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← Back to GamesOct 15, 2022Week 7
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Miami (OH) by 7.9

Home Win Probability

Bowling Green 32%

Market (consensus)

Bowling Green +7

Edge: Miami (OH) -7 (0.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 15, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Miami (OH)Miami (OH)
373013
Bowling GreenBowling Green
073717

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40140-37-37-1310-1317-13
Bowling GreenMiami (OH)

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20M(BGM(BGM(BGM(BGM(BGM(BGM(BGM(BGM(BGM(BGM(BGFG954ydPUNT88ydPUNT33ydTO1367ydPUNT38ydTD1061ydPUNT724ydPUNT3-8ydTD443ydEND1-1ydFG47ydPUNT729ydPUNT30ydFG944ydTO722ydMISS621ydPUNT31ydTD655ydPUNT633ydPUNT624ydDOWNS49ydEND615yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Miami (OH) and Bowling Green
StatisticMiami (OH)Bowling Green
Passing9-1716-29
Pass Yards91149
Rush Yards98176
Total Yards189325
Turnovers12
3rd Down6-156-15
Penalties6-608-85
Possession27:0532:55

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Miami (OH)
passing
Aveon Smith
9/17, 91 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Aveon Smith
14 CAR, 55 YDS
receiving
Jalen Walker
3 REC, 45 YDS
defense
Michael Dowell
1.5 TFL, 1 PD
Bowling Green
passing
Matt McDonald
16/29, 149 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Jaison Patterson
18 CAR, 94 YDS
receiving
Tyrone Broden Jr.
3 REC, 42 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+13 yds

Mason Lawler kickoff for 56 yds , Jalen Walker return for 13 yds to the MiaOh 22

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Keyon Mozee run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 23

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Kevin Davis run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 26

3rd & 6Rush-9 ydsPPA -0.43

Aveon Smith run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 32 for a 1ST down MIAMI OH Penalty, unnecessary roughness (Rusty Feth) to the MiaOh 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +1.36

Aveon Smith pass complete to Jalen Walker for 30 yds to the BwGrn 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Kevin Davis run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 21

2nd & 9Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.91

Aveon Smith sacked by Demetrius Hardamon for a loss of 3 yards to the BwGrn 24

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Aveon Smith pass incomplete to Kevin Davis

4th & 12Field Goal Good+41 yds

Graham Nicholson 41 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Graham Nicholson kickoff for 60 yds , Ta'ron Keith return for 19 yds to the BwGrn 24

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Christian Sims

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Odieu Hiliare

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.31

Matt McDonald pass complete to Ta'ron Keith for 9 yds to the BwGrn 33

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.69

Matt McDonald run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Matt McDonald run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 42

2nd & 16Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.33

Matt McDonald pass complete to Tyrone Broden for 8 yds to the BwGrn 38

3rd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Matt McDonald pass complete to Christian Sims for 4 yds to the BwGrn 42

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Sami Sir punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MiaOh 40

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.12

Aveon Smith sacked by Walter Haire for a loss of 7 yards to the MiaOh 33

2nd & 17Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Kevin Davis run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 36

3rd & 14Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.18

Aveon Smith run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 43

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Dom Dzioban punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Ta'ron Keith run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 15

2nd & 15Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.66

Matt McDonald pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for 13 yds to the BwGrn 28

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.04

Ta'ron Keith run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Jamal Johnson

2nd & 15Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Matt McDonald pass complete to Ta'ron Keith for 1 yd to the BwGrn 28

3rd & 14Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +3.17

Matt McDonald pass complete to Tyrone Broden for 20 yds to the BwGrn 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

No Huddle McDonald,Matt pass incomplete short left to Fannin Jr.,Harold PENALTY MIAMI Pass Interference (Caldwell,Ambe') 15 yards from BGSU48 to MIAMI37, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.78

Jamal Johnson run for 9 yds to the MiaOh 28

2nd & 1Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.94

Matt McDonald sacked by Austin Ertl for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 29

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.55

Jaison Patterson run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Tyrone Broden

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Jaison Patterson run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 21

3rd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.83

Matt McDonald pass complete to Christian Sims for 8 yds to the MiaOh 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -4.46

Matt McDonald pass intercepted, touchback.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Keyon Mozee run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 18

2nd & 12Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY MIAMI False Start (Holskey,Reid) 5 yards from MIAMI18 to MIAMI13. NO PLAY.

