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← Back to GamesNov 12, 2022Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Marist by 1.5

Home Win Probability

Marist 54%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

Marist +2

Edge: Marist +2 (3.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 12, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Valparaiso
71771445
Marist
0371424

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-73-103-173-2410-2410-3110-3824-45
MaristValparaiso

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MARVALMARVALMARMARVALMARVALMARVALMARVALMARVALMARVALMARMARVALMARVALMISS845ydPUNT34ydMISS943ydTD880ydPUNT30ydFG44ydFG953ydPUNT515ydTD675ydTO734ydTD435ydEND23ydDOWNS641ydPUNT3-8ydPUNT33ydTD1382ydTD772ydTD1247ydTD272ydTD162ydTD1475ydEND953yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Valparaiso and Marist
StatisticValparaisoMarist
Passing9-1431-55
Pass Yards180397
Rush Yards28036
Total Yards460433
Turnovers12
3rd Down2-79-19
Penalties1-95-48
Possession27:5432:06

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Valparaiso
passing
Michael Appel Jr.
9/14, 180 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Aaron Dawson
27 CAR, 199 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Evan Jernegan
3 REC, 51 YDS, 1 TD
Marist
passing
Brock Bagozzi
31/55, 397 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
rushing
receiving
Will Downes
7 REC, 159 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+26 yds

Brian Bartholomew kickoff for 50 yds , Clayborne Fields III return for 26 yds to the Mrist 41

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.05

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Scott Scherzer for 12 yds to the Valpo 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Scott Scherzer for 3 yds to the Valpo 44

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Brock Bagozzi pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.43

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Brett Landis for 23 yds to the Valpo 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Scott Scherzer for 6 yds to the Valpo 15

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Amin Woods run for 1 yd to the Valpo 14

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Brock Bagozzi pass incomplete

4th & 3Field Goal Missed+32 yds

Luke Paladino 32 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Aaron Dawson run for 1 yd to the Valpo 21

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Aaron Dawson run for 3 yds to the Valpo 24

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Michael Appel Jr. pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt+10 yds

Evan Matthes punt for 39 yds , Clayborne Fields III returns for 10 yds to the Mrist 47

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.60

Tristan Shannon run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mrist 45

2nd & 12Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Tristan Shannon for 4 yds to the Mrist 49

3rd & 8Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.87

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Glenmour Leonard-Osbourne for 16 yds to the Valpo 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.69

Glenmour Leonard-Osbourne run for no gain to the Valpo 35

2nd & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.24

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Will Downes for 26 yds to the Valpo 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.37

Brock Bagozzi run for a loss of 1 yard to the Valpo 10

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.35

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Will Downes for 9 yds to the Valpo 1

3rd & 1Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.06

Brock Bagozzi sacked by Kohlton Sherman for a loss of 9 yards to the Valpo 10

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+28 yds

Luke Paladino 28 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +3.20

Michael Appel Jr. pass complete to Solomon Davis for 40 yds to the Mrist 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.64

Aaron Dawson run for 8 yds to the Mrist 32

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.21

Aaron Dawson run for 4 yds to the Mrist 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+3 yds

MARIST Penalty, Personal Foul (Aaron Acosta) to the Mrist 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Aaron Dawson run for no gain to the Mrist 12

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.61

Aaron Dawson run for 10 yds to the Mrist 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Aaron Dawson run for 1 yd to the Mrist 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Aaron Dawson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brian Bartholomew KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Brian Bartholomew kickoff for 55 yds , Clayborne Fields III return for 20 yds to the Mrist 30

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Brock Bagozzi pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Brock Bagozzi pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Brock Bagozzi pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Dominic Donohue punt for 49 yds , returns for no gain to the Valpo 14

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Brandon Lysick for 6 yds to the Valpo 8

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.38

Amin Woods run for no gain to the Valpo 8

3rd & 4Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.52

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Amin Woods for a loss of 2 yards to the Valpo 10

4th & 6Field Goal Good+28 yds

Luke Paladino 28 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+37 yds

Dominic Donohue kickoff for 57 yds , Jeffery Vercher return for 37 yds to the Valpo 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.34

Michael Appel Jr. pass complete to Evan Jernegan for 21 yds to the Mrist 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Aaron Dawson run for 7 yds to the Mrist 27

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.08

Aaron Dawson run for 6 yds to the Mrist 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Aaron Dawson run for 8 yds to the Mrist 13

2nd & 2Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.62

Michael Appel Jr. pass complete to Jeffery Vercher for a loss of 1 yard to the Mrist 14

