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← Back to GamesSep 2, 2022Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Michigan State by 12.4

Home Win Probability

Michigan State 79%

Market (consensus)

Michigan State -21.5

Edge: Western Michigan +21.5 (9.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 2, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Western MichiganWestern Michigan
3010013
Michigan StateMichigan State
71401435

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-37-314-321-321-1021-1328-1335-13
Michigan StateWestern Michigan

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSWMMSWMMSWMMSWMMSWMMSWMMSWMWMMSWMMSWMMSWMMSWMMSWMMSPUNT34ydPUNT30ydPUNT30ydFG1066ydTD675ydPUNT3-7ydTD745ydPUNT30ydTD250ydTO869ydPUNT530ydTO728ydTO535ydEND12ydPUNT611ydTO434ydTD767ydMISS641ydFG1048ydPUNT33ydPUNT927ydTD891ydDOWNS518ydTD143ydPUNT3-1ydEND424yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Western Michigan and Michigan State
StatisticWestern MichiganMichigan State
Passing21-3612-24
Pass Yards193233
Rush Yards141197
Total Yards334430
Turnovers22
3rd Down6-183-10
Penalties8-762-30
Possession37:2222:38

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Western Michigan
passing
Jack Salopek
21/36, 193 YDS
rushing
Sean Tyler
13 CAR, 68 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jehlani Galloway
4 REC, 70 YDS
defense
Michigan State
passing
Payton Thorne
12/24, 233 YDS, 4 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jalen Berger
16 CAR, 120 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Keon Coleman
4 REC, 84 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Nick Mihalic kickoff for 60 yds , Jayden Reed return for 20 yds to the MchSt 25

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Payton Thorne pass incomplete to Tyler Hunt

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Jalen Berger run for 7 yds to the MchSt 32

3rd & 3Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.69

Daniel Barker run for a loss of 3 yards to the MchSt 29

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Bryce Baringer punt for 67 yds, downed at the WMich 4

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.34

Sean Tyler run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 2

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Jack Salopek pass incomplete to Corey Crooms, broken up by Chester Kimbrough

3rd & 12Penalty-1 yds

WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (Dylan Deatherage) to the WMich 1

3rd & 13Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.01

Sean Tyler run for 3 yds to the WMich 4

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Nick Mihalic punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jayden Reed at the WMich 46

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03

Jalen Berger run for no gain to the WMich 46

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Payton Thorne pass incomplete to Jayden Reed

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Payton Thorne pass incomplete to Daniel Barker

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Bryce Baringer punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WMich 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.00

Jack Salopek pass complete to Corey Crooms for 12 yds to the WMich 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

La'Darius Jefferson run for 2 yds to the WMich 38

2nd & 8Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.55

Jack Salopek pass complete to Joshua Burgett for 21 yds to the MchSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.86

Jack Salopek pass complete to Kaevion Mack for 9 yds to the MchSt 32

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Jack Salopek pass incomplete to Kaevion Mack

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.43

La'Darius Jefferson run for 2 yds to the MchSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Salopek, Jack rush for no gain to the MICHIGANST30, PENALTY MICHIGANST personal foul (Speed, Ameer) 15 yards to the MICHIGANST15, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTMICH.

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Sean Tyler run for 5 yds to the MchSt 10

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

La'Darius Jefferson run for no gain to the MchSt 10

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Jack Salopek pass incomplete to Corey Crooms

4th & 5Field Goal Good+27 yds

Palmer Domschke 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Jalen Berger run for 14 yds to the MchSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Payton Thorne pass complete to Tre Mosley for 8 yds to the MchSt 47

2nd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.14

Payton Thorne pass complete to Jayden Reed for 5 yds to the WMich 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Jalen Berger run for 4 yds to the WMich 44

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Payton Thorne pass incomplete to Keon Coleman

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+44 ydsPPA +4.93

Payton Thorne pass complete to Germie Bernard for 44 yds for a TD, (Jack Stone KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception-9 ydsPPA -1.20

