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← Back to GamesOct 8, 2022Week 6
TulsaTulsa
21
-Final
53
NavyNavy
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Tulsa by 7.1

Home Win Probability

Navy 31%

Market (consensus)

Navy +4.5

Edge: Tulsa -4.5 (2.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 8, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
TulsaTulsa
770721
NavyNavy
102610753

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842563-010-724-733-743-1446-1446-2153-21
NavyTulsa

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TULNAVTULNAVTULNAVTULNAVTULNAVTULNAVTULNAVTULNAVTULNAVTULNAVTULNAVTULNAVTULNAVTULNAVPUNT30ydPUNT519ydPUNT617ydFG757ydPUNT424ydTD185ydTD575ydTD472ydPUNT33ydTD322ydUncategorized3-5ydPUNT3-1ydTO1-10ydTD734ydTD275ydFG1446ydEND1-3ydTD975ydTO635ydFG1034ydTD1175ydTO32ydTO10ydPUNT526ydTO10ydTD635ydPUNT418ydEND39yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Tulsa and Navy
StatisticTulsaNavy
Passing20-332-8
Pass Yards28435
Rush Yards25455
Total Yards309490
Turnovers41
3rd Down3-106-16
Penalties6-504-50
Possession19:3440:26

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Tulsa
passing
Davis Brin
20/31, 284 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Bill Jackson
3 CAR, 18 YDS
receiving
Keylon Stokes
7 REC, 152 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Navy
passing
Kai Puailoa Rojas
1/1, 26 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Daba Fofana
21 CAR, 159 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Tai Lavatai
1 REC, 26 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Davis Brin pass incomplete to JuanCarlos Santana

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Deneric Prince run for no gain to the Tulsa 25

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Davis Brin pass incomplete to Malachai Jones

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Lachlan Wilson punt for 35 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Maquel Haywood run for 5 yds to the Navy 45

2nd & 5Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.29

Vincent Terrell Jr. run for 12 yds to the Tulsa 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Daba Fofana run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 41

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Maquel Haywood run for no gain to the Tulsa 41

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Tai Lavatai pass incomplete to Mark Walker

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Kellen Grave de Peralta punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Keylon Stokes at the Tulsa 8

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Davis Brin pass complete to JuanCarlos Santana for 4 yds to the Tulsa 12

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Steven Anderson run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 14

3rd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.94

Davis Brin pass complete to JuanCarlos Santana for 10 yds to the Tulsa 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -0.67

Davis Brin sacked for 0 yards to the Tulsa 24

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Steven Anderson run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 25

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Davis Brin pass incomplete to Malachai Jones

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Lachlan Wilson punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

TULSA Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Tulsa 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.73

Daba Fofana run for 20 yds to the Tulsa 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.15

Vincent Terrell Jr. run for 12 yds to the Tulsa 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Daba Fofana run for no gain to the Tulsa 12

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Vincent Terrell Jr. run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 9

3rd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Maquel Haywood run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 8

4th & 6Field Goal Good+25 yds

Daniel Davies 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Davis Brin pass complete to Isaiah Epps for 17 yds to the Tulsa 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.30

Davis Brin pass complete to Keylon Stokes for 9 yds to the Navy 49

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.36

Deneric Prince run for no gain to the Navy 49

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.00

Deneric Prince run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 49

4th & 3Punt+4 yds

Lachlan Wilson punt for 40 yds , Amin Hassan returns for 4 yds to the Navy 15

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Lavatai,Tai pass incomplete short middle to Haywood,Maquel PENALTY Tulsa Pass Interference (Oliver,Jaise) 15 yards from Navy15 to Navy30, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+70 ydsPPA +5.69

Nathan Kent run for 70 yds for a TD, (Daniel Davies KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Davis Brin pass complete to Isaiah Epps for 5 yds to the Tulsa 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.86

Davis Brin pass complete to Isaiah Epps for 11 yds to the Navy 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +0.77

Davis Brin pass complete to Keylon Stokes for 22 yds to the Navy 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Davis Brin pass incomplete to Isaiah Epps

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +3.05

Davis Brin pass complete to Malachai Jones for 22 yds for a TD, (Zack Long KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Tyler Tipton kickoff for 55 yds , Maquel Haywood return for 18 yds to the Navy 28

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Vincent Terrell Jr. run for 1 yd to the Navy 29

2nd & 9Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.68

Logan Point run for 21 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Tai Lavatai run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 47

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+47 ydsPPA +4.23

Daba Fofana run for 47 yds for a TD, (Daniel Davies KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Davis Brin pass complete to JuanCarlos Santana for 2 yds to the Tulsa 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Davis Brin pass complete to Keylon Stokes for 6 yds to the Tulsa 33

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Davis Brin pass incomplete to Malachai Jones

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY Tulsa Delay Of Game (Wilson,Lachlan) 5 yards from Tulsa33 to Tulsa28. NO PLAY.

