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← Back to GamesSep 24, 2022Week 4
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

North Dakota State by 14.3

Home Win Probability

South Dakota 18%

Market (consensus)

South Dakota +16.5

Edge: South Dakota +16.5 (2.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 24, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
North Dakota StateNorth Dakota State
010141034
South Dakota
3140017

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-03-33-1017-1717-2417-2717-34
South DakotaNorth Dakota State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SDNDSSDNDSSDNDSSDNDSSDNDSSDNDSSDNDSNDSSDNDSSDNDSSDNDSSDNDSSDNDSSDNDSPUNT633ydTO1066ydFG1279ydFG1167ydTO110ydTD635ydTO3-3ydTO16ydPUNT34ydPUNT519ydTD750ydTO18ydTD128ydEND1-2ydTD975ydPUNT518ydTD984ydPUNT3-16ydPUNT31ydPUNT37ydFG1571ydTO317ydTD743ydTO10ydPUNT30ydDOWNS862ydEND1-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing North Dakota State and South Dakota
StatisticNorth Dakota StateSouth Dakota
Passing10-1913-26
Pass Yards120120
Rush Yards356145
Total Yards476265
Turnovers34
3rd Down8-141-10
Penalties5-641-5
Possession39:4920:11

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

North Dakota State
passing
Cam Miller
10/19, 120 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Hunter Luepke
20 CAR, 146 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Zach Mathis
3 REC, 39 YDS
South Dakota
passing
Carson Camp
13/26, 120 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Travis Theis
10 CAR, 63 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Wesley Eliodor
2 REC, 51 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Travis Theis run for 6 yds to the SDako 28

2nd & 4Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.12

Carson Camp run for 22 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.75

Carson Camp pass complete to Carter Bell for 12 yds to the NDkSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Carson Camp pass incomplete to JJ Galbreath

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Carson Camp pass incomplete to Carter Bell

3rd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.97

Carson Camp sacked by Luke Weerts for a loss of 7 yards to the NDkSt 45

4th & 17Punt0 yds

John Bickle punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Kobe Johnson run for 4 yds to the NDkSt 15

2nd & 6Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.81

Cam Miller run for 11 yds to the NDkSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Dominic Gonnella run for 5 yds to the NDkSt 31

2nd & 5Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.45

Kobe Johnson run for 12 yds to the NDkSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.45

Cam Miller pass complete to Joe Stoffel for 21 yds to the SDako 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Hunter Luepke run for 4 yds to the SDako 32

2nd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.43

Cam Miller pass complete to Zach Mathis for 10 yds to the SDako 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

TK Marshall run for 4 yds to the SDako 18

2nd & 6Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.43

Cam Miller pass complete to Jalen Bussey for no gain to the SDako 18

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY NDSU False Start (Stoffel,Joe) 5 yards from USD18 to USD23. NO PLAY.

3rd & 11Interception0 ydsPPA -3.28

Cam Miller pass intercepted, touchback.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Travis Theis run for 2 yds to the SDako 22

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Carson Camp pass complete to Travis Theis for 7 yds to the SDako 29

3rd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.44

Travis Theis run for 9 yds to the SDako 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Carson Camp pass incomplete to Wesley Eliodor

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.58

Cole Stenstrom run for 1 yd to the SDako 39

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Carson Camp pass incomplete to Travis Theis

4th & 9Penalty+15 yds

Bickle,John punt 36 yards to the NDSU25 Price,Jayden return 0 yards to the NDSU25 fumbled by Price,Jayden at NDSU25 recovered by NDSU Price,Jayden at NDSU25, End Of Play PENALTY NDSU Roughing The Kicker (Weber,Dawson) 15 yards from USD39 to NDSU46, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.98

Carson Camp pass complete to Jack Martens for 9 yds to the NDkSt 37

2nd & 1Rush+13 ydsPPA -0.12

Travis Theis run for 13 yds to the NDkSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+14 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Camp,Carson pass incomplete short left to Eliodor,Wesley broken up by Eubanks,Courtney, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY NDSU Pass Interference (Eubanks,Courtney) 14 yards from NDSU24 to NDSU10, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Carson Camp run for 1 yd to the NDkSt 9

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.14

Carson Camp run for 2 yds to the NDkSt 7

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.10

Carson Camp pass complete to Travis Theis for 6 yds to the NDkSt 1

4th & 1Field Goal Good+18 yds

Eddie Ogamba 18 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Hunter Luepke run for 2 yds to the NDkSt 27

2nd & 8Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.68

Kobe Johnson run for 12 yds to the NDkSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.31

