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← Back to GamesNov 1, 2022Week 10
BuffaloBuffalo
24
-Final
45
OhioOhio
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Buffalo by 1

Home Win Probability

Ohio 47%

Market (consensus)

Ohio +2.5

Edge: Ohio +2.5 (1.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 1, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
BuffaloBuffalo
01014024
OhioOhio
17771445

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-010-017-324-331-1731-2445-24
OhioBuffalo

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BUFOHIBUFOHIBUFOHIBUFOHIBUFOHIBUFOHIBUFOHIOHIOHIBUFOHIBUFOHIBUFOHIBUFOHIBUFOHIPUNT39ydTD570ydPUNT30ydFG845ydTO3-4ydTD542ydFG1065ydPUNT636ydPUNT514ydTD562ydPUNT36ydPUNT3-2ydTD835ydEND1-3ydTD36ydTD875ydPUNT3-1ydTO128ydTD1456ydTD780ydTO2-10ydTD212ydDOWNS628ydPUNT4-4ydTO1878ydEND722yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Buffalo and Ohio
StatisticBuffaloOhio
Passing25-4920-29
Pass Yards238317
Rush Yards22157
Total Yards260474
Turnovers32
3rd Down8-194-9
Penalties4-387-51
Possession29:4630:14

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Buffalo
passing
Cole Snyder
25/49, 238 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Michael Washington
6 CAR, 19 YDS
receiving
Justin Marshall
6 REC, 72 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Ohio
passing
Kurtis Rourke
20/29, 317 YDS, 5 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Cam Dorsey
12 CAR, 52 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Sam Wiglusz
6 REC, 131 YDS, 2 TD
defense
Keye Thompson
0.5 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Tristian Vandenberg kickoff for 64 yds , Ron Cook Jr. return for 24 yds to the Buff 25

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Cole Snyder pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Ron Cook Jr. run for 1 yd to the Buff 26

3rd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.27

Cole Snyder run for 8 yds to the Buff 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Anthony Venneri punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.08

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 23 yds to the Buff 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Nolan McCormick run for 2 yds to the Buff 45

2nd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.29

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Nolan McCormick for 12 yds to the Buff 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

BUFFALO Penalty, Personal Foul (Jaylon Bass) to the Buff 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.57

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 16 yds for a TD, (Nathanial Vakos KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Tristian Vandenberg kickoff for 59 yds , Ron Cook Jr. return for 24 yds to the OHIO 41 BUFFALO Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Buff 15

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Ron Cook Jr. run for 2 yds to the Buff 17

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Cole Snyder run for 5 yds to the Buff 22

3rd & 3Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.49

Cole Snyder sacked by Bryce Houston for a loss of 7 yards to the Buff 15

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Anthony Venneri punt for 50 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 6 yds to the Ohio 41

2nd & 4Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.49

Jake Neatherton run for 16 yds to the Buff 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.59

Kurtis Rourke run for 18 yds to the Buff 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Nolan McCormick run for 4 yds to the Buff 21

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Kurtis Rourke run for 1 yd to the Buff 20

4th & 5Field Goal Good+37 yds

Nathanial Vakos 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Cole Snyder pass complete to Marlyn Johnson for a loss of 1 yard to the Buff 24

2nd & 11Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.39

Cole Snyder sacked by Rodney Mathews for a loss of 3 yards to the Buff 21

3rd & 14Interception0 ydsPPA +0.27

Cole Snyder pass intercepted

3rd & 14Interception0 ydsPPA +0.27

Cole Snyder pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to James Bostic for 5 yds to the Buff 37

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.71

Nolan McCormick run for 1 yd to the Buff 36

3rd & 4Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.23

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 32 yds to the Buff 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.75

Nolan McCormick run for a loss of 1 yard to the Buff 5

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Jacoby Jones for 5 yds for a TD, (Nathanial Vakos KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Cole Snyder pass complete to Jamari Gassett for 6 yds to the Buff 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.45

Cole Snyder pass complete to Justin Marshall for 27 yds to the Ohio 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

SNYDER, Cole pass up the middle complete for 11 yards to BORLAND, Trevor caught at the OHI36 and advanced to the OHI31 (MCCRORY, Jack). PENALTY BUF Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on WRIGHT, Isaiah enforced 5 yards from the OHI42 to the OHI47 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 15Penalty+15 yds

OHIO Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Zach Sanders) to the Ohio 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.59

