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← Back to GamesOct 1, 2022Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Miami (OH) by 4.2

Home Win Probability

Buffalo 35%

Market (consensus)

Buffalo -3

Edge: Miami (OH) +3 (7.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 1, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Miami (OH)Miami (OH)
7310020
BuffaloBuffalo
773724

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-714-1017-20
BuffaloMiami (OH)

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20M(BUFM(BUFM(BUFM(M(M(BUFBUFM(BUFBUFBUFM(BUFM(M(BUFM(BUFM(BUFM(PUNT823ydTD970ydTD375ydPUNT36ydPUNT38ydPUNT512ydPUNT513ydTO10ydEND25ydPUNT515ydTD41ydFG1363ydPUNT524ydTO10ydPUNT716ydPUNT30ydFG845ydTD773ydFG618ydTO540ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT611ydPUNT941ydTD1382ydDOWNS534yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Miami (OH) and Buffalo
StatisticMiami (OH)Buffalo
Passing14-2619-35
Pass Yards119188
Rush Yards24090
Total Yards359278
Turnovers12
3rd Down5-144-14
Penalties11-963-36
Possession31:4727:53

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Miami (OH)
passing
Aveon Smith
14/26, 119 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Aveon Smith
12 CAR, 142 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Mac Hippenhammer
4 REC, 90 YDS
defense
Buffalo
passing
Cole Snyder
19/35, 188 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Ron Cook Jr.
15 CAR, 46 YDS
receiving
Quian Williams
7 REC, 77 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

Alex McNulty kickoff for 63 yds , Jalen Walker return for 12 yds to the MiaOh 14

4th & 9Punt+2 yds

Dom Dzioban punt for 35 yds , Quian Williams returns for 2 yds to the Buff 30

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

Graham Nicholson kickoff for 48 yds , Quian Williams return for 12 yds to the Buff 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.51

Aveon Smith pass complete to Mac Hippenhammer for 10 yds to the MiaOh 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-10 ydsPPA -1.16

MIAMI OH Penalty, Offensive holding (Will Jados) to the MiaOh 14

1st & 20Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Keyon Mozee run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 19

2nd & 15Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.07

Aveon Smith pass complete to Kevin Davis for 6 yds to the MiaOh 25

3rd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.95

Aveon Smith pass complete to Mac Hippenhammer for 11 yds to the MiaOh 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.21

Keyon Mozee run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 35

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

pass incomplete to Mac Hippenhammer

3rd & 11Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Aveon Smith pass complete to Kevin Davis for 2 yds to the MiaOh 37

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Alex McNulty kickoff for 45 yds , Kevin Davis return for no gain to the MiaOh 35 MIAMI OH Penalty, Offensive holding (Chris Cavalaris) to the MiaOh 20

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Alex McNulty kickoff for 62 yds , Jalen Walker return for 24 yds to the MiaOh 27

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Mike Washington 1 Yd Run (Alex McNulty Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Cole Snyder pass complete to Quian Williams for 11 yds to the Buff 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.56

Ron Cook Jr. run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 47 for a 1ST down MIAMI OH Penalty, personal foul (Brendan Beattie) to the MiaOh 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.35

Cole Snyder pass complete to Justin Marshall for 11 yds to the MiaOh 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.38

Ron Cook Jr. run for a loss of 6 yards to the MiaOh 33

2nd & 16Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.57

Cole Snyder pass complete to Ron Cook Jr. for 18 yds to the MiaOh 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Cole Snyder run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 13

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion+11 ydsPPA +1.52

Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Quian Williams for a 1ST down MIAMI OH Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Yahsyn McKee) to the MiaOh 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Ron Cook Jr. run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 1

3rd & 8Rushing Touchdown+73 ydsPPA +7.01

Aveon Smith 73 Yd Run (Graham Nicholson Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Aveon Smith pass incomplete to Jack Coldiron, broken up by Jahmin Muse

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Keyon Mozee run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 27

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Anthony Venneri punt for 46 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Ron Cook Jr. run for 4 yds to the Buff 33

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Cole Snyder run for 2 yds to the Buff 35

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Dom Dzioban punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

pass incomplete to Miles Marshall

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.53

Aveon Smith run for 9 yds to the MiaOh 28

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.61

Keyon Mozee run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 27

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Anthony Venneri punt for 53 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Mike Washington run for 2 yds to the Buff 37

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.78

Cole Snyder pass complete to Quian Williams for 10 yds to the Buff 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

pass incomplete to Jamari Gassett

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

pass incomplete to Jamari Gassett

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Aveon Smith pass incomplete to Kevin Davis, broken up by Ibrahim Kante

2nd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.70

Tyre Shelton run for 15 yds to the MiaOh 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Keyon Mozee run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 36

2nd & 9Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.94

Aveon Smith pass complete to Jack Coldiron for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaOh 33

