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← Back to GamesOct 15, 2022Week 7
Harvard
41
-Final
25
Howard

House Prediction

Model Margin

Harvard by 18.6

Home Win Probability

Howard 15%

Market (consensus)

Howard +17.5

Edge: Harvard -17.5 (1.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 15, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Harvard
107141041
Howard
0170825

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-1017-1719-3417-41
HowardHarvard

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20HOWHARHOWHARHOWHARHOWHARHOWHARHOWHARHOWHARHARHOWHARHOWHARHOWHARHOWHARHOWHARHOWPUNT32ydPUNT34ydPUNT39ydFG820ydPUNT514ydMISS615ydTO37ydTD634ydTD975ydTD675ydTD675ydPUNT930ydFG663ydEND10ydTD462ydPUNT418ydTD412ydMISS954ydPUNT32ydPUNT38ydFG1336ydTO10ydTD632ydDOWNS47ydDOWNS48ydTD1176yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Harvard and Howard
StatisticHarvardHoward
Passing17-2723-32
Pass Yards232268
Rush Yards14495
Total Yards376363
Turnovers02
3rd Down8-155-14
Penalties5-502-15
Possession30:0829:52

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Harvard
passing
Charlie Dean
16/26, 232 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Aidan Borguet
19 CAR, 107 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Ledger Hatch
4 REC, 91 YDS, 2 TD
Howard
passing
Jaylon Tolbert
19/26, 207 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Jarett Hunter
11 CAR, 36 YDS
receiving
Richie Ilarraza
6 REC, 73 YDS

Play-by-Play

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Phillip Richards punt for 33 yds

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Jonah Lipel kickoff for 63 yds , Ian Wheeler return for 16 yds to the Howrd 18

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jaylon Tolbert pass complete to Antoine Murray for 1 yd to the Howrd 26

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Jarett Hunter run for 1 yd to the Howrd 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Jaylon Tolbert pass incomplete to Jarett Hunter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Aaron Bickerton kickoff for 60 yds , Jack Bill return for 23 yds to the Harv 28

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Aaron Bickerton kickoff for 46 yds , Shane McLaughlin return for 19 yds to the Harv 38

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Jonah Lipel kickoff for 61 yds , Ian Wheeler return for 17 yds to the Howrd 21

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Jonah Lipel kickoff for 61 yds , Ian Wheeler return for 18 yds to the Howrd 22

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Aaron Bickerton kickoff , Tyler Neville return for no gain to the Howrd 4

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Sebastien Tasko punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Charlie Dean pass incomplete to Kym Wimberly

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Aidan Borguet run for 4 yds to the Harv 44

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Charlie Dean pass incomplete to Scott Woods II, broken up by Terrance Hollon

4th & 1Punt+1 yds

Phillip Richards punt for 41 yds , Scott Woods II returns for 1 yd to the Harv 36

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Jarett Hunter run for 3 yds to the Howrd 23

3rd & 2Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Jaylon Tolbert pass complete to Jarett Hunter for 1 yd to the Howrd 24

4th & 11Field Goal Good+28 yds

Jonah Lipel 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.73

Charlie Dean pass complete to Kym Wimberly for 20 yds to the Howrd 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.61

Aidan Borguet run for 17 yds to the Howrd 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Aidan Borguet run for 3 yds to the Howrd 3

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41
3rd & 3Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.01

Charlie Dean sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the Howrd 11

2nd & 3Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.25

Charlie Dean pass complete to Kym Wimberly for 14 yds to the Howrd 23 for a 1ST down

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Phillip Richards punt for 14 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Jarett Hunter run for 3 yds to the Howrd 21

2nd & 7Penalty+5 yds

HARVARD Penalty, off-side (David Madzivanyika) to the Howrd 26

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.13

Kasey Hawthorne run for 5 yds to the Howrd 31 for a 1ST down

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Jarett Hunter run for 4 yds to the Howrd 35

3rd & 6Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.59

Jaylon Tolbert sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the Howrd 32

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+47 yds

Jonah Lipel 47 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Shane McLaughlin run for 5 yds to the Howrd 41

2nd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.54

Charlie Dean pass complete to Tyler Neville for 8 yds to the Howrd 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Shane McLaughlin run for 1 yd to the Howrd 32

3rd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Shane McLaughlin run for 1 yd to the Howrd 31

3rd & 3Interception0 ydsPPA -0.90

Jaylon Tolbert pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.89
2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.40

Jaylon Tolbert pass complete to Antoine Murray for 7 yds to the Howrd 38

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

pass incomplete to Haven Montefalco

2nd & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.01

Aidan Borguet run for 16 yds to the Howrd 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Aidan Borguet run for 6 yds to the Howrd 12

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.09

Aidan Borguet run for 4 yds to the Howrd 8 for a 1ST down

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Shane McLaughlin 1 Yd Run (Jonah Lipel Kick)

2nd & 11Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Jaylon Tolbert pass complete to Antoine Murray for 6 yds to the Howrd 30

3rd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.88

Eden James run for 9 yds to the Howrd 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Eden James run for 1 yd to the Howrd 40

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Kasey Hawthorne run for 3 yds to the Howrd 43

3rd & 6Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +3.53

Jaylon Tolbert pass complete to Jarett Hunter for 41 yds to the Harv 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Kasey Hawthorne run for 4 yds to the Harv 12

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Jaylon Tolbert pass incomplete to Kasey Hawthorne, broken up by Matt Hudson

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.94

Ian Wheeler 12 Yd pass from Jaylon Tolbert (Aaron Bickerton Kick)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Eden James run for a loss of 1 yard to the Howrd 24

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+36 ydsPPA +3.73

Ledger Hatch 36 Yd pass from Charlie Dean (Jonah Lipel Kick)

