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← Back to GamesNov 19, 2022Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

North Dakota State by 20.5

Home Win Probability

North Dakota State 89%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

North Dakota State -12.5

Edge: North Dakota State -12.5 (8.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 19, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
North Dakota
0147021
North Dakota StateNorth Dakota State
141414042

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-021-028-735-2142-21
North Dakota StateNorth Dakota

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NDNDSNDNDSNDNDSNDNDSNDNDSNDNDSNDSNDNDSNDNDSNDNDSNDNDSPUNT3-9ydTD250ydPUNT622ydTD897ydTO530ydTD660ydTD365ydTD1392ydPUNT516ydPUNT33ydTD1378ydEND1-1ydTD445ydTD1072ydTD1380ydPUNT34ydMISS524ydPUNT35ydPUNT517ydPUNT630ydEND847yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing North Dakota and North Dakota State
StatisticNorth DakotaNorth Dakota State
Passing11-228-12
Pass Yards153159
Rush Yards165363
Total Yards318522
Turnovers10
3rd Down5-135-11
Penalties3-275-48
Possession24:3535:25

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

North Dakota
passing
Tommy Schuster
11/19, 153 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Tyler Hoosman
13 CAR, 75 YDS
receiving
Bo Belquist
4 REC, 102 YDS
North Dakota State
passing
Cam Miller
8/12, 159 YDS
rushing
Kobe Johnson
12 CAR, 115 YDS
receiving
DJ Hart
2 REC, 83 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Tyler Hoosman run for 2 yds to the NDKTA 27

2nd & 8Sack-11 ydsPPA -0.82

Tommy Schuster sacked by Spencer Waege for a loss of 11 yards to the NDKTA 16

3rd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.03

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Cade Peterson punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.35

Kobe Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDkSt 49

2nd & 11Rushing Touchdown+51 ydsPPA +5.19

TaMerik Williams run for 51 yds for a TD, (Griffin Crosa KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+37 yds

Will Cardinal kickoff for 65 yds , Luke Skokna return for 37 yds to the NDKTA 37

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Tyler Hoosman run for 3 yds to the NDKTA 40

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Red Wilson run for 3 yds to the NDKTA 43

3rd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.16

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Bo Belquist for 9 yds to the NDkSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Garett Maag for 1 yd to the NDkSt 47

3rd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Garett Maag for 6 yds to the NDkSt 41

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Cade Peterson punt for 38 yds, downed at the NDkSt 3

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Kobe Johnson run for 3 yds to the NDkSt 6

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.20

TaMerik Williams run for no gain to the NDkSt 6

3rd & 7Pass Reception+76 ydsPPA +4.67

Cam Miller pass complete to DJ Hart for 76 yds to the NDKTA 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Kobe Johnson run for 8 yds to the NDKTA 10

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.09

Cam Miller run for 4 yds to the NDKTA 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

TaMerik Williams run for 2 yds to the NDKTA 4

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Cam Miller pass incomplete

3rd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.70

Cam Miller run for 4 yds for a TD, (Griffin Crosa KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Will Cardinal kickoff for 55 yds , Jack Wright return for 20 yds to the NDKTA 30

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Red Wilson run for 3 yds to the NDKTA 33

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Tyler Hoosman run for 2 yds to the NDKTA 35

3rd & 5Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.89

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Bo Belquist for 18 yds to the NDkSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.60

Tyler Hoosman run for 11 yds to the NDkSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-4 ydsPPA -3.99

Tommy Schuster run for a loss of 4 yards to the NDkSt 40 Tommy Schuster fumbled, recovered by NDkSt Loshiaka Roques

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Cam Miller pass complete to RaJa Nelson for 8 yds to the NDkSt 48

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.05

Dominic Gonnella run for 4 yds to the NDKTA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +1.12

Cam Miller pass complete to Logan Hofstedt for 32 yds to the NDKTA 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

JOHNSON, Kobe rush to the left for no gain to the UND16 (OGBU, Bartholomew). PENALTY NDS Holding on KUBAS, Jake enforced 10 yards from the UND16 to the UND26 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.37

