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← Back to GamesOct 8, 2022Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Mercer by 15.4

Home Win Probability

Mercer 81%

Market (consensus)

Mercer -11.5

Edge: Mercer -11.5 (3.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 8, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Western Carolina
00606
Mercer
21210749

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-014-021-028-035-042-342-649-6
MercerWestern Carolina

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MERWCMERWCMERWCMERWCMERWCMERWCMERWCMERMERWCMERWCMERWCMERWCWCWCMERPUNT33ydTO10ydTD741ydPUNT719ydTD892ydPUNT35ydTD761ydPUNT31ydTD563ydTO611ydPUNT51ydPUNT36ydTD744ydTO418ydTD146ydEND70ydFG626ydPUNT32ydFG950ydEND947ydTO2-3ydTO12ydTO672ydDOWNS149ydDOWNS48ydUncategorized00yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Western Carolina and Mercer
StatisticWestern CarolinaMercer
Passing17-3017-24
Pass Yards175263
Rush Yards74257
Total Yards249520
Turnovers51
3rd Down3-148-11
Penalties3-264-64
Possession31:5028:10

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Western Carolina
passing
Cole Gonzales
8/12, 118 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
TJ Jones
7 CAR, 55 YDS
receiving
Clayton Bardall
4 REC, 89 YDS
Mercer
passing
Fred Payton
16/22, 247 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Justin Coleman
10 CAR, 56 YDS
receiving
Devron Harper
6 REC, 94 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Al Wooten II run for no gain to the Mercr 25

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Austin Douglas run for 3 yds to the Mercr 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Fred Payton pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt+6 yds

Trey Turk punt for 55 yds , AJ Colombo returns for 6 yds to the WCaro 23

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.79

Carlos Davis pass intercepted Austin Douglas return for no gain to the WCaro 41

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Parker Wroble run for 7 yds to the WCaro 34

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Fred Payton pass incomplete

3rd & 3Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.02

Fred Payton run for 14 yds to the WCaro 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Al Wooten II run for 4 yds to the WCaro 16

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Al Wooten II run for 4 yds to the WCaro 12

3rd & 2Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.73

Fred Payton run for 11 yds to the WCaro 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Austin Douglas run for 1 yd for a TD, (Devin Folser KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Devin Folser kickoff for 53 yds , Jalynn Williams return for 15 yds to the WCaro 27

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Carlos Davis pass complete to David White Jr. for 6 yds to the WCaro 33

2nd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.83

Carlos Davis pass complete to TJ Jones for 7 yds to the WCaro 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

TJ Jones run for 6 yds to the WCaro 46

2nd & 4Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.38

Carlos Davis pass complete to David White Jr. for 19 yds to the Mercr 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-19 ydsPPA -3.96

Carlos Davis sacked by Chris Hill and Carson Griffin for a loss of 19 yards to the WCaro 46

2nd & 29Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Carlos Davis pass incomplete to Desmond Reid

3rd & 29Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Carlos Davis pass incomplete to Raphael Williams

4th & 29Punt0 yds

Brandon Dickerson punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Lance Wise at the Mercr 8

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.77

Fred Payton pass complete to Ty James for 17 yds to the Mercr 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.71

Fred Payton pass complete to Devron Harper for 19 yds to the Mercr 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Brandon Marshall run for 3 yds to the Mercr 47

2nd & 7Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.18

Fred Payton pass complete to Ty James for 33 yds to the WCaro 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Fred Payton pass complete to Tayshaun Shipp for 5 yds to the WCaro 15

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Parker Wroble run for 4 yds to the WCaro 11

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.25

Austin Douglas run for 3 yds to the WCaro 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 0Penalty-7 yds

MERCER Penalty, Offensive holding (-7 Yards) to the WCaro 15

1st & 15Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.83

Fred Payton pass complete to Drake Starks for 15 yds for a TD, (Devin Folser KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Desmond Reid run for 2 yds to the WCaro 27

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Carlos Davis run for 3 yds to the WCaro 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Carlos Davis pass incomplete to Desmond Reid

4th & 5Punt+4 yds

Brandon Dickerson punt for 35 yds , Lance Wise returns for 4 yds to the Mercr 39

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Al Wooten II run for 3 yds to the Mercr 42

2nd & 7Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.14

Fred Payton run for 19 yds to the WCaro 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Fred Payton pass complete to Devron Harper for 6 yds to the WCaro 33

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Devron Harper run for 6 yds to the WCaro 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+14 yds

WESTRN CAROLINA Penalty, personal foul (Hayward McQueen III) to the WCaro 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Austin Douglas run for 9 yds to the WCaro 4

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.71

Austin Douglas run for 2 yds to the WCaro 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Al Wooten II run for 2 yds for a TD, (Devin Folser KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+8 yds

