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← Back to GamesSep 24, 2022Week 4
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Eastern Michigan by 16

Home Win Probability

Eastern Michigan 84%

Market (consensus)

Eastern Michigan -6.5

Edge: Eastern Michigan -6.5 (9.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 24, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
BuffaloBuffalo
1317101050
Eastern MichiganEastern Michigan
14107031

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428425615-1514-1314-2017-2731-3031-4031-4331-50
Eastern MichiganBuffalo

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BUFBUFEMBUFEMBUFEMBUFEMBUFEMBUFEMBUFEMBUFEMBUFEMBUFTD475ydTD1575ydTD875ydTD1275ydFG850ydTD1175ydTD883ydFG3-5ydTD1069ydTD375ydPUNT35ydFG1781ydDOWNS44ydFG524ydDOWNS49ydTD740ydDOWNS527ydPUNT38ydTO10ydEND73yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Buffalo and Eastern Michigan
StatisticBuffaloEastern Michigan
Passing20-2912-19
Pass Yards297190
Rush Yards201137
Total Yards498327
Turnovers01
3rd Down5-145-11
Penalties3-156-63
Possession38:3721:23

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Buffalo
passing
Cole Snyder
20/29, 297 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Ron Cook Jr.
19 CAR, 92 YDS
receiving
Quian Williams
6 REC, 99 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Eastern Michigan
passing
Austin Smith
12/19, 190 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Austin Smith
12 CAR, 74 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Tanner Knue
3 REC, 106 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Cole Snyder pass complete to Trevor Borland for 9 yds to the Buff 34

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.07

Ron Cook Jr. run for 6 yds to the Buff 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+59 ydsPPA +3.82

Cole Snyder pass complete to Quian Williams for 59 yds to the EMich 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Cole Snyder run for 1 yd for a TD, (Alex McNulty KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return Touchdown+89 yds

Jaylon Jackson 89 Yd Kickoff Return (Jesus Gomez Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Ron Cook Jr. run for 4 yds to the Buff 29

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Ron Cook Jr. run for 3 yds to the Buff 32

3rd & 3Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.19

Ron Cook Jr. run for 13 yds to the Buff 45 for a 1ST down

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Al-Jay Henderson run for 3 yds to the EMich 36

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Mike Washington run for 1 yd to the EMich 35

4th & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.65

Cole Snyder run for 5 yds to the EMich 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Cole Snyder pass complete to Mike Washington for 5 yds to the EMich 25

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Mike Washington run for 2 yds to the EMich 23

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Justin Marshall

4th & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.13

Cole Snyder run for 5 yds to the EMich 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Mike Washington run for 5 yds to the EMich 13

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY BUFF False Start (Wright,Isaiah) 5 yards from BUFF45 to BUFF40. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.46

Cole Snyder pass complete to Clevester Hines for 14 yds to the EMich 46

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Ron Cook Jr. run for 2 yds to the EMich 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Ron Cook Jr. run for 5 yds to the EMich 39

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.52

C. Snyder pass,to Q. Williams for 13 yds for a TD, (A. McNulty PAT BLOCKED)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Samson Evans run for 2 yds to the EMich 27

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Jaylon Jackson run for 3 yds to the EMich 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.59

Austin Smith pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 6 yds to the EMich 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Samson Evans run for 6 yds to the EMich 42

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.72

Samson Evans run for 2 yds to the EMich 44

3rd & 2Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.33

Samson Evans run for 17 yds to the Buff 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+29 ydsPPA +0.63

Austin Smith run for 29 yds to the Buff 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Austin Smith pass complete to Tanner Knue for 10 yds for a TD, (Jesus Gomez KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Al-Jay Henderson run for 3 yds to the Buff 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Al-Jay Henderson

3rd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.98

Cole Snyder pass complete to Clevester Hines for 10 yds to the Buff 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Cole Snyder run for 8 yds to the Buff 46

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.00

Ron Cook Jr. run for 3 yds to the Buff 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +1.29

Cole Snyder pass complete to Justin Marshall for 30 yds to the EMich 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Cole Snyder pass complete to Quian Williams for 5 yds to the EMich 16

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Ron Cook Jr. run for 3 yds to the EMich 13

