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← Back to GamesOct 22, 2022Week 8

House Prediction

Model Margin

Delaware by 28.5

Home Win Probability

Delaware 94%

Market (consensus)

Delaware -33.5

Edge: Morgan State +33.5 (5.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 22, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Morgan State
07007
DelawareDelaware
14071738

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-014-721-728-731-738-7
DelawareMorgan State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20DELMSDELMSDELMSDELMSDELMSDELMSDELMSDELMSDELMSDELMSDELMSDELMSDELMSTD677ydPUNT418ydTD484ydPUNT511ydDOWNS522ydPUNT614ydPUNT739ydPUNT32ydTO10ydPUNT945ydPUNT33ydTD843ydEND874ydTO10ydTD622ydTO30ydPUNT3-17ydPUNT3-2ydMISS719ydPUNT67ydTD858ydPUNT48ydFG1239ydTO36ydTD938ydEND28yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Morgan State and Delaware
StatisticMorgan StateDelaware
Passing10-1917-38
Pass Yards59235
Rush Yards99200
Total Yards158435
Turnovers31
3rd Down2-129-17
Penalties7-694-27
Possession33:1926:41

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Morgan State
passing
Carson Baker
4/8, 35 YDS
rushing
Alfonzo Graham
20 CAR, 83 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Andre Crawley
2 REC, 20 YDS
Delaware
passing
Nolan Henderson
13/29, 206 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Nolan Henderson
10 CAR, 65 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Marcus Yarns
2 REC, 76 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Beckett Leary kickoff for 60 yds , Kyron Cumby return for 18 yds to the Delaw 23

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Kyron Cumby run for 4 yds to the Delaw 27

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Nolan Henderson pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rush+33 ydsPPA +3.72

Nolan Henderson run for 33 yds to the MorgS 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.57

Nolan Henderson pass complete to Brett Buckman for 20 yds to the MorgS 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Nolan Henderson run for 3 yds to the MorgS 17

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.74

Jourdan Townsend run for 17 yds for a TD, (Garrett Bennion KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

Andrew MacMillan kickoff for 45 yds , Andre Crawley return for 12 yds to the MorgS 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.33

Carson Baker pass complete to Daymond Hamler for 14 yds to the MorgS 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Alfonzo Graham run for no gain to the MorgS 46

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Alfonzo Graham run for 7 yds to the Delaw 47

3rd & 3Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.62

Carson Baker run for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard line

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jordan Amadi punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Nolan Henderson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Nolan Henderson pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.39

Nolan Henderson pass complete to Michael Jackson for 12 yds to the Delaw 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+72 ydsPPA +5.86

Nolan Henderson pass complete to Marcus Yarns for 72 yds for a TD, (Garrett Bennion KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Andrew MacMillan kickoff for 61 yds , Keith Jenkins Jr. return for 15 yds to the MorgS 19

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Alfonzo Graham run for 3 yds to the MorgS 22

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.14

Carson Baker pass complete to Tyler Wilkins for 10 yds to the MorgS 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Alfonzo Graham run for 9 yds to the MorgS 41

2nd & 1Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.52

Carson Baker sacked by Ty Davis for a loss of 6 yards to the MorgS 35

3rd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.40

Carson Baker run for no gain to the MorgS 35

4th & 7Penalty-5 yds

MORGAN ST Penalty, False Start (Keith Jenkins Jr.) to the MorgS 30

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Jordan Amadi punt for 17 yds, fair catch by Jourdan Townsend at the MorgS 47

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.80

Marcus Yarns run for 17 yds to the MorgS 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Marcus Yarns run for 5 yds to the MorgS 25

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Nolan Henderson pass incomplete

3rd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.77

Marcus Yarns run for no gain to the MorgS 25

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.91

Nolan Henderson pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jabriel Johnson run for no gain to the MorgS 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Carson Baker pass complete to Tyler Wilkins for 8 yds to the MorgS 33

3rd & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +1.15

Carson Baker pass complete to Avery Jones for 3 yds to the MorgS 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Jabriel Johnson run for 3 yds to the MorgS 39

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Carson Baker pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Carson Baker pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Jordan Amadi punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Kyron Cumby run for 2 yds to the Delaw 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.77

Nolan Henderson pass complete to Michael Jackson for 24 yds to the MorgS 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

MORGAN ST Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the MorgS 44

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Nolan Henderson pass incomplete

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.52

Kyron Cumby run for 5 yds to the MorgS 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Nolan Henderson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Nolan Henderson pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Nolan Henderson pass complete to Chandler Harvin for 3 yds to the MorgS 36