Hunter Luepke run for 15 yds to the SDako 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Cam Miller pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Hunter Luepke run for 5 yds to the SDako 41

3rd & 5Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.81

Cam Miller pass complete to Zach Mathis for 17 yds to the SDako 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.17

Kobe Johnson run for 14 yds to the SDako 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Hunter Luepke run for 2 yds to the SDako 8

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.27

Kobe Johnson run for no gain to the SDako 8

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Cam Miller pass incomplete to Hunter Luepke

4th & 8Field Goal Good+26 yds

Griffin Crosa 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+10 ydsPPA -0.92

Travis Theis run for 10 yds to the SDako 35 Travis Theis fumbled, recovered by NDkSt Michael Tutsie

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Cam Miller pass incomplete to Hunter Luepke

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.71

TK Marshall run for 9 yds to the SDako 26

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.28

Cam Miller run for 2 yds to the SDako 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Kobe Johnson run for 6 yds to the SDako 18

2nd & 4Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.27

Dominic Gonnella run for 16 yds to the SDako 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Kobe Johnson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Griffin Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+29 yds

Will Cardinal kickoff for 62 yds , Wesley Eliodor return for 29 yds to the SDako 32

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY USD Delay Of Game (Camp,Carson) 5 yards from USD32 to USD27. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Carson Camp pass complete to Shomari Lawrence for 3 yds to the SDako 30

2nd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Shomari Lawrence run for 1 yd to the SDako 29

3rd & 13Interception0 ydsPPA +0.14

Carson Camp pass intercepted

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+6 ydsPPA -3.24

Jalen Bussey run for 6 yds to the SDako 43 Jalen Bussey fumbled, recovered by SDako Tre Thomas

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Shomari Lawrence run for 4 yds to the SDako 47

2nd & 6Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.14

Carson Camp pass complete to JJ Galbreath for no gain to the SDako 47

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Carson Camp pass incomplete to Carter Bell

4th & 6Punt0 yds

John Bickle punt for 44 yds , Jayden Price returns for no gain to the NDkSt 9

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.57

Dominic Gonnella run for 8 yds to the NDkSt 17

2nd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.11

Dominic Gonnella run for 7 yds to the NDkSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Cam Miller pass incomplete to Braylon Henderson

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Cam Miller run for 4 yds to the NDkSt 28

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Cam Miller pass incomplete to Joe Stoffel

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Travis Theis run for no gain to the 50 yard line

2nd & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.08

Carson Camp run for 18 yds to the NDkSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.53

Carson Camp pass complete to Travis Theis for 8 yds to the NDkSt 24

2nd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA -0.21

Carson Camp run for 10 yds to the NDkSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Carson Camp pass complete to Travis Theis for 4 yds to the NDkSt 10

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.35

Travis Theis run for 8 yds to the NDkSt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Travis Theis run for 2 yds for a TD, (Eddie Ogamba KICK)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+8 ydsPPA -0.92

Dominic Gonnella run for 8 yds to the NDkSt 28 Dominic Gonnella fumbled, recovered by SDako Josiah Ganues

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +2.76

Carson Camp pass complete to Wesley Eliodor for 28 yds for a TD, (Eddie Ogamba KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Cam Miller run for a loss of 2 yards to the NDkSt 23

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Cam Miller pass complete to Zach Mathis for 12 yds to the NDkSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Hunter Luepke run for 2 yds to the NDkSt 39

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.78

Cam Miller pass complete to DJ Hart for 10 yds to the NDkSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.68

Hunter Luepke run for 10 yds to the SDako 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Kobe Johnson run for 4 yds to the SDako 37

2nd & 6Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.69

Cam Miller pass complete to Hunter Brozio for 15 yds to the SDako 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.63

Braylon Henderson run for 9 yds to the SDako 13

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.59

Kobe Johnson run for no gain to the SDako 13

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.60

Cam Miller run for 13 yds for a TD, (Griffin Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Will Cardinal kickoff for 62 yds , Wesley Eliodor return for 20 yds to the SDako 23

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Travis Theis run for 7 yds to the SDako 30

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.39

Carson Camp run for 5 yds to the SDako 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Carson Camp pass incomplete to Travis Theis

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Travis Theis run for 6 yds to the SDako 41

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Carson Camp pass incomplete to Travis Theis

4th & 4Punt0 yds

John Bickle punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jayden Price at the NDkSt 16

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Cam Miller pass incomplete to Zach Mathis

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.47

Kobe Johnson run for 9 yds to the NDkSt 25

3rd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.14

Hunter Luepke run for 8 yds to the NDkSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.42

TaMerik Williams run for 15 yds to the NDkSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Hunter Luepke run for 5 yds to the SDako 47

2nd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.61

Cam Miller pass complete to DJ Hart for 5 yds to the SDako 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +0.69

Cam Miller pass complete to Braylon Henderson for 23 yds to the SDako 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.39

Hunter Luepke run for 17 yds to the SDako 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Hunter Luepke run for 2 yds for a TD, (Griffin Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Carson Camp run for 2 yds to the SDako 23

2nd & 12Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.25

Carson Camp pass complete to Travis Theis for no gain to the SDako 23

3rd & 12Sack-14 ydsPPA -0.19

Carson Camp sacked by Jake Kava for a loss of 14 yards to the SDako 9

4th & 26Punt0 yds

John Bickle punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jayden Price at the NDkSt 49

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Kobe Johnson run for no gain to the NDkSt 49

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Kobe Johnson run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Cam Miller pass incomplete to DJ Hart

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Kaedin Steindorf punt for 50 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Shomari Lawrence run for 4 yds to the SDako 24

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Shomari Lawrence run for 3 yds to the SDako 27

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Carson Camp pass incomplete to Carter Bell

4th & 3Punt0 yds

John Bickle punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Jayden Price at the NDkSt 22

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.84

TaMerik Williams run for 8 yds to the NDkSt 30

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Cam Miller pass incomplete to RaJa Nelson

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.22

Hunter Luepke run for 5 yds to the NDkSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Kobe Johnson run for no gain to the NDkSt 35

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Hunter Luepke run for 4 yds to the NDkSt 39

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.18

Cam Miller pass complete to Joe Stoffel for 7 yds to the NDkSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

TaMerik Williams run for 2 yds to the NDkSt 48

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Cam Miller run for 3 yds to the SDako 49

3rd & 5Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.37

Hunter Luepke run for 16 yds to the SDako 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

TaMerik Williams run for 6 yds to the SDako 27

2nd & 4Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.12

Hunter Luepke run for 12 yds to the SDako 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Dominic Gonnella run for 4 yds to the SDako 11

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Dominic Gonnella run for 2 yds to the SDako 9

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Hunter Luepke run for 2 yds to the SDako 7

4th & 2Field Goal Good+25 yds

Griffin Crosa 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+28 yds

Will Cardinal kickoff for 58 yds , Wesley Eliodor return for 28 yds to the SDako 35

1st & 10Rush+30 ydsPPA +2.27

Shomari Lawrence run for 30 yds to the NDkSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Carson Camp pass incomplete to Wesley Eliodor

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+13 ydsPPA -3.34

Carson Camp run for 13 yds to the SDako 43 Carson Camp fumbled, recovered by NDkSt Dom Jones

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Kobe Johnson run for 4 yds to the SDako 39

2nd & 6Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.83

Hunter Luepke run for 18 yds to the SDako 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

TaMerik Williams run for 6 yds to the SDako 15

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Dominic Gonnella run for 2 yds to the SDako 17

3rd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.88

Hunter Luepke run for 10 yds to the SDako 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Hunter Luepke run for 4 yds to the SDako 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Hunter Luepke run for 3 yds for a TD, (Griffin Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

PENALTY NDSU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Miller,Mason) 15 yards from NDSU35 to NDSU20. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Will Cardinal kickoff for 63 yds , Jack Martens return for 23 yds to the SDako 40

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -2.24

Carson Camp pass intercepted

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -2.24

Carson Camp pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

TK Marshall run for 1 yd to the SDako 44

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

TK Marshall run for 2 yds to the SDako 42

3rd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

TK Marshall run for 1 yd to the SDako 43

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Kaedin Steindorf punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +0.81

Carson Camp run for 21 yds to the SDako 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.05

Carson Camp pass complete to Wesley Eliodor for 23 yds to the SDako 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.74

Carson Camp pass complete to Travis Theis for 10 yds to the NDkSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.45

Carson Camp pass complete to Carter Bell for 10 yds to the NDkSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Carson Camp run for 4 yds to the NDkSt 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Carson Camp pass incomplete to Carter Bell

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Carson Camp pass incomplete to JJ Galbreath

4th & 6Fumble Recovery (Own)+6 ydsPPA +1.89

Carson Camp run for 6 yds to the NDkSt 35 Carson Camp fumbled, recovered by SDako Carson Camp

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.32

Cam Miller run for a loss of 2 yards to the NDkSt 33

Situational Analysis

North Dakota State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
42%
38 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
73%
11 plays
50%
10 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
100%
4 plays
67%
6 plays
0%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th

South Dakota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
42%
26 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
43%
7 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play