Jack Salopek pass complete to Sean Tyler for a loss of 9 yards to the WMich 16

2nd & 19Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.07

Sean Tyler run for 7 yds to the WMich 23

3rd & 12Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.16

Jack Salopek sacked by Aaron Brule for a loss of 5 yards to the WMich 18

4th & 17Punt+18 yds

Nick Mihalic punt for 45 yds , Jayden Reed returns for 18 yds to the WMich 45

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Payton Thorne pass incomplete to Keon Coleman

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Payton Thorne pass complete to Maliq Carr for 6 yds to the WMich 39

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.20

Daniel Barker run for 4 yds to the WMich 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Payton Thorne pass complete to Keon Coleman for 7 yds to the WMich 28

2nd & 3Rush+11 ydsPPA -0.00

Jarek Broussard run for 11 yds to the WMich 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jarek Broussard run for 4 yds to the WMich 13

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.60

Payton Thorne pass complete to Daniel Barker for 13 yds for a TD, (Jack Stone KICK)

2nd & 6Kickoff Return (Offense)+29 yds

Jack Stone kickoff for 64 yds , Sean Tyler return for 29 yds to the MICHIGANST 36 WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive Holding (Corey Crooms) to the WMich 20

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.63

Jack Salopek sacked by Khris Bogle for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 19

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.19

La'Darius Jefferson run for 1 yd to the WMich 20

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Jack Salopek pass incomplete to Jehlani Galloway, broken up by Angelo Grose

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Nick Mihalic punt for 30 yds, downed at the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Jalen Berger run for 9 yds to the WMich 41

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+41 ydsPPA +2.75

Payton Thorne pass complete to Keon Coleman for 41 yds for a TD, (Jack Stone KICK)

2nd & 1Kickoff Return (Offense)+13 yds

Jack Stone kickoff for 63 yds , Sean Tyler return for 13 yds to the WMich 15

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 1 yd to the WMich 16

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Jack Salopek pass incomplete to La'Darius Jefferson, broken up by Angelo Grose

3rd & 9Rush+61 ydsPPA +4.56

Jack Salopek run for 61 yds to the MchSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 1 yd to the MchSt 22

2nd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.67

Jack Salopek pass complete to Blake Bosma for 14 yds to the MchSt 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 2 yds to the MchSt 6

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Jack Salopek run for 3 yds to the MchSt 3

3rd & 0Penalty-10 yds

Abdus-Salaam, Zahir rush for 1 yard to the MICHIGANST2, PENALTY WESTMICH holding (Muetterties, Matt) 10 yards to the MICHIGANST13, NO PLAY.

3rd & 13Sack+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Jack Salopek sacked by Jacoby Windmon for a loss of 3 yards to the MchSt 19 Jack Salopek fumbled, forced by Jacoby Windmon, recovered by MchSt Chester Kimbrough , return for 0 yards , return for 3 yds to the MchSt 19

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.92

Jalen Berger run for 13 yds to the MchSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.24

Payton Thorne run for 13 yds to the MchSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jalen Berger run for 4 yds to the MchSt 49

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Payton Thorne pass incomplete to Maliq Carr, broken up by Ryan Kilburg

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Payton Thorne pass incomplete to Keon Coleman

4th & 6Punt+10 yds

Bryce Baringer punt for 43 yds , Zahir Abdus-Salaam returns for 10 yds to the MICHIGANST 41 MICHIGAN ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Kendell Brooks) to the WMich 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jack Salopek pass complete to Corey Crooms for 5 yds to the WMich 38

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Sean Tyler run for 2 yds to the WMich 40

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Jack Salopek pass incomplete to Corey Crooms

4th & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +2.42

Jack Salopek pass complete to Sean Tyler for 5 yds to the WMich 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -2.25

Sean Tyler run for a loss of 6 yards to the WMich 39

2nd & 16Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +3.12

Jack Salopek pass complete to Jehlani Galloway for 17 yds to the MchSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+5 ydsPPA -3.59

Sean Tyler run for 5 yds to the MchSt 39 Sean Tyler fumbled, forced by Kendell Brooks, recovered by MchSt Simeon Barrow

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Payton Thorne pass complete to Tyler Hunt for 4 yds to the MchSt 43

2nd & 6Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.18

Payton Thorne pass complete to Jayden Reed for 26 yds to the WMich 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Jarek Broussard run for 2 yds to the WMich 29

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Jarek Broussard run for 3 yds to the WMich 26

3rd & 5Pass Interception Return+2 ydsPPA -3.63

Payton Thorne pass intercepted Keni-H Lovely return for 2 yds to the WMich 10

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

La'Darius Jefferson run for 2 yds to the WMich 12

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

Jack Stone kickoff for 60 yds , Sean Tyler return for 12 yds to the WMich 17

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Jack Salopek pass incomplete to Corey Crooms

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.49

La'Darius Jefferson run for 9 yds to the WMich 26

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.68

La'Darius Jefferson run for 2 yds to the WMich 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Jack Salopek pass incomplete to La'Darius Jefferson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Jack Salopek pass incomplete to La'Darius Jefferson

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Jack Salopek pass incomplete to Corey Crooms

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Nick Mihalic punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jayden Reed at the MchSt 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Payton Thorne pass complete to Keon Coleman for 10 yds to the MchSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Payton Thorne pass incomplete to Keon Coleman

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Jalen Berger run for 3 yds to the MchSt 46

3rd & 7Penalty+15 yds

Thorne, Payton pass pass intercepted by Ware, Delano at the WESTMICH26, Ware, Delano return 0 yards to the WESTMICH26, PENALTY WESTMICH pass interference (Ware, Delano) 15 yards to the WESTMICH39, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MICHIGANST.

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+6 ydsPPA -3.86

Jalen Berger run for 6 yds to the WMich 33 Jalen Berger fumbled, forced by Braden Fiske, recovered by WMich Aaron Wofford

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Jack Salopek pass complete to A.J. Abbott for 8 yds to the WMich 41

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.33

Sean Tyler run for no gain to the WMich 41

3rd & 2Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Jack Salopek pass complete to Corey Crooms for 1 yd to the WMich 42

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.16

Sean Tyler run for 3 yds to the WMich 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Jack Salopek pass complete to Blake Bosma for 6 yds to the MchSt 49

2nd & 4Rush+45 ydsPPA +2.21

Sean Tyler run for 45 yds to the MchSt 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Sean Tyler run for 4 yds for a TD, (Palmer Domschke KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+7 yds

Nick Mihalic kickoff for 40 yds , Maliq Carr return for 7 yds to the MchSt 32

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Jarek Broussard run for 4 yds to the MchSt 36

2nd & 6Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.43

Payton Thorne run for 8 yds to the WMich 44 for a 1ST down WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Personal Foul (DaShon Bussell) to the WMich 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Kim, Noah pass incomplete to Reed, Jayden, PENALTY WESTMICH pass interference (Lovely, Keni-H) 15 yards to the WESTMICH26, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MICHIGANST.

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Jarek Broussard run for 6 yds to the WMich 20

2nd & 4Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.48

Payton Thorne sacked by Andre Carter and Warren Dabney for a loss of 7 yards to the WMich 27

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Payton Thorne pass incomplete to Keon Coleman

4th & 11Field Goal Missed+44 yds

Jack Stone 44 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.88

La'Darius Jefferson run for 10 yds to the WMich 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.13

Jack Salopek pass complete to A.J. Abbott for 12 yds to the WMich 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.14

Jack Salopek pass complete to Jehlani Galloway for 22 yds to the MchSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

La'Darius Jefferson run for 3 yds to the MchSt 26

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Jack Salopek pass incomplete to Jehlani Galloway, broken up by Charles Brantley

3rd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.00

Jack Salopek pass complete to Corey Crooms for 11 yds to the MchSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Salopek, Jack pass complete to Crooms, Corey for 15 yards to the MICHIGANST0, PENALTY WESTMICH ineligible downfield on pass (Gideon, Jacob) 5 yards to the MICHIGANST20, NO PLAY.

