jack Culbreath punt for 42 yds , AJ Colombo returns for no gain to the WCaro 33 VMI Penalty, kick catching interference (Aljareek Malry) to the WCaro 40

1st & 10Pass Incompletion+10 ydsPPA +0.66

Collin Ironside pass incomplete for a 1ST down WESTRN CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive holding (Cameron McCutcheon) to the VMI 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Collin Ironside pass complete to Chance Knox for 6 yds to the VMI 35

2nd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.28

Korey Bridy run for a loss of 2 yards to the VMI 33

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

pass incomplete to Andre Cooper

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.82

Terrence Horne 21 Yd pass from Carlos Davis (Richard McCollum Kick)

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.66

Desmond Reid run for 22 yds to the VMI 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.41

Desmond Reid run for 14 yds to the VMI 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Desmond Reid run for 3 yds to the VMI 21

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.57

Collin Ironside 16 Yd Run (Jerry Rice Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.12

Collin Ironside pass complete to Chance Knox for 19 yds to the VMI 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Collin Ironside pass complete to Chance Knox for 11 yds to the VMI 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Collin Ironside run for 5 yds to the VMI 47

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.77

Korey Bridy run for 5 yds to the WCaro 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Collin Ironside pass complete to Leroy Thomas for 7 yds to the WCaro 41

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Leroy Thomas run for 2 yds to the WCaro 39

3rd & 1Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.74

Collin Ironside pass complete to Aidan Twombly for 4 yds to the WCaro 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

pass incomplete to Chance Knox

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

pass incomplete to Jack Caussin

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Collin Ironside pass complete to Andre Cooper for 7 yds to the WCaro 28

4th & 3Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.54

Collin Ironside pass complete to Jack Caussin for 12 yds to the WCaro 16 for a 1ST down

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

TJ Jones 6 Yd Run (Richard McCollum Kick)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

WESTRN CAROLINA Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the WCaro 15

1st & 15Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Carlos Davis run for 6 yds to the WCaro 21

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

TJ Jones run for 2 yds to the WCaro 23

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +2.11

Carlos Davis pass incomplete to Jalynn Williams for a 1ST down VMI Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Evan Eller) to the WCaro 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Carlos Davis pass complete to Jalynn Williams for 6 yds to the WCaro 44

2nd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.79

Carlos Davis pass complete to Jalynn Williams for 7 yds to the VMI 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.06

Carlos Davis pass complete to Jalynn Williams for 24 yds to the VMI 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.65

Carlos Davis pass complete to TJ Jones for 9 yds to the VMI 16

2nd & 1Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA -0.46

Carlos Davis pass complete to David White Jr. for 6 yds to the VMI 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

TJ Jones run for 4 yds to the VMI 6

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.25

Collin Ironside pass complete to Chance Knox for 14 yds to the VMI 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12
2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

pass incomplete to Max Brimigion

3rd & 10Pass Reception+46 ydsPPA +4.09

Collin Ironside pass complete to Chance Knox for 46 yds to the WCaro 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion+12 ydsPPA +1.34

Collin Ironside pass incomplete to Aidan Twombly, broken up by Samaurie Dukes for a 1ST down WESTRN CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Samaurie Dukes) to the WCaro 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Korey Bridy run for 1 yd to the WCaro 1

2nd & 1Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.72

Collin Ironside pass complete to Chance Knox for a loss of 2 yards to the WCaro 3

3rd & 3Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.50

Collin Ironside sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the WCaro 6

4th & 6Field Goal Good+24 yds

Jerry Rice 24 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush-10 ydsPPA -2.66

WESTRN CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive holding (Clayton Bardall) to the WCaro 35

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

pass incomplete to Censere Lee

2nd & 20Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Carlos Davis run for 5 yds to the WCaro 40

3rd & 15Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +3.68

Carlos Davis pass complete to Raphael Williams for 19 yds to the VMI 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-10 ydsPPA -2.95

WESTRN CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the WCaro 49

1st & 20Interception0 ydsPPA -1.73

Carlos Davis pass intercepted

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Brandon Dickerson punt for 40 yds , Chance Knox returns for no gain to the 50 yard line VMI Penalty, Offensive holding (Eric Weaver) to the VMI 5

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Desmond Reid run for 5 yds to the WCaro 21

2nd & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Carlos Davis pass complete to Censere Lee for 2 yds to the WCaro 23

3rd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.97

Carlos Davis pass complete to AJ Colombo for 5 yds to the WCaro 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.90

Desmond Reid run for 10 yds to the WCaro 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09
2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.20

Carlos Davis pass complete to Jalynn Williams for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Carlos Davis pass complete to Raphael Williams for 2 yds to the VMI 48

2nd & 8Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.51

Carlos Davis pass complete to Terrence Horne for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard line

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

pass incomplete

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.51

Collin Ironside pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Korey Bridy run for 4 yds to the VMI 9

2nd & 6Penalty-4 yds

VMI Penalty, false start (Ayden Jilson) to the VMI 5

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

pass incomplete to Andre Cooper

3rd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.83

Korey Bridy run for 13 yds to the VMI 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.58

David White Jr. 17 Yd pass from Carlos Davis (Richard McCollum Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

pass incomplete to David White Jr.

