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← Back to GamesOct 1, 2022Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Austin Peay by 11

Home Win Probability

Central Arkansas 23%

Market (consensus)

Central Arkansas +6.5

Edge: Austin Peay -6.5 (4.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 1, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Austin Peay
067720
Central Arkansas
70212149

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-37-628-647-19
Central ArkansasAustin Peay

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20APCAAPCAAPCAAPCAAPCAAPCAAPCAAPAPCAAPCACACAAPCAAPAPAPDOWNS47ydTD532ydDOWNS740ydPUNT512ydTO515ydPUNT823ydFG1252ydTO725ydMISS7-3ydPUNT3-1ydFG11-5ydTD33ydTO2-9ydTD418ydTD380ydPUNT611ydPUNT37ydPUNT32ydTD660ydTD130ydTD675ydDOWNS1124ydTD649ydDOWNS65ydTD957ydUncategorized417yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Austin Peay and Central Arkansas
StatisticAustin PeayCentral Arkansas
Passing29-4520-31
Pass Yards248261
Rush Yards4550
Total Yards293311
Turnovers21
3rd Down4-146-14
Penalties4-406-63
Possession35:3124:29

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Austin Peay
passing
Mike Diliello
29/45, 248 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Jevon Jackson
11 CAR, 36 YDS
receiving
Trey Goodman
10 REC, 84 YDS
Central Arkansas
passing
Will McElvain
20/31, 261 YDS, 4 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Darius Hale
12 CAR, 50 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Trustin Oliver
2 REC, 52 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

4th & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.20

CJ Evans Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the APeay 32

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.43

Will McElvain pass complete to Christian Richmond for 14 yds for a TD, (Hayden Ray KICK)

4th & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -2.49

Mike DiLiello run for a loss of 1 yard to the CArk 35

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

CJ Evans Jr. run for 1 yd to the APeay 26

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Chandler Caughron punt for 35 yds

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Mike DiLiello pass incomplete to Drae McCray, broken up by TaMuarion Wilson

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Chandler Caughron punt for 47 yds

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Jevon Jackson run for 3 yds to the APeay 22

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +2.07

Mike DiLiello pass incomplete to Tre Shackelford for a 1ST down CENTRAL ARK Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Christian Cain) to the APeay 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Mike DiLiello pass incomplete to Drae McCray, broken up by T.D. Williams

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.43

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Joshua DeCambre for 15 yds to the CArk 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Jevon Jackson run for 1 yd to the CArk 47

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Drae McCray for 4 yds to the CArk 43

3rd & 5Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.87

Jevon Jackson run for 13 yds to the CArk 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Jevon Jackson run for 2 yds to the CArk 28

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.67
3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Mike DiLiello pass incomplete to Drae McCray, broken up by T.D. Williams

4th & 8Field Goal Good+45 yds

Maddux Trujillo 45 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Darius Hale run for a loss of 2 yards to the CArk 23

2nd & 12Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.35

Will McElvain pass complete to Darius Hale for 8 yds to the CArk 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.47

Will McElvain pass complete to Darius Hale for 5 yds to the CArk 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.38

Will McElvain pass complete to Trustin Oliver for 15 yds to the APeay 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.33

Darius Hale run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

pass incomplete to Christian Richmond

3rd & 11Interception0 ydsPPA -0.92

Will McElvain pass intercepted

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+45 yds

Maddux Trujillo 45 yd FG MISSED

2nd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.08

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Trey Goodman for 14 yds to the CArk 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +0.70

Mike DiLiello pass incomplete to Joshua DeCambre, broken up by James Jordan for a 1ST down CENTRAL ARK Penalty, Defensive pass interference (James Jordan) to the CArk 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Josh Samuel run for 3 yds to the CArk 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

pass incomplete to Drae McCray

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Mike DiLiello pass incomplete to Joshua DeCambre, broken up by Christian Cain

1st & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Mike DiLiello run for 3 yds to the APeay 40

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Chandler Caughron punt for 29 yds

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.01

Kylin James run for a loss of 2 yards to the CArk 26

2nd & 12Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Will McElvain pass complete to Jarrod Barnes for 1 yd to the CArk 27