2nd & 17Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.22

Tyre Shelton run for 10 yds to the MiaOh 23

3rd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Aveon Smith run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 28

4th & 2Punt+11 yds

Dom Dzioban punt for 44 yds , Jake Rogers returns for 11 yds to the BwGrn 39

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jaison Patterson run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 44

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jaison Patterson run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 48

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Cavon Croom

4th & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.84

Matt McDonald run for 12 yds to the MiaOh 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

No Huddle McDonald,Matt pass incomplete short left to Fannin Jr.,Harold PENALTY MIAMI Pass Interference (Saunders Jr.,John) 15 yards from MIAMI40 to MIAMI25, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Matt McDonald pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 8 yds to the MiaOh 17

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.32

Camden Orth run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Jamal Johnson run for 8 yds to the MiaOh 5

2nd & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.15

Matt McDonald pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for 4 yds to the MiaOh 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Matt McDonald run for no gain to the MiaOh 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Harold Fannin Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD, (Mason Lawler KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Tyre Shelton run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 34

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Tyre Shelton run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 48

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Kevin Davis run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 49

3rd & 8Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.80

Aveon Smith pass complete to Jalen Walker for 17 yds to the BwGrn 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.33

Aveon Smith sacked by Darren Anders for a loss of 9 yards to the BwGrn 41

2nd & 19Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Kenny Tracy run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 38

3rd & 16Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Kevin Davis run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 41

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Dom Dzioban punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Jake Rogers at the BwGrn 9

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Christian Sims

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.09

Jamal Johnson run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 11

3rd & 8Fumble Recovery (Own)-10 ydsPPA -0.15

Matt McDonald sacked by Corey Suttle for a loss of 10 yards to the BwGrn 1 Matt McDonald fumbled, recovered by MiaOh Kameren Stewart , return for 0 yards

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Sami Sir punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jalen Walker at the BwGrn 43

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Aveon Smith pass complete to Mac Hippenhammer for 3 yds to the BwGrn 40

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Aveon Smith pass complete to Jack Coldiron for 5 yds to the BwGrn 35

3rd & 2Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.97

Aveon Smith run for 16 yds to the BwGrn 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.60

Aveon Smith pass complete to Miles Marshall for 19 yds for a TD, (Graham Nicholson KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Kneel down by Bowling Green at BGSU24 for loss of 1 yards.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+27 yds

Graham Nicholson kickoff for 64 yds , Ta'ron Keith return for 27 yds to the BwGrn 28 Ta'ron Keith fumbled, recovered by MiaOh Nolan Johnson

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Aveon Smith run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 23

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Kevin Davis run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 21

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Aveon Smith pass incomplete to Reginald Virgil

4th & 3Field Goal Good+39 yds

Graham Nicholson 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

Graham Nicholson kickoff for 63 yds , Ta'ron Keith return for 12 yds to the BwGrn 14

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Jaison Patterson run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 18

2nd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Matt McDonald pass complete to CJ Lewis for 12 yds to the BwGrn 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jaison Patterson run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 35

2nd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.03

Matt McDonald pass complete to Cavon Croom for 7 yds to the BwGrn 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jamal Johnson run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 45

2nd & 7Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.40

Matt McDonald sacked by Michael Dowell for a loss of 2 yards to the BwGrn 43

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Matt McDonald pass incomplete to CJ Lewis

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Sami Sir punt for 47 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Keyon Mozee run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 12

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Aveon Smith pass incomplete to Mac Hippenhammer