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Ron Cook Jr. run for 1 yd to the EMich 12

4th & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.83

Mike Washington run for 5 yds to the EMich 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.13

Mike Washington run for 5 yds to the EMich 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Mike Washington run for 2 yds for a TD, (Alex McNulty KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+34 yds

Alex McNulty kickoff for 65 yds , Jaylon Jackson return for 34 yds to the EMich 34

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.41

Austin Smith pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 15 yds to the EMich 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.12

Samson Evans run for 9 yds to the Buff 42

2nd & 1Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA -0.17

Austin Smith pass complete to Gunnar Oakes for 7 yds to the Buff 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.32

Austin Smith run for 13 yds to the Buff 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Austin Smith pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 5 yds to the Buff 17

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Samson Evans run for 2 yds to the Buff 15

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Samson Evans run for 1 yd to the Buff 16

4th & 4Field Goal Good+35 yds

Jesus Gomez 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Cole Snyder pass complete to Marlyn Johnson for 6 yds to the Buff 31

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Mike Washington run for 3 yds to the Buff 34

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.05

Mike Washington run for 3 yds to the Buff 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the EMich 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Ron Cook Jr. run for 6 yds to the EMich 42

2nd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.26

Cole Snyder pass complete to Marlyn Johnson for 4 yds to the EMich 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Ron Cook Jr. run for 7 yds to the EMich 31

2nd & 3Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.04

Ron Cook Jr. run for 10 yds to the EMich 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Ron Cook Jr. run for 1 yd to the EMich 20

2nd & 9Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.24

Cole Snyder run for 16 yds to the EMich 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Mike Washington run for 4 yds for a TD, (Alex McNulty KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Alex McNulty kickoff for 48 yds , Samson Evans return for no gain to the EMich 17

1st & 10Pass Reception+67 ydsPPA +3.97

Austin Smith pass complete to Tanner Knue for 67 yds to the Buff 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jaylon Jackson run for 4 yds to the Buff 12

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Jaylon Jackson run for 1 yd to the Buff 11

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Austin Smith pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 4 yds to the Buff 7

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.43

Samson Evans run for 4 yds to the Buff 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Darius Boone Jr. run for 2 yds to the Buff 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Samson Evans run for no gain to the Buff 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Austin Smith run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jesus Gomez KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+75 yds

Brady Pohl kickoff for 58 yds , Quian Williams return for 75 yds to the EMich 18

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY BUFF False Start 5 yards from EMU18 to EMU23. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Cole Snyder pass incomplete

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Quian Williams

3rd & 15Field Goal Good+41 yds

Alex McNulty 41 yd FG GOOD

0th & 15End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Samson Evans run for 6 yds to the EMich 37

2nd & 4Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.29

Austin Smith pass complete to Tanner Knue for 29 yds to the Buff 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Samson Evans run for 1 yd to the Buff 33

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Austin Smith run for 4 yds to the Buff 29

3rd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.86

Austin Smith run for 5 yds to the Buff 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Austin Smith pass incomplete to Darius Lassiter

2nd & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.06

Austin Smith run for 18 yds to the Buff 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Samson Evans run for 2 yds to the Buff 8

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Samson Evans run for 5 yds to the Buff 3

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.62

Darius Boone Jr. 1 Yd Run (Jesus Gomez Kick)

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Snyder,Cole pass complete short left to Williams,Quian for 7 yards to the BUFF32 (Shine,Kempton) PENALTY EMU Offside (Evans,Carter) 5 yards from BUFF25 to BUFF30. NO PLAY.

