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← Back to GamesNov 23, 2022Week 13
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Ohio by 14.6

Home Win Probability

Ohio 78%

Market (consensus)

Ohio -5.5

Edge: Ohio -5.5 (9.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 23, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Bowling GreenBowling Green
700714
OhioOhio
0283738

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-77-721-728-731-738-738-14
OhioBowling Green

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BGOHIBGOHIBGOHIBGOHIBGOHIBGOHIBGOHIBGOHIBGOHIBGOHIBGOHIBGOHIPUNT31ydPUNT30ydPUNT3-6ydPUNT33ydTD989ydTD1277ydTO546ydTD579ydPUNT3-10ydTD851ydTO538ydPUNT617ydTO10ydTD314ydEND317ydPUNT517ydPUNT524ydFG1571ydTO69ydTD733ydPUNT37ydPUNT520ydTD765ydDOWNS4-8yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Bowling Green and Ohio
StatisticBowling GreenOhio
Passing18-3210-21
Pass Yards229196
Rush Yards50188
Total Yards279384
Turnovers40
3rd Down4-1211-18
Penalties2-192-17
Possession23:4136:19

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Bowling Green
passing
Matt McDonald
16/29, 217 YDS, 1 TD, 3 INT
rushing
Nick Mosley
4 CAR, 29 YDS
receiving
Tyrone Broden Jr.
2 REC, 81 YDS, 1 TD
defense
DJ Taylor
0.5 TFL
Ohio
passing
CJ Harris
10/21, 196 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Sieh Bangura
27 CAR, 96 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jacoby Jones
4 REC, 96 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.83

Matt McDonald pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for a loss of 3 yards to the BwGrn 19

2nd & 13Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.49

Matt McDonald pass complete to Christian Sims for 10 yds to the BwGrn 29

3rd & 3Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.68

Matt McDonald sacked by Kai Caesar for a loss of 6 yards to the BwGrn 23

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Sami Sir punt for 19 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BwGrn 42

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.13

Sieh Bangura run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 43

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Sieh Bangura run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 42

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

CJ Harris pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jack Wilson punt for 29 yds, downed at the BwGrn 13

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.50

Jhaylin Embry run for a loss of 2 yards to the BwGrn 11

2nd & 12Fumble Recovery (Own)-2 ydsPPA -0.15

Matt McDonald pass complete to Jaison Patterson for a loss of 2 yards Jaison Patterson fumbled, forced by Torrie Cox Jr., recovered by BwGrn Jaison Patterson

3rd & 14Penalty-4 yds

McDonald, Matt pass complete to Sims, Christian for 17 yards to the BOWLGREEN26, PENALTY BOWLGREEN holding 4 yards to the BOWLGREEN5, NO PLAY.

3rd & 18Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.01

Jamal Johnson run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 7

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Sami Sir punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Sam Wiglusz at the BwGrn 42

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Harris, CJ rush for loss of 3 yards to the BOWLGREEN45, PENALTY OHIO holding 10 yards to the OHIO48, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.19

Sieh Bangura run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ohio 46

2nd & 22Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.38

CJ Harris run for 1 yd to the Ohio 47

3rd & 21Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.30

CJ Harris pass complete to Miles Cross for 14 yds to the BwGrn 39

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Jack Wilson punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Jake Rogers at the BwGrn 11

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jaison Patterson run for a loss of 2 yards to the BwGrn 9

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Matt McDonald pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.12

Matt McDonald pass complete to CJ Lewis for 14 yds to the BwGrn 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Jaison Patterson run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 25

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Matt McDonald pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for 6 yds to the BwGrn 31

3rd & 2Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.31

Matt McDonald pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 16 yds to the BwGrn 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Matt McDonald pass complete to Jhaylin Embry for 7 yds to the Ohio 46

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Jaison Patterson run for 2 yds to the Ohio 44

3rd & 1Passing Touchdown+44 ydsPPA +4.14

Tyrone Broden 44 Yd pass from Matt McDonald (Mason Lawler Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

CJ Harris pass incomplete to Jacoby Jones

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.44

Sieh Bangura run for 8 yds to the Ohio 31

3rd & 2Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.94

CJ Harris pass complete to Jacoby Jones for 12 yds to the Ohio 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Sieh Bangura run for 5 yds to the Ohio 48

