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← Back to GamesNov 17, 2022Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Northern Illinois by 3.9

Home Win Probability

Northern Illinois 59%

Market (consensus)

Northern Illinois -1

Edge: Northern Illinois -1 (2.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 17, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Miami (OH)Miami (OH)
21410329
Northern IllinoisNorthern Illinois
10013023

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-010-010-210-917-1617-1917-2623-29
Northern IllinoisMiami (OH)

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20M(NIM(NIM(NIM(NIM(NIM(NIM(NINIM(NIM(NIM(NIM(NIM(NIM(NIM(PUNT35ydFG560ydPUNT37ydTD968ydPUNT416ydSAF2-3ydPUNT816ydPUNT3-7ydPUNT3-8ydPUNT39ydTD649ydPUNT49ydTD551ydEND14ydTD475ydPUNT3-8ydPUNT418ydFG532ydPUNT30ydTO66ydPUNT30ydTD779ydTD291ydPUNT33ydPUNT3-9ydFG850ydTO940ydEND953yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Miami (OH) and Northern Illinois
StatisticMiami (OH)Northern Illinois
Passing11-2314-22
Pass Yards185165
Rush Yards171200
Total Yards356365
Turnovers11
3rd Down7-180-9
Penalties6-605-50
Possession34:3225:28

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Miami (OH)
passing
Aveon Smith
11/23, 185 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Aveon Smith
20 CAR, 105 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Mac Hippenhammer
5 REC, 105 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Team
1 TFL
Northern Illinois
passing
Nevan Cremascoli
14/22, 165 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Antario Brown
5 CAR, 97 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Kacper Rutkiewicz
4 REC, 80 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Tyre Shelton run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 24

2nd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Aveon Smith run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Aveon Smith pass incomplete to Mac Hippenhammer

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Dom Dzioban punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Rush+55 ydsPPA +3.34

Jaiden Credle run for 55 yds to the MiaOh 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Harrison Waylee run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 13

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Harrison Waylee run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 12

3rd & 4Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Nevan Cremascoli pass complete to Billy Dozier for 1 yd to the MiaOh 13

4th & 5Field Goal Good+31 yds

John Richardson 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Aveon Smith pass incomplete to Kenny Tracy

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Tyre Shelton run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 28

3rd & 11Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.24

Aveon Smith pass complete to Tyre Shelton for 8 yds to the MiaOh 36

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Dom Dzioban punt for 32 yds

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Jaiden Credle run for 9 yds to the NoIll 41

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Jaiden Credle run for 2 yds to the NoIll 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jaiden Credle run for 3 yds to the NoIll 46

2nd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.54

Nevan Cremascoli pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 11 yds to the MiaOh 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Harrison Waylee run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 39

2nd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.64

Nevan Cremascoli pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 9 yds to the MiaOh 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

MIAMI OH Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the MiaOh 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Jaiden Credle run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 15

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.70

Nevan Cremascoli pass complete to Liam Soraghan for 15 yds for a TD, (John Richardson KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.24

Aveon Smith pass complete to Mac Hippenhammer for 13 yds to the MiaOh 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Kenny Tracy run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Tyre Shelton run for no gain to the 50 yard line

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Aveon Smith pass incomplete to Miles Marshall

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Dom Dzioban punt for 47 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Harrison Waylee run for 1 yd to the NoIll 4

2nd & 9Safety0 ydsPPA -1.82

Team Safety

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Aveon Smith pass complete to Tyre Shelton for 5 yds to the MiaOh 30

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.93

Kevin Davis run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Aveon Smith pass incomplete to Miles Marshall

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Kevin Davis run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 41

3rd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.31

Aveon Smith pass complete to Mac Hippenhammer for 8 yds to the MiaOh 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Tyre Shelton run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 48

2nd & 11Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY MIAMI False Start 5 yards from MIAMI48 to MIAMI43. NO PLAY.

2nd & 16Rush0 ydsPPA -0.58

Aveon Smith run for no gain to the MiaOh 43

3rd & 16Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY MIAMI Illegal Substitution 5 yards from MIAMI43 to MIAMI38. NO PLAY.