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.53

Brennan Brown 14 Yd pass from Jaylon Tolbert (Aaron Bickerton Kick)

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Charlie Dean pass complete to Kym Wimberly for 6 yds to the Howrd 42

3rd & 1Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.91

Charlie Dean pass complete to Tyler Neville for 5 yds to the Howrd 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

pass incomplete to Kym Wimberly

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Charlie Dean pass incomplete to Ledger Hatch

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Charlie Dean pass incomplete to Ledger Hatch

4th & 10Penalty-5 yds

HARVARD Penalty, delay of game (Sebastien Tasko) to the Howrd 42

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Sebastien Tasko punt for 34 yds

2nd & 3Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.83

Jaylon Tolbert pass complete to Matthew McDonald for 11 yds to the Howrd 26 HARVARD Penalty, roughing passer (Nate Leskovec) to the Howrd 41

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.47

Jaylon Tolbert pass complete to Richie Ilarraza for 19 yds to the Harv 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion+10 ydsPPA +0.37

Jaylon Tolbert pass incomplete to Eden James for a 1ST down HARVARD Penalty, personal foul (Jack McGowan) to the Harv 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Jaylon Tolbert pass complete to Richie Ilarraza for 1 yd to the Harv 29

2nd & 9Field Goal Good+45 yds

Aaron Bickerton 45 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Charlie Dean run for a loss of 2 yards to the Howrd 35

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+44 ydsPPA +3.41

Ledger Hatch 44 Yd pass from Charlie Dean (Jonah Lipel Kick)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Aidan Borguet run for 3 yds to the Harv 41

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Charlie Dean pass complete to Haven Montefalco for 6 yds to the Harv 47

3rd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.60

Aidan Borguet run for 9 yds to the Howrd 44 for a 1ST down

4th & 4Punt0 yds

punt for no gain

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Jarett Hunter run for 12 yds to the Howrd 37 for a 1ST down

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Jarett Hunter run for 3 yds to the Howrd 43

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Jaylon Tolbert pass incomplete to Kasey Hawthorne, broken up by Jack McGowan

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Aidan Borguet 1 Yd Run (Jonah Lipel Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Aidan Borguet run for 4 yds to the Howrd 8

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Aidan Borguet run for 4 yds to the Howrd 4

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.63

Aidan Borguet run for 3 yds to the Howrd 1 for a 1ST down

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+42 yds

Aaron Bickerton 42 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.59

Jaylon Tolbert pass complete to Nah'Shawn Hezekiah

2nd & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.99

Jaylon Tolbert pass complete to Christion Carter for 28 yds to the Howrd 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.73

Ian Wheeler run for 11 yds to the Harv 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.84

Kasey Hawthorne run for 9 yds to the Harv 31

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.35

Ian Wheeler run for 6 yds to the Harv 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Jarett Hunter run for 1 yd to the Harv 24

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Jarett Hunter run for 4 yds to the Harv 20

3rd & 5Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -1.54

Jaylon Tolbert pass complete to Jarett Hunter for a loss of 5 yards to the Harv 25

4th & 8Punt+1 yds

Sebastien Tasko punt for 45 yds , A'jae Boyd returns for 1 yd to the Howrd 31

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Shane McLaughlin run for 2 yds to the Harv 25

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.43
3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

pass incomplete to Kaedyn Odermann

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Phillip Richards punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Jaylon Tolbert run for 2 yds to the Howrd 33

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

pass incomplete to Antoine Murray

3rd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Jaylon Tolbert pass complete to Richie Ilarraza for 6 yds to the Howrd 39

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Aidan Borguet run for 5 yds to the Harv 24

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.23

Charlie Dean pass complete to Ledger Hatch for 6 yds to the Harv 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

pass incomplete to Ledger Hatch

2nd & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.03

Charlie Dean pass complete to Kym Wimberly for 24 yds to the Howrd 45 for a 1ST down

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Charlie Dean pass complete to Ledger Hatch for 5 yds to the Howrd 22

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Charlie Dean pass incomplete to Ledger Hatch, broken up by Xavier Robiou

2nd & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.13

Charlie Dean run for a loss of 5 yards to the Howrd 23

3rd & 15Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Charlie Dean pass complete to Kaedyn Odermann for 5 yds to the Howrd 18

4th & 10Field Goal Good+35 yds

Jonah Lipel 35 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.63

Charlie Dean pass complete to Aidan Borguet for 14 yds to the Howrd 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.73

Jaylon Tolbert pass intercepted

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Shane McLaughlin 3 Yd Run (Jonah Lipel Kick)

4th & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.20

Jarett Hunter run for a loss of 2 yards to the Howrd 32

3rd & 5Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.83

Luke Emge pass complete to Scott Woods II

4th & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -2.75

Israel Benjamin run for 3 yds to the Howrd 24

3rd & 16Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +3.35

Ja'Shawn Scroggins pass complete to Antoine Murray for 17 yds to the Harv 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Ja'Shawn Scroggins pass complete to Kasey Hawthorne for 2 yds to the Harv 25

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +0.49

Ja'Shawn Scroggins pass incomplete to Nah'Shawn Hezekiah for a 1ST down HARVARD Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Diassa Diakite) to the Harv 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Ja'Shawn Scroggins pass complete to Richie Ilarraza for 4 yds to the Harv 6

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30
3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

pass incomplete to Antoine Murray

4th & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +3.13

Ja'Shawn Scroggins 6 Yd Run (Ja'Shawn Scroggins Pass to Antoine Murray for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Pass Reception0 yds

Ja'Shawn Scroggins pass complete to Antoine Murray

Situational Analysis

Harvard

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
41%
17 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
50%
10 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play

Howard

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
28%
18 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
33%
9 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
0%
2 plays
43%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play