Cole Snyder run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 27

2nd & 11Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Cole Snyder pass complete to Jamari Gassett for 4 yds to the Ohio 23

3rd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.88

Cole Snyder pass complete to Ron Cook Jr. for 13 yds to the Ohio 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.34

Cole Snyder run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 11

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

run for 1 yd to the Ohio 10

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Cole Snyder pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Good+28 yds

Alex McNulty 28 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Alex McNulty kickoff for 65 yds , Keegan Wilburn return for 16 yds to the Ohio 16

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Nolan McCormick run for 2 yds to the Ohio 18

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Alec Burton for 6 yds to the Ohio 24

3rd & 2Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.79

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to James Bostic for 25 yds to the Ohio 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Nolan McCormick run for 3 yds to the Buff 48

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Jack Wilson punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Quian Williams at the Buff 9

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.57

Cole Snyder pass complete to Marlyn Johnson for 8 yds to the Buff 17

2nd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.11

Al-Jay Henderson run for 7 yds to the Buff 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Al-Jay Henderson run for 3 yds to the Buff 27

2nd & 7Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.76

Al-Jay Henderson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Buff 23

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Cole Snyder pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt+38 yds

Anthony Venneri punt for 38 yds , Sam Wiglusz returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 38

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Julian Ross run for 3 yds to the Ohio 41

2nd & 7Pass Reception+49 ydsPPA +2.86

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 49 yds to the Buff 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Julian Ross run for 8 yds to the Buff 2

2nd & 2Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.69

Julian Ross run for a loss of 3 yards to the Buff 5

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.76

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 5 yds for a TD, (Nathanial Vakos KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+38 yds

Tristian Vandenberg kickoff for 63 yds , Ron Cook Jr. return for 38 yds to the OHIO 27 BUFFALO Penalty, Illegal Block ( Yards) to the Buff 8

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Mike Washington run for 3 yds to the Buff 11

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Cole Snyder run for 3 yds to the Buff 14

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Cole Snyder pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Anthony Venneri punt for 59 yds, downed at the Ohio 17

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

ROURKE, Kurtis scrambles up the middle for a gain of 7 yards to the OHI24 (DOLAC, Shaun). PENALTY Before the snap, OHI Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the OHI17 to the OHI12. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete

2nd & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.04

Nolan McCormick run for 3 yds to the Ohio 15

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Jack Wilson punt for 20 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.75

Cole Snyder pass complete to Quian Williams for 9 yds to the Ohio 26

2nd & 1Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Cole Snyder pass complete to Ron Cook Jr. for 1 yd to the Ohio 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Cole Snyder pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Cole Snyder run for 2 yds to the Ohio 23

3rd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.94

Cole Snyder pass complete to Quian Williams for 11 yds to the Ohio 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Cole Snyder pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Cole Snyder pass incomplete

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +3.14

Cole Snyder pass complete to Justin Marshall for 12 yds for a TD OHIO Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Torrie Cox Jr.) declined, (Alex McNulty KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

[NHSG] Kneel down by ROURKE, Kurtis at OHI22 (team loss of 3), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Alex McNulty kickoff for 65 yds , Keegan Wilburn return for 16 yds to the Ohio 16

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Cam Dorsey run for 6 yds to the Ohio 22

3rd & 4Interception Return Touchdown+26 ydsPPA -7.07

Keyshawn Cobb 26 Yd Interception Return (Alex McNulty Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Cam Dorsey run for 4 yds to the Ohio 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.58

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Will Kacmarek for 24 yds to the Buff 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

OHIO Penalty, False Start (Kurt Danneker) to the Ohio 48

1st & 15Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.86

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Will Kacmarek for 20 yds to the Buff 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Cam Dorsey run for no gain to the Buff 32

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.88

Kurtis Rourke run for 13 yds to the Buff 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Miles Cross for 8 yds to the Buff 11

2nd & 2Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.94

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to James Bostic for 9 yds to the Buff 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Miles Cross for 2 yds for a TD, (Nathanial Vakos KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Cole Snyder pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Cole Snyder pass incomplete

3rd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-1 ydsPPA -0.18

Cole Snyder run for a loss of 1 yard to the Buff 24 Cole Snyder fumbled, recovered by Buff

4th & 11Punt+7 yds

Anthony Venneri punt for 50 yds , Sam Wiglusz returns for 7 yds to the Ohio 33

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+28 ydsPPA -1.57

Julian Ross run for 28 yds to the Buff 44 Julian Ross fumbled, recovered by Buff Marcus Fuqua