3rd & 21Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.06

Aveon Smith run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 41

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Dom Dzioban punt for 46 yds , Kacper Rutkiewicz returns for no gain to the NoIll 13

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Jaiden Credle run for 2 yds to the NoIll 15

2nd & 8Penalty-11 yds

NORTHERNIL Penalty, Intentional Grounding (-11 Yards) to the NoIll 4

3rd & 19Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.01

Harrison Waylee run for 2 yds to the NoIll 6

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Tom Foley punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Jalen Walker at the NoIll 38

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Aveon Smith pass incomplete to Mac Hippenhammer

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Kenny Tracy run for 2 yds to the NoIll 36

3rd & 8Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.50

Aveon Smith sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the NoIll 46

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Dom Dzioban punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Jaiden Credle run for 4 yds to the NoIll 16

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Jaiden Credle run for 4 yds to the NoIll 20

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Jaiden Credle run for 1 yd to the NoIll 21

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Tom Foley punt for 28 yds

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Tyre Shelton run for 8 yds to the NoIll 41

2nd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.10

Aveon Smith run for 10 yds to the NoIll 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Aveon Smith run for 3 yds to the NoIll 28

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Aveon Smith run for 5 yds to the NoIll 23

3rd & 2Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.44

Aveon Smith pass complete to Jack Coldiron for 13 yds to the NoIll 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Aveon Smith run for 10 yds for a TD, (Graham Nicholson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jaiden Credle run for 1 yd to the NoIll 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.55

Nevan Cremascoli pass complete to Kacper Rutkiewicz for 7 yds to the NoIll 33 NORTHERNIL Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the NoIll 23

2nd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -0.25

Nevan Cremascoli run for no gain to the NoIll 23

3rd & 12Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.41

Nevan Cremascoli pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 11 yds to the NoIll 34

4th & 1Blocked Punt+17 yds

Tom Foley punt blocked by Corey Suttle blocked by Corey Suttle

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.12

Tyre Shelton run for 9 yds to the NoIll 42

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Tyre Shelton run for 3 yds to the NoIll 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.82

Kevin Davis run for 9 yds to the NoIll 30

2nd & 1Penalty+15 yds

(00:55) No Huddle-Shotgun Smith,Aveon pass incomplete short left to Hippenhammer,Mac PENALTY NIU Pass Interference 15 yards from NIU30 to NIU15, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Aveon Smith pass incomplete to Kenny Tracy

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.88

Aveon Smith run for 15 yds for a TD, (Graham Nicholson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Justin Lynch run for 4 yds to the NoIll 29

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Nevan Cremascoli pass complete to Messiah Travis for 12 yds to the NoIll 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Jaiden Credle run for 1 yd to the NoIll 38

2nd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.83

Nevan Cremascoli pass complete to Messiah Travis for 9 yds to the NoIll 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+53 ydsPPA +4.10

Nevan Cremascoli pass complete to Kacper Rutkiewicz for 53 yds for a TD, (John Richardson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Tyre Shelton run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 44

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Aveon Smith pass incomplete to Miles Marshall

3rd & 8Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.07

Aveon Smith sacked by Nick Alvarado for a loss of 10 yards to the MiaOh 34

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Dom Dzioban punt for 63 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NoIll 3

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Antario Brown run for 2 yds to the NoIll 5

2nd & 8Penalty+15 yds

(11:36) No Huddle Cremascoli,Nevan pass incomplete short left to Rutkiewicz,Kacper PENALTY MIAMI Pass Interference 15 yards from NIU05 to NIU20, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Antario Brown run for no gain to the NoIll 20

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Nevan Cremascoli pass incomplete to Shemar Thornton

3rd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.10

Nevan Cremascoli run for 1 yd to the NoIll 21

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Tom Foley punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jalen Walker at the MiaOh 41

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +1.87

Aveon Smith pass complete to Mac Hippenhammer for 30 yds to the NoIll 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Tyre Shelton run for 2 yds to the NoIll 27

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Aveon Smith run for no gain to the NoIll 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Aveon Smith pass incomplete to Miles Marshall

4th & 8Field Goal Good+44 yds

Graham Nicholson 44 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jaiden Credle run for no gain to the NoIll 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Nevan Cremascoli pass incomplete to Kacper Rutkiewicz

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Nevan Cremascoli pass incomplete to Shemar Thornton

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Tom Foley punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jalen Walker at the MiaOh 40

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

Aveon Smith run for no gain to the MiaOh 40

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Aveon Smith pass incomplete to Jack Coldiron

3rd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +3.45

Aveon Smith pass complete to Matt Bjorson for 20 yds to the NoIll 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Tyre Shelton run for 2 yds to the NoIll 38

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Aveon Smith pass complete to Mac Hippenhammer for 7 yds to the NoIll 31

3rd & 1Penalty-10 yds

(05:21) No Huddle-Shotgun Smith,Aveon rush left for 7 yards gain to the NIU24 (Pugh,Kyle; Lafayette,Devin) PENALTY MIAMI Holding 10 yards from NIU31 to NIU41. NO PLAY.

