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← Back to GamesOct 22, 2022Week 8
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Western Carolina by 17.8

Home Win Probability

Western Carolina 86%

Market (consensus)

Western Carolina -15

Edge: Western Carolina -15 (2.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 22, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
The Citadel
7177334
Western Carolina
0071421

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-70-140-170-317-3414-3421-34
Western CarolinaThe Citadel

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20WCTCWCTCWCTCWCTCWCTCWCTCWCTCWCTCPUNT34ydTD1273ydPUNT545ydTD1185ydTO315ydFG1974ydDOWNS44ydTD339ydTO531ydTD1675ydTD770ydFG1467ydTD1372ydDOWNS42ydTD1258ydEND2-4yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing The Citadel and Western Carolina
StatisticThe CitadelWestern Carolina
Passing4-713-25
Pass Yards82159
Rush Yards312185
Total Yards394344
Turnovers02
3rd Down13-186-11
Penalties4-459-92
Possession42:4917:11

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

The Citadel
passing
Graeson Underwood
4/7, 82 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Graeson Underwood
36 CAR, 129 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Ricky Conway
2 REC, 41 YDS, 1 TD
Western Carolina
passing
Cole Gonzales
13/25, 159 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Desmond Reid
13 CAR, 129 YDS
receiving
Censere Lee
3 REC, 48 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY WCU False Start (Whitmore,Blake) 5 yards from WCU30 to WCU25. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Toler Keigley for 3 yds to the WCaro 22

2nd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Cole Gonzales pass incomplete to Raphael Williams

3rd & 18Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.25

Cole Gonzales run for 12 yds to the WCaro 34

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Brandon Dickerson punt for 37 yds , Dominick Poole returns for no gain to the Citad 27

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Brandon Dickerson punt for 37 yds , Dominick Poole returns for no gain to the Citad 27

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Graeson Underwood run for 3 yds to the Citad 30

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.62

Ricky Conway run for no gain to the Citad 30

3rd & 7Rush+32 ydsPPA +3.77

Jay Graves-Billips run for 32 yds to the WCaro 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Braden Walker run for 1 yd to the WCaro 37

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Cooper Wallace run for 16 yds to the WCaro 21 THE CITADEL Penalty, Offensive Holding (Thomas Wyatt) to the WCaro 40

2nd & 12Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.51

Ricky Conway run for 12 yds to the WCaro 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Braden Walker run for 3 yds to the WCaro 25

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Graeson Underwood run for 6 yds to the WCaro 19

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Graeson Underwood run for 6 yds to the WCaro 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

WESTRN CAROLINA Penalty, Face Mask (5 yards) (Samaurie Dukes) to the WCaro 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Graeson Underwood run for 4 yds to the WCaro 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Graeson Underwood run for 1 yd for a TD, (Colby Kintner KICK)

1st & 10Rush+36 ydsPPA +2.61

Desmond Reid run for 36 yds to the WCaro 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.00

Desmond Reid run for 14 yds to the Citad 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.84

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Raphael Williams for 9 yds to the Citad 31

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.84

Jalynn Williams run for no gain to the Citad 31

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY WCU False Start (Tomlison,Dalton) 5 yards from CIT31 to CIT36. NO PLAY.

3rd & 6Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.56

Cole Gonzales sacked by Thomas Wyatt for a loss of 9 yards to the Citad 45

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Brandon Dickerson punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Dominick Poole at the Citad 15

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Brandon Dickerson punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Dominick Poole at the Citad 15

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Graeson Underwood run for 5 yds to the Citad 20

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Graeson Underwood run for 4 yds to the Citad 24

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.61

Braden Walker run for 2 yds to the Citad 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Graeson Underwood run for no gain to the Citad 26

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Ricky Conway run for 2 yds to the Citad 28

3rd & 8Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.52

Graeson Underwood pass complete to Ricky Conway for 15 yds to the Citad 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Braden Walker run for 3 yds to the Citad 46

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Graeson Underwood run for 6 yds to the WCaro 48

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.98

Graeson Underwood run for 2 yds to the WCaro 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

