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← Back to GamesNov 10, 2022Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Central Michigan by 1.5

Home Win Probability

Central Michigan 56%

Market (consensus)

Central Michigan -2.5

Edge: Buffalo +2.5 (1.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 10, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
BuffaloBuffalo
7170327
Central MichiganCentral Michigan
7017731

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-77-77-147-217-2414-2417-2424-2431-27
Central MichiganBuffalo

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BUFCMBUFCMBUFCMBUFCMBUFCMCMBUFCMBUFCMBUFCMBUFCMBUFCMBUFCMBUFCMTD1471ydTD739ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT32ydTD1590ydPUNT32ydTD474ydPUNT516ydFG1563ydEND460ydTD175ydDOWNS47ydDOWNS835ydPUNT36ydFG729ydPUNT614ydTD287ydTO1033ydTO1-12ydFG42ydTD654ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT36ydDOWNS1056ydEND461yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Buffalo and Central Michigan
StatisticBuffaloCentral Michigan
Passing19-328-17
Pass Yards191117
Rush Yards240303
Total Yards431420
Turnovers11
3rd Down9-203-9
Penalties6-643-15
Possession38:2721:33

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Buffalo
passing
Cole Snyder
19/32, 191 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Ron Cook Jr.
22 CAR, 100 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Justin Marshall
4 REC, 45 YDS
defense
Central Michigan
passing
Daniel Richardson
7/14, 95 YDS
rushing
Bert Emanuel Jr.
24 CAR, 293 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Cade Conley
3 REC, 61 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Cole Snyder run for 5 yds to the Buff 34

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.73

Cole Snyder run for 1 yd to the Buff 33

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Cole Snyder pass complete to Mike Washington for 5 yds to the Buff 38

4th & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.72

Mike Washington run for 11 yds to the Buff 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.99

Cole Snyder pass complete to Justin Marshall for 17 yds to the CMich 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Cole Snyder pass complete to Marlyn Johnson for 6 yds to the CMich 28

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.06

Ron Cook Jr. run for 6 yds to the CMich 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

BUFFALO Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the CMich 35

1st & 23Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Cole Snyder pass complete to Robbie Mangas for 5 yds to the CMich 30

2nd & 18Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.17

Cole Snyder pass complete to Justin Marshall for 14 yds to the CMich 16

3rd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Cole Snyder run for 6 yds to the CMich 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Ron Cook Jr. run for 8 yds to the CMich 2

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Ron Cook Jr. run for 1 yd to the CMich 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Mike Washington run for 1 yd for a TD, (Alex McNulty KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.49

Daniel Richardson pass complete to Carlos Carriere for 17 yds to the Buff 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Finn Hogan

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Bert Emanuel Jr. run for 2 yds to the Buff 20

3rd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.27

Daniel Richardson pass complete to Carlos Carriere for 14 yds to the Buff 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Bert Emanuel Jr. run for 3 yds to the Buff 3

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Bert Emanuel Jr. run for 2 yds to the Buff 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

De'Javion Stepney run for 1 yd for a TD, (Marshall Meeder KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Quian Williams

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Ron Cook Jr. run for 3 yds to the Buff 22

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Justin Marshall

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Anthony Venneri punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Alec Ward at the CMich 34

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

De'Javion Stepney run for 5 yds to the CMich 39

2nd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.31

De'Javion Stepney run for 10 yds to the CMich 29

3rd & 15Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY CMU Delay Of Game 5 yards from CMU29 to CMU24. NO PLAY.

3rd & 20Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.24

Bert Emanuel Jr. run for 12 yds to the CMich 36

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Luke Elzinga punt for 54 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Mike Washington run for 4 yds to the Buff 14

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.63

Mike Washington run for 9 yds to the Buff 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Cole Snyder run for 3 yds to the Buff 26

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Mike Washington run for 5 yds to the Buff 31

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.26

Cole Snyder run for 5 yds to the Buff 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Cole Snyder pass complete to Trevor Borland for 1 yd to the Buff 37

2nd & 9Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.99

Cole Snyder run for 11 yds to the Buff 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Mike Washington run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Justin Marshall

3rd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Cole Snyder run for 5 yds to the CMich 45

4th & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +2.46

Cole Snyder pass complete to Quian Williams for 4 yds to the CMich 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Ron Cook Jr. run for 3 yds to the CMich 38

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Ron Cook Jr. run for 4 yds to the CMich 34

3rd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.94

Ron Cook Jr. run for 9 yds to the CMich 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +2.70