3rd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.06

Aveon Smith pass complete to Jalen Walker for 2 yds to the MiaOh 10

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Dom Dzioban punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MiaOh 48

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Jaison Patterson run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 46

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Jamal Johnson run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 40

3rd & 2Rush+24 ydsPPA +1.39

Harold Fannin Jr. run for 24 yds to the MiaOh 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Matt McDonald pass complete to Christian Sims for 8 yds to the MiaOh 8

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.65

Jaison Patterson run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Jaison Patterson run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 4

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Christian Sims

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Odieu Hiliare

4th & 4Field Goal Good+22 yds

Mason Lawler 22 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+3 yds

Mason Lawler kickoff for 56 yds , Jalen Walker return for 3 yds to the MiaOh 12

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Aveon Smith pass incomplete to Miles Marshall

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Tyre Shelton run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 17

3rd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.23

Aveon Smith pass complete to Mac Hippenhammer for 11 yds to the MiaOh 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Aveon Smith pass complete to Jack Coldiron for 7 yds to the MiaOh 35

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Kenny Tracy run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 37

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Aveon Smith run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -1.70

Aveon Smith sacked by Demetrius Hardamon for a loss of 4 yards to the MiaOh 34 Aveon Smith fumbled, recovered by MiaOh Dontrez Brown , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Jaison Patterson run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 33

2nd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.84

Matt McDonald pass complete to Tyrone Broden for 14 yds to the MiaOh 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Tyrone Broden

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Jaison Patterson run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 13

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Levi Gazarek

4th & 4Field Goal Missed+31 yds

Mason Lawler 31 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY MIAMI False Start (Brekke,John) 5 yards from MIAMI20 to MIAMI15. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Keyon Mozee run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 21

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Aveon Smith pass incomplete to Jack Coldiron

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Aveon Smith pass incomplete to Jalen Walker

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Dom Dzioban punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Odieu Hiliare

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.03

Matt McDonald pass complete to CJ Lewis for 11 yds to the MiaOh 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Jamal Johnson run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 41

2nd & 7Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.05

Matt McDonald pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 17 yds to the MiaOh 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Matt McDonald pass complete to CJ Lewis for 5 yds to the MiaOh 19

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.61

Ta'ron Keith run for 19 yds for a TD, (Mason Lawler KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Tyre Shelton run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 27

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Kevin Davis run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 26

3rd & 9Rush+26 ydsPPA +3.39

Aveon Smith run for 26 yds to the BwGrn 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Tyre Shelton run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 45

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY MIAMI Delay Of Game (Smith,Aveon) 5 yards from BGSU45 to BGSU50. NO PLAY.

2nd & 12Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Kenny Tracy run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 45

3rd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Aveon Smith run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 42

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Dom Dzioban punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Jake Rogers at the BwGrn 10

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Jaison Patterson run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 12

2nd & 8Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.94

Jaison Patterson run for 13 yds to the BwGrn 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Ta'ron Keith run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 41

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Matt McDonald run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 40

3rd & 8Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.77

Matt McDonald sacked by Corey Suttle for a loss of 6 yards to the BwGrn 34

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Sami Sir punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jalen Walker at the MiaOh 25

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Aveon Smith run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Aveon Smith pass incomplete to Jack Coldiron

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Aveon Smith pass incomplete to Matt Bjorson

4th & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Aveon Smith run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 34

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jaison Patterson run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 29

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.69

Jaison Patterson run for no gain to the MiaOh 29

3rd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.88

Jaison Patterson run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Jaison Patterson run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 17

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.56

Kneel down by Bowling Green at MIAMI18 for loss of 1 yards.

3rd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.70

Kneel down by Bowling Green at MIAMI19 for loss of 1 yards.

Situational Analysis

Miami (OH)

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
22%
18 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
22%
9 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
43%
7 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Bowling Green

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
44%
25 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
60%
5 plays
43%
7 plays
55%
11 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
33%
6 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
2 plays