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Nolan Henderson punt for 36 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Alfonzo Graham run for 2 yds to the MorgS 22

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Carson Baker pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Carson Baker pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jordan Amadi punt for 37 yds , returns for no gain to the Delaw 41

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -2.34

Nolan Henderson pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Alfonzo Graham run for 1 yd to the MorgS 10

2nd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.72

Alfonzo Graham run for 10 yds to the MorgS 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Carson Baker run for 6 yds to the MorgS 26

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.49

Alfonzo Graham run for 5 yds to the MorgS 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jabriel Johnson run for 5 yds to the MorgS 36

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.23

Jabriel Johnson run for 9 yds to the MorgS 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Carson Baker run for 2 yds to the MorgS 47

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jabriel Johnson run for 5 yds to the Delaw 48

3rd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Duce Taylor pass complete to Daymond Hamler for 2 yds to the Delaw 46

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Jordan Amadi punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jourdan Townsend at the Delaw 9

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Nolan Henderson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.09

Quincy Watson run for 2 yds to the Delaw 11

3rd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.08

Nolan Henderson run for 1 yd to the Delaw 12

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Ben Dinkel punt for 31 yds, downed at the Delaw 43

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Alfonzo Graham run for 3 yds to the Delaw 40

2nd & 7Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.94

Alfonzo Graham run for 14 yds to the Delaw 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Alfonzo Graham run for 6 yds to the Delaw 20

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Alfonzo Graham run for 4 yds to the Delaw 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Alfonzo Graham run for 8 yds to the Delaw 8

2nd & 2Penalty+4 yds

DELAWARE Penalty, Face mask (4 yards) (Noah Plack) to the Delaw 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Duce Taylor pass incomplete

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Alfonzo Graham run for 2 yds for a TD, (Beckett Leary KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Nolan Henderson pass complete to Thyrick Pitts for 12 yds to the Delaw 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.13

Nolan Henderson pass complete to Thyrick Pitts for 12 yds to the Delaw 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.26

Nolan Henderson pass complete to Brett Buckman for 28 yds to the MorgS 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

HENDERSON, Nolan pass to the right incomplete intended for PITTS, Thyrick thrown to the MSU15. PENALTY DEL Holding on GINGRICH, Brock enforced 10 yards from the MSU23 to the MSU33 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.72

Nolan Henderson run for 11 yds to the MorgS 22

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Nolan Henderson pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.97

Nolan Henderson pass complete to Chandler Harvin for 11 yds to the MorgS 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.58

Nolan Henderson run for 10 yds to the MorgS 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Anthony Paoletti run for no gain to the MorgS 1

0th & 1End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Andrew MacMillan kickoff for 58 yds , Keith Jenkins Jr. return for 14 yds to the MorgS 21

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.67

Duce Taylor pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Kyron Cumby run for 2 yds to the MorgS 20

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Nolan Henderson pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Nolan Henderson pass complete to Thyrick Pitts for 5 yds to the MorgS 15

4th & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.75

Bryce De Maille run for 3 yds to the MorgS 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Marcus Yarns run for 5 yds to the MorgS 7

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.46

Nolan Henderson run for 7 yds for a TD, (Garrett Bennion KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Brandon Ratcliffe kickoff for 42 yds , Kenny Prince return for no gain to the MorgS 23

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

GRAHAM, Alfonzo rush to the right for a loss of 1 yard to the MSU22 (WARE, Nic;BUCHANAN, Johnny). PENALTY MSU Holding enforced 10 yards from the MSU23 to the MSU13 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Alfonzo Graham run for 4 yds to the MorgS 17

2nd & 16Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.05

Duce Taylor run for 6 yds to the MorgS 23

3rd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA +0.16

Duce Taylor pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Nolan Henderson pass incomplete DELAWARE Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Nolan Henderson) to the MorgS 37

2nd & 23Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Nolan Henderson pass incomplete

3rd & 23Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.90

Nolan Henderson pass complete to Bryce De Maille for a loss of 4 yards to the MorgS 41

4th & 27Punt0 yds

Ben Dinkel punt for 29 yds, downed at the MorgS 6

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Alfonzo Graham run for 2 yds to the MorgS 8

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.16

Alfonzo Graham run for 1 yd to the MorgS 9

3rd & 7Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -0.14

Duce Taylor pass complete to Alfonzo Graham for a loss of 5 yards to the MorgS 4

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Jordan Amadi punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Jourdan Townsend at the MorgS 30

