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← Back to GamesOct 22, 2022Week 8
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Mercer by 1.9

Home Win Probability

Chattanooga 44%

Market (consensus)

Chattanooga +1.5

Edge: Mercer -1.5 (0.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 22, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Mercer
0147021
Chattanooga
17107741

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284210-017-024-027-727-1434-2141-21
ChattanoogaMercer

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20CHAMERMERCHAMERCHAMERCHAMERCHAMERCHACHAMERCHAMERCHAMERCHAMERCHAMERCHAFG48ydTD2-1ydPUNT39ydPUNT37ydTO31ydTD454ydPUNT828ydTD780ydTD375ydFG1272ydTD875ydDOWNS836ydTD675ydTD1077ydPUNT38ydTO850ydTD968ydPUNT36ydPUNT521ydTO734ydPUNT32ydTO38ydEND2-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Mercer and Chattanooga
StatisticMercerChattanooga
Passing22-3320-32
Pass Yards288291
Rush Yards64156
Total Yards352447
Turnovers60
3rd Down5-135-13
Penalties7-525-50
Possession26:0233:58

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Mercer
passing
Fred Payton
19/28, 250 YDS, 3 TD, 3 INT
rushing
Fred Payton
4 CAR, 32 YDS
receiving
Ty James
7 REC, 126 YDS, 1 TD
Chattanooga
passing
Preston Hutchinson
20/32, 291 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Ailym Ford
22 CAR, 123 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jamoi Mayes
8 REC, 121 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Ford,Ailym rush left for 8 yards gain to the MERCER15 (Johnson,Robert) PENALTY CHATT Holding (Lavin,Lucas) 10 yards from MERCER23 to MERCER33. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.37

Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Jamoi Mayes for 17 yds to the Mercr 16

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Ailym Ford run for 2 yds to the Mercr 14

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.08

Ailym Ford run for 1 yd to the Mercr 15

4th & 2Field Goal Good+32 yds

Aaron Sears 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Al Wooten II run for 1 yd to the Mercr 42

2nd & 11Interception Return Touchdown+53 ydsPPA -8.17

Kameron Brown 53 Yd Interception Return (Aaron Sears Kick)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Brandon Marshall run for 2 yds to the Mercr 26

2nd & 8Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.38

Fred Payton pass complete to Carter Peevy for 1 yd to the Mercr 27

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Fred Payton pass complete to Tayshaun Shipp for 6 yds to the Mercr 33

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Trey Turk punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Jamoi Mayes at the Chatt 22

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Ailym Ford run for 5 yds to the Chatt 27

2nd & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Jamoi Mayes for 2 yds to the Chatt 29

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.44

Ailym Ford run for no gain to the Chatt 29

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Jason Pierce punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Devron Harper at the Mercr 25

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Brandon Marshall run for 1 yd to the Mercr 26

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Brandon Marshall run for no gain to the Mercr 26

3rd & 9Interception0 ydsPPA +0.07

Fred Payton pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Jamoi Mayes

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.15

Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Javin Whatley for 14 yds to the Mercr 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Ailym Ford run for 6 yds to the Mercr 34

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+34 ydsPPA +2.92

Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Jamoi Mayes for 34 yds for a TD, (Aaron Sears KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Fred Payton pass complete to Ty James for 16 yds to the Mercr 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Fred Payton pass complete to Andrew May for 7 yds to the Mercr 48

2nd & 3Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY MERCER False Start (Richardson,Cedric) 5 yards from MERCER48 to MERCER43. NO PLAY.

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Fred Payton run for 6 yds to the Mercr 49

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.88

Al Wooten II run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.26

Carter Peevy run for 3 yds to the Chatt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Fred Payton pass complete to Devron Harper for 3 yds to the Chatt 44

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Fred Payton pass incomplete to Ty James

3rd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Al Wooten II run for 3 yds to the Chatt 47

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Trey Turk punt for 47 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Javin Whatley for 5 yds to the Chatt 25

2nd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.15

Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Jamoi Mayes for 11 yds to the Chatt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.73

Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Sam Phillips for 20 yds to the Mercr 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Gino Appleberry run for 4 yds to the Mercr 40

2nd & 6Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +0.97

Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Gino Appleberry for 25 yds to the Mercr 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Ailym Ford run for no gain to the Mercr 15

2nd & 10Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY MERCER Offside (Hill,Chris) 5 yards from MERCER15 to MERCER10. NO PLAY.

