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← Back to GamesSep 24, 2022Week 4

House Prediction

Model Margin

North Alabama by 0.9

Home Win Probability

North Alabama 51%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

North Alabama -2

Edge: Tarleton State +2 (1.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 24, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Tarleton State
61414943
North Alabama
1470728

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-614-614-1321-2021-3421-4128-43
North AlabamaTarleton State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TSNATSNATSNATSNATSNATSNATSNANATSNATSNATSNATSNATSTSNAFG747ydTD175ydFG1172ydTD1075ydPUNT733ydPUNT615ydTO763ydPUNT35ydTD447ydPUNT3-4ydTD568ydTD267ydPUNT619ydEND17ydPUNT619ydTD380ydPUNT3-4ydTD1153ydDOWNS935ydTD860ydTD178ydPUNT626ydSAF1-9ydPUNT536ydEND2-3ydTO1156yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Tarleton State and North Alabama
StatisticTarleton StateNorth Alabama
Passing18-2913-22
Pass Yards316228
Rush Yards270208
Total Yards586436
Turnovers11
3rd Down4-105-11
Penalties3-308-90
Possession38:4521:15

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Tarleton State
passing
Beau Allen
18/29, 316 YDS, 4 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Derrel Kelley III
21 CAR, 161 YDS
receiving
Jaden Smith
5 REC, 173 YDS, 2 TD
North Alabama
passing
Noah Walters
13/22, 228 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
ShunDerrick Powell
13 CAR, 209 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Demarcus Lacey
2 REC, 108 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

NORTH ALABAMA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

ROSEMOND, Deangelo rush to the right for no gain to the TSU50 (OSSAI, Philip). PENALTY UNA Block below the waist on WOODS, J'Marick enforced 15 yards from the TSU50 to the UNA35 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Deangelo Rosemond run for 4 yds to the NorAl 31

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Beau Allen pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.20

Beau Allen pass complete to Deangelo Rosemond for 14 yds to the NorAl 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.42

Deangelo Rosemond run for a loss of 1 yard to the NorAl 18

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Beau Allen pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Beau Allen pass incomplete

4th & 11Field Goal Good+35 yds

Adrian Guzman 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +6.08

ShunDerrick Powell run for 75 yds for a TD, (Sam Contorno KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Deangelo Rosemond run for 1 yd to the trlst 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.20

Beau Allen pass complete to Darius Cooper for 17 yds to the trlst 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Deangelo Rosemond run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.24

Deangelo Rosemond run for 4 yds to the NorAl 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Beau Allen run for 6 yds to the NorAl 40

2nd & 4Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.49

Deangelo Rosemond run for 13 yds to the NorAl 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.23

Deangelo Rosemond run for 17 yds to the NorAl 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Ontario Douglas run for 5 yds to the NorAl 5

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Beau Allen run for 2 yds to the NorAl 3

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Beau Allen pass incomplete

4th & 3Field Goal Good+20 yds

Adrian Guzman 20 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Noah Walters run for 5 yds to the NorAl 30

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Noah Walters run for 1 yd to the NorAl 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +3.47

Noah Walters pass complete to ShunDerrick Powell for 30 yds to the trlst 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.44

ShunDerrick Powell run for 7 yds to the trlst 32

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.61

Parker Driggers run for 1 yd to the trlst 31

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.53

Parker Driggers run for 2 yds to the trlst 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Parker Driggers run for 2 yds to the trlst 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.54

Noah Walters pass complete to Takairee Kenebrew for 15 yds to the trlst 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

ShunDerrick Powell run for 9 yds to the trlst 3

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.92

ShunDerrick Powell run for 3 yds for a TD, (Sam Contorno KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Derrel Kelley III run for 2 yds to the trlst 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Beau Allen pass complete to Antwoine Ware for 9 yds to the trlst 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Beau Allen pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.50

Derrel Kelley III run for 16 yds to the NorAl 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Beau Allen pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Beau Allen pass complete to Derrel Kelley III for 4 yds to the NorAl 44

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Beau Allen run for 2 yds to the NorAl 42

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Jake Walrath punt for 42 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Noah Walters pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Parker Driggers run for 6 yds to the NorAl 26

3rd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.57

Noah Walters pass complete to E.J. Rogers for 9 yds to the NorAl 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Parker Driggers run for 2 yds to the NorAl 37

