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← Back to GamesNov 19, 2022Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

San Diego by 12.1

Home Win Probability

Morehead State 23%

Market (consensus)

Morehead State +14.5

Edge: Morehead State +14.5 (2.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 19, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
San Diego
770014
Morehead State
00909

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40140-70-143-149-14
Morehead StateSan Diego

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SDMSSDMSSDMSSDMSSDMSSDMSSDMSMSSDMSSDMSSDMSSDMSPUNT31ydDOWNS44ydPUNT32ydPUNT624ydTD1096ydDOWNS723ydTO326ydPUNT39ydPUNT33ydDOWNS936ydTD972ydDOWNS46ydPUNT3-8ydEND26ydFG1266ydTO515ydTD847ydTO969ydMISS1683ydTO621ydTO925ydPUNT35ydEND36yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing San Diego and Morehead State
StatisticSan DiegoMorehead State
Passing14-2825-48
Pass Yards174227
Rush Yards14394
Total Yards317321
Turnovers41
3rd Down4-128-19
Penalties6-513-15
Possession27:4232:18

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

San Diego
passing
Judd Erickson
14/27, 174 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Re-al Mitchell
10 CAR, 66 YDS
receiving
Ja'seem Reed
4 REC, 79 YDS
Morehead State
passing
Carter Cravens
25/48, 227 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
James Louis
17 CAR, 92 YDS
receiving
Kenny Lewis Jr.
4 REC, 55 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Sox Lee kickoff for 61 yds , Hunter Nichols return for 17 yds to the SnDgo 21

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.79

Logan Gingg run for a loss of 3 yards to the SnDgo 18

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Judd Erickson pass incomplete

3rd & 13Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Judd Erickson pass complete to Ja'seem Reed for 4 yds to the SnDgo 22

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Aidan Lehman punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SnDgo 43

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

James Louis run for no gain to the SnDgo 43

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Carter Cravens pass complete to Jeremiah Scott for 4 yds to the SnDgo 39

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Carter Cravens pass incomplete to Jeremiah Scott, broken up by Eric Haney

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.49

Carter Cravens pass incomplete to Jeremiah Scott

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Rashaan Ward run for 2 yds to the SnDgo 41

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Judd Erickson pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.52

Judd Erickson pass complete to Rhyle Hanson for no gain to the SnDgo 41

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Aidan Lehman punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Gunnison Bloodgood run for 5 yds to the MorSt 28

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.69

James Louis run for 5 yds to the MorSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Carter Cravens pass complete to Gunnison Bloodgood for 12 yds to the MorSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

James Louis run for 4 yds to the MorSt 49

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Carter Cravens pass incomplete to Gunnison Bloodgood

3rd & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.11

Carter Cravens run for a loss of 2 yards to the MorSt 47

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Kip Warren punt for 49 yds, downed at the SnDgo 4

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Judd Erickson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.82

Judd Erickson pass complete to Christian Brown for 16 yds to the SnDgo 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.69

Re-al Mitchell run for 10 yds to the SnDgo 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.42

Logan Gingg run for 15 yds to the SnDgo 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.23

Judd Erickson pass complete to Michael Carner for 18 yds to the MorSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Logan Gingg run for 7 yds to the MorSt 30

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Logan Gingg run for 1 yd to the MorSt 29

3rd & 2Rush+26 ydsPPA +1.75

Re-al Mitchell run for 26 yds to the MorSt 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Re-al Mitchell run for 1 yd to the MorSt 2

2nd & 0Penalty-5 yds

SAN DIEGO Penalty, false start (Eric Haney) to the MorSt 7

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

Judd Erickson pass complete to Vance Jefferson for 7 yds for a TD, (Aidan Lehman KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Aidan Lehman kickoff for 35 yds , Isaac Armstrong return for no gain to the MorSt 23 Isaac Armstrong fumbled, recovered by MorSt Trevon Kleint

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

James Louis run for 1 yd to the MorSt 24

2nd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Carter Cravens pass complete to Jeremiah Scott for 9 yds to the MorSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Carter Cravens pass complete to Michael Armour for 12 yds to the MorSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Carter Cravens pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Carter Cravens pass incomplete to Michael Armour

3rd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.60

Carter Cravens run for 8 yds to the SnDgo 47

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.25

Carter Cravens pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Judd Erickson pass complete to Re-al Mitchell for 2 yds to the SnDgo 49

2nd & 8Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Judd Erickson pass complete to Rhyle Hanson for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

3rd & 7Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+20 ydsPPA -1.37

Judd Erickson pass complete to Dylan Lawson for 20 yds Dylan Lawson fumbled, forced by Cooper Krezek, recovered by MorSt Kaleb Lyons

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Carter Cravens pass incomplete to Gunnison Bloodgood

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

James Louis run for 1 yd to the MorSt 28

3rd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.30

Carter Cravens run for 8 yds to the MorSt 36

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Kip Warren punt for 37 yds, downed at the SnDgo 27

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Re-al Mitchell run for 3 yds to the SnDgo 30

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Judd Erickson pass incomplete to Vance Jefferson, broken up by Preston Toner