3rd & 3Penalty+5 yds

MARIST Penalty, Offsides (Halil Gecaj) to the Mrist 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Aaron Dawson run for 2 yds to the Mrist 7

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Aaron Dawson run for 5 yds to the Mrist 2

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Aaron Dawson run for no gain to the Mrist 2

4th & 2Field Goal Good+19 yds

Brian Bartholomew 19 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Brian Bartholomew kickoff for 52 yds , Glenmour Leonard-Osbourne return for 15 yds to the Mrist 28

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Glenmour Leonard-Osbourne run for 1 yd to the Mrist 29

2nd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.05

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Brett Landis for 14 yds to the Mrist 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Brock Bagozzi pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Brock Bagozzi pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Brock Bagozzi pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Dominic Donohue punt for 32 yds, downed at the Valpo 25

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Jahni Clarke run for 14 yds to the Valpo 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.46

Solomon Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the Valpo 37

2nd & 12Pass Reception+49 ydsPPA +3.77

Michael Appel Jr. pass complete to Braden Contreras for 49 yds to the Mrist 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Aaron Dawson run for 1 yd to the Mrist 13

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Michael Appel Jr. pass incomplete

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +3.12

Michael Appel Jr. pass complete to Evan Jernegan for 13 yds for a TD, (Brian Bartholomew KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Scott Scherzer for 5 yds to the Mrist 30

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Brock Bagozzi pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.88

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Scott Scherzer for 9 yds to the Mrist 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

BAGOZZI, Brock pass to the right incomplete intended for LANDIS, Brett broken up by RAO, Caleb at the VAL32; QB hurried by SHERMAN, Kohlton. PENALTY MAR Pass Interference on LANDIS, Brett enforced 15 yards to the MAR24 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 25Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +3.64

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Scott Scherzer for 31 yds to the Valpo 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Brock Bagozzi run for 4 yds to the Valpo 41

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Brock Bagozzi pass incomplete

3rd & 6Interception0 ydsPPA -2.36

Brock Bagozzi pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.32

Michael Appel Jr. pass complete to Aaron Dawson for 13 yds to the Mrist 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.13

Aaron Dawson run for 12 yds to the Mrist 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Aaron Dawson run for 4 yds to the Mrist 6

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Michael Appel Jr. run for 6 yds for a TD, (Brian Bartholomew KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+4 yds

Brian Bartholomew kickoff for 57 yds , Clayborne Fields III return for 4 yds to the Mrist 12

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Brock Bagozzi pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.07

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Scott Scherzer for 3 yds to the Mrist 15

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Michael Appel Jr. pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+32 ydsPPA +3.43

Aaron Dawson run for 32 yds to the Mrist 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Aaron Dawson run for 4 yds to the Mrist 39

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Aaron Dawson run for 3 yds to the Mrist 36

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Barret Labus run for 1 yd to the Mrist 35

4th & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -2.39

Aaron Dawson run for 1 yd to the Mrist 34

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Brock Bagozzi pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.65

Brock Bagozzi run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mrist 33

3rd & 11Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.38

Brock Bagozzi sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the Mrist 26

4th & 18Punt+11 yds

Dominic Donohue punt for 46 yds , Josh Becton returns for 11 yds to the Valpo 39

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Aaron Dawson run for 3 yds to the Valpo 42

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Michael Appel Jr. pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Michael Appel Jr. pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt+5 yds

Evan Matthes punt for 45 yds , Clayborne Fields III returns for 5 yds to the Mrist 18

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.75

Amin Woods run for a loss of 5 yards to the Mrist 13

2nd & 15Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.05

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Amin Woods for 6 yds to the Mrist 19

3rd & 9Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.44

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Brandon Lombana for 21 yds to the Mrist 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Brock Bagozzi pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.87

Brock Bagozzi sacked by Austin Chilton for a loss of 1 yard to the Mrist 39

3rd & 11Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.43

Brock Bagozzi run for 8 yds to the Mrist 47

4th & 3Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +3.27

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Will Downes for 16 yds to the Valpo 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Matt Stianche for 8 yds to the Valpo 29

2nd & 2Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA -0.09

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Matt Stianche for 15 yds to the Valpo 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Brock Bagozzi pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Brock Bagozzi pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Matt Stianche for 1 yd to the Valpo 13

4th & 9Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +3.61

Brock Bagozzi run for 13 yds for a TD, (Luke Paladino KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+27 yds

Dominic Donohue kickoff for 64 yds , Jeffery Vercher return for 27 yds to the Valpo 28