3rd & 11Sack+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Aveon Smith sacked by Devonte O'Malley for a loss of 13 yards to the NORTHERNIL 46 for a 1ST down NORTHERNIL Penalty, O'Malley,Devonte at MIAMI46, End Of Play PENALTY MIAMI Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the MiaOh 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.58

Justin Lynch run for no gain to the MiaOh 31

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Nevan Cremascoli pass incomplete to Messiah Travis

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Nevan Cremascoli pass incomplete to Shemar Thornton

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Justin Lynch punt for 10 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MiaOh 21

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.90

Tyre Shelton run for 12 yds to the MiaOh 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Aveon Smith pass incomplete to Jack Coldiron

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Aveon Smith run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 30

3rd & 13Rush+21 ydsPPA +3.36

Aveon Smith run for 21 yds to the NoIll 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Kevin Davis run for 2 yds to the NoIll 47

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Tyre Shelton run for no gain to the NoIll 47

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+47 ydsPPA +5.48

Aveon Smith pass complete to Mac Hippenhammer for 47 yds for a TD, (Graham Nicholson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Antario Brown run for 5 yds to the NoIll 14

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+86 ydsPPA +6.75

Antario Brown run for 86 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Tyre Shelton run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 30

2nd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Aveon Smith pass complete to Kenny Tracy for 2 yds to the MiaOh 32

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Aveon Smith pass incomplete to Mac Hippenhammer

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Dom Dzioban punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Kacper Rutkiewicz at the NoIll 36

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Antario Brown run for 4 yds to the NoIll 40

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Nevan Cremascoli pass incomplete to Messiah Travis

3rd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Nevan Cremascoli pass complete to Billy Dozier for 2 yds to the NoIll 42

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Tom Foley punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Jalen Walker at the MiaOh 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +1.69

Aveon Smith pass complete to Miles Marshall for 32 yds to the NoIll 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Kevin Davis run for 5 yds to the NoIll 19

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Tyre Shelton run for 2 yds to the NoIll 17

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Aveon Smith run for 6 yds to the NoIll 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Kenny Tracy run for 4 yds to the NoIll 7

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Kevin Davis run for 1 yd to the NoIll 6

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Aveon Smith pass incomplete to Nate Muersch

4th & 5Field Goal Good+24 yds

Graham Nicholson 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Nevan Cremascoli pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 13 yds to the NoIll 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Jaiden Credle run for 8 yds to the NoIll 46

2nd & 2Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.95

Nevan Cremascoli pass complete to Kacper Rutkiewicz for 19 yds to the MiaOh 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Nevan Cremascoli pass complete to Liam Soraghan for 4 yds to the MiaOh 31

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Jaiden Credle run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 29

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Billy Dozier run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 26

4th & 1Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA +1.02

Nevan Cremascoli pass complete to Kacper Rutkiewicz for 1 yd to the MiaOh 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Nevan Cremascoli pass incomplete to Tristen Tewes

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

(05:16) No Huddle-Shotgun Credle,Jaiden rush middle for 2 yards gain to the MIAMI23 (Ugwu,Brian; Salopek,Matthew) PENALTY NIU Holding 10 yards from MIAMI25 to MIAMI35. NO PLAY.

2nd & 20Interception0 ydsPPA -2.26

Nevan Cremascoli pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.06

Aveon Smith run for 15 yds to the MiaOh 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Tyre Shelton run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 36

2nd & 7Rush+37 ydsPPA +3.08

Aveon Smith run for 37 yds to the NoIll 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Tyre Shelton run for 2 yds to the NoIll 25

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Aveon Smith run for 7 yds to the NoIll 18

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.15

Aveon Smith run for 3 yds to the NoIll 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-10 ydsPPA -1.33

Kneel down by Miami (OH) at NIU25 for loss of 10 yards.

2nd & 20Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.31

Kneel down by Miami (OH) at NIU27 for loss of 2 yards.

3rd & 22Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.23

Kneel down by Miami (OH) at NIU29 for loss of 2 yards.

Situational Analysis

Miami (OH)

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
37%
30 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
33%
15 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
29%
7 plays
40%
5 plays
4th

Northern Illinois

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
33%
24 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
33%
6 plays
38%
8 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
0%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play