Cam Miller run for 9 yds to the NDKTA 17

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Cam Miller run for 2 yds to the NDKTA 15

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Cam Miller run for 7 yds for a TD, (Griffin Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+63 ydsPPA +4.03

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Bo Belquist for 63 yds to the NDkSt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Tyler Hoosman run for 1 yd to the NDkSt 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Quincy Vaughn run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brady Stevens KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+28 yds

Brady Stevens kickoff for 63 yds , DJ Hart return for 28 yds to the NDkSt 8

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.41

TaMerik Williams run for 11 yds to the NDkSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.08

Cam Miller pass complete to Zach Mathis for 9 yds to the NDkSt 28

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

TaMerik Williams run for 2 yds to the NDkSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+32 ydsPPA +2.60

Kobe Johnson run for 32 yds to the NDKTA 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.61

Cam Miller pass complete to Zach Mathis for 8 yds to the NDKTA 30

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

TaMerik Williams run for 3 yds to the NDKTA 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Kobe Johnson run for 1 yd to the NDKTA 26

2nd & 9Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.54

Cole Payton run for 9 yds to the NDKTA 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Dominic Gonnella run for 5 yds to the NDKTA 12

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Cam Miller run for 4 yds to the NDKTA 8

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.48

Cam Miller run for 2 yds to the NDKTA 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Cole Payton run for 3 yds to the NDKTA 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Cam Miller run for 3 yds for a TD, (Griffin Crosa KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Will Cardinal kickoff for 60 yds , Luke Skokna return for 19 yds to the NDKTA 24

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Tyler Hoosman run for 6 yds to the NDKTA 30

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.58

Tommy Schuster run for 5 yds to the NDKTA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Tommy Schuster run for 4 yds to the NDKTA 39

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Tommy Schuster run for 1 yd to the NDKTA 40

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Cade Peterson punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kobe Johnson run for 5 yds to the NDkSt 28

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Cam Miller pass incomplete

3rd & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.41

Cam Miller run for a loss of 2 yards to the NDkSt 26

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Kaedin Steindorf punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Bo Belquist at the NDKTA 22

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.00

Isaiah Smith run for 23 yds to the NDKTA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +3.00

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Bo Belquist for 12 yds to the NDkSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tommy Schuster run for 5 yds to the NDkSt 38

2nd & 5Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.19

Tommy Schuster sacked by James Kaczor for a loss of 1 yard to the NDkSt 39

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Isaiah Smith run for 5 yds to the NDkSt 34

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.50

Quincy Vaughn run for 2 yds to the NDkSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Jack Wright for 5 yds to the NDkSt 27

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

SCHUSTER, Tommy pass to the right complete for 13 yards to SMITH, Isaiah caught at the NDS25 and advanced to the NDS14 (TUTSIE, Michael). PENALTY UND Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on KILTY, Easton enforced 5 yards from the NDS27 to the NDS32 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.49

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Isaiah Smith for 8 yds to the NDkSt 24

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Tommy Schuster run for 6 yds to the NDkSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.94

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Garett Maag for 18 yds for a TD, (Brady Stevens KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Kneel down by MILLER, Cam at NDS24 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+47 yds

Brady Stevens kickoff for 57 yds , DJ Hart return for 47 yds to the NDKTA 45

1st & 10Rush+44 ydsPPA +2.54

Kobe Johnson run for 44 yds to the NDKTA 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.50

run for a loss of 4 yards to the NDKTA 5

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Cam Miller pass incomplete

3rd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.76

Cam Miller run for 5 yds for a TD, (Griffin Crosa KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+26 yds

Will Cardinal kickoff for 63 yds , Luke Skokna return for 26 yds to the NDKTA 28

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Tyler Hoosman run for 6 yds to the NDKTA 34

2nd & 4Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.40

Tommy Schuster run for 13 yds to the NDKTA 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.22

Tyler Hoosman run for 21 yds to the NDkSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Isaiah Smith run for 6 yds to the NDkSt 26

3rd & 4Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.08

Isaiah Smith run for 19 yds to the NDkSt 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Tyler Hoosman run for 2 yds to the NDkSt 5

