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← Back to GamesOct 8, 2022Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

UT Martin by 21.1

Home Win Probability

Murray State 10%

Market (consensus)

Murray State +15.5

Edge: UT Martin -15.5 (5.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 8, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
UT Martin
01472445
Murray State
097016

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-79-1411-2116-2116-3116-45
Murray StateUT Martin

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20UMMSUMMSUMMSUMMSUMMSUMMSMSUMMSUMMSMSUMMSUMMSUMMSUMMSUMMSUMMSUMMSTO751ydDOWNS49ydDOWNS48ydPUNT30ydTO543ydPUNT35ydDOWNS740ydTO23ydTD648ydTO416ydTD645ydTD1075ydTO10ydPUNT30ydPUNT39ydMISS854ydEND10ydPUNT615ydTD689ydPUNT38ydPUNT416ydTD178ydDOWNS1144ydTO37ydFG533ydPUNT523ydTD873ydPUNT34ydTD165ydTO460ydTD685ydEND36yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing UT Martin and Murray State
StatisticUT MartinMurray State
Passing27-4710-25
Pass Yards439168
Rush Yards250114
Total Yards689282
Turnovers25
3rd Down5-132-13
Penalties7-565-30
Possession33:5426:06

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

UT Martin
passing
Dresser Winn
27/47, 439 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Sam Franklin
8 CAR, 157 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
DeVonte Tanksley
9 REC, 220 YDS
Murray State
passing
Jayden Stinson
10/25, 168 YDS, 1 TD, 5 INT
rushing
Jawaun Northington
20 CAR, 88 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Taylor Shields
4 REC, 112 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 15Pass Reception+54 ydsPPA +4.10

Dresser Winn pass complete to Colton Dowell for 54 yds to the MurrS 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.71

Zak Wallace run for a loss of 2 yards to the MurrS 28

2nd & 12Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.90

Dresser Winn pass complete to DeVonte Tanksley for 16 yds to the MurrS 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Zak Wallace run for 1 yd to the MurrS 11

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.83

Dresser Winn pass complete to DeVonte Tanksley for 10 yds to the MurrS 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Zak Wallace run for no gain to the MurrS 1

2nd & 1Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-23 ydsPPA -5.10

run for a loss of 23 yards to the MurrS 24 Zak Wallace fumbled, recovered by MurrS Darnel Victor

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Damonta Witherspoon run for 6 yds to the MurrS 30

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Jayden Stinson pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Jayden Stinson pass complete to DeQuan Dallas for 3 yds to the MurrS 33

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Jayden Stinson pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Dresser Winn pass complete to Colton Dowell for 5 yds to the MurrS 28

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Dresser Winn pass complete to Elijah Smoot for 4 yds to the MurrS 24

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.88

Zak Wallace run for a loss of 1 yard to the MurrS 25

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.24

Dresser Winn pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Damonta Witherspoon run for 3 yds to the MurrS 28

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Damonta Witherspoon run for 4 yds to the MurrS 32

3rd & 3Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.82

Jayden Stinson sacked by Deven Sims for a loss of 7 yards to the MurrS 25

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Lewis Halton punt for 33 yds, downed at the TnMar 42

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Zoe Roberts run for 7 yds to the TnMar 49

2nd & 3Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.00

Dresser Winn pass complete to Colton Dowell for 19 yds to the MurrS 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Dresser Winn pass complete to Randy Fields Jr. for 6 yds to the MurrS 26

2nd & 4Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.09

Zak Wallace run for 11 yds to the MurrS 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -4.44

Dresser Winn pass intercepted, touchback.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Jayden Stinson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Damonta Witherspoon run for 1 yd to the MurrS 21

3rd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jayden Stinson pass complete to DeQuan Dallas for 4 yds to the MurrS 25

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Lewis Halton punt for 45 yds, fair catch by DeVonte Tanksley at the TnMar 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Dresser Winn pass complete to Colton Dowell for 4 yds to the TnMar 34

2nd & 6Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.29

Dresser Winn pass complete to DJ Nelson for 20 yds to the MurrS 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +0.93

Dresser Winn pass complete to DeVonte Tanksley for 26 yds to the MurrS 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

TENN MARTIN Penalty, False Start (Lamar Morgan) to the MurrS 25

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Dresser Winn run for 3 yds to the MurrS 22

2nd & 12Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.09

Dresser Winn sacked by Cade Shupperd for a loss of 8 yards to the MurrS 30

3rd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Dresser Winn pass incomplete

4th & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Dresser Winn pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Damonta Witherspoon run for 3 yds to the MurrS 33

2nd & 7Interception0 ydsPPA -0.95

Jayden Stinson pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Dresser Winn pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.92