4th & 7Punt+57 yds

Lachlan Wilson punt for 51 yds , Amin Hassan returns for 57 yds to the Tulsa 22

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Tai Lavatai run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 18

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Vincent Terrell Jr. run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 15

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.81

Daba Fofana run for 15 yds for a TD, (Daniel Davies KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Evan Warren kickoff for 60 yds , Bill Jackson return for no gain to the Tulsa 5

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Davis Brin pass incomplete to Keylon Stokes

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Deneric Prince run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 2

3rd & 13Safety0 ydsPPA -1.64

D. Brin sacked for a loss of 2 yards. Navy Saftey.

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+4 yds

Lachlan Wilson kickoff for 60 yds , Maquel Haywood return for 4 yds to the Navy 24

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Vincent Terrell Jr. run for 1 yd to the Navy 23

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Vincent Terrell Jr. run for 3 yds to the Navy 26

3rd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Tai Lavatai run for 3 yds to the Navy 23

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Riley Riethman punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tulsa 37

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Anderson,Steven rush left for 7 yards gain to the Tulsa44 (Lane,Rayuan) PENALTY Tulsa Holding (Wade,Dillon) 10 yards from Tulsa37 to Tulsa27. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Interception0 ydsPPA -0.17

Davis Brin pass intercepted

1st & 20Penalty+15 yds

NAVY Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the Tulsa 34

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Tai Lavatai pass incomplete to Maquel Haywood

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Vincent Terrell Jr. run for 9 yds to the Tulsa 25

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.25

Tai Lavatai run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Xavier Arline run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 19

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Maquel Haywood run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 14

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.10

Daba Fofana run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

D. Fofana run for 11 yds for a TD, (D. Davies KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY Tulsa False Start (Li'o Marks,Tautai) 5 yards from Tulsa25 to Tulsa20. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Davis Brin pass complete to Isaiah Epps for 4 yds to the Tulsa 24

2nd & 11Passing Touchdown+76 ydsPPA +6.88

D. Brin pass,to K. Stokes for 76 yds for a TD, (Z. Long KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Maquel Haywood run for 5 yds to the Navy 30

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.84

Daba Fofana run for 6 yds to the Navy 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Vincent Terrell Jr. run for no gain to the Navy 36

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.72

Vincent Terrell Jr. run for 8 yds to the Navy 44

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.46

Daba Fofana run for 4 yds to the Navy 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Tai Lavatai pass incomplete to Jayden Umbarger

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Vincent Terrell Jr. run for 8 yds to the Tulsa 44

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.07

Daniel Jones run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.86

Tai Lavatai pass complete to Mark Walker for 9 yds to the Tulsa 32

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Daba Fofana run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Tai Lavatai pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Tai Lavatai pass incomplete to Vincent Terrell Jr.

4th & 10Field Goal Good+46 yds

D. Davies 46 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+2 yds

Evan Warren kickoff for 35 yds , Ethan Hall return for 2 yds to the Tulsa 32

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.29

Kneel down by Tulsa at Tulsa29 for loss of 3 yards.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Daba Fofana run for 2 yds to the Navy 27

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Vincent Terrell Jr. run for 7 yds to the Navy 34

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.25

Daba Fofana run for 5 yds to the Navy 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Daniel Jones run for no gain to the Navy 39

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Daba Fofana run for 2 yds to the Navy 41

3rd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Daniel Jones run for 5 yds to the Navy 46

4th & 3Rush+28 ydsPPA +3.66

Rayuan Lane III run for 28 yds to the Tulsa 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.47

Nathan Kent run for no gain to the Tulsa 26

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +3.19

K. Puailoa-Rojas pass,to T. Lavatai for 26 yds for a TD, (D. Davies KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Evan Warren kickoff for 64 yds , Bill Jackson return for 15 yds to the Tulsa 16

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Davis Brin pass complete to JuanCarlos Santana for 5 yds to the Tulsa 21

2nd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.98

Davis Brin pass complete to Keylon Stokes for 11 yds to the Tulsa 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.42

Davis Brin pass complete to JuanCarlos Santana for 15 yds to the Tulsa 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Davis Brin pass complete to Keylon Stokes for 6 yds to the Navy 47

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Keylon Stokes run for 3 yds to the Navy 44

3rd & 1Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+5 ydsPPA -2.86

run for 5 yds to the Navy 49 fumbled, recovered by Tulsa Rayuan Lane

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.12

Vincent Terrell Jr. run for 9 yds to the Tulsa 42

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Logan Point run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.84

Vincent Terrell Jr. run for 9 yds to the Tulsa 31

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Daba Fofana run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Daba Fofana run for 6 yds to the Tulsa 23

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.01

Vincent Terrell Jr. run for 7 yds to the Tulsa 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Daba Fofana run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 11

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Vincent Terrell Jr. run for no gain to the Tulsa 11

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Tai Lavatai run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 12

4th & 6Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY Navy Delay Of Game (Lavatai,Tai) 5 yards from Tulsa12 to Tulsa17. NO PLAY.

4th & 11Field Goal Good+34 yds

D. Davies 34 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Steven Anderson run for no gain to the Tulsa 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Davis Brin pass incomplete to JuanCarlos Santana

3rd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.08

Davis Brin run for 12 yds to the Tulsa 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Davis Brin pass incomplete to Keylon Stokes

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Davis Brin pass complete to Colby Powers for 4 yds to the Tulsa 41

3rd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.31

Davis Brin pass complete to JuanCarlos Santana for 8 yds to the Tulsa 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.14

Davis Brin pass complete to Keylon Stokes for 22 yds to the Navy 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Davis Brin pass incomplete to Isaiah Epps

2nd & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.63

Davis Brin pass complete to JuanCarlos Santana for 25 yds to the Navy 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Steven Anderson run for 3 yds to the Navy 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

S. Anderson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Z. Long KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

PENALTY Navy UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Lane,Rayuan) 15 yards from Tulsa35 to Tulsa50. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Daba Fofana run for 1 yd to the Navy 42

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Daniel Jones run for 4 yds to the Navy 46

3rd & 5Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+3 ydsPPA -1.27

Xavier Arline run for 3 yds to the Navy 43 Xavier Arline fumbled, recovered by Tulsa Jon-Michael Terry

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -3.