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.48

Ailym Ford run for 10 yds for a TD, (Aaron Sears KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.98

Fred Payton pass complete to Ty James for 22 yds to the Mercr 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.95

Al Wooten II run for 14 yds to the Chatt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+39 ydsPPA +3.14

Fred Payton pass complete to Devron Harper for 39 yds for a TD, (Devin Folser KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

Devin Folser kickoff for 61 yds , Javin Whatley return for 12 yds to the Chatt 16

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Sam Phillips for 3 yds to the Chatt 19

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Jamoi Mayes

3rd & 7Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.79

Preston Hutchinson run for 15 yds to the Chatt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Jamoi Mayes

2nd & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +3.13

Ailym Ford run for 26 yds to the Mercr 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Jamoi Mayes

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Ailym Ford run for 3 yds to the Mercr 43

3rd & 13Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.10

Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Tyler Smith for 24 yds to the Mercr 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Sam Phillips

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.22

Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Sam Phillips for 7 yds to the Mercr 12

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Jamoi Mayes

4th & 3Field Goal Good+29 yds

Aaron Sears 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Fred Payton pass complete to Travion Solomon for 8 yds to the Mercr 33

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Devron Harper run for 1 yd to the Mercr 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.81

Carter Peevy pass complete to Ty James for 9 yds to the Mercr 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Carter Peevy pass complete to Brandon Marshall for 7 yds to the Mercr 48

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.29

Brandon Marshall run for no gain to the Mercr 48

3rd & 3Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.25

Fred Payton run for 16 yds to the Chatt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +0.46

Carter Peevy pass complete to Ty James for 22 yds to the Chatt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.55

Fred Payton pass complete to Ty James for 14 yds for a TD, (Devin Folser KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Devin Folser kickoff for 60 yds , Reuben Lowery III return for 23 yds to the Chatt 28

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Javin Whatley for 6 yds to the Chatt 34

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Sam Phillips

3rd & 4Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.92

Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Jamoi Mayes for 20 yds to the Mercr 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+36 ydsPPA +1.03

Ailym Ford run for 46 yds for a 1ST down CHATTANOOGA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jamoi Mayes) to the Mercr 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Ailym Ford run for 5 yds to the Mercr 31

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Gino Appleberry run for 2 yds to the Mercr 29

3rd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Preston Hutchinson run for 7 yds to the Mercr 36

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.31

Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Javin Whatley

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Javin Whatley for 5 yds to the Chatt 30

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Ailym Ford run for 4 yds to the Chatt 34

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.25

Ailym Ford run for 5 yds to the Chatt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Javin Whatley

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.78

Ailym Ford run for 8 yds to the Chatt 47

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+53 ydsPPA +5.19

Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Sam Phillips for 53 yds for a TD, (Aaron Sears KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

Andrew Southard kickoff for 54 yds , Devron Harper return for 12 yds to the Mercr 23

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

CHATTANOOGA Penalty, Personal Foul (Devonnsha Maxwell) to the Mercr 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Devron Harper run for 3 yds to the Mercr 28

2nd & 13Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Al Wooten II run for 2 yds to the Mercr 30

3rd & 11Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.78

Fred Payton pass complete to Tayshaun Shipp for 15 yds to the Mercr 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.37

Fred Payton pass complete to Travion Solomon for 22 yds to the Chatt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.02

Fred Payton pass complete to Ty James for 28 yds to the Chatt 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+5 yds

Brandon Marshall run for 5 yds to the Chatt 10

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.35

Carter Peevy run for 9 yds to the Chatt 1

3rd & 1Rush+2 yds

Al Wooten II run for 2 yds to the Chatt 3

4th & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.92

Fred Payton pass complete to Devron Harper for 3 yds for a TD, (Devin Folser KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Devin Folser kickoff for 59 yds , Javin Whatley return for 17 yds to the Chatt 23

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.20

Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Jamoi Mayes for 9 yds to the Chatt 32