Devin Folser kickoff for 46 yds , Terrence Horne return for 8 yds to the WCaro 27

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

TJ Jones run for 1 yd to the WCaro 28

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Carlos Davis pass complete to Clayton Bardall for 3 yds to the WCaro 31

3rd & 6Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.47

Carlos Davis pass complete to Raphael Williams for a loss of 3 yards to the WCaro 28

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Brandon Dickerson punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mercr 37

1st & 10Rush+33 ydsPPA +2.24

Brandon Marshall run for 33 yds to the WCaro 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Fred Payton pass complete to Devron Harper for 8 yds to the WCaro 22

2nd & 2Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA -0.23

Fred Payton pass complete to Devron Harper for 10 yds to the WCaro 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Austin Douglas run for 3 yds to the WCaro 9

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.63

Fred Payton pass complete to Brandon Marshall for 9 yds for a TD, (Devin Folser KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+1 yds

Devin Folser kickoff for 32 yds , Blue Monroe return for 1 yd to the WCaro 34

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Jalynn Williams run for 2 yds to the WCaro 36

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Carlos Davis pass complete to Jalynn Williams for 4 yds to the WCaro 40

3rd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.71

Carlos Davis pass complete to Jalynn Williams for 4 yds to the WCaro 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Jalynn Williams run for 1 yd to the WCaro 45

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Carlos Davis pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.74

Carlos Davis pass intercepted Isaac Dowling return for no gain to the WCaro 42

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Fred Payton pass complete to Devron Harper for 5 yds to the WCaro 37

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Fred Payton pass incomplete to Lance Wise, broken up by Justin Wallace

3rd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.29

Austin Douglas run for 6 yds to the WCaro 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +0.79

Fred Payton pass complete to Parker Wroble for 25 yds to the WCaro 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 0Penalty-30 yds

MERCER Penalty, illegal motion (-30 Yards) to the WCaro 36

1st & 0Penalty-5 yds

MERCER Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WCaro 41

1st & 0Pass Incompletion0 yds

Fred Payton pass incomplete to Drake Starks

2nd & 0Punt0 yds

Trey Turk punt for 37 yds, fair catch by AJ Colombo at the WCaro 4

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Desmond Reid run for 6 yds to the WCaro 10

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Carlos Davis pass incomplete to Raphael Williams

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.16

Carlos Davis run for no gain to the WCaro 10

4th & 4Punt+8 yds

Brandon Dickerson punt for 42 yds , Devron Harper returns for 8 yds to the WCaro 44

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Fred Payton run for 4 yds to the WCaro 40

2nd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.76

Fred Payton pass complete to Fred Jackson for 12 yds to the WCaro 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Al Wooten II run for 4 yds to the WCaro 24

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Brandon Marshall run for 4 yds to the WCaro 20

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.29

Al Wooten II run for 4 yds to the WCaro 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Fred Payton pass incomplete to Drake Starks

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.90

Devron Harper run for 16 yds for a TD, (Devin Folser KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+4 yds

Devin Folser kickoff for 44 yds , Jalynn Williams return for 4 yds to the WCaro 25

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

TJ Jones run for 8 yds to the WCaro 33

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.08

TJ Jones run for 2 yds to the WCaro 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

TJ Jones run for 8 yds to the WCaro 43

2nd & 2Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -2.79

Carlos Davis pass intercepted Isaac Dowling return for no gain to the WCaro 46

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+46 ydsPPA +3.54

Fred Payton pass complete to Devron Harper for 46 yds for a TD, (Devin Folser KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Devin Folser kickoff for 38 yds , Darian Anderson Jr. return for no gain to the WCaro 27

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Carlos Davis run for 6 yds to the WCaro 33

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Carlos Davis run for 2 yds to the WCaro 35

3rd & 2Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.63

Carlos Davis pass complete to Jalynn Williams for 19 yds to the Mercr 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Carlos Davis pass incomplete to Desmond Reid

2nd & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.45

Carlos Davis pass complete to Jalynn Williams for a loss of 2 yards to the Mercr 48

3rd & 12Fumble Recovery (Own)-10 ydsPPA -1.25

Carlos Davis run for a loss of 10 yards to the WCaro 42 Carlos Davis fumbled, recovered by WCaro Desmond Reid

0th & 12End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

4th & 22Rush0 ydsPPA -0.13

Devron Harper run for no gain to the WCaro 40

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.02

TJ Jones run for 8 yds to the WCaro 48

2nd & 2Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +1.12

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Clayton Bardall for 32 yds to the Mercr 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.65

Cole Gonzales run for a loss of 3 yards to the Mercr 23

2nd & 13Penalty-7 yds

WESTRN CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive holding (Tyler Smith) to the Mercr 30

