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← Back to GamesOct 22, 2022Week 8
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Ohio by 4.6

Home Win Probability

Ohio 57%

Market (consensus)

Ohio +2.5

Edge: Ohio +2.5 (7.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 22, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Northern IllinoisNorthern Illinois
0611017
OhioOhio
737724

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-07-37-610-610-917-917-1724-17
OhioNorthern Illinois

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20OHINIOHINIOHINIOHINIOHININIOHINIOHINIOHINIOHINIOHITD984ydPUNT727ydPUNT64ydPUNT513ydPUNT32ydFG1234ydMISS541ydFG1067ydFG761ydEND1-1ydFG948ydTD1381ydTD675ydPUNT311ydPUNT650ydTD1190ydDOWNS939ydPUNT38ydDOWNS40ydEND1-3yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Northern Illinois and Ohio
StatisticNorthern IllinoisOhio
Passing9-1814-26
Pass Yards110200
Rush Yards267154
Total Yards377354
Turnovers00
3rd Down4-148-14
Penalties6-500-0
Possession32:3027:30

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Northern Illinois
passing
Justin Lynch
9/18, 110 YDS
rushing
Antario Brown
16 CAR, 160 YDS
receiving
Kacper Rutkiewicz
1 REC, 41 YDS
defense
Ohio
passing
Kurtis Rourke
14/26, 200 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Kurtis Rourke
7 CAR, 64 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Sam Wiglusz
6 REC, 69 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

John Richardson kickoff for 61 yds , Keegan Wilburn return for 12 yds to the Ohio 16

1st & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +3.04

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to James Bostic for 38 yds to the NoIll 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.98

Sieh Bangura run for 9 yds to the NoIll 37

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.34

Sieh Bangura run for 4 yds to the NoIll 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Nolan McCormick run for 3 yds to the NoIll 30

3rd & 7Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.30

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 20 yds to the NoIll 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Sieh Bangura run for 2 yds to the NoIll 8

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.95

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 8 yds for a TD, (Nathanial Vakos KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Tristian Vandenberg kickoff for 65 yds , Billy Dozier return for 14 yds to the NoIll 14

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-1 ydsPPA -0.48

Justin Lynch run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 13 Justin Lynch fumbled, recovered by NoIll

2nd & 11Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.06

Harrison Waylee run for 12 yds to the NoIll 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Justin Lynch run for no gain to the NoIll 25

2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.93

run for 14 yds to the NoIll 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Antario Brown run for 6 yds to the NoIll 45

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.23

Justin Lynch pass incomplete

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Justin Lynch run for 1 yd to the NoIll 46

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

NORTHERNIL Penalty, Delay Of Game (Jordan Gandy) to the NoIll 41

4th & 8Punt+2 yds

Tom Foley punt for 49 yds , Sam Wiglusz returns for 2 yds to the Ohio 12

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Miles Cross run for 1 yd to the Ohio 13

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sieh Bangura for 6 yds to the Ohio 19

3rd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.79

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 5 yds to the Ohio 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Kurtis Rourke run for 1 yd to the Ohio 25

3rd & 9Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.29

Kurtis Rourke sacked by Michael Kennedy and Daveren Rayner for a loss of 9 yards to the Ohio 16

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Jonah Wieland punt for 42 yds , Cole Tucker returns for no gain to the NoIll 42

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.99

Harrison Waylee run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.04

run for 3 yds to the Ohio 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Justin Lynch pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Harrison Waylee run for 6 yds to the Ohio 41

3rd & 4Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.88

Justin Lynch run for a loss of 4 yards to the Ohio 45

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Tom Foley punt for 38 yds, downed at the Ohio 7

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Sieh Bangura run for 2 yds to the Ohio 9

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt+3 yds

Jonah Wieland punt for 48 yds , Cole Tucker returns for 3 yds to the NoIll 46

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.83

run for 11 yds to the Ohio 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Antario Brown run for 6 yds to the Ohio 37

