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← Back to GamesSep 1, 2022Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Kennesaw State by 12.2

Home Win Probability

Samford 25%

Market (Bovada)

Samford +13.5

Edge: Samford +13.5 (1.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 1, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Kennesaw StateKennesaw State
7010017
Samford
01401327

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-77-714-714-1014-1720-1727-17
SamfordKennesaw State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SAMKSSAMKSSAMKSSAMKSSAMKSSAMKSSAMKSSAMKSSAMKSSAMKSSAMPUNT35ydTD880ydPUNT39ydPUNT1138ydTO652ydDOWNS926ydTD754ydPUNT5-2ydTD440ydPUNT617ydEND518ydFG1554ydTO1-5ydTD513ydMISS644ydPUNT518ydTD893ydPUNT824ydTD777ydTO470ydEND729yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Kennesaw State and Samford
StatisticKennesaw StateSamford
Passing5-1318-24
Pass Yards135289
Rush Yards193113
Total Yards328402
Turnovers12
3rd Down9-188-11
Penalties5-343-30
Possession39:0620:54

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Kennesaw State
passing
Xavier Shepherd
5/13, 135 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Xavier Shepherd
35 CAR, 64 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Nykeem Farrow
1 REC, 72 YDS
Samford
passing
Michael Hiers
18/24, 289 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Jay Stanton
16 CAR, 90 YDS
receiving
Kendall Watson
9 REC, 187 YDS, 2 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+43 yds

Conor Cummins kickoff for 60 yds , Judd Cockett return for 43 yds to the Samf 48

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Michael Hiers pass complete to DJ Rias for 4 yds to the Ksaw 48

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Jay Stanton run for 1 yd to the Ksaw 47

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Michael Hiers pass incomplete to DJ Rias, broken up by Je'Cory Burks

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Bradley Porcellato punt for 47 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +3.09

Xavier Shepherd pass complete to Chavis Marshall for 38 yds to the Samf 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Xavier Shepherd run for 3 yds to the Samf 39

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Xavier Shepherd run for 4 yds to the Samf 35

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

KENNESAW ST Penalty, delay of game (Preston Daniels) to the Samf 40

3rd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Xavier Shepherd pass complete to Marquis Ledet for 5 yds to the Samf 35

4th & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.87

Xavier Shepherd run for 3 yds to the Samf 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Gabriel Benyard run for 5 yds to the Samf 27

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Xavier Shepherd run for 1 yd to the Samf 26

3rd & 4Rushing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +3.28

Preston Daniels run for 26 yds for a TD, (Nathan Robertson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Michael Hiers run for 1 yd to the Samf 26

2nd & 9Penalty+4 yds

Michael Hiers pass complete to J.R. Tran-Reno for 1 yard to the SAM27, out-of-bounds, PENALTY KSU offside 4 yards to the SAM30, NO PLAY.

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Jay Stanton run for 4 yds to the Samf 34

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jay Stanton run for no gain to the Samf 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Bradley Porcellato punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Gabriel Benyard at the Ksaw 21

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.59

Xavier Shepherd run for no gain to the Ksaw 16 Xavier Shepherd fumbled, recovered by Ksaw Preston Daniels

2nd & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.11

Xavier Shepherd run for no gain to the Ksaw 16

3rd & 15Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.71

Xavier Shepherd pass complete to Gabriel Benyard for 15 yds to the Ksaw 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+14 ydsPPA +1.33

Gabriel Benyard run for 4 yds to the Ksaw 46 Gabriel Benyard fumbled, recovered by Ksaw for a 1ST down SAMFORD Penalty, Defensive holding (10 Yards) to the Ksaw 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.77

Gabriel Benyard run for 10 yds to the Samf 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Xavier Shepherd run for 3 yds to the Samf 41

2nd & 7Fumble Recovery (Own)+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Isaac Foster run for 4 yds to the Samf 37 Isaac Foster fumbled, forced by Tyriq Hardimon, recovered by Ksaw Marquis Ledet

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.93

Preston Daniels run for 3 yds to the Samf 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

KENNESAW ST Penalty, IM (Preston Daniels) to the Samf 39

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Xavier Shepherd pass incomplete

2nd & 15Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.41

Xavier Shepherd run for a loss of 2 yards to the Samf 41

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Xavier Shepherd pass incomplete to Isaac Foster, broken up by Kourtlan Marsh

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Joshua Huiet punt for 41 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Michael Hiers pass incomplete to DJ Rias, broken up by Juandarion Silas

2nd & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +2.19

Jay Stanton run for 20 yds to the Samf 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jay Stanton run for 3 yds to the Samf 43

