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← Back to GamesSep 23, 2022Week 4

House Prediction

Model Margin

Illinois by 1.5

Home Win Probability

Illinois 52%

Market (consensus)

Illinois -20

Edge: Chattanooga +20 (18.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 23, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Chattanooga
00000
IllinoisIllinois
10147031

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-010-017-024-031-0
IllinoisChattanooga

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20CHAILLCHAILLCHAILLCHACHAILLCHAILLCHAILLCHAILLCHAILLCHAILLCHAILLCHAILLCHAILLCHAPUNT33ydTD564ydPUNT37ydDOWNS735ydPUNT34ydFG963ydTO518ydTO558ydTD980ydPUNT3-9ydTD548ydPUNT38ydPUNT949ydEND10ydPUNT33ydMISS526ydPUNT610ydPUNT64ydTD267ydPUNT69ydPUNT30ydPUNT31ydPUNT39ydPUNT31ydDOWNS1164ydEND412yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Chattanooga and Illinois
StatisticChattanoogaIllinois
Passing6-1925-34
Pass Yards49335
Rush Yards93167
Total Yards142502
Turnovers21
3rd Down4-147-15
Penalties1-152-25
Possession28:1331:47

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Chattanooga
passing
Preston Hutchinson
6/18, 49 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Ailym Ford
17 CAR, 93 YDS
receiving
Tyron Arnett
3 REC, 32 YDS
defense
Illinois
passing
Tommy DeVito
23/31, 329 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Chase Brown
20 CAR, 108 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Patrick Bryant
6 REC, 112 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Jay Gibson for 4 yds to the Chatt 29

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Ailym Ford run for 1 yd to the Chatt 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Tyler Smith

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Gabe Boring punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Williams at the Illin 36

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the Illin 38

2nd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.10

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Pat Bryant for 14 yds to the Chatt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.04

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Pat Bryant for 26 yds to the Chatt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.22

Chase Brown run for 13 yds to the Chatt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Chase Brown run for 9 yds for a TD, (Caleb Griffin KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Jay Gibson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Javin Whatley for 7 yds to the Chatt 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Jamoi Mayes

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Jason Pierce punt for 35 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 1 yd to the Illin 34

2nd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.21

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 14 yds to the Illin 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the Illin 46

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.82

Chase Brown run for 9 yds to the Chatt 30

2nd & 1Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.98

Tommy DeVito sacked by John Prince for a loss of 6 yards to the Chatt 36

3rd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Chase Brown run for 4 yds to the Chatt 32

2nd & 12Penalty+15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Devito,Tommy pass incomplete short right to Morris,Jonah PENALTY UTC Pass Interference (Brown,Kameron) 15 yards from ILL46 to UTC39, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.54

Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Casey Washington

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Ailym Ford run for 2 yds to the Chatt 34

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Ailym Ford run for 2 yds to the Chatt 36

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Sam Phillips

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Gabe Boring punt for 39 yds , Isaiah Williams returns for no gain to the Illin 21

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

ILLINOIS Penalty, Offensive Holding (Brian Hightower) to the Illin 14

1st & 17Rush0 ydsPPA -0.18

Tommy DeVito run for no gain to the Illin 14

2nd & 17Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.62

Chase Brown run for 14 yds to the Illin 28

3rd & 3Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +3.68

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Pat Bryant for 37 yds to the Chatt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.32

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Pat Bryant for 13 yds to the Chatt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 5 yds to the Chatt 17

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Chase Brown run for 3 yds to the Chatt 14

3rd & 2Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA +0.18

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 2 yds to the Chatt 16

4th & 4Field Goal Good+34 yds

Caleb Griffin 34 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Gino Appleberry run for 3 yds to the Chatt 28

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Gino Appleberry run for 1 yd to the Chatt 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.38

Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Tyron Arnett for 14 yds to the Chatt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to KeShawn Toney

2nd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -1.38

Preston Hutchinson pass intercepted Keith Randolph Jr. fumbled, recovered by Chatt McClendon Curtis

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.61

Gino Appleberry run for 1 yd to the Chatt 25

2nd & 11Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.70

Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Tyron Arnett for 11 yds to the Chatt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Ailym Ford run for 9 yds to the Chatt 45

2nd & 1Rush+39 ydsPPA +1.20

Ailym Ford run for 39 yds to the Illin 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -4.43

Preston Hutchinson pass intercepted, touchback.

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 2 yds to the Illin 22

2nd & 8Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.70

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Casey Washington for 15 yds to the Illin 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Casey Washington

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Luke Ford for 6 yds to the Illin 43

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.84

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Chase Brown for 5 yds to the Illin 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Casey Washington

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 8 yds to the Chatt 44

3rd & 2Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.62

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Miles Scott for 19 yds to the Chatt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +2.70

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Michael Marchese for 25 yds for a TD, (Caleb Griffin KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Tyler Smith

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Ailym Ford run for no gain to the Chatt 25

3rd & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.26

Preston Hutchinson sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the Chatt 16

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Gabe Boring punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Chatt 48

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Chase Brown run for 1 yd to the Chatt 47

2nd & 9Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +1.91

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Brian Hightower for 27 yds to the Chatt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Chase Brown run for 3 yds to the Chatt 17