Dresser Winn pass complete to Zoe Roberts for 17 yds to the MurrS 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +0.79

Dresser Winn pass complete to DeVonte Tanksley for 25 yds to the MurrS 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Zak Wallace run for 3 yds to the MurrS 3

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Dresser Winn pass incomplete

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Zak Wallace run for 3 yds for a TD, (Tyler Larco KICK)

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Jawaun Northington run for 14 yds to the MurrS 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Jayden Stinson pass complete to Taylor Shields for 2 yds to the MurrS 41

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Jayden Stinson pass incomplete

3rd & 8Interception0 ydsPPA -0.57

Jayden Stinson pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +0.81

Dresser Winn pass complete to Colton Dowell for 22 yds to the MurrS 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.64

Dresser Winn pass complete to Colton Dowell for 9 yds to the MurrS 14

2nd & 1Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.09

Zak Wallace run for 13 yds to the MurrS 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Penalty0 yds

MURRAY ST Penalty, Offsides (Darnel Victor) to the MurrS 1

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Dresser Winn run for no gain to the MurrS 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Dresser Winn run for no gain to the MurrS 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Dresser Winn run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler Larco KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jawaun Northington run for 2 yds to the MurrS 27

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Jawaun Northington run for 3 yds to the MurrS 30

3rd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.59

Jawaun Northington run for 6 yds to the MurrS 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Jayden Stinson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.09

Jawaun Northington run for 11 yds to the MurrS 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.85

Jayden Stinson pass complete to Quindarrius Mayes for 12 yds to the TnMar 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jawaun Northington run for 5 yds to the TnMar 36

2nd & 5Penalty+15 yds

TENN MARTIN Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Shaun Lewis) to the TnMar 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

Cortezz Jones run for no gain to the TnMar 21

2nd & 10Penalty0 yds

TENN MARTIN Penalty, Face mask (0 yards) (Colton Dowell) to the TnMar 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Jawaun Northington run for 7 yds to the TnMar 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Jawaun Northington run for 3 yds for a TD, (Aaron Baum KICK)

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

TENN MARTIN Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Dresser Winn) to the TnMar 0

1st & 10Safety0 ydsPPA -2.02

Team Safety

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)-8 yds

Zaden Webber kickoff for 55 yds , Sam Franklin return for a loss of 8 yards to the TnMar 2

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -1.76

Jayden Stinson pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Zak Wallace run for no gain to the TnMar 23

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Dresser Winn pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Dresser Winn pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Tyler Larco punt for 67 yds, downed at the MurrS 10

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jawaun Northington run for 5 yds to the MurrS 15

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Jawaun Northington run for 3 yds to the MurrS 18

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Jawaun Northington run for 1 yd to the MurrS 19

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Lewis Halton punt for 38 yds , returns for no gain to the TnMar 41

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Dresser Winn pass complete to DJ Nelson for 5 yds to the TnMar 46

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.86

Dresser Winn pass complete to Colton Dowell for 6 yds to the MurrS 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

MURRAY ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Cayvian Holmes) to the MurrS 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Dresser Winn pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

TENN MARTIN Penalty, Illegal Formation (Dresser Winn) to the MurrS 38

2nd & 15Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.56

Dresser Winn pass complete to DeVonte Tanksley for 33 yds to the MurrS 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Dresser Winn pass incomplete

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Dresser Winn pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Dresser Winn pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Missed+22 yds

Tyler Larco 22 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

[NH] Kneel down by STINSON, Jayden at MUR20 (team loss of 0), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Tyler Larco kickoff for 43 yds , Dameon Gomes return for no gain to the MurrS 22

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Jawaun Northington run for no gain to the MurrS 22

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Jayden Stinson run for 1 yd to the MurrS 23

3rd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.70

Jawaun Northington run for 10 yds to the MurrS 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Jawaun Northington run for 2 yds to the MurrS 35

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Jawaun Northington run for 2 yds to the MurrS 37

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Jayden Stinson pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Lewis Halton punt for 52 yds, downed at the TnMar 11

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Zak Wallace run for 7 yds to the TnMar 18

2nd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.29

Dresser Winn pass complete to Colton Dowell for 7 yds to the TnMar 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Dresser Winn pass complete to Colton Dowell for 10 yds to the TnMar 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +2.48

Dresser Winn pass complete to DeVonte Tanksley for 37 yds to the MurrS 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Dresser Winn pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +3.28

Sam Franklin 28 Yd Run (Tyler Larco Kick)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.77

Jawaun Northington run for no gain to the MurrS 27

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Jawaun Northington run for 3 yds to the MurrS 30

3rd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Jayden Stinson pass complete to Taylor Shields for 5 yds to the MurrS 35