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Parker Driggers run for 4 yds to the NorAl 41

3rd & 4Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.15

Noah Walters sacked by Jalen Carr for a loss of 6 yards to the NorAl 35

4th & 10Punt+12 yds

Thomas Dowis punt for 47 yds , Jalen Carr returns for 12 yds to the trlst 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Beau Allen pass complete to Darius Cooper for 5 yds to the trlst 35

2nd & 5Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.29

Beau Allen pass complete to Darius Cooper for 23 yds to the NorAl 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.91

Deangelo Rosemond run for no gain to the NorAl 42

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Beau Allen pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +3.37

Beau Allen pass complete to Jaden Smith for 37 yds to the NorAl 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.72

Deangelo Rosemond run for a loss of 2 yards to the NorAl 7

2nd & 7Interception0 ydsPPA -4.39

Beau Allen pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Noah Walters pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Parker Driggers run for 5 yds to the NorAl 6

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Noah Walters pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Thomas Dowis punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.01

Derrel Kelley III run for 9 yds to the NorAl 38

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.33

Derrel Kelley III run for 4 yds to the NorAl 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.30

Beau Allen pass complete to Jaden Smith for 13 yds to the NorAl 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.63

Beau Allen pass complete to Gabe Douglas for 21 yds for a TD, (Adrian Guzman KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

Adrian Guzman kickoff for 52 yds , Andre Little return for 12 yds to the NorAl 25

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Noah Walters run for 1 yd to the NorAl 26

2nd & 9Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.63

Noah Walters sacked by Javier Duran for a loss of 6 yards to the NorAl 20

3rd & 15Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.06

Noah Walters pass complete to Parker Driggers for 1 yd to the NorAl 21

4th & 14Punt+11 yds

Thomas Dowis punt for 58 yds , Jalen Carr returns for 11 yds to the trlst 32

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Derrel Kelley III run for 8 yds to the trlst 40

2nd & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.40

Beau Allen pass complete to Jaden Smith for 7 yds to the trlst 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Derrel Kelley III run for 5 yds to the NorAl 48

2nd & 5Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.18

Derrel Kelley III run for 18 yds to the NorAl 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +2.81

Beau Allen pass complete to Jaden Smith for 30 yds for a TD, (Adrian Guzman KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+27 yds

Adrian Guzman kickoff for 59 yds , Andre Little return for 27 yds to the NorAl 33

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.15

ShunDerrick Powell run for 12 yds to the NorAl 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+55 ydsPPA +4.28

ShunDerrick Powell run for 55 yds for a TD, (Sam Contorno KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Beau Allen pass complete to Ontario Douglas for 13 yds to the trlst 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Beau Allen pass complete to Gabe Douglas for 6 yds to the trlst 44

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.63

Ontario Douglas run for 5 yds to the trlst 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Beau Allen run for 4 yds to the NorAl 47

2nd & 6Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.69

Beau Allen sacked by Kam'ron Green for a loss of 9 yards to the trlst 44

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Beau Allen pass incomplete

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Jake Walrath punt for 35 yds

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.54

ShunDerrick Powell run for 7 yds to the NorAl 28

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

ShunDerrick Powell run for 3 yds to the NorAl 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Noah Walters pass complete to E.J. Rogers for 5 yds to the NorAl 33

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.05

ShunDerrick Powell run for 2 yds to the NorAl 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

ShunDerrick Powell run for 4 yds to the NorAl 39

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Noah Walters pass complete to Takairee Kenebrew for 4 yds to the NorAl 43

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.76

Parker Driggers run for 1 yd to the NorAl 44

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Jacob Enns punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

TARLETON ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the trlst 11

1st & 19Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Marshawn Buchanan run for 3 yds to the trlst 14

2nd & 16Passing Touchdown+86 ydsPPA +7.25

Beau Allen pass complete to Jaden Smith for 86 yds for a TD, (Adrian Guzman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Noah Walters run for 3 yds to the NorAl 28

2nd & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.70

Noah Walters run for a loss of 2 yards to the NorAl 26

3rd & 9Penalty-5 yds

NORTH ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (Stevie Young) to the NorAl 21

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Noah Walters pass incomplete

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Jacob Enns punt for 47 yds, downed at the trlst 47

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.18

Derrel Kelley III run for 9 yds to the NorAl 44

2nd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA -0.09

Derrel Kelley III run for 8 yds to the NorAl 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Derrel Kelley III run for 4 yds to the NorAl 32