2nd & 20Rush0 ydsPPA -0.98

Cole Gonzales run for no gain to the Mercr 30

3rd & 20Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.45

Camury Reid run for a loss of 4 yards to the Mercr 34

4th & 24Field Goal Good+43 yds

Richard McCollum 43 yd FG GOOD

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Paxton Robertson kickoff for 55 yds , Fred Jackson return for 18 yds to the Mercr 28

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Austin Douglas run for 3 yds to the Mercr 31

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.74

Austin Douglas run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mercr 30

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Fred Payton pass incomplete to Austin Douglas

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Trey Turk punt for 46 yds , AJ Colombo returns for no gain to the WCaro 24

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Jalynn Williams run for 1 yd to the WCaro 25

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.54

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Raphael Williams for 8 yds to the WCaro 33

3rd & 1Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.41

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Clayton Bardall for 7 yds to the WCaro 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.40

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Raphael Williams for 17 yds to the Mercr 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

WESTRN CAROLINA Penalty, false start (Christian Coulter) to the Mercr 48

1st & 15Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.64

TJ Jones run for 22 yds to the Mercr 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Cole Gonzales run for 2 yds to the Mercr 24

2nd & 8Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.86

Cole Gonzales pass complete to TJ Jones for a loss of 2 yards to the Mercr 26

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Cole Gonzales pass incomplete to Clayton Bardall

4th & 10Field Goal Good+43 yds

Richard McCollum 43 yd FG GOOD

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+31 yds

Paxton Robertson kickoff for 63 yds , Devron Harper return for 31 yds to the Mercr 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Fred Payton pass complete to Brandon Marshall for 3 yds to the Mercr 36

2nd & 7Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.98

Fred Payton pass complete to Drake Starks for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Al Wooten II run for 5 yds to the WCaro 45

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Al Wooten II run for 3 yds to the WCaro 42

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.94

Al Wooten II run for 2 yds to the WCaro 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.57

Fred Payton pass complete to Austin Douglas for 20 yds to the WCaro 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Al Wooten II run for 4 yds to the WCaro 16

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Lance Wise run for 3 yds to the WCaro 13

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.77

Brandon Marshall run for 13 yds for a TD, (Devin Folser KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+5 yds

Devin Folser kickoff for 45 yds , Nick Louis return for 5 yds to the WCaro 25

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Camury Reid run for a loss of 1 yard to the WCaro 24

2nd & 11Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-2 ydsPPA -0.12

Cole Gonzales run for a loss of 2 yards to the WCaro 22 Cole Gonzales fumbled, forced by Isaiah Washburn, recovered by Mercr Isaiah Washburn

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA -4.35

Justin Coleman run for 2 yds to the WCaro 20 Justin Coleman fumbled, recovered by WCaro

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Camury Reid run for 5 yds to the WCaro 25

2nd & 5Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.35

Cole Gonzales run for 13 yds to the WCaro 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+47 ydsPPA +2.39

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Clayton Bardall for 47 yds to the Mercr 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Camury Reid run for 2 yds to the Mercr 13

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Cole Gonzales run for 5 yds to the Mercr 8

3rd & 3Pass Interception Return+20 ydsPPA -4.32

Cole Gonzales pass intercepted Shi'heem Watkins return for 20 yds to the Mercr 20

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Justin Coleman run for 3 yds to the Mercr 23

2nd & 7Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.67

Justin Coleman run for 15 yds to the Mercr 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09

Justin Coleman run for no gain to the Mercr 38

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Justin Coleman run for 2 yds to the Mercr 40

3rd & 8Rush+15 ydsPPA +3.01

Justin Coleman run for 15 yds to the WCaro 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.69

Daniel Shoch pass complete to Trey Adkins for 16 yds to the WCaro 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Justin Coleman run for 1 yd to the WCaro 28

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Justin Coleman run for 3 yds to the WCaro 25

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Justin Coleman run for 1 yd to the WCaro 24

4th & 5Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.49

Justin Coleman run for 14 yds to the WCaro 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 0Penalty-22 yds

MERCER Penalty, Offensive holding (-22 Yards) to the WCaro 32

1st & 0Pass Incompletion0 yds

Daniel Shoch pass incomplete

2nd & 32Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.09

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Taurus Dotson Jr. for 8 yds to the WCaro 40

3rd & 24Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Cole Gonzales pass incomplete to Jacob Harris

4th & 24Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.31

Camury Reid run for 1 yd to the WCaro 41

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Cole Gonzales pass incomplete to Camury Reid, broken up by Isaiah Washburn

3rd & 9Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.97

Cole Gonzales sacked for 0 yards to the Mercr 46 Cole Gonzales fumbled, recovered by WCaro Cole Gonzales , return for 0 yards

No play data available

Situational Analysis

Western Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
43%
23 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
25%
8 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
0%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Mercer

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
48%
29 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
25%
8 plays
60%
10 plays
3rd
100%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play