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Lewis Halton punt for 38 yds, fair catch by DeVonte Tanksley at the TnMar 27

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.47

Dresser Winn pass complete to Colton Dowell for 16 yds to the TnMar 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.74

Sam Franklin run for a loss of 3 yards to the TnMar 40

2nd & 13Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Zak Wallace run for 3 yds to the TnMar 43

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Dresser Winn pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Dameon Gomes at the MurrS 22

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+78 ydsPPA +6.27

Taylor Shields 78 Yd pass from Jayden Stinson (Aaron Baum Kick)

0th & 0Penalty-5 yds

MURRAY ST Penalty, Delay Of Game (Jayden Stinson) to the TnMar 8

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Dresser Winn pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Dresser Winn pass complete to Colton Dowell for 5 yds to the TnMar 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.37

Dresser Winn pass complete to DeVonte Tanksley for 14 yds to the TnMar 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Zak Wallace run for 4 yds to the TnMar 48

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Zak Wallace run for no gain to the TnMar 48

3rd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Zak Wallace run for 4 yds to the MurrS 48

4th & 2Penalty+5 yds

MURRAY ST Penalty, Offsides (Cam Brown) to the MurrS 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.48

Dresser Winn pass complete to Colton Dowell for 11 yds to the MurrS 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Zak Wallace run for 5 yds to the MurrS 27

2nd & 5Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.13

Dresser Winn run for a loss of 3 yards to the MurrS 30

3rd & 8Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.18

Dresser Winn pass complete to Sam Franklin for a loss of 1 yard to the MurrS 31

4th & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.90

Dresser Winn pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jawaun Northington run for 5 yds to the MurrS 36

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Jawaun Northington run for 2 yds to the MurrS 38

3rd & 3Interception0 ydsPPA -0.90

Jayden Stinson pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +0.87

Dresser Winn pass complete to DeVonte Tanksley for 33 yds to the MurrS 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Dresser Winn pass incomplete

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Dresser Winn pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Dresser Winn pass incomplete

4th & 9Field Goal Good+26 yds

Tyler Larco 26 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

TENN MARTIN Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Ty Woods) to the MurrS 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jawaun Northington run for 4 yds to the MurrS 44

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.24

Cortezz Jones run for 8 yds to the TnMar 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Cortezz Jones run for 1 yd to the TnMar 47

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Jayden Stinson pass incomplete

3rd & 9Penalty-5 yds

MURRAY ST Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the MurrS 48

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Jayden Stinson pass incomplete

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Lewis Halton punt for 25 yds

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.56

Sam Franklin run for 17 yds to the TnMar 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.56

Dresser Winn pass complete to DeVonte Tanksley for 26 yds to the MurrS 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Sam Franklin run for 1 yd to the MurrS 29

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Dresser Winn pass incomplete

3rd & 9Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.42

Zak Wallace run for 17 yds to the MurrS 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Zak Wallace run for no gain to the MurrS 12

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.36

Zak Wallace run for 9 yds to the MurrS 3

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.47

Zak Wallace 3 Yd Run (Tyler Larco Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jayden Stinson pass complete to Quindarrius Mayes for 4 yds to the MurrS 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Jayden Stinson pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Jayden Stinson pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Lewis Halton punt for 36 yds, fair catch by DeVonte Tanksley at the TnMar 35

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+65 ydsPPA +5.24

Sam Franklin 65 Yd Run (Tyler Larco Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.39

Jayden Stinson pass complete to Taylor Shields for 27 yds to the TnMar 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Jayden Stinson pass complete to Quindarrius Mayes for 3 yds to the TnMar 45

2nd & 7Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +1.49

Jayden Stinson pass complete to Cortezz Jones for 30 yds to the TnMar 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -4.44

Jayden Stinson pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Zak Wallace run for 9 yds to the TnMar 24

2nd & 1Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.61

Sam Franklin run for 13 yds to the TnMar 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +2.04

Sam Franklin run for 27 yds to the MurrS 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.77

Sam Franklin run for 9 yds to the MurrS 27

2nd & 1Rush+23 ydsPPA +0.56

Jordan Castleberry run for 23 yds to the MurrS 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Cornelious Brown 4 Yd Run (Tyler Larco Kick)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Kylan Galbreath run for 3 yds to the MurrS 28

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Kylan Galbreath run for 4 yds to the MurrS 32

3rd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.58

Kylan Galbreath run for a loss of 1 yard to the MurrS 31

Situational Analysis

UT Martin

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
58%
36 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
63%
8 plays
43%
7 plays
63%
8 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Murray State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
33%
27 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
20%
5 plays
17%
12 plays
3rd
0%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play