WESTRN CAROLINA Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Cameron McCutcheon) to the WCaro 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +2.72

Graeson Underwood pass complete to Ricky Conway for 26 yds for a TD, (Colby Kintner KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Desmond Reid run for 7 yds to the WCaro 33

2nd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Desmond Reid run for 8 yds to the WCaro 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -2.34

Cole Gonzales pass intercepted

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -2.34

Cole Gonzales pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Graeson Underwood run for 3 yds to the Citad 23

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Cooper Wallace run for 1 yd to the Citad 24

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.56

Graeson Underwood pass complete to Alex Sloan for 9 yds to the Citad 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Graeson Underwood run for 8 yds to the Citad 41

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Graeson Underwood run for 6 yds to the Citad 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.74

Braden Walker run for 10 yds to the WCaro 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Graeson Underwood run for 2 yds to the WCaro 41

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Sam Llewellyn run for 1 yd to the WCaro 40

3rd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Graeson Underwood run for 4 yds to the WCaro 36

4th & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +2.03

Ricky Conway run for 6 yds to the WCaro 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Graeson Underwood run for 4 yds to the WCaro 26

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Braden Walker run for 6 yds to the WCaro 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Graeson Underwood run for 3 yds to the WCaro 17

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Graeson Underwood run for 3 yds to the WCaro 14

3rd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Braden Walker run for 7 yds to the WCaro 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Braden Walker run for 2 yds to the WCaro 5

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jay Graves-Billips run for 4 yds to the WCaro 1

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY CIT False Start 5 yards from WCU01 to WCU06. NO PLAY.

3rd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Cooper Wallace run for no gain to the WCaro 6

4th & 6Field Goal Good+23 yds

Colby Kintner 23 yd FG GOOD WESTRN CAROLINA Penalty, Illegal Substitution ( Yards) declined

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+13 yds

Colby Kintner kickoff for 58 yds , AJ Colombo return for 13 yds to the WCaro 48 THE CITADEL Penalty, Personal Foul (Carson Walter) to the WCaro 35

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Cole Gonzales pass incomplete to TJ Jones

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Cole Gonzales run for 3 yds to the WCaro 38

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Cole Gonzales pass incomplete to Toler Keigley

4th & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.01

Brandon Dickerson run for 1 yd to the WCaro 39

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Graeson Underwood pass incomplete to Christian Hilton

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Ricky Conway run for 7 yds to the WCaro 32

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +3.50

Graeson Underwood pass complete to Jay Graves-Billips for 32 yds for a TD, (Colby Kintner KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Censere Lee for 8 yds to the WCaro 43

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.35

Cole Gonzales pass incomplete to Brayden Blackmon

3rd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.63

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Desmond Reid for 6 yds to the WCaro 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.99

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Brayden Blackmon for 17 yds to the Citad 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -4.06

Cole Gonzales pass intercepted, touchback.

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Graeson Underwood run for 13 yds to the Citad 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Graeson Underwood run for 3 yds to the Citad 41

2nd & 7Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.54

Ricky Conway run for 10 yds to the WESTCARLNA 49 for a 1ST down THE CITADEL Penalty, Personal Foul (Cameron Moewe) to the Citad 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.31

Jay Graves-Billips run for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Johnny Crawford III run for 1 yd to the WCaro 49

2nd & 9Penalty+15 yds

WESTRN CAROLINA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the WCaro 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Cooper Wallace run for 4 yds to the WCaro 28

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Graeson Underwood run for 5 yds to the WCaro 23

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.26

Graeson Underwood run for 5 yds to the WCaro 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jay Graves-Billips run for 4 yds to the WCaro 14

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Braden Walker run for 3 yds to the WCaro 11

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Graeson Underwood run for 2 yds to the WCaro 9

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.62

Graeson Underwood run for 1 yd to the WCaro 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Ahmad Green run for 1 yd to the WCaro 7

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Cooper Wallace run for 2 yds to the WCaro 5

3rd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.76

Ricky Conway run for 5 yds for a TD, (Colby Kintner KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+26 yds