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.20

CJ Harris pass incomplete to James Bostic

3rd & 5Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.87

CJ Harris pass complete to Jacoby Jones for 28 yds to the BwGrn 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

CJ Harris pass incomplete to Sam Wiglusz

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.48

CJ Harris run for 9 yds to the BwGrn 15

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.12

Sieh Bangura run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Sieh Bangura run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 7

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

CJ Harris run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 5

3rd & 4Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.71

CJ Harris 5 Yd Run (Nathanial Vakos Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +3.17

Matt McDonald pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 42 yds to the Ohio 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Harold Fannin Jr.

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jamal Johnson run for 4 yds to the Ohio 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Odieu Hiliare

4th & 6Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -2.45

Matt McDonald pass intercepted Zack Sanders return for no gain to the Ohio 21

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

CJ Harris pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+48 ydsPPA +4.07

CJ Harris pass complete to Jacoby Jones for 48 yds to the BwGrn 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Sieh Bangura run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 26

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.15

CJ Harris pass complete to Miles Cross for 6 yds to the BwGrn 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.62

Sam Wiglusz 20 Yd pass from CJ Harris (Nathanial Vakos Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+25 yds

Tristian Vandenberg kickoff for 64 yds , Jhaylin Embry return for 25 yds to the BwGrn 26

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Jaison Patterson run for no gain to the BwGrn 26

2nd & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.62

Matt McDonald sacked by Bryce Houston for a loss of 10 yards to the BwGrn 16

3rd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.03

Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Christian Sims

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Sami Sir punt for 35 yds, downed at the Ohio 49

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

CJ Harris pass incomplete to Sam Wiglusz

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Sieh Bangura run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 45

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.49

Sieh Bangura run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +0.65

CJ Harris pass complete to Tyler Foster for 23 yds to the BwGrn 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Sieh Bangura run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 10

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.09

Sieh Bangura run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Sieh Bangura run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Sieh Bangura 3 Yd Run (Nathanial Vakos Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +2.98

Matt McDonald pass complete to Tyrone Broden for 37 yds to the Ohio 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Jaison Patterson run for 1 yd to the Ohio 37

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Matt McDonald pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Christian Sims

4th & 9Pass Interception Return+2 ydsPPA -1.33

Matt McDonald pass intercepted Tariq Drake return for 2 yds to the Ohio 23

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.81

CJ Harris run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ohio 21

2nd & 12Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.61

Sieh Bangura run for 10 yds to the Ohio 31

3rd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.55

CJ Harris run for 8 yds to the Ohio 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

CJ Harris pass incomplete to Jacoby Jones

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

CJ Harris pass incomplete to Jacoby Jones

3rd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Sieh Bangura run for 1 yd to the Ohio 40

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jack Wilson punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BwGrn 22

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+25 ydsPPA -0.73

Matt McDonald pass intercepted Tariq Drake return for 25 yds to the BwGrn 14

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Sieh Bangura run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 9

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Sieh Bangura run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 8

3rd & 4Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.75

CJ Harris 8 Yd Run (Nathanial Vakos Kick)

3rd & 4Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Tristian Vandenberg kickoff for 29 yds , Diego Neri return for no gain to the BwGrn 36

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Matt McDonald pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.09

Matt McDonald pass complete to Christian Sims for 11 yds to the BwGrn 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Matt McDonald pass complete to Christian Sims for 6 yds to the Ohio 47

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Mason Lawler kickoff for 60 yds , Jacoby Jones return for 18 yds to the Ohio 23

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Sieh Bangura run for 6 yds to the Ohio 29

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.56

Sieh Bangura run for 5 yds to the Ohio 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

CJ Harris pass incomplete to Miles Cross

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Jake Neatherton run for 2 yds to the Ohio 36

3rd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

CJ Harris run for 4 yds to the Ohio 40

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Jack Wilson punt for 37 yds, downed at the BwGrn 23

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Matt McDonald pass complete to Jaison Patterson for 5 yds to the BwGrn 28

2nd & 5Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.46

Jaison Patterson run for 13 yds to the BwGrn 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Odieu Hiliare