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.18

Michael Hiers run for a loss of 1 yard to the Samf 42

3rd & 8Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.49

Michael Hiers pass complete to Judd Cockett for 26 yds to the Ksaw 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA -4.13

Jocquet Jiles run for 2 yds to the Ksaw 28 Jocquet Jiles fumbled, forced by Juandarion Silas, recovered by Ksaw Garland Benyard

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Isaac Foster run for 5 yds to the Ksaw 33

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.80

Xavier Shepherd run for 5 yds to the Ksaw 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Jordan Lay run for 2 yds to the Ksaw 40

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Michael Benefield run for 5 yds to the Ksaw 45

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.61

Isaac Foster run for 4 yds to the Ksaw 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Xavier Shepherd run for 2 yds to the Samf 49

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.30

Isaac Foster run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line

3rd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Isaac Foster run for 4 yds to the Samf 46

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Xavier Shepherd pass incomplete to Chavis Marshall, broken up by Kourtlan Marsh

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.89

Ty King run for 12 yds to the Ksaw 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Michael Hiers pass complete to Jay Stanton for 5 yds to the Ksaw 37

2nd & 5Sack-11 ydsPPA -3.18

Michael Hiers sacked by Adam Watkins for a loss of 11 yards to the Ksaw 48

3rd & 16Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +3.54

Michael Hiers pass complete to Kendall Watson for 17 yds to the Ksaw 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Jay Stanton run for 3 yds to the Ksaw 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Michael Hiers pass incomplete to Judd Cockett, broken up by Garland Benyard

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +3.68

Michael Hiers pass complete to Kendall Watson for 28 yds for a TD, (Zach Williams KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Xavier Shepherd run for 8 yds to the Ksaw 33

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.02

Marquis Ledet run for 3 yds to the Ksaw 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.49

Nykeem Farrow run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ksaw 33

2nd & 13Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Xavier Shepherd run for 2 yds to the Ksaw 35

3rd & 11Sack-12 ydsPPA -0.47

Xavier Shepherd sacked by Kobe Stewart for a loss of 12 yards to the Ksaw 23

4th & 23Punt+20 yds

Joshua Huiet punt for 37 yds , Chandler Smith returns for 20 yds to the Ksaw 40

1st & 10Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +1.50

Michael Hiers pass complete to Kendall Watson for 36 yds to the Ksaw 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Jaylan Thomas run for no gain to the Ksaw 4

2nd & 4Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.49

Michael Hiers pass complete to DJ Rias for a loss of 2 yards to the Ksaw 6

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.82

Michael Hiers pass complete to Kendall Watson for 6 yds for a TD, (Zach Williams KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Xavier Shepherd run for 5 yds to the Ksaw 30

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Xavier Shepherd pass incomplete to Marquis Ledet

3rd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.98

Preston Daniels run for 10 yds to the Ksaw 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Xavier Shepherd pass incomplete to Xavier Hill

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Xavier Shepherd run for 2 yds to the Ksaw 42

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Xavier Shepherd pass incomplete to Marquis Ledet

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Joshua Huiet punt for 55 yds, downed at the Samf 3

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.29

Jaylan Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the Samf 2

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.09

Jaylan Thomas run for no gain to the Samf 2

3rd & 11Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.65

Michael Hiers run for 11 yds to the Samf 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Jaylan Thomas run for 7 yds to the Samf 20

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Jaylan Thomas run for 1 yd to the Samf 21

0th & 3End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Marquis Ledet run for 1 yd to the Ksaw 26

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.56

Preston Daniels run for 8 yds to the Ksaw 34

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.86

Xavier Shepherd run for 1 yd to the Ksaw 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Jordan Lay run for 2 yds to the Ksaw 37

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Jordan Lay run for 3 yds to the Ksaw 40

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Preston Daniels run for 4 yds to the Ksaw 44

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.13

Xavier Shepherd run for 2 yds to the Ksaw 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Preston Daniels run for 3 yds to the Ksaw 49

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Xavier Shepherd run for 4 yds to the Samf 47

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.36

Xavier Shepherd run for 3 yds to the Samf 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.71

Nykeem Farrow run for 4 yds to the Samf 40 for a 1ST down SAMFORD Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Samf 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Jordan Lay run for 2 yds to the Samf 23

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

Xavier Shepherd run for no gain to the Samf 23

3rd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.41

Marquis Ledet run for 2 yds to the Samf 21

4th & 6Field Goal Good+38 yds

Nathan Robertson 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Conor Cummins kickoff for 65 yds , Judd Cockett return for 18 yds to the Samf 18

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.82

Michael Hiers sacked by Kerick Reese for a loss of 8 yards to the Samf 13 Michael Hiers fumbled, recovered by Ksaw Carlos Allen , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Xavier Shepherd run for 2 yds to the Samf 11