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Tommy Schuster run for 4 yds to the NDkSt 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Quincy Vaughn run for no gain to the NDkSt 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Quincy Vaughn run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brady Stevens KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+27 yds

Brady Stevens kickoff for 47 yds , DJ Hart return for 27 yds to the NDkSt 20

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.11

TaMerik Williams run for 9 yds to the NDkSt 29

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

TaMerik Williams run for 2 yds to the NDkSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Kobe Johnson run for 3 yds to the NDkSt 34

2nd & 7Rush+20 ydsPPA +2.43

Cam Miller run for 30 yds to the NODAKOTAST 36 for a 1ST down NO DAKOTA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the NDkSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Kobe Johnson run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.64

TaMerik Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the NDkSt 48

3rd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Cam Miller pass complete to Eli Green for 10 yds to the NDKTA 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.91

Dominic Gonnella run for no gain to the NDKTA 42

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Cam Miller pass incomplete

3rd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+9 ydsPPA +0.97

Cam Miller pass complete to Eli Green for 9 yds Eli Green fumbled, recovered by NDkSt

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.44

Cam Miller run for 2 yds to the NDKTA 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Dominic Gonnella run for 1 yd to the NDKTA 30

2nd & 9Rushing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +3.29

Cam Miller run for 30 yds for a TD, (Griffin Crosa KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Will Cardinal kickoff for 59 yds , Jack Wright return for 20 yds to the NDKTA 26

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Quincy Vaughn pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Tyler Hoosman run for 4 yds to the NDKTA 30

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Quincy Vaughn pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt+40 yds

Cade Peterson punt for 42 yds , Jayden Price returns for 40 yds to the NDKTA 32

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

NORTH DAKOTA Penalty, Personal Foul (Devon Krzanowski) to the NDKTA 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Cam Miller run for 3 yds to the NDKTA 10

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Cam Miller run for 3 yds to the NDKTA 7

3rd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.41

Cole Payton run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDKTA 8

4th & 5Blocked Field Goal+26 yds

Griffin Crosa 26 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tyler Hoosman run for 5 yds to the NDKTA 28

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.69

Red Wilson run for no gain to the NDKTA 28

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Cade Peterson punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jayden Price at the NDkSt 32

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

TaMerik Williams run for 3 yds to the NDkSt 35

2nd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.62

Kobe Johnson run for 10 yds to the NDkSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Kobe Johnson run for no gain to the NDkSt 45

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Dominic Gonnella run for 2 yds to the NDkSt 47

3rd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

TaMerik Williams run for 2 yds to the NDkSt 49

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Kaedin Steindorf punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Bo Belquist at the NDKTA 5

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.71

Tyler Hoosman run for 9 yds to the NDKTA 14

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Tyler Hoosman run for 3 yds to the NDKTA 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.68

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Tyler Hoosman for 11 yds to the NDKTA 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Tommy Schuster pass complete to Caden Dennis for 2 yds to the NDKTA 30

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Tommy Schuster pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Tommy Schuster run for 5 yds to the NDKTA 35

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Cade Peterson punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jayden Price at the NDkSt 23

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Jalen Bussey run for no gain to the NDkSt 23

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Jalen Bussey run for 1 yd to the NDkSt 24

3rd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.16

Cam Miller pass complete to DJ Hart for 7 yds to the NDkSt 31

4th & 2Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.86

Kaedin Steindorf run for 16 yds to the NDkSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

BUSSEY, Jalen rush to the left for a gain of 34 yards to the UND19 (HEMBRY, Devin), out of bounds. PENALTY NDS Holding on LANCE, Bryce enforced 10 yards from the NDS47 to the NDS37. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush+30 ydsPPA +3.39

Jalen Bussey run for 30 yds to the NDKTA 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Jalen Bussey run for 2 yds to the NDKTA 31

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

TK Marshall run for 2 yds to the NDKTA 29

3rd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.91

Kneel down by PAYTON, Cole at UND30 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

North Dakota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
48%
23 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
27%
11 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
57%
7 plays
100%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
2 plays

North Dakota State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays
52%
25 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
50%
6 plays
0%
5 plays
40%
10 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
40%
5 plays
80%
5 plays
4th
100%
2 plays