Ron Cook Jr. run for 25 yds for a TD, (Alex McNulty KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Tyson Davis

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

De'Javion Stepney run for 2 yds to the CMich 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Carlos Carriere

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Luke Elzinga punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Quian Williams at the Buff 26

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Al-Jay Henderson run for 4 yds to the Buff 30

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Al-Jay Henderson run for 1 yd to the Buff 31

3rd & 5Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +3.88

Cole Snyder pass complete to Ron Cook Jr. for 39 yds to the CMich 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +2.81

Al-Jay Henderson run for 30 yds for a TD, (Alex McNulty KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Bert Emanuel Jr. run for no gain to the CMich 25

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

De'Javion Stepney run for 2 yds to the CMich 27

3rd & 8Penalty+9 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Richardson,Daniel pass incomplete short middle to Hogan,Finn, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY UAB Pass Interference (Cobb,Keyshawn) 9 yards from CMU27 to CMU36, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Daniel Richardson pass complete to Finn Hogan for 4 yds to the CMich 40

2nd & 6Fumble Recovery (Own)+1 ydsPPA -0.82

De'Javion Stepney run for 1 yd to the CMich 41 De'Javion Stepney fumbled, recovered by CMich De'Javion Stepney

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Jalen McGaughy

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Luke Elzinga punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Quian Williams at the Buff 13

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Mike Washington run for 9 yds to the Buff 22

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Ron Cook Jr. run for 2 yds to the Buff 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Ron Cook Jr. run for 2 yds to the Buff 26

2nd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.34

Ron Cook Jr. run for 9 yds to the Buff 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Ron Cook Jr. run for 2 yds to the Buff 37

2nd & 8Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.19

Ron Cook Jr. run for 15 yds to the CMich 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Ron Cook Jr. run for 1 yd to the CMich 47

2nd & 9Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.65

Cole Snyder sacked by Jason Williams for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard line

3rd & 12Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +3.21

Cole Snyder pass complete to Ray Embry for 15 yds to the CMich 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.66

Cole Snyder sacked by Thomas Incoom for a loss of 5 yards to the CMich 40

2nd & 15Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.95

Al-Jay Henderson run for 16 yds to the CMich 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Justin Marshall

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Cole Harrity

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Justin Marshall

4th & 10Field Goal Good+42 yds

Alex McNulty 42 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Daniel Richardson pass complete to Christian Brown for 9 yds to the CMich 34

2nd & 1Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.28

Daniel Richardson pass complete to Cade Conley for no gain to the CMich 34

3rd & 1Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.92

Daniel Richardson pass complete to Christian Brown for 12 yds to the CMich 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +1.63

Daniel Richardson pass complete to Cade Conley for 39 yds to the CENTMICH 15 for a 1ST down CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass Illegal Block in Back ( Yards) declined for a 1ST down

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +6.08

Bert Emanuel Jr. run for 75 yds for a TD, (Marshall Meeder KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Ron Cook Jr. run for 1 yd to the Buff 31

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Ron Cook Jr. run for 3 yds to the Buff 34

3rd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Cole Snyder pass complete to Justin Marshall for 3 yds to the Buff 37

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Ron Cook Jr.

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.78

Daniel Richardson run for 9 yds to the Buff 28

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.41

Bert Emanuel Jr. run for 4 yds to the Buff 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

De'Javion Stepney run for 1 yd to the Buff 23

2nd & 9Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.08

Bert Emanuel Jr. pass complete to Cade Conley for 22 yds to the Buff 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

De'Javion Stepney run for no gain to the Buff 1

2nd & 1Rush+1 yds

De'Javion Stepney run for 1 yd to the Buff 2

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Finn Hogan

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -4.15

Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to Carlos Carriere

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY CMU Offside (Whiteside,Justin) 5 yards from UAB02 to UAB07. NO PLAY.

1st & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.66

Al-Jay Henderson run for no gain to the Buff 7

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Cole Snyder run for 1 yd to the Buff 8

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Justin Marshall

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Anthony Venneri punt for 42 yds , Alec Ward returns for no gain to the CMich 49

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Bert Emanuel Jr. run for 1 yd to the CMich 48

2nd & 11Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.05

Bert Emanuel Jr. run for 11 yds to the Buff 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.56

Bert Emanuel Jr. run for 17 yds to the Buff 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Bert Emanuel Jr. run for 1 yd to the Buff 23

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

De'Javion Stepney run for 1 yd to the Buff 22

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Daniel Richardson pass incomplete to De'Javion Stepney