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Preston Daniels run for 4 yds to the Samf 7

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.27

Xavier Shepherd run for 4 yds to the Samf 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Xavier Shepherd run for 1 yd to the Samf 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Xavier Shepherd run for 2 yds for a TD, (Nathan Robertson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Jay Stanton run for 11 yds to the Samf 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.67

Jay Stanton run for 19 yds to the Ksaw 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

KENNESAW ST Penalty, targeting (Kerick Reese) to the Ksaw 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.70

Jay Stanton run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ksaw 31

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Michael Hiers pass incomplete to Jay Stanton

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Michael Hiers pass incomplete to DJ Rias, broken up by Je'Cory Burks

4th & 11Field Goal Missed+49 yds

Zach Williams 49 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Xavier Shepherd run for 5 yds to the Ksaw 36

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.94

Preston Daniels run for 6 yds to the Ksaw 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Xavier Shepherd run for 2 yds to the Ksaw 44

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Xavier Shepherd run for 5 yds to the Ksaw 49

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.02

Xavier Shepherd run for no gain to the Ksaw 49

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Joshua Huiet punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Chandler Smith at the Samf 7

1st & 10Pass Reception+48 ydsPPA +3.40

Michael Hiers pass complete to Kendall Watson for 48 yds to the Ksaw 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Jay Stanton run for 1 yd to the Ksaw 44

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Michael Hiers pass incomplete to Kendall Watson

3rd & 9Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.42

Michael Hiers run for 11 yds to the Ksaw 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

SAMFORD Penalty, IM (-5 Yards) to the Ksaw 38

1st & 15Pass Reception-9 ydsPPA -2.66

Michael Hiers pass complete to Jay Stanton for a loss of 9 yards to the Ksaw 47

2nd & 24Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.21

Michael Hiers pass complete to Ty King for 11 yds to the Ksaw 36

3rd & 13Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.48

Michael Hiers pass complete to Chandler Smith for 21 yds to the Ksaw 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.56

Michael Hiers pass complete to Chandler Smith for 15 yds for a TD, (Zach Williams PAT MISSED)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Daniel Bethel kickoff for 65 yds , Isaac Foster return for 15 yds to the Ksaw 15

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Xavier Shepherd run for 6 yds to the Ksaw 21

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.60

Nykeem Farrow run for 8 yds to the Ksaw 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Xavier Shepherd run for 2 yds to the Ksaw 31

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Xavier Shepherd run for 5 yds to the Ksaw 36

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.48

Xavier Shepherd run for 4 yds to the Ksaw 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.32

Xavier Shepherd run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ksaw 39

2nd & 11Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Xavier Shepherd pass complete to Oscar Gonzalez for 5 yds to the Ksaw 44

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

KENNESAW ST Penalty, IM (Isaac Foster) to the Ksaw 39

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Xavier Shepherd pass incomplete to Xavier Hill, broken up by Thomas Neville

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Joshua Huiet punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Chandler Smith at the Samf 23

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.84

Michael Hiers pass complete to Kendall Watson for 21 yds to the Samf 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Michael Hiers pass complete to Kendall Watson for 7 yds to the Ksaw 49

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.16

Jay Stanton run for 3 yds to the Ksaw 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Michael Hiers run for 3 yds to the Ksaw 43

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.98

Michael Hiers pass complete to Kendall Watson for 10 yds to the Ksaw 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Jay Stanton run for 2 yds to the Ksaw 31

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +3.24

Michael Hiers pass complete to Chandler Smith for 31 yds for a TD, (Zach Williams KICK)

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.02

Xavier Shepherd sacked by Joseph Mera for a loss of 4 yards to the Ksaw 21

2nd & 14Pass Reception+72 ydsPPA +4.90

Xavier Shepherd pass complete to Nykeem Farrow for 72 yds to the Samf 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Xavier Shepherd run for 2 yds to the Samf 5

2nd & 5Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.56

Xavier Shepherd pass intercepted Kourtlan Marsh return for no gain to the Samf 0

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.05

Michael Hiers pass complete to Kendall Watson for 14 yds to the Samf 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Jay Stanton run for 11 yds to the Samf 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jay Stanton run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jay Stanton run for 4 yds to the Ksaw 46

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.03

Jay Stanton run for 4 yds to the Ksaw 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.80

TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Ksaw 46

2nd & 14Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.66

TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the Samf 49

Situational Analysis

Kennesaw State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
37%
27 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
2 plays
50%
6 plays
33%
12 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
83%
6 plays
75%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play

Samford

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
50%
26 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
0%
5 plays
50%
6 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
4th