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Pat Bryant

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +3.14

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Pat Bryant for 17 yds for a TD, (Caleb Griffin KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Ailym Ford run for 1 yd to the Chatt 36

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.52

Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Tyron Arnett for 7 yds to the Chatt 43

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.91

Ailym Ford run for no gain to the Chatt 43

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Gabe Boring punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Illin 11

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.60

Chase Brown run for 8 yds to the Illin 19

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Chase Brown run for 1 yd to the Illin 20

3rd & 1Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.38

Chase Brown run for 24 yds to the Illin 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Jonah Morris

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.73

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Chase Brown for 1 yd to the Illin 45

3rd & 9Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +3.12

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Jonah Morris for 16 yds to the Chatt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the Chatt 37

2nd & 8Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.61

Tommy DeVito sacked by Devonnsha Maxwell for a loss of 3 yards to the Chatt 40

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Brian Hightower

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Hugh Robertson punt for 32 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Ailym Ford run for no gain to the Chatt 8

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+30 yds

Andrew Southard kickoff for 57 yds , Peyton Vining return for 30 yds to the Illin 38

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Chase Brown run for 3 yds to the Illin 41

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Pat Bryant for 5 yds to the Illin 46

3rd & 2Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.62

Tommy DeVito sacked by Devonnsha Maxwell for a loss of 5 yards to the Illin 41

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Hugh Robertson punt for 11 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Chatt 48

1st & 10Rush+32 ydsPPA +1.39

Ailym Ford run for 32 yds to the Illin 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.01

Preston Hutchinson sacked by Sydney Brown for a loss of 6 yards to the Illin 26

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Javin Whatley

3rd & 16Rush0 ydsPPA -1.00

Ailym Ford run for no gain to the Illin 26

4th & 16Field Goal Missed+43 yds

Andrew Southard 43 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Chase Brown run for 7 yds to the Illin 33

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.53

Reggie Love III run for 6 yds to the Illin 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.62

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 12 yds to the ILLINOIS 49 for a 1ST down ILLINOIS Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Isaiah Williams) to the Illin 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Casey Washington

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.63

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Isaiah Williams for no gain to the Illin 36

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Brian Hightower

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Hugh Robertson punt for 32 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Ailym Ford run for 4 yds to the Chatt 36

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Ailym Ford run for 3 yds to the Chatt 39

3rd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.75

Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Jay Gibson for 6 yds to the Chatt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Tyron Arnett

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.91

Ailym Ford run for no gain to the Chatt 45

3rd & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.95

Preston Hutchinson sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the Chatt 36

4th & 19Punt+5 yds

Gabe Boring punt for 36 yds , Miles Scott returns for 5 yds to the Illin 33

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Chase Brown run for 4 yds to the Illin 37

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+63 ydsPPA +5.58

Tommy DeVito pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 63 yds for a TD, (Caleb Griffin KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Preston Hutchinson run for 7 yds to the Chatt 18

2nd & 17Rush0 ydsPPA -0.11

Gino Appleberry run for no gain to the Chatt 18

3rd & 17Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.18

Gino Appleberry run for 18 yds to the Chatt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.49

Preston Hutchinson sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the Chatt 33

2nd & 13Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Gino Appleberry run for 1 yd to the Chatt 34

3rd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -0.23

Gino Appleberry run for no gain to the Chatt 34

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Gabe Boring punt for 65 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.24

Chase Brown run for no gain to the Illin 1

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Artur Sitkowski pass incomplete to Jonah Morris

3rd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.04

Chase Brown run for no gain to the Illin 1

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Hugh Robertson punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Jamoi Mayes at the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Tyron Arnett

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Ailym Ford run for 1 yd to the Illin 49

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Jamoi Mayes

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jason Pierce punt for 30 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Chase Brown run for 3 yds to the Illin 22

2nd & 7Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Tip Reiman for 1 yd to the Illin 23

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Brian Hightower for 5 yds to the Illin 28

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Hugh Robertson punt for 33 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Ailym Ford run for 2 yds to the Chatt 37

2nd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Ailym Ford run for 3 yds to the Chatt 40

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Cole Copeland pass incomplete to Camden Overton

4th & 9Punt+4 yds

Gabe Boring punt for 47 yds , Miles Scott returns for 4 yds to the Illin 17

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Reggie Love III run for 6 yds to the Illin 23

2nd & 4Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.09

Reggie Love III run for 23 yds to the Illin 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Chase Hayden run for 6 yds to the Chatt 48

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Chase Hayden run for 3 yds to the Chatt 45

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.94

Artur Sitkowski run for 3 yds to the Chatt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Chase Hayden run for 2 yds to the Chatt 40

2nd & 8Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.02

Chase Hayden run for 12 yds to the Chatt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Reggie Love III run for no gain to the Chatt 28

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Aidan Laughery run for 5 yds to the Chatt 23

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Aidan Laughery run for 1 yd to the Chatt 22

4th & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -3.24

Aidan Laughery run for 3 yds to the Chatt 19

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Gino Appleberry run for 3 yds to the Chatt 22

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Gino Appleberry run for 5 yds to the Chatt 27

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.99

Gino Appleberry run for 4 yds to the Chatt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.89

Gino Appleberry run for no gain to the Chatt 31

Situational Analysis

Chattanooga

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
14%
21 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays
33%
9 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
4th

Illinois

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
38%
29 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
60%
15 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
83%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play