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

TJ Jones run for 2 yds to the VMI 38

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

pass incomplete

4th & 8Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +3.07

Carlos Davis pass complete to David White Jr. for 21 yds to the VMI 17 for a 1ST down

4th & 26Punt+13 yds

Jack Culbreath punt for 48 yds , AJ Colombo returns for 13 yds to the WCaro 45

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Korey Bridy run for 11 yds to the VMI 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Korey Bridy run for 4 yds to the VMI 40

2nd & 6Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Collin Ironside pass complete to Chance Knox for 1 yd to the VMI 41

3rd & 5Sack-21 ydsPPA -1.27

Collin Ironside sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the VMI 35 VMI Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the VMI 20

3rd & 11Interception0 ydsPPA -0.06

Collin Ironside pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Collin Ironside pass complete to Chance Knox for 4 yds to the VMI 39

2nd & 6Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.54

Collin Ironside sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the VMI 34

2nd & 11Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Richard McCollum pass complete to Caleb Scott for 6 yds to the VMI 11

3rd & 5Field Goal Missed+28 yds

Richard McCollum 28 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.40

Carlos Davis pass complete to Jalynn Williams for a loss of 1 yard to the VMI 17

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.97

Carlos Davis pass complete to Terrence Horne for 11 yds to the VMI 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.68

Carlos Davis pass complete to Jalynn Williams for 12 yds to the VMI 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.72
2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.10

Carlos Davis pass complete to David White Jr. for 15 yds to the VMI 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Carlos Davis pass complete to Jalynn Williams for 7 yds to the VMI 14

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Jalynn Williams run for 3 yds to the VMI 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

TJ Jones run for 2 yds to the VMI 9

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Carlos Davis pass complete to Censere Lee for 6 yds to the VMI 3

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Carlos Davis pass incomplete to TJ Jones, broken up by Eric Rankin

4th & 2Field Goal Good+20 yds

Richard McCollum 20 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.63

Censere Lee 21 Yd pass from Carlos Davis (Richard McCollum Kick)

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Desmond Reid run for 1 yd to the VMI 8

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37
4th & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -4.02

Desmond Reid run for 1 yd to the VMI 7

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

TJ Jones run for 2 yds to the WCaro 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Carlos Davis pass complete to TJ Jones for 4 yds to the WCaro 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.47

Carlos Davis pass complete to Raphael Williams for 5 yds to the WCaro 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.96

TJ Jones run for 10 yds to the WCaro 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.04

Carlos Davis pass complete to TJ Jones for 15 yds to the VMI 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Carlos Davis pass complete to Raphael Williams for 7 yds to the VMI 32

2nd & 3Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.14

Desmond Reid run for 16 yds to the VMI 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Desmond Reid run for 7 yds to the VMI 9

3rd & 5Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.23

Collin Ironside sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the VMI 4

4th & 13Punt+1 yds

Jack Culbreath punt for 56 yds , AJ Colombo returns for 1 yd to the WCaro 41

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Collin Ironside run for 6 yds to the VMI 13

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.47

Collin Ironside run for a loss of 1 yard to the VMI 12

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Collin Ironside pass incomplete to Chance Knox, broken up by Andreas Keaton

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jack Culbreath punt for no gain , AJ Colombo returns for no gain to the WCaro 11 WESTRN CAROLINA Penalty, illegal block (Antwann Fann) to the WCaro 31

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

pass incomplete to Max Brimigion

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Collin Ironside pass incomplete, broken up by Jaquarius Guinn

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

pass incomplete to Leroy Thomas

4th & 16Punt0 yds

punt for no gain

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Carlos Davis pass complete to Raphael Williams for 1 yd to the WCaro 32

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Carlos Davis run for 2 yds to the WCaro 34

3rd & 7Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.63

Carlos Davis sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the WCaro 25

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Collin Ironside run for 6 yds to the WCaro 15

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

pass incomplete to Aidan Twombly

3rd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Collin Ironside run for 8 yds to the WCaro 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Aidan Twombly 7 Yd pass from Collin Ironside (Jerry Rice Kick)

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.80

Desmond Reid run for 6 yds to the WCaro 26 WESTRN CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the WCaro 16

1st & 14Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Carlos Davis pass complete to Desmond Reid for 1 yd to the WCaro 17

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

pass incomplete to Desmond Reid

3rd & 13Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.77

for a 1ST down VMI Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Ernie Campbell) to the WCaro 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.07

Desmond Reid run for a loss of 1 yard to the WCaro 31

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

pass incomplete to Raphael Williams

3rd & 11Passing Touchdown+69 ydsPPA +7.03

Raphael Williams 69 Yd pass from Carlos Davis (Richard McCollum Kick)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56
2nd & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.29

Seth Morgan sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the VMI 19

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Seth Morgan pass incomplete to Andre Cooper, broken up by CJ Williams

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Jack Culbreath punt for 32 yds , AJ Colombo returns for no gain to the WCaro 19 WESTRN CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the WCaro 39

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

pass incomplete to Jalynn Williams

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Carlos Davis pass incomplete to David White Jr., broken up by Christian Dunn

4th & 9Sack-11 ydsPPA -3.60

Seth Morgan sacked for a loss of 11 yards to the WCaro 20

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Seth Morgan pass incomplete to VJ Johnson, broken up by Rod Gattison

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Brandon Dickerson punt for 40 yds

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.34

TJ Jones run for 9 yds to the VMI 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

pass incomplete to Brayden Blackmon

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.04

TJ Jones run for 9 yds to the VMI 39

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.81

TJ Jones run for 6 yds to the VMI 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.27

Parish Metzger pass complete to Jalynn Williams for 12 yds to the VMI 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jalynn Williams run for 5 yds to the VMI 16

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Jalynn Williams run for 3 yds to the VMI 13

3rd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.49

Parish Metzger pass complete to Jalynn Williams for 6 yds to the VMI 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

pass incomplete to Censere Lee

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.28
3rd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Camury Reid run for 3 yds to the VMI 4

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -4.02

pass incomplete

4th & 10End of Regulation0 ydsPPA -1.05

End of 4th Quarter

Situational Analysis

VMI

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
61%
23 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
14%
7 plays
0%
5 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
75%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays

Western Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
51%
35 plays
25%
4 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
50%
6 plays
45%
11 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays