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← Back to GamesOct 1, 2022Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

North Dakota State by 23.9

Home Win Probability

North Dakota State 92%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

North Dakota State -23

Edge: North Dakota State -23 (0.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 1, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Youngstown State
033814
North Dakota StateNorth Dakota State
1470627

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-014-014-321-321-624-627-14
North Dakota StateYoungstown State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20YSNDSYSNDSYSNDSYSNDSYSNDSNDSYSNDSYSNDSYSNDSYSPUNT34ydPUNT34ydPUNT38ydTD568ydPUNT3-9ydTD957ydFG1269ydTD1275ydTO837ydEND1-1ydPUNT1144ydFG1061ydPUNT737ydPUNT40ydFG939ydTD780ydFG929ydEND22yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Youngstown State and North Dakota State
StatisticYoungstown StateNorth Dakota State
Passing11-2013-18
Pass Yards121145
Rush Yards160227
Total Yards281372
Turnovers10
3rd Down3-106-13
Penalties8-648-79
Possession25:4134:19

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Youngstown State
passing
Mitch Davidson
6/10, 87 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Jaleel McLaughlin
17 CAR, 150 YDS
receiving
Jaleel McLaughlin
3 REC, 43 YDS, 1 TD
North Dakota State
passing
Cam Miller
13/18, 145 YDS
rushing
Hunter Luepke
13 CAR, 72 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Joe Stoffel
4 REC, 52 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 5 yds to the YngSt 30

2nd & 5Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.09

Demeatric Crenshaw run for a loss of 4 yards to the YngSt 26

3rd & 9Penalty-5 yds

YOUNGSTOWN ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the YngSt 21

3rd & 14Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.11

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 8 yds to the YngSt 29

4th & 6Punt+12 yds

Paddy Lynch punt for 49 yds , Jayden Price returns for 12 yds to the NDkSt 34

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Hunter Luepke run for 7 yds to the NDkSt 41

2nd & 3Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.80

Cam Miller pass complete to RaJa Nelson for a loss of 3 yards to the NDkSt 38

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Cam Miller pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Kaedin Steindorf punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.77

Jaleel McLaughlin run for a loss of 1 yard to the YngSt 23

2nd & 11Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.56

Demeatric Crenshaw pass complete to Bryce Oliver for 9 yds to the YngSt 32

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Demeatric Crenshaw pass incomplete

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Paddy Lynch punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jayden Price at the NDkSt 32

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Dominic Gonnella run for 3 yds to the NDkSt 35

2nd & 7Rush+35 ydsPPA +3.08

Cole Payton run for 20 yds to the NODAKOTAST 45 for a 1ST down YOUNGSTOWN ST Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the YngSt 30 for a 1ST down

2nd & 9Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.03

Cam Miller pass complete to Hunter Luepke for 27 yds to the YngSt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Cam Miller run for 1 yd to the YngSt 29

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Hunter Luepke run for 2 yds for a TD, (Griffin Crosa KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Will Cardinal kickoff for 64 yds , Dra Rushton return for 21 yds to the YngSt 22

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.83

Dra Rushton run for a loss of 3 yards to the YngSt 19

2nd & 13Penalty-5 yds

YOUNGSTOWN ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the YngSt 14

2nd & 18Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.08

Demeatric Crenshaw sacked by Spencer Waege for a loss of 1 yard to the YngSt 13

3rd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.03

Demeatric Crenshaw pass incomplete

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Paddy Lynch punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jayden Price at the NDkSt 43

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.11

Cam Miller pass complete to Joe Stoffel for 14 yds to the YngSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Hunter Luepke run for 3 yds to the YngSt 40

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.76

TK Marshall run for 7 yds to the YngSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.54

Cam Miller run for 8 yds to the YngSt 25

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.27

Cole Payton run for 4 yds to the YngSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Dominic Gonnella run for 7 yds to the YngSt 14

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.57

Hunter Brozio run for a loss of 1 yard to the YngSt 15

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Cole Payton run for 3 yds to the YngSt 12

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +3.03

Hunter Luepke run for 12 yds for a TD, (Griffin Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Demeatric Crenshaw pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Demeatric Crenshaw pass complete to Latrell Fordham for 9 yds to the YngSt 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Demeatric Crenshaw run for 2 yds to the YngSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 6 yds to the YngSt 42