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Will McElvain pass incomplete to Jared Long, broken up by Demetries Ford

4th & 6Field Goal Good+23 yds

Maddux Trujillo 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -2.08

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Drae McCray AUSTINPEAY Penalty, illegal formation (Trey Goodman) to the APeay 39

2nd & 13Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +3.43

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Drae McCray for 34 yds to the CArk 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Trey Goodman for 2 yds to the CArk 23

2nd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.39

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Josh Samuel for 8 yds to the CArk 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Josh Samuel run for 7 yds to the CArk 8

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.57

Josh Samuel run for 4 yds to the CArk 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Josh Samuel run for 1 yd to the CArk 3

2nd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.55

Josh Samuel run for a loss of 2 yards to the CArk 5

3rd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.37

Mike DiLiello run for a loss of 1 yard to the CArk 6

0th & 15End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

2nd & 19Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Will McElvain run for 4 yds to the APeay 44

2nd & 19Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA +0.26

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Joshua DeCambre Mike DiLiello fumbled, recovered by CArk Logan Jessup

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Darius Hale 1 Yd Run (Hayden Ray Kick)

4th & 7Punt Return Touchdown+64 ydsPPA -6.74

Jarrod Barnes 64 Yd Punt Return (Hayden Ray Kick)

3rd & 10Punt+17 yds

Matt Rigney punt for 49 yds , Jarrod Barnes returns for 17 yds to the CArk 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Chandler Caughron punt for 43 yds

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Matt Rigney punt for 40 yds

No play data available
1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +2.81

Darius Hale 30 Yd Run (Hayden Ray Kick)

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +2.97

W. McElvain pass,to M. Butler for 32 yds for a TD, (H. Ray KICK), (H. Ray KICK), (H. Ray KICK), (H. Ray KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Will McElvain pass complete to Kylin James for 1 yd to the CArk 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Will McElvain pass complete to Darius Hale for 7 yds to the CArk 33

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +2.29

Will McElvain pass incomplete to Myles Kitt-Denton for a 1ST down AUSTINPEAY Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Cedarius Doss) to the CArk 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +0.96

Will McElvain pass incomplete to Myles Butler for a 1ST down AUSTINPEAY Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Shamari Simmons) to the APeay 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Darius Hale run for 5 yds to the APeay 32

2nd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.69

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Kam Thomas for 5 yds to the CArk 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

pass incomplete to Trey Goodman

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Jevon Jackson run for 2 yds to the CArk 43

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Mike DiLiello pass incomplete to Tre Shackelford, broken up by James Jordan

4th & 8Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.92

Mike DiLiello sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the APeay 49

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.28

Mike DiLiello pass incomplete to Drae McCray, broken up by Logan Jessup

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.86

Jevon Jackson run for 1 yd to the APeay 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Mike DiLiello run for 1 yd to the APeay 36

2nd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.80

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Jordan Goco for 9 yds to the APeay 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jevon Jackson run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.25

Will McElvain run for a loss of 1 yard to the APeay 37

4th & 9Passing Touchdown+37 ydsPPA +5.67

W. McElvain pass,to T. Oliver for 37 yds for a TD, (H. Ray KICK), (H. Ray KICK), (H. Ray KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.07

Darius Hale run for 9 yds to the APeay 40

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Darius Hale run for 2 yds to the APeay 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.78
2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Kylin James run for 2 yds to the APeay 36

4th & 8Sack-8 ydsPPA +0.03

Mike DiLiello sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the APeay 30

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Mike DiLiello pass complete to Trey Goodman for 6 yds Mike DiLiello fumbled, recovered by APeay Trey Goodman

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

pass incomplete to CJ Evans Jr.

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Josh Samuel 2 Yd Run (Maddux Trujillo Kick)

2nd & 10Penalty+9 yds

to Trey Goodman for 12 yds to the CArk 25 for a 1ST down

2nd & 10End of Regulation0 ydsPPA -0.61

End of 4th Quarter

Situational Analysis

Austin Peay

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
31%
13 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
44%
9 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
0%
2 plays
33%
3 plays

Central Arkansas

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
50%
10 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
100%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play