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.22

Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Ailym Ford

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.80

Ailym Ford run for 1 yd to the Chatt 31

4th & 2Punt+1 yds

Gabe Boring punt for 40 yds , Devron Harper returns for 1 yd to the Mercr 30

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Gabe Boring punt for 40 yds , Devron Harper returns for no gain to the Mercr 18

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.75

Fred Payton run for 8 yds to the Mercr 26

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Fred Payton pass incomplete to Trey Adkins

3rd & 2Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.40

Fred Payton pass complete to Tayshaun Shipp for 9 yds to the Mercr 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Brandon Marshall run for 6 yds to the Mercr 41

2nd & 4Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.43

Fred Payton pass complete to Ty James for 15 yds to the Chatt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.54

Fred Payton pass complete to Devron Harper for 12 yds to the Chatt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Fred Payton pass incomplete to Ty James

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -3.52

Brandon Marshall run for no gain to the Chatt 32 Brandon Marshall fumbled, recovered by Mercr Bo Spearman

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.65

Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Jamoi Mayes for 10 yds to the Mercr 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Ailym Ford run for 3 yds to the Mercr 37

1st & 11Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.83

Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Jamoi Mayes for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

2nd & 7Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Hutchinson,Preston pass complete short middle to Whatley,Javin for 5 yards to the MERCER32 (Standley,Ken) PENALTY CHATT Holding (Williams,Reid) 10 yards from MERCER37 to MERCER47. NO PLAY.

2nd & 17Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.98

Ailym Ford run for 14 yds to the Mercr 33

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete

4th & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.79

Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Javin Whatley for 5 yds to the Mercr 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Ailym Ford run for 1 yd to the Mercr 27

2nd & 9Penalty+7 yds

PENALTY MERCER Pass Interference (Gammage,Danijah) 7 yards from MERCER27 to MERCER20, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.15

Ailym Ford run for 17 yds to the Mercr 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Jay Gibson for 3 yds for a TD, (Aaron Sears KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Andrew Southard kickoff for 59 yds , Devron Harper return for 20 yds to the CHATTANOOG 45 MERCER Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Mercr 16

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Fred Jackson run for 6 yds to the Mercr 22

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Fred Payton pass incomplete to Ty James

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Fred Payton pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Trey Turk punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jamoi Mayes at the Chatt 41

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Gino Appleberry run for 7 yds to the Chatt 48

2nd & 3Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.67

Gino Appleberry run for 10 yds to the Mercr 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Tyler Smith

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Gino Appleberry run for 2 yds to the Mercr 40

3rd & 8Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY MERCER Offside (Frazier,Savio) 5 yards from MERCER40 to MERCER35. NO PLAY.

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Preston Hutchinson run for 2 yds to the Mercr 33

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY CHATT False Start (VanGorder,Malone) 5 yards from MERCER33 to MERCER38. NO PLAY.

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jason Pierce punt for 38 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.20

Fred Payton pass complete to Devron Harper for 26 yds to the Mercr 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.21

Fred Payton pass complete to Travion Solomon for 9 yds to the Chatt 45

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.26

Fred Payton pass incomplete to Tayshaun Shipp

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.88

Al Wooten II run for 2 yds to the Chatt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Fred Payton run for 2 yds to the Chatt 41

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Fred Payton pass complete to Carter Peevy for 5 yds to the Chatt 46

3rd & 13Interception0 ydsPPA -1.04

Fred Payton pass intercepted, touchback.

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Ailym Ford run for no gain to the Chatt 20

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.26

Ailym Ford run for no gain to the Chatt 20

3rd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.08

Ailym Ford run for 2 yds to the Chatt 22

4th & 8Punt+24 yds

Jason Pierce punt for 41 yds , Devron Harper returns for 24 yds to the Chatt 39

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.62

Carter Peevy run for 8 yds to the Chatt 31

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Carter Peevy pass incomplete to Travion Solomon

3rd & 2Interception0 ydsPPA -3.68

Carter Peevy pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Gino Appleberry run for 4 yds to the Chatt 46

2nd & 6Rush-6 ydsPPA -2.04

P. Hutchinson takes a knee

Situational Analysis

Mercer

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
72%
25 plays
2nd
0%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
43%
7 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
67%
6 plays
0%
1 play
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
2 plays

Chattanooga

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
48%
25 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
44%
9 plays
50%
8 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
56%
9 plays
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play