2nd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.90

Demeatric Crenshaw pass complete to Max Tomczak for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 1 yd to the NDkSt 49

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Demeatric Crenshaw pass incomplete

3rd & 9Rush+44 ydsPPA +3.90

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 44 yds to the NDkSt 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 2 yds to the NDkSt 3

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Dra Rushton run for 2 yds to the NDkSt 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Dra Rushton run for no gain to the NDkSt 1

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

YOUNGSTOWN ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NDkSt 6

4th & 6Field Goal Good+22 yds

Colt McFadden 22 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Cam Miller pass complete to Hunter Luepke for 7 yds to the NDkSt 32

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Kobe Johnson run for 2 yds to the NDkSt 34

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.05

Hunter Luepke run for 3 yds to the NDkSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.92

Cam Miller sacked by Dylan Wudke for a loss of 7 yards to the NDkSt 30

2nd & 17Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.29

Cam Miller pass complete to Jake Lippe for 22 yds to the YngSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

TaMerik Williams run for 1 yd to the YngSt 47

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Dominic Gonnella run for 4 yds to the YngSt 43

3rd & 5Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.90

Kobe Johnson run for 14 yds to the YngSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

MILLER, Cam pass to the left complete for 0 yards to BROZIO, Hunter caught at the YSU13 and advanced to the YSU29 (BENTON JR., Greg). PENALTY NDS Holding on MAUCH, Cody enforced 10 yards from the YSU29 to the YSU39. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Cole Payton run for 5 yds to the YngSt 34

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Cam Miller pass incomplete

3rd & 15Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.50

Cam Miller pass complete to Zach Mathis for 17 yds to the YngSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.58

Kobe Johnson run for 17 yds for a TD, (Griffin Crosa KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+26 yds

Will Cardinal kickoff for 64 yds , Dra Rushton return for 26 yds to the YngSt 27

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 6 yds to the YngSt 33

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.63

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 5 yds to the YngSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.27

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 14 yds to the NDkSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 3 yds to the NDkSt 45

2nd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Demeatric Crenshaw pass complete to Bryce Oliver for 12 yds to the NDkSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.34

Demeatric Crenshaw pass complete to Jaleel McLaughlin for a loss of 4 yards to the NDkSt 37

2nd & 14Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 1 yd to the NDkSt 36

3rd & 13Interception0 ydsPPA -1.96

Demeatric Crenshaw pass intercepted for a 1ST down NO DAKOTA ST Penalty, Personal Foul ( Yards) to the NDkSt 14 for a 1ST down

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+25 yds

Colt McFadden kickoff for 62 yds , RaJa Nelson return for 25 yds to the NODAKOTAST 40 NO DAKOTA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Julian Wlodarczyk) to the NDkSt 10

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Hunter Luepke run for 2 yds to the NDkSt 12

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Cam Miller pass complete to Phoenix Sproles for 6 yds to the NDkSt 18

3rd & 2Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.37

Hunter Luepke run for 14 yds to the NDkSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.42

Kobe Johnson run for 15 yds to the NDkSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

DJ Hart run for no gain to the NDkSt 47

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Cam Miller pass complete to Jake Lippe for 5 yds to the YngSt 48

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Cam Miller pass complete to Braylon Henderson for 4 yds to the YngSt 44

4th & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.37

Hunter Luepke run for 9 yds to the YngSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

TaMerik Williams run for 4 yds to the YngSt 31

2nd & 6Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.81

Cam Miller sacked by Devin Lee for a loss of 10 yards to the YngSt 41

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Cam Miller pass incomplete

4th & 16Penalty-5 yds

STEINDORF, Kaedin punt 38 yards to the YSU3 downed by TALBERT, Destin, clock 08:17. PENALTY Before the snap, NDS Delay Of Game enforced 5 yards from the YSU41 to the YSU46. NO PLAY (replay the down).