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Re-al Mitchell pass incomplete to Vance Jefferson

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Aidan Lehman punt for 34 yds, downed at the MorSt 36

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Carter Cravens pass incomplete to Matt Guilfoil

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Carter Cravens run for 1 yd to the MorSt 37

3rd & 9Penalty-5 yds

MOREHEAD ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MorSt 32

3rd & 14Penalty+15 yds

SAN DIEGO Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Eric Haney) to the MorSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Carter Cravens run for 4 yds to the SnDgo 49

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Carter Cravens pass complete to Gunnison Bloodgood for 5 yds to the SnDgo 44

3rd & 1Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.13

Carter Cravens pass complete to Christian Graves for 8 yds to the SnDgo 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Carter Cravens pass complete to Christian Graves for 4 yds to the SnDgo 32

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Carter Cravens pass incomplete to Christian Graves

3rd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Carter Cravens pass complete to Gunnison Bloodgood for 4 yds to the SnDgo 28

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.01

Carter Cravens pass incomplete to Gunnison Bloodgood, broken up by Hunter Nichols

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

SAN DIEGO Penalty, false start (Eric Haney) to the SnDgo 23

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Logan Gingg run for 3 yds to the SnDgo 26

2nd & 12Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.11

Judd Erickson pass complete to Ja'seem Reed for 25 yds to the MorSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Judd Erickson pass incomplete to Michael Carner

2nd & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.28

Judd Erickson pass complete to Ja'seem Reed for 32 yds to the MorSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Vance Jefferson run for 3 yds to the MorSt 14

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Logan Gingg run for 7 yds to the MorSt 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Logan Gingg run for 4 yds to the MorSt 3

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Judd Erickson pass incomplete

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Judd Erickson pass complete to Re-al Mitchell for 3 yds for a TD, (Aidan Lehman KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Aidan Lehman kickoff for 45 yds , Jeremiah Scott return for 20 yds to the MorSt 40

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Carter Cravens pass incomplete, broken up by Ruben Lopez

2nd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.28

Carter Cravens sacked by Jacob Saewitz and Muhindo Kapapa for a loss of 7 yards to the MorSt 33

3rd & 17Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.70

Carter Cravens pass complete to Christian Graves for 13 yds to the MorSt 46

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Carter Cravens pass incomplete, broken up by Hunter Nichols

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Judd Erickson pass incomplete to Dylan Lawson, broken up by Kameron Frye

2nd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.26

Judd Erickson sacked by Noah Benza for a loss of 8 yards to the SnDgo 46

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Judd Erickson pass incomplete, broken up by Sese Aumavae

4th & 18Punt+30 yds

Aidan Lehman punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MOREHEADST 24 MOREHEAD ST Penalty, roughing the kicker ( Yards) declined

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.81

Carter Cravens pass complete to Kyle Daly for 1 yd to the MorSt 35 for a 1ST down lat. to for 10 yds to the MorSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.64

Carter Cravens sacked by Muhindo Kapapa for a loss of 5 yards to the MorSt 30

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

2nd & 15Kickoff Return (Offense)+29 yds

Aidan Lehman kickoff for 63 yds , Gunnison Bloodgood return for 29 yds to the MorSt 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Carter Cravens pass complete to Michael Armour for 3 yds to the MorSt 34

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Carter Cravens pass complete to Jeremiah Scott for 4 yds to the MorSt 38

3rd & 3Rush+20 ydsPPA +2.80

James Louis run for 20 yds to the SnDgo 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Carter Cravens pass complete to Christian Graves for 6 yds to the SnDgo 36

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.14

Michael Armour run for 4 yds to the SnDgo 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Carter Cravens pass incomplete to Matt Guilfoil, broken up by Hunter Nichols

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Carter Cravens pass complete to Kyle Daly for 2 yds to the SnDgo 30

3rd & 8Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.46

Carter Cravens pass complete to Kyle Daly for 27 yds to the SnDgo 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Carter Cravens pass incomplete to Christian Graves, broken up by Nick Murray

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

James Louis run for no gain to the SnDgo 3

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Carter Cravens pass incomplete to Jeremiah Scott

4th & 3Field Goal Good+21 yds

Nathan Hazlett 21 yd FG GOOD

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Nathan Hazlett kickoff for 59 yds , Hunter Nichols return for 22 yds to the SnDgo 28

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Rhyle Hanson run for 9 yds to the SnDgo 37

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.35

Judd Erickson pass incomplete, broken up by Eddie Loos

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Judd Erickson run for 1 yd to the SnDgo 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Rhyle Hanson run for 5 yds to the SnDgo 43

2nd & 5Pass Interception Return+8 ydsPPA -2.16

Judd Erickson pass intercepted Major Dailey return for 8 yds to the SnDgo 47

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Carter Cravens pass incomplete to Gunnison Bloodgood

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Carter Cravens pass incomplete to Kyle Daly

3rd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.82

Carter Cravens pass complete to Kenny Lewis Jr. for 14 yds to the SnDgo 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+16 yds