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Mike Washington run for 3 yds to the Buff 47

2nd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Cole Snyder pass complete to Quian Williams for 2 yds to the Buff 49

3rd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.11

Cole Snyder pass complete to Quian Williams for 8 yds to the Ohio 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Cole Snyder pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Mike Washington run for 2 yds to the Ohio 41

3rd & 8Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.24

Cole Snyder pass complete to Quian Williams for 18 yds to the Ohio 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Mike Washington run for 6 yds to the Ohio 17

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Mike Washington run for 4 yds to the Ohio 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Mike Washington run for 1 yd to the Ohio 12

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Cole Snyder run for 4 yds to the Ohio 8

3rd & 5Penalty0 yds

OHIO Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Zach Sanders) to the Ohio 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Cole Snyder run for 1 yd to the Ohio 3

2nd & 3Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.48

Cole Snyder sacked by Jack McCrory and Keye Thompson for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 4

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Cole Snyder pass incomplete

4th & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.85

Cole Snyder pass complete to Mike Washington for 2 yds for a TD, (Alex McNulty KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Alex McNulty kickoff for 65 yds , Miles Cross return for 20 yds to the Ohio 20

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Cam Dorsey run for 2 yds to the Ohio 22

2nd & 8Pass Reception+43 ydsPPA +3.78

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Jacoby Jones for 43 yds to the Buff 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.40

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Jacoby Jones for 19 yds to the Buff 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Cam Dorsey run for 9 yds to the Buff 7

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.01

Cam Dorsey run for 6 yds to the Buff 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Kurtis Rourke run for no gain to the Buff 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Cam Dorsey run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nathanial Vakos KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Cole Snyder pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.58

Cole Snyder sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the Buff 12

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Cam Dorsey run for 3 yds to the Buff 9

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.63

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Miles Cross for 9 yds for a TD, (Nathanial Vakos KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Cole Snyder pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.17

Cole Snyder pass complete to Cole Harrity for 28 yds to the Ohio 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Cole Snyder pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Cole Snyder pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.80

Cole Snyder pass complete to Mike Washington for no gain to the Ohio 47

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Cole Snyder pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Cam Dorsey run for 2 yds to the Ohio 49

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Kurtis Rourke run for 4 yds to the Buff 47

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete

4th & 4Penalty-10 yds

OHIO Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Ohio 43

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Jack Wilson punt for 52 yds, downed at the Buff 5

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Cole Snyder pass complete to Justin Marshall for 6 yds to the Buff 11

2nd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Cole Snyder pass complete to Robbie Mangas for 6 yds to the Buff 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Cole Snyder run for 6 yds to the Buff 23

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Cole Snyder pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Cole Snyder pass complete to Justin Marshall for 9 yds to the Buff 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Cole Snyder pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.69

Cole Snyder sacked by Adonis Williams Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the Buff 29

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Cole Snyder pass incomplete

4th & 13Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +3.01

Cole Snyder pass complete to Quian Williams for 16 yds to the Buff 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Cole Snyder pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Cole Snyder pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +3.00

Cole Snyder pass complete to Justin Marshall for 12 yds to the Ohio 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Cole Snyder pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.72

Cole Snyder pass complete to Robbie Mangas for 8 yds to the Ohio 35

3rd & 2Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.83

Cole Snyder pass complete to Robbie Mangas for 8 yds to the Ohio 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Cole Snyder pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.48

Cole Snyder sacked by Bryce Houston for a loss of 9 yards to the Ohio 36

3rd & 19Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+19 ydsPPA -1.28

Cole Snyder pass complete to Robbie Mangas for 19 yds Robbie Mangas fumbled, recovered by Ohio Keye Thompson , return to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.35

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Miles Cross for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 49

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Cam Dorsey run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

3rd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +3.01

Cam Dorsey run for 15 yds to the Buff 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Cam Dorsey run for 3 yds to the Buff 32

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.52

Kurtis Rourke run for 9 yds to the Buff 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

[NHSG] Kneel down by ROURKE, Kurtis at BUF26 (team loss of 3).

2nd & 13Rush0 ydsPPA -0.71

[NHSG] Kneel down by ROURKE, Kurtis at BUF28 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Buffalo

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
23%
26 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
18%
17 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
67%
9 plays
40%
5 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

Ohio

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
32%
25 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
75%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
75%
12 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
40%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
4th