Colby Kintner kickoff for 61 yds , AJ Colombo return for 26 yds to the WCaro 30

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.94

TJ Jones run for 10 yds to the WCaro 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

TJ Jones run for 7 yds to the WCaro 47

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.29

TJ Jones run for 4 yds to the Citad 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Cole Gonzales pass incomplete to TJ Jones

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.06

Desmond Reid run for 9 yds to the Citad 40

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.89

Desmond Reid run for 7 yds to the Citad 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +2.90

Cole Gonzales pass complete to David White Jr. for 33 yds for a TD, (Richard McCollum KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Graeson Underwood run for 4 yds to the Citad 29

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Graeson Underwood run for no gain to the Citad 29

3rd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.79

Cooper Wallace run for 8 yds to the Citad 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Ricky Conway run for 5 yds to the Citad 42

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Graeson Underwood run for 3 yds to the Citad 45

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.28

Graeson Underwood run for 2 yds to the Citad 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Graeson Underwood run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Graeson Underwood run for 5 yds to the WCaro 45

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.17

Graeson Underwood run for 4 yds to the WCaro 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+30 ydsPPA +0.72

Cooper Wallace run for 18 yds to the WCaro 23 for a 1ST down WESTRN CAROLINA Penalty, Face Mask (12 yards) (Ed Jones IV) to the WCaro 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Braden Walker run for 1 yd to the WCaro 10

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Jay Graves-Billips run for 2 yds to the WCaro 8

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Graeson Underwood pass incomplete to Ricky Conway

4th & 7Field Goal Good+25 yds

Colby Kintner 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Colby Kintner kickoff for 60 yds , AJ Colombo return for 23 yds to the WCaro 28

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.29

Desmond Reid run for 14 yds to the WCaro 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.02

Desmond Reid run for 12 yds to the Citad 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Cole Gonzales pass incomplete to Clayton Bardall

2nd & 10Penalty-15 yds

WESTRN CAROLINA Penalty, Block Below Waist (-15 Yards) to the WCaro 43

2nd & 21Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Desmond Reid run for 5 yds to the WCaro 48

3rd & 16Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.90

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Censere Lee for 26 yds to the Citad 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

WESTRN CAROLINA Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Citad 36

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Cole Gonzales pass incomplete to Raphael Williams

3rd & 20Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.61

Cole Gonzales pass complete to AJ Colombo for 19 yds to the Citad 17

4th & 1Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Cole Gonzales pass complete to AJ Colombo for 7 yds to the Citad 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

TJ Jones run for 2 yds to the Citad 8

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Cole Gonzales pass incomplete to David White Jr.

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.95

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Raphael Williams for 8 yds for a TD, (Richard McCollum KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Cooper Wallace run for 3 yds to the WCaro 41

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Graeson Underwood run for 1 yd to the WCaro 40

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Graeson Underwood run for 2 yds to the WCaro 42

4th & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Graeson Underwood pass incomplete to Ricky Conway

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY WCU False Start (Whitmore,Blake) 5 yards from WCU42 to WCU37. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Desmond Reid run for 7 yds to the WCaro 44

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Desmond Reid run for 7 yds to the Citad 49

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.93

Desmond Reid run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

4th & 2Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.98

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Censere Lee for 14 yds to the Citad 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Clayton Bardall for 5 yds to the Citad 31

2nd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.30

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Clayton Bardall for 10 yds to the Citad 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Cole Gonzales pass incomplete to TJ Jones

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.23

TJ Jones run for 7 yds to the Citad 14

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.28

Cole Gonzales run for 4 yds to the Citad 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Cole Gonzales pass incomplete to Raphael Williams

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.35

Cole Gonzales run for 9 yds to the Citad 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

TJ Jones run for 1 yd for a TD, (Richard McCollum KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.49

G. Underwood takes a knee

2nd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.32

G. Underwood takes a knee

Situational Analysis

The Citadel

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
28%
29 plays
2nd
100%
2 plays
29%
7 plays
36%
14 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
88%
8 plays
67%
6 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play

Western Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
57%
21 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
100%
1 play
67%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
100%
5 plays
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays
100%
3 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play