1st & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA -0.49

Cole Snyder pass complete to Quian Williams for 6 yds to the Buff 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Cole Snyder pass complete to Jamari Gassett for 1 yd to the Buff 35

2nd & 11Passing Touchdown+65 ydsPPA +6.36

Cole Snyder pass complete to Jamari Gassett for 65 yds for a TD, (Alex McNulty KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Austin Smith pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 5 yds to the EMich 37

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Austin Smith pass incomplete to Darius Lassiter

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Austin Smith pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Mitchell Tomasek punt for 62 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.29

Cole Snyder pass complete to Justin Marshall for 7 yds to the Buff 8

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Mike Washington run for 4 yds to the Buff 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.62

Cole Snyder pass complete to Justin Marshall for 8 yds to the Buff 20

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.61

Mike Washington run for 1 yd to the Buff 21

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.64

Mike Washington run for 4 yds to the Buff 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Cole Snyder pass complete to Cole Harrity for 6 yds to the Buff 31

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.69

Mike Washington run for 6 yds to the Buff 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Quian Williams

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.02

Cole Snyder pass complete to Quian Williams for 10 yds to the Buff 47 for a 1ST down EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.74

Mike Washington run for 10 yds to the EMich 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Justin Marshall

2nd & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.48

Cole Snyder sacked by T.J. Peavy for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 45

3rd & 12Penalty+15 yds

EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Targeting (Joe Sparacio) to the EMich 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Ron Cook Jr. run for 4 yds to the EMich 18

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Ron Cook Jr.

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Quian Williams

4th & 6Field Goal Good+37 yds

Alex McNulty 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Austin Smith pass incomplete to Tanner Knue

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Samson Evans run for 1 yd to the EMich 28

3rd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Austin Smith run for 5 yds to the EMich 33

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.08

Austin Smith pass incomplete to Darius Lassiter

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +0.58

Ron Cook Jr. run for 17 yds to the EMich 16 for a 1ST down EASTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jordan Crawford) to the EMich 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY BUFF False Start (Bessent,Desmond) 5 yards from EMU08 to EMU13. NO PLAY.

1st & 13Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Ron Cook Jr. run for 3 yds to the EMich 10

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Mike Washington run for 1 yd to the EMich 9

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Justin Marshall

4th & 9Field Goal Good+28 yds

Alex McNulty 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Austin Smith pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 5 yds to the EMich 36

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.95

Austin Smith run for no gain to the EMich 36

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Austin Smith run for 3 yds to the EMich 39

4th & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Austin Smith run for 1 yd to the EMich 40

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Mike Washington run for 4 yds to the EMich 36

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Ron Cook Jr. run for 4 yds to the EMich 32

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.59

Mike Washington run for 3 yds to the EMich 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Ron Cook Jr. run for 3 yds to the EMich 32

2nd & 13Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +1.87

Cole Snyder pass complete to Ron Cook Jr. for 27 yds to the EMich 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Ron Cook Jr. run for 3 yds to the EMich 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Cole Snyder run for 2 yds for a TD, (Alex McNulty KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

PENALTY EMU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Price,Peyton) 15 yards from BUFF35 to BUFF50. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.32

Austin Smith pass complete to Hassan Beydoun for 26 yds to the Buff 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY EMU False Start (Johnson,Marcellus) 5 yards from BUFF49 to EMU46. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Austin Smith pass incomplete to Samson Evans

2nd & 15Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.22

Austin Smith sacked by James Hook for a loss of 7 yards to the EMich 39

3rd & 22Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.09

Austin Smith run for 2 yds to the EMich 41

4th & 20Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.26

Austin Smith pass complete to Samson Evans for 11 yds to the Buff 48

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Mike Washington run for 6 yds to the EMich 46

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Mike Washington run for 1 yd to the EMich 45

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Mike Washington run for 1 yd to the EMich 44

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Anthony Venneri punt for 44 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.61

Austin Smith pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Al-Jay Henderson run for 4 yds to the EMich 28

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Al-Jay Henderson run for 2 yds to the EMich 26

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Al-Jay Henderson run for 1 yd to the EMich 27

4th & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.62

Cole Snyder pass complete to Quian Williams for 6 yds to the EMich 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.68

Cole Snyder run for a loss of 3 yards to the EMich 24

2nd & 13Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.01

Cole Snyder run for a loss of 2 yards to the EMich 26

3rd & 15Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.59

Cole Snyder run for a loss of 3 yards to the EMich 29

Situational Analysis

Buffalo

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
33%
3 plays
62%
29 plays
33%
3 plays
2nd
50%
8 plays
25%
12 plays
40%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
50%
8 plays
0%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
3 plays
100%
1 play

Eastern Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
67%
18 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
17%
6 plays
40%
5 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
75%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
100%
1 play