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.58

Michael Appel Jr. pass complete to Evan Jernegan for 17 yds to the Valpo 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Aaron Dawson run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.69

Michael Appel Jr. pass complete to Ryan Mann for 5 yds to the Mrist 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Michael Appel Jr. run for 9 yds to the Mrist 36

2nd & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA -0.18

Aaron Dawson run for 11 yds to the Mrist 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Aaron Dawson run for 2 yds to the Mrist 23

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +2.94

Michael Appel Jr. pass complete to Aaron Dawson for 23 yds for a TD, (Brian Bartholomew KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MARIST Penalty, False Start (Dominic Perricone) to the Mrist 30

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+10 yds

Brian Bartholomew kickoff for 40 yds , Brandon Lysick return for 10 yds to the Mrist 35

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Brock Bagozzi pass incomplete

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Brock Bagozzi pass incomplete

3rd & 15Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.90

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Glenmour Leonard-Osbourne for 15 yds to the Mrist 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.94

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Will Downes for 8 yds to the Valpo 47

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.27

Brock Bagozzi pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.51

Glenmour Leonard-Osbourne run for 9 yds to the Valpo 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.61

Amin Woods run for 8 yds to the Valpo 30

2nd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.18

Brock Bagozzi run for 7 yds to the Valpo 23 for a 1ST down VALPARAISO Penalty, Illegal Substitution (Keyon Turner) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Matt Stianche for 7 yds to the Valpo 16

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.49

Amin Woods run for no gain to the Valpo 16

3rd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.76

Amin Woods run for a loss of 2 yards to the Valpo 18

4th & 5Interception0 ydsPPA -3.41

Brock Bagozzi pass intercepted for a TD, (Brian Bartholomew KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+28 yds

Brian Bartholomew kickoff for 65 yds , Clayborne Fields III return for 28 yds to the Mrist 28

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.97

Glenmour Leonard-Osbourne run for 8 yds to the Mrist 36

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+64 ydsPPA +4.89

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Will Downes for 64 yds for a TD, (Luke Paladino KICK)

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+62 ydsPPA +4.95

Aaron Dawson run for 62 yds for a TD, (Brian Bartholomew KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Glenmour Leonard-Osbourne for 5 yds to the Mrist 30

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Glenmour Leonard-Osbourne run for 4 yds to the Mrist 34

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.86

Glenmour Leonard-Osbourne run for 1 yd to the Mrist 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.05

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Will Downes for 25 yds to the Valpo 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Brock Bagozzi pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Brock Bagozzi pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.27

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Will Downes for 11 yds to the Valpo 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Brock Bagozzi pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

BAGOZZI, Brock pass to the left incomplete intended for LOMBANA, Brandon thrown to the VAL10. PENALTY MAR Holding on PERRICONE, Dominic enforced 10 yards from the VAL29 to the VAL39 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 20Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.56

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Brandon Lombana for 23 yds to the Valpo 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Brock Bagozzi pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Matt Stianche for 5 yds to the Valpo 11

3rd & 5Penalty+9 yds

BAGOZZI, Brock pass to the left incomplete intended for LANDIS, Brett thrown to the VAL0. PENALTY VAL Pass Interference on TURNER, Keyon enforced 9 yards to the VAL2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Wyatt McMahon run for no gain to the Valpo 2

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Amin Woods run for no gain to the Valpo 2

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Brandon Lysick for 2 yds for a TD, (Luke Paladino KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Dominic Donohue kickoff for 42 yds , Garner Jones return for no gain to the Valpo 23

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.29

Barret Labus run for 26 yds to the Valpo 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Jeffrey Jackson run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Barret Labus run for 3 yds to the Mrist 47

3rd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +2.03

Jeffrey Jackson run for 7 yds to the Mrist 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jeffery Vercher run for 5 yds to the Mrist 35

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Jeffrey Jackson run for 6 yds to the Mrist 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-3 ydsPPA -0.97

Barret Labus run for a loss of 3 yards to the Mrist 32 Barret Labus fumbled, recovered by Valpo Jeffrey Jackson

2nd & 13Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Jeffery Vercher run for 4 yds to the Mrist 28

3rd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Jeffery Vercher run for 4 yds to the Mrist 24

Situational Analysis

Valparaiso

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
54%
26 plays
2nd
20%
5 plays
75%
4 plays
50%
8 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Marist

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
41%
27 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
17%
6 plays
0%
5 plays
33%
12 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
50%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
57%
7 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
100%
1 play