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Derrel Kelley III run for 7 yds to the NorAl 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Derrel Kelley III run for 3 yds to the NorAl 22

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Beau Allen pass complete to Deangelo Rosemond for 5 yds to the NorAl 17

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.25

Deangelo Rosemond run for 5 yds to the NorAl 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Beau Allen pass complete to Deangelo Rosemond for 1 yd to the NorAl 11

2nd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.83

Deangelo Rosemond run for 10 yds to the NorAl 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.50

Deangelo Rosemond run for a loss of 4 yards to the NorAl 5

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Beau Allen pass complete to Darius Cooper for 5 yds for a TD, (Adrian Guzman KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Adrian Guzman kickoff for 60 yds , Andre Little return for 20 yds to the NorAl 25

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

ShunDerrick Powell run for 6 yds to the NorAl 31

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.69

Noah Walters run for 6 yds to the NorAl 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Noah Walters run for 6 yds to the NorAl 43

2nd & 4Penalty-10 yds

NORTH ALABAMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the NorAl 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.83

Noah Walters pass complete to Kaleb Heatherly for 13 yds to the trlst 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Parker Driggers run for 1 yd to the trlst 37

2nd & 9Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.57

Noah Walters sacked by Darian Williams for a loss of 8 yards to the trlst 45

3rd & 17Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Noah Walters pass complete to Corson Swan for 5 yds to the trlst 40

4th & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Noah Walters pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.21

Derrel Kelley III run for 14 yds to the NorAl 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

TARLETON ST Penalty, False Start (Darius Cooper) to the trlst 49

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Beau Allen pass incomplete

2nd & 15Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.84

Beau Allen pass complete to Derrel Kelley III for 20 yds to the NorAl 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Derrel Kelley III run for 5 yds to the NorAl 26

2nd & 5Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.22

Beau Allen run for 12 yds to the NorAl 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Ontario Douglas run for 1 yd to the NorAl 13

2nd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.33

Ontario Douglas run for 10 yds to the NorAl 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Ontario Douglas run for 3 yds for a TD, (Adrian Guzman KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Adrian Guzman kickoff for 59 yds , Andre Little return for 16 yds to the NorAl 22

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+78 ydsPPA +6.27

Noah Walters pass complete to Demarcus Lacey for 78 yds for a TD, (Sam Contorno KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Derrel Kelley III run for 3 yds to the trlst 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Beau Allen pass incomplete

3rd & 7Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.47

Beau Allen run for 15 yds to the trlst 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Derrel Kelley III run for 2 yds to the trlst 45

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Derrel Kelley III run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Ontario Douglas run for 1 yd to the NorAl 49

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Jake Walrath punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Safety-9 ydsPPA -2.18

Noah Walters sacked for a loss of 9 yards for a SAFETY

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Derrel Kelley III run for 3 yds to the trlst 16

2nd & 7Rush+28 ydsPPA +2.50

Derrel Kelley III run for 28 yds to the trlst 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Derrel Kelley III run for 4 yds to the trlst 48

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Derrel Kelley III run for 4 yds to the NorAl 48

3rd & 2Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.67

Ontario Douglas run for a loss of 3 yards to the trlst 49

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jake Walrath punt for 31 yds

No play data available
1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -4.32

Noah Walters pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Noah Walters pass complete to Jaquan Woods for 5 yds to the NorAl 25

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Noah Walters pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.04

Noah Walters pass complete to Demarcus Lacey for 30 yds to the NorAl 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.12

Noah Walters sacked by Michael Irons for a loss of 7 yards to the NorAl 33

2nd & 17Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Noah Walters run for no gain to the NorAl 33

3rd & 17Penalty+15 yds

WALTERS, Noah pass up the middle incomplete intended for LACEY, Demarcus thrown to the TSU42. PENALTY TSU Pass Interference on WILLIAMS, Darian enforced 15 yards to the UNA48 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NORTH ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (Corson Swan) to the NorAl 43

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Noah Walters pass incomplete

2nd & 15Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.99

Noah Walters pass complete to Jaquan Woods for 17 yds to the trlst 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Noah Walters pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.35

Noah Walters pass complete to ShunDerrick Powell for 16 yds to the trlst 24 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Tarleton State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
50%
32 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
64%
11 plays
67%
12 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
25%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
4th

North Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
26 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
56%
9 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play