4th & 8Field Goal Good+40 yds

Marshall Meeder 40 yd FG GOOD BUFFALO Penalty, Illegal Formation (Justin Marshall) declined

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Ron Cook Jr. run for 3 yds to the Buff 28

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Ron Cook Jr. run for 3 yds to the Buff 31

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.47

Ron Cook Jr. run for 5 yds to the Buff 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Ron Cook Jr. run for 3 yds to the Buff 33

2nd & 13Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Cole Snyder pass complete to Quian Williams for 6 yds to the Buff 39

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Quian Williams

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Anthony Venneri punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Alec Ward at the CMich 13

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Bert Emanuel Jr. pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+87 ydsPPA +7.10

Bert Emanuel Jr. run for 87 yds for a TD, (Marshall Meeder KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Cole Snyder pass complete to Justin Marshall for 11 yds to the Buff 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Al-Jay Henderson run for 1 yd to the Buff 37

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Cole Snyder pass complete to Trevor Borland for 6 yds to the Buff 43

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.54

Ron Cook Jr. run for 2 yds to the Buff 45

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.24

Al-Jay Henderson run for 3 yds to the Buff 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Al-Jay Henderson run for 1 yd to the Buff 49

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Cole Snyder run for 1 yd to the Buff 48

3rd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.90

Cole Snyder pass complete to Al-Jay Henderson for 11 yds to the CMich 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Al-Jay Henderson run for 1 yd to the CMich 42

2nd & 11Interception0 ydsPPA -2.67

Cole Snyder pass intercepted

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-12 ydsPPA -3.08

Bert Emanuel Jr. sacked by Keyshawn Cobb for a loss of 12 yards to the CMich 38 Bert Emanuel Jr. fumbled, recovered by Buff Damian Jackson , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Cole Snyder pass complete to Trevor Borland for 2 yds to the CMich 36

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.91

Al-Jay Henderson run for no gain to the CMich 36

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Cole Harrity

4th & 8Field Goal Good+54 yds

Alex McNulty 54 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.13

Bert Emanuel Jr. run for 17 yds to the Buff 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Bert Emanuel Jr. run for 3 yds to the Buff 34

2nd & 7Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.64

Bert Emanuel Jr. run for 12 yds to the Buff 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Bert Emanuel Jr. pass incomplete to Cade Conley

2nd & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.11

Bert Emanuel Jr. run for 21 yds to the Buff 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Bert Emanuel Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD, (Marshall Meeder KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Cole Snyder pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.28

Cole Snyder pass complete to Cole Harrity for 7 yds to the Buff 29

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Cole Snyder run for 1 yd to the Buff 30

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY UAB Delay Of Game 5 yards from UAB30 to UAB25. NO PLAY.

4th & 7Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY UAB Delay Of Game 5 yards from UAB25 to UAB20. NO PLAY.

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Anthony Venneri punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Bert Emanuel Jr. run for 1 yd to the Buff 49

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Bert Emanuel Jr. run for 4 yds to the Buff 45

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Bert Emanuel Jr. run for 1 yd to the Buff 44

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Luke Elzinga punt for 44 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.20

Cole Snyder pass complete to Quian Williams for 26 yds to the Buff 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Al-Jay Henderson run for 5 yds to the CMich 49

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Cole Snyder pass complete to Marlyn Johnson for 4 yds to the CMich 45

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.82

Al-Jay Henderson run for 1 yd to the CMich 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.93

Cole Snyder pass complete to Marlyn Johnson for 9 yds to the CMich 35

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Al-Jay Henderson run for 2 yds to the CMich 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Justin Marshall

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.66

Al-Jay Henderson run for 9 yds to the CMich 24

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Al-Jay Henderson run for no gain to the CMich 24

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -3.41

Al-Jay Henderson run for no gain to the CMich 24

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Bert Emanuel Jr. run for 4 yds to the CMich 28

2nd & 6Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.33

Bert Emanuel Jr. run for 6 yds to the CMich 34 for a 1ST down BUFFALO Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Keyshawn Cobb) to the CMich 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+37 ydsPPA +1.38

Bert Emanuel Jr. run for 22 yds to the CENTMICH 29 for a 1ST down BUFFALO Penalty, Horse Collar Tackle (Keyshawn Cobb) to the Buff 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.38

Kneel down by Central Mich. at UAB15 for loss of 1 yards.

Situational Analysis

Buffalo

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
34%
32 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
3 plays
33%
6 plays
44%
16 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
57%
7 plays
67%
6 plays
40%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
60%
5 plays

Central Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
39%
23 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
44%
9 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
67%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play