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Kaedin Steindorf punt for 37 yds

1st & 14Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.75

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 15 yds to the YngSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.69

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 10 yds to the YngSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.13

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Latrell Fordham for 12 yds to the YngSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

DAVIDSON, Mitch pass to the left incomplete intended for FORDHAM, Latrell thrown to the NDS39. PENALTY NDS Pass Interference on JONES, Dom enforced 15 yards to the NDS43 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Dra Rushton run for 2 yds to the NDkSt 41

2nd & 8Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.83

Mitch Davidson sacked by Jaxon Duttenhefer for a loss of 10 yards to the YngSt 49

3rd & 18Rush+19 ydsPPA +3.82

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 19 yds to the NDkSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

YOUNGSTOWN ST Penalty, False Start (Trenton Gillison) to the NDkSt 37

1st & 15Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Mitch Davidson run for 6 yds to the NDkSt 31

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 1 yd to the NDkSt 30

3rd & 8Penalty0 yds

YOUNGSTOWN ST Penalty, Illegal Formation (Bryce Oliver) declined

1st & 9Penalty-5 yds

YOUNGSTOWN ST Penalty, Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on MCALLISTER, Mike enforced (-5 Yards) to the YngSt 5

4th & 8Field Goal Good+47 yds

Colt McFadden 47 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Hunter Luepke run for 11 yds to the NDkSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Cole Payton run for 10 yds to the NDkSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Kobe Johnson run for 1 yd to the NDkSt 47

2nd & 9Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.10

Cam Miller pass complete to Joe Stoffel for 17 yds to the YngSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Cole Payton run for 1 yd to the YngSt 35

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Hunter Luepke run for 2 yds to the YngSt 33

3rd & 7Penalty0 yds

NO DAKOTA ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Grey Zabel) declined

4th & 7Penalty-5 yds

NO DAKOTA ST Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the YngSt 38

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Kaedin Steindorf punt for 21 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete

3rd & 17Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.03

Dra Rushton run for 7 yds to the YngSt 17

3rd & 10Penalty-9 yds

YOUNGSTOWN ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Paddy Lynch) to the YngSt 11

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Paddy Lynch punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jayden Price at the NDkSt 40

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.40

Cam Miller pass complete to Joe Stoffel for 17 yds to the YngSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.51

Kobe Johnson run for 12 yds to the YngSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Hunter Luepke run for 3 yds to the YngSt 28

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.66

Dominic Gonnella run for no gain to the YngSt 28

3rd & 7Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.36

Cam Miller run for 20 yds to the YngSt 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Fumble Recovery (Own)-2 ydsPPA -0.48

Hunter Luepke run for a loss of 2 yards to the YngSt 10 Hunter Luepke fumbled, recovered by NDkSt Joe Stoffel

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Cam Miller pass complete to Joe Stoffel for 4 yds to the YngSt 6

3rd & 6Penalty-15 yds

MILLER, Cam pass up the middle incomplete intended for MATHIS, Zach thrown to the YSU0. PENALTY NDS Pass Interference on MATHIS, Zach enforced 15 yards to the YSU21 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 21Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Cam Miller pass incomplete

4th & 21Field Goal Good+39 yds

Griffin Crosa 39 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Will Cardinal kickoff for 63 yds , Latrell Fordham return for 18 yds to the YngSt 20

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.78

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 11 yds to the YngSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Bryce Oliver for 3 yds to the YngSt 34

2nd & 7Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.97

Mitch Davidson run for 14 yds to the YngSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

YOUNGSTOWN ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Max Tomczak) to the NDkSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Dra Rushton run for 5 yds to the NDkSt 40

3rd & 5Penalty+5 yds

NO DAKOTA ST Penalty, Offsides (Spencer Waege) to the NDkSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+35 ydsPPA +2.97

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Jaleel McLaughlin for 35 yds for a TD, (M. Davidson Run For Two-point Conversion)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Colt McFadden kickoff for 14 yds , return for no gain to the YngSt 49

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Dominic Gonnella run for 1 yd to the YngSt 48

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Cam Miller run for 3 yds to the YngSt 45

3rd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.97

Cam Miller pass complete to Phoenix Sproles for 8 yds to the YngSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Hunter Luepke run for 6 yds to the YngSt 31

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Dominic Gonnella run for 6 yds to the YngSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

TaMerik Williams run for 1 yd to the YngSt 24

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Cole Payton run for 1 yd to the YngSt 23

3rd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Cam Miller run for 3 yds to the YngSt 20

4th & 5Field Goal Good+38 yds

Griffin Crosa 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Jaleel McLaughlin for 12 yds to the YngSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.10

Mitch Davidson sacked by Spencer Waege and Will Mostaert for a loss of 10 yards to the YngSt 27

Situational Analysis

Youngstown State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
45%
20 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
67%
3 plays
50%
8 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
100%
1 play
60%
5 plays
4th

North Dakota State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
46%
26 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
12 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
2 plays