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Matt McDonald pass complete to Ta'ron Keith for 2 yds to the BwGrn 43

3rd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Matt McDonald pass complete to Ta'ron Keith for 4 yds to the BwGrn 47

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Sami Sir punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Sam Wiglusz at the Ohio 14

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

CJ Harris pass incomplete to Sieh Bangura

2nd & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.90

CJ Harris pass complete to James Bostic for 32 yds to the Ohio 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Sieh Bangura run for 3 yds to the Ohio 49

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

CJ Harris pass complete to James Bostic for 5 yds to the BwGrn 46

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.09

CJ Harris run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Sieh Bangura run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 40

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Jake Neatherton run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 39

3rd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.55

CJ Harris run for 11 yds to the BwGrn 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Jake Neatherton run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 27

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.42

CJ Harris pass complete to Jacoby Jones for 8 yds to the BwGrn 19

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.15

Sieh Bangura run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

CJ Harris pass incomplete to Jacoby Jones

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Sieh Bangura run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 15

3rd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.52

Sieh Bangura run for no gain to the BwGrn 15

4th & 8Field Goal Good+32 yds

Nathanial Vakos 32 Yd Field Goal

4th & 8Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Tristian Vandenberg kickoff for 59 yds , Jhaylin Embry return for 16 yds to the BwGrn 22

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Tyrone Broden

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Christian Sims

3rd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.42

Matt McDonald pass complete to Christian Sims for 18 yds to the BwGrn 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Jaison Patterson run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 41

2nd & 9Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.57

Matt McDonald sacked by Keye Thompson for a loss of 10 yards to the BwGrn 31

3rd & 19Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA +0.24

Matt McDonald run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 33 Matt McDonald fumbled, forced by Bryce Dugan, recovered by Ohio Keye Thompson

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Sieh Bangura run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 32

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

CJ Harris run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 27

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.66

Sieh Bangura run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Julian Ross run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 22

2nd & 9Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.45

Julian Ross run for 9 yds to the BwGrn 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Julian Ross run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 12

2nd & 9Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.78

CJ Harris 12 Yd Run (Nathanial Vakos Kick)

2nd & 9Kickoff Return (Offense)+28 yds

Tristian Vandenberg kickoff for 64 yds , Jhaylin Embry return for 28 yds to the BwGrn 29

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Nick Mosley run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 31

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Camden Orth pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for 5 yds to the BwGrn 36

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Camden Orth pass incomplete to PaSean Wimberly

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Sami Sir punt for 47 yds, downed at the Ohio 17

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Julian Ross run for 7 yds to the Ohio 24

2nd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.54

Jake Neatherton run for 8 yds to the Ohio 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Jake Neatherton run for 1 yd to the Ohio 33

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Nolan McCormick run for 2 yds to the Ohio 35

3rd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Nolan McCormick run for 2 yds to the Ohio 37

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jack Wilson punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Jake Rogers at the BwGrn 35

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.32

Nick Mosley run for 14 yds to the BwGrn 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Nick Mosley run for 3 yds to the Ohio 48

2nd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.08

Camden Orth pass complete to Andrew Bench for 7 yds to the Ohio 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.40

Nick Mosley run for 10 yds to the Ohio 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.29

Camden Orth run for 17 yds to the Ohio 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.52

PaSean Wimberly run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ohio 17

2nd & 13Penalty+7 yds

Orth, Camden pass incomplete to Hiliare, Odieu, PENALTY OHIO pass interference (Stevens, Dylan) 7 yards to the OHIO10, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BOWLGREEN.

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Camden Orth 10 Yd Run (Mason Lawler Kick)

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the BwGrn 20

1st & 25Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Mason Lawler kickoff for 55 yds , Philip Cole return for 16 yds to the Ohio 41

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Tyler Toledo run for 2 yds to the Ohio 43

2nd & 8Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.36

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ohio 40

3rd & 11Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.54

TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Ohio 36

4th & 15Rush-3 ydsPPA +0.25

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ohio 33

Situational Analysis

Bowling Green

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
38%
24 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
40%
10 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
0%
1 play
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Ohio

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
30%
27 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
3 plays
33%
6 plays
67%
15 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
100%
5 plays
100%
6 plays
0%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play