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Antario Brown run for 1 yd to the Ohio 36

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.06

run for no gain to the Ohio 36

4th & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.05

Justin Lynch pass complete to Cole Tucker for 7 yds to the Ohio 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Harrison Waylee run for 4 yds to the Ohio 25

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Harrison Waylee run for 3 yds to the Ohio 22

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.43

Justin Lynch run for 5 yds to the Ohio 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Justin Lynch run for 7 yds to the Ohio 10

2nd & 3Fumble Recovery (Own)-10 ydsPPA -1.42

run for a loss of 10 yards to the Ohio 20 fumbled, recovered by NoIll Antario Brown

3rd & 13Rush0 ydsPPA -0.82

Justin Lynch run for no gain to the Ohio 20

4th & 13Field Goal Good+38 yds

John Richardson 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

ROURKE, Kurtis pass up the middle incomplete intended for FOSTER, Tyler thrown to the NIU48. PENALTY NIU Pass Interference on ROGERS, Eric enforced 15 yards to the OHI50 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.10

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sieh Bangura for 23 yds to the NoIll 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sieh Bangura for 3 yds to the NoIll 24

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Sieh Bangura run for no gain to the NoIll 24

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+41 yds

Nathanial Vakos 41 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Antario Brown run for 1 yd to the NoIll 25

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Justin Lynch pass complete to Cole Tucker for 7 yds to the NoIll 32

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.40

Justin Lynch run for 6 yds to the NoIll 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Harrison Waylee run for 3 yds to the NoIll 41

2nd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Justin Lynch pass complete to Liam Soraghan for 3 yds to the NoIll 44

3rd & 4Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +3.21

Justin Lynch pass complete to Kacper Rutkiewicz for 41 yds to the Ohio 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Harrison Waylee run for 6 yds to the Ohio 9

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

Harrison Waylee run for no gain to the Ohio 9

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Justin Lynch pass incomplete

4th & 4Field Goal Good+27 yds

John Richardson 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.39

Nolan McCormick run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 24

3rd & 11Rush+61 ydsPPA +4.62

Kurtis Rourke run for 61 yds to the NoIll 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.39

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 16

2nd & 11Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.83

Kurtis Rourke sacked by Ivan Davis for a loss of 9 yards to the NoIll 25

3rd & 20Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.11

Sieh Bangura run for 11 yds to the NoIll 14

4th & 9Field Goal Good+31 yds

Nathanial Vakos 31 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+10 yds

Tristian Vandenberg kickoff for 56 yds , Fabian McCray return for 10 yds to the NoIll 19

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

[NH] Kneel down by LYNCH, Justin at NIU18 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.07

run for a loss of 5 yards to the NoIll 20

2nd & 15Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.09

Harrison Waylee run for 17 yds to the NoIll 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.76

Harrison Waylee run for 21 yds to the Ohio 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Antario Brown run for 7 yds to the Ohio 35

2nd & 3Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.12

Antario Brown run for 10 yds to the Ohio 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

Justin Lynch run for no gain to the Ohio 25

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Harrison Waylee run for 3 yds to the Ohio 22

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Justin Lynch pass incomplete

4th & 7Penalty-5 yds

NORTHERNIL Penalty, False Start (Evan Buss) to the Ohio 27

4th & 12Field Goal Good+45 yds

John Richardson 45 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

John Richardson kickoff for 64 yds , Keegan Wilburn return for 18 yds to the Ohio 19

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Kurtis Rourke run for 5 yds to the Ohio 24

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.66

Sieh Bangura run for 6 yds to the Ohio 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Sieh Bangura run for 8 yds to the Ohio 38

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.69

Sieh Bangura run for 7 yds to the Ohio 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.09

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 15 yds to the NoIll 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.45

Sieh Bangura run for 13 yds to the NoIll 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Nolan McCormick run for 3 yds to the NoIll 24