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Aveon Smith pass incomplete to Jalen Walker, broken up by Elijah Blades

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Dom Dzioban punt for 53 yds , Ron Cook Jr. returns for no gain to the Buff 10

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -2.14

Aveon Smith pass intercepted for a 1ST down MIAMI OH Penalty, illegal block (Aveon Smith) to the MiaOh 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Tyre Shelton run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 20

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48
4th & 10Punt0 yds

Anthony Venneri punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

pass incomplete

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Cole Snyder 1 Yd Run (Alex McNulty Kick)

4th & 17Field Goal Good+35 yds

Graham Nicholson 35 Yd Field Goal

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.70

Ron Cook Jr. run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 49

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Anthony Venneri punt for 36 yds

3rd & 3Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.41

Cole Snyder pass complete to Mike Washington for a loss of 2 yards to the Buff 49

0th & 5End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Cole Snyder run for a loss of 2 yards to the Buff 23 Cole Snyder fumbled, recovered by MiaOh Kobe Hilton

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Anthony Venneri punt for 40 yds , Jalen Walker returns for no gain to the MiaOh 19

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Dom Dzioban punt for 51 yds

4th & 12Field Goal Good+43 yds

Alex McNulty 43 Yd Field Goal

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Aveon Smith 3 Yd Run (Graham Nicholson Kick)

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55
3rd & 1Penalty-4 yds

MIAMI OH Penalty, false start (Tyre Shelton) to the Buff 5

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

pass incomplete to Jack Coldiron

4th & 5Field Goal Good+22 yds

Graham Nicholson 22 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.39

Cole Snyder pass complete to Quian Williams for 17 yds to the MiaOh 42 MIAMI OH Penalty, illegal use of hands (Kobe Hilton) to the MiaOh 48

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Cole Snyder pass complete to Quian Williams for 5 yds to the MiaOh 43

3rd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.71

Cole Snyder pass complete to Quian Williams for 8 yds to the MiaOh 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -4.03

Cole Snyder pass intercepted

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Dom Dzioban punt for 53 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Aveon Smith run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 31

2nd & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.81

Aveon Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 29

3rd & 9Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.30

Aveon Smith pass complete to Kevin Davis for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaOh 26

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Anthony Venneri punt for 46 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Ron Cook Jr. run for 2 yds to the Buff 23

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Cole Snyder pass complete to Robbie Mangas for 6 yds to the Buff 29

3rd & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +0.99

Cole Snyder pass complete to Justin Marshall for 3 yds to the Buff 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.93
2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Quian Williams, broken up by Yahsyn McKee

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

pass incomplete to Marlyn Johnson

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Dom Dzioban punt for 19 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Keyon Mozee run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 24

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Aveon Smith pass complete to Jalen Walker for 6 yds to the MiaOh 30

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +2.18

Aveon Smith pass incomplete to Miles Marshall for a 1ST down BUFFALO Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Caleb Offord) to the MiaOh 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Aveon Smith pass incomplete to Mac Hippenhammer, broken up by Marcus Fuqua

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Tyre Shelton run for 9 yds to the Buff 46

3rd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.32

Keyon Mozee run for 10 yds to the Buff 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.72
2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.16

Tyre Shelton run for a loss of 1 yard to the Buff 37

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

pass incomplete to Jalen Walker

4th & 4Field Goal Good+44 yds

Alex McNulty 39 yd FG GOOD for a 1ST down MIAMI OH Penalty, off-side (Dee Pierce) to the MiaOh 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Ron Cook Jr. run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 15

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Quian Williams, broken up by John Saunders Jr.

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +3.13

Justin Marshall 15 Yd pass from Cole Snyder (Alex McNulty Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.05

Cole Snyder pass complete to Justin Marshall for 9 yds to the Buff 27

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.05
3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.63

Mike Washington run for 1 yd to the Buff 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

pass incomplete to Trevor Borland

2nd & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.89

Cole Snyder pass complete to Mike Washington for 23 yds to the MiaOh 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.00

Cole Snyder pass complete to Quian Williams for 21 yds to the MiaOh 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Mike Washington run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 25

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Mike Washington run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 22

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Justin Marshall, broken up by Yahsyn McKee

4th & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.89

Aveon Smith run for 5 yds to the Buff 41

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.24

Aveon Smith pass complete to Jack Coldiron for 10 yds to the MiaOh 35 BUFFALO Penalty, roughing passer (George Wolo) to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Aveon Smith pass complete to Tyre Shelton for 6 yds to the Buff 44

2nd & 4Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.63

Aveon Smith pass complete to Tyre Shelton for a loss of 2 yards to the Buff 46

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Aveon Smith pass incomplete to Miles Marshall, broken up by Marcus Fuqua

Situational Analysis

Miami (OH)

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
27%
15 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
50%
8 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Buffalo

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
32%
19 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
50%
10 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play