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Kyron Cumby run for 7 yds to the MorgS 23

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.72

Kyron Cumby run for a loss of 1 yard to the MorgS 24

3rd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Kyron Cumby run for 9 yds to the MorgS 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Nolan Henderson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Nolan Henderson run for 4 yds to the MorgS 11

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Nolan Henderson pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+28 yds

Garrett Bennion 28 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Jabriel Johnson run for 3 yds to the MorgS 23

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Jabriel Johnson run for 2 yds to the MorgS 25

3rd & 5Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.95

Duce Taylor pass complete to Andre Crawley for 13 yds to the MorgS 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09

Jabriel Johnson run for no gain to the MorgS 38

2nd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.19

Duce Taylor sacked by Ethan Saunders and Artis Hemmingway for a loss of 8 yards to the MorgS 30

3rd & 18Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.13

Duce Taylor sacked by Chase McGowan for a loss of 3 yards to the MorgS 27

4th & 21Punt+4 yds

Jordan Amadi punt for 35 yds , Jourdan Townsend returns for 4 yds to the Delaw 42

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.36

Khory Spruill run for a loss of 1 yard to the Delaw 41

2nd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Nolan Henderson pass complete to Khory Spruill for 7 yds to the Delaw 48

3rd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.87

Nolan Henderson run for 6 yds to the MorgS 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.98

Khory Spruill run for 9 yds to the MorgS 37

2nd & 1Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.34

Nolan Henderson pass complete to Marcus Yarns for 4 yds to the MorgS 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Nolan Henderson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

MORGAN ST Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (15 Yards) to the MorgS 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+13 yds

GWYNN, Zach pass to the right incomplete intended for BUCKMAN, Brett thrown to the MSU0. PENALTY MSU Pass Interference on STUKES, Bryan enforced 13 yards to the MSU2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Khory Spruill run for 2 yds for a TD, (Andrew MacMillan KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

DELAWARE Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Chase McGowan) to the MorgS 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Alfonzo Graham run for 2 yds to the MorgS 29

2nd & 8Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.83

Duce Taylor sacked by Tommy Walsh and Johnny Buchanan for a loss of 6 yards to the MorgS 23

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Duce Taylor pass incomplete

4th & 14Punt+37 yds

Jordan Amadi punt for 37 yds , Jourdan Townsend returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Delaw 39

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Zach Gwynn pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Quincy Watson run for 1 yd to the Delaw 40

3rd & 9Rush+14 ydsPPA +3.02

Zach Gwynn run for 14 yds to the MorgS 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.57

Quincy Watson run for 11 yds to the MorgS 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Zach Gwynn pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.71

Quincy Watson run for 9 yds to the MorgS 26

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.76

Kyron Cumby run for no gain to the MorgS 26

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.02

Khory Spruill run for 1 yd to the MorgS 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Zach Gwynn pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Khory Spruill run for 3 yds to the MorgS 22

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Zach Gwynn pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Good+39 yds

Andrew MacMillan 39 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Andrew MacMillan kickoff for 59 yds , Keith Jenkins Jr. return for 19 yds to the MorgS 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Duce Taylor pass complete to Alfonzo Graham for 3 yds to the MorgS 28

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Alfonzo Graham run for 3 yds to the MorgS 31

3rd & 4Interception0 ydsPPA -0.39

Duce Taylor pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Ryan O'Connor pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Ryan O'Connor pass complete to Brett Buckman for 6 yds to the MorgS 32

3rd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Ryan O'Connor pass complete to Jalyn Witcher for 9 yds to the MorgS 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jo'Nathan Silver run for 5 yds to the MorgS 18

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.55

Jo'Nathan Silver run for a loss of 1 yard to the MorgS 19

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.61

Ryan O'Connor pass complete to Josh Moran for 7 yds to the MorgS 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Ryan O'Connor run for 4 yds to the MorgS 8

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Jo'Nathan Silver run for 1 yd to the MorgS 7

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.79

Ryan O'Connor pass complete to Brett Buckman for 7 yds for a TD, (Andrew MacMillan KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+26 yds

Andrew MacMillan kickoff for 56 yds , Keith Jenkins Jr. return for 26 yds to the MorgS 35

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Jabriel Johnson run for 1 yd to the MorgS 36

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.52

Duce Taylor pass complete to Andre Crawley for 7 yds to the MorgS 43

Situational Analysis

Morgan State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
29%
21 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
14 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
4th

Delaware

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
43%
30 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
33%
6 plays
33%
12 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
75%
8 plays
57%
7 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play