1st & 15Penalty-5 yds

WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the MchSt 25

1st & 20Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Jack Salopek run for 1 yd to the MchSt 24

2nd & 19Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Jack Salopek pass complete to La'Darius Jefferson for 1 yd to the MchSt 23

3rd & 18Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.39

Jack Salopek sacked by Jacoby Windmon for a loss of 2 yards to the MchSt 25

4th & 20Field Goal Good+42 yds

Palmer Domschke 42 yd FG GOOD

4th & 20Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Nick Mihalic kickoff for 56 yds , Jarek Broussard return for 18 yds to the MchSt 27

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Jalen Berger run for 3 yds to the MchSt 30

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.62

Jalen Berger run for no gain to the MchSt 30

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Payton Thorne pass incomplete to Jalen Berger

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Bryce Baringer punt for 70 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 2 yds to the WMich 22

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Jack Salopek pass incomplete to Corey Crooms

3rd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.78

Jack Salopek pass complete to Corey Crooms for 12 yds to the WMich 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Sean Tyler run for 6 yds to the WMich 40

2nd & 4Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.95

Jack Salopek sacked by Jacoby Windmon and Chester Kimbrough for a loss of 6 yards to the WMich 34

3rd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.71

Jack Salopek pass complete to Jehlani Galloway for 12 yds to the WMich 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jack Salopek pass complete to Blake Bosma for 5 yds to the MchSt 49

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.19

Jack Salopek pass incomplete to Jehlani Galloway

3rd & 5Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.50

Sean Tyler run for a loss of 4 yards to the WMich 47

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Nick Mihalic punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jayden Reed at the MchSt 9

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.57

Payton Thorne run for 8 yds to the MchSt 17

2nd & 2Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.79

Payton Thorne pass complete to Keon Coleman for 26 yds to the MchSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Payton Thorne pass incomplete to Daniel Barker, broken up by Zaire Barnes

2nd & 10Rush+50 ydsPPA +3.43

Jalen Berger run for 50 yds to the WMich 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Jalen Berger run for 2 yds to the WMich 5

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Jalen Berger run for 3 yds to the WMich 2

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Jalen Berger run for 1 yd to the WMich 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Jalen Berger run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jack Stone KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.71

Jack Salopek pass complete to Jehlani Galloway for 19 yds to the WMich 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jack Salopek run for no gain to the WMich 44

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jack Salopek pass complete to Blake Bosma for 5 yds to the WMich 49

3rd & 5Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.55

Jack Salopek sacked by Jacoby Windmon and Chester Kimbrough for a loss of 6 yards to the WMich 43

4th & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.01

Jack Salopek pass incomplete to A.J. Abbott, broken up by Chester Kimbrough

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+43 ydsPPA +3.35

Payton Thorne pass complete to Tre Mosley for 43 yds for a TD, (Jack Stone KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jack Salopek pass incomplete to Sean Tyler

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Jack Salopek pass complete to Blake Bosma for 5 yds to the WMich 30

3rd & 5Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.57

Jack Salopek sacked by Jacoby Windmon for a loss of 6 yards to the WMich 24

4th & 11Punt+3 yds

Nick Mihalic punt for 46 yds , Jayden Reed returns for 3 yds to the MchSt 33

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Jarek Broussard run for 12 yds to the MchSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jarek Broussard run for no gain to the MchSt 45

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Jarek Broussard run for 9 yds to the WMich 46

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.98

Jarek Broussard run for 3 yds to the WMich 43 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Western Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
43%
28 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
17%
6 plays
56%
9 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
0%
4 plays
67%
6 plays
0%
4 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play

Michigan State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
42%
26 plays
2nd
75%
4 plays
43%
7 plays
50%
8 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play