3rd & 7Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.75

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Will Kacmarek for 20 yds to the NoIll 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Nolan McCormick run for 3 yds to the NoIll 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Nolan McCormick run for no gain to the NoIll 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Kurtis Rourke run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nathanial Vakos KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Harrison Waylee run for 1 yd to the NoIll 26

2nd & 9Fumble Recovery (Own)-1 ydsPPA -0.46

Justin Lynch run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 25 Justin Lynch fumbled, recovered by NoIll Justin Lynch

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.15

Justin Lynch pass complete to Tristen Tewes for 7 yds to the NoIll 32

4th & 3Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.61

Justin Lynch pass complete to Mason Blakemore for 12 yds to the NoIll 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+45 ydsPPA +1.85

run for 45 yds to the Ohio 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Kacper Rutkiewicz 11 Yd Run (Shemar Thornton Pass to Cole Tucker for Two-Point Conversion)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

John Richardson kickoff for 59 yds , Keegan Wilburn return for 24 yds to the Ohio 30

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

ROURKE, Kurtis pass up the middle incomplete intended for JONES, Jacoby thrown to the NIU35. PENALTY NIU Holding on PROPHETE, Jashon enforced 10 yards from the OHI30 to the OHI40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Nolan McCormick run for 2 yds to the Ohio 42

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.07

Nolan McCormick run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 41

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jack Wilson punt for 53 yds, downed at the NoIll 6

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.36

Harrison Waylee run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoIll 4

2nd & 12Rush+49 ydsPPA +3.65

run for 49 yds to the Ohio 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Harrison Waylee run for 4 yds to the Ohio 43

2nd & 6Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.77

Justin Lynch run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ohio 46

3rd & 9Penalty-10 yds

NORTHERNIL Penalty, Offensive Holding (Tristen Tewes) to the NoIll 47

3rd & 16Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Harrison Waylee run for 9 yds to the Ohio 44

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Tom Foley punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Sam Wiglusz at the Ohio 10

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.76

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Miles Cross for 10 yds to the Ohio 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Kurtis Rourke pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.52

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Will Kacmarek for 13 yds to the Ohio 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.33

Kurtis Rourke run for 14 yds to the Ohio 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.12

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Miles Cross for 18 yds to the NoIll 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Nolan McCormick run for 3 yds to the NoIll 32

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Nolan McCormick run for 6 yds to the NoIll 26

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.26

Nolan McCormick run for 1 yd to the NoIll 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Nolan McCormick run for 3 yds to the NoIll 22

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.84

Kurtis Rourke pass complete to Sam Wiglusz for 22 yds for a TD, (Nathanial Vakos KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

run for 7 yds to the NoIll 32

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.33

Antario Brown run for 4 yds to the NoIll 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Harrison Waylee run for 3 yds to the NoIll 39

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.90

Harrison Waylee run for no gain to the NoIll 39

3rd & 7Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +3.22

Justin Lynch pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 20 yds to the Ohio 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

run for 1 yd to the Ohio 40

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

NORTHERNIL Penalty, False Start (Evan Buss) to the Ohio 45

2nd & 14Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.15

Justin Lynch pass complete to Cole Tucker for 10 yds to the Ohio 35

3rd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.26

Harrison Waylee run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 36

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.90

Justin Lynch pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Nolan McCormick run for 3 yds to the Ohio 39

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Nolan McCormick run for 5 yds to the Ohio 44

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

Nolan McCormick run for no gain to the Ohio 44

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Jack Wilson punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Cole Tucker at the NoIll 19

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Justin Lynch pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Justin Lynch pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Justin Lynch pass incomplete

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.33

Justin Lynch pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

[NHSG] Kneel down by ROURKE, Kurtis at NIU22 (team loss of 3), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Northern Illinois

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
42%
26 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
0%
5 plays
38%
8 plays
100%
4 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

Ohio

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
32%
25 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
100%
1 play
47%
15 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
80%
5 plays
43%
7 plays
100%
2 plays
4th