SAN DIEGO Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Eric Haney) to the SnDgo 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MOREHEAD ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SnDgo 22

1st & 15Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.45

James Louis run for 10 yds to the SnDgo 12

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

James Louis run for 3 yds to the SnDgo 9

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.47

James Louis run for a loss of 1 yard to the SnDgo 10

4th & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.16

Carter Cravens run for 9 yds to the SnDgo 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Carter Cravens run for 1 yd for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+10 yds

Nathan Hazlett kickoff for 47 yds , Hunter Nichols return for 10 yds to the SnDgo 28

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

SAN DIEGO Penalty, false start (Eric Haney) to the SnDgo 23

1st & 15Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.74

Logan Gingg run for 15 yds to the SnDgo 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.11

Re-al Mitchell run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Re-al Mitchell run for 5 yds to the MorSt 45

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Logan Gingg run for 2 yds to the MorSt 43

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Re-al Mitchell run for 2 yds to the MorSt 41

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.91

Logan Gingg run for 2 yds to the MorSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.52

Judd Erickson pass complete to Michael Carner for 19 yds to the MorSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Judd Erickson pass complete to Dylan Lawson for 6 yds to the MorSt 14

2nd & 4Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+13 ydsPPA -4.57

Rashaan Ward run for 13 yds to the MorSt 3 Rashaan Ward fumbled, forced by Kameron Frye, recovered by MorSt Jihad McCall

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.30

James Louis run for 11 yds to the MorSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.43

James Louis run for 7 yds to the MorSt 21

2nd & 3Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.66

James Louis run for 21 yds to the MorSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

James Louis run for 6 yds to the MorSt 48

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

MOREHEAD ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MorSt 43

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.04

Cole Wallace run for a loss of 1 yard to the MorSt 42

3rd & 10Penalty+5 yds

SAN DIEGO Penalty, Defensive offside (Eric Haney) to the MorSt 47

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +2.03

Carter Cravens pass complete to Kenny Lewis Jr. for 6 yds to the SnDgo 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

James Louis run for 2 yds to the SnDgo 45

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Carter Cravens pass incomplete to Kenny Lewis Jr.

3rd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.36

Carter Cravens pass complete to Michael Armour for 11 yds to the SnDgo 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Carter Cravens pass incomplete to Jeremiah Scott

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Carter Cravens pass complete to Michael Armour for 6 yds to the SnDgo 28

3rd & 4Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.95

Carter Cravens pass complete to Kenny Lewis Jr. for 19 yds to the SnDgo 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Carter Cravens run for 4 yds to the SnDgo 5

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.39

James Louis run for a loss of 1 yard to the SnDgo 6

3rd & 6Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.27

Carter Cravens sacked by Muhindo Kapapa for a loss of 8 yards to the SnDgo 14

4th & 0Field Goal Missed+31 yds

Nathan Hazlett 31 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Rhyle Hanson run for no gain to the SnDgo 20

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Judd Erickson pass incomplete to Rashaan Ward

3rd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.25

Judd Erickson pass complete to Ja'seem Reed for 18 yds to the SnDgo 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Re-al Mitchell run for 3 yds to the SnDgo 41

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Judd Erickson pass incomplete to Michael Carner

3rd & 7Pass Interception Return+6 ydsPPA -0.66

Judd Erickson pass intercepted Jihad McCall return for 6 yds to the SnDgo 46

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Carter Cravens pass complete to Christian Graves for 6 yds to the SnDgo 40

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

James Louis run for 3 yds to the SnDgo 37

3rd & 1Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA +0.59

Carter Cravens pass complete to Christian Graves for 2 yds to the SnDgo 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Carter Cravens pass incomplete to Kenny Lewis Jr.

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.05

Carter Cravens pass complete to Michael Armour for 15 yds to the SnDgo 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Carter Cravens pass complete to Kyle Daly for 8 yds to the SnDgo 12

2nd & 2Fumble Recovery (Own)-11 ydsPPA -1.73

Carter Cravens sacked by Chase Lyons for a loss of 11 yards to the SnDgo 21 Carter Cravens fumbled, recovered by MorSt Carter Cravens , return for 0 yards

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Carter Cravens pass incomplete to Michael Armour

4th & 11Pass Interception Return+20 ydsPPA -2.61

Carter Cravens pass intercepted Ruben Lopez return for 20 yds to the SnDgo 20

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Logan Gingg run for 1 yd to the SnDgo 21

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.35

Re-al Mitchell run for a loss of 1 yard to the SnDgo 20

3rd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Re-al Mitchell run for 5 yds to the SnDgo 25

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Aidan Lehman punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Carter Cravens pass incomplete to Jeremiah Scott

2nd & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.14

Carter Cravens sacked by Will Buck and Muhindo Kapapa for a loss of 10 yards to the MorSt 40

3rd & 20Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.37

Carter Cravens pass complete to Kenny Lewis Jr. for 16 yds to the SnDgo 44

Situational Analysis

San Diego

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
45%
22 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
36%
11 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
33%
6 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Morehead State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
36%
28 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
38%
8 plays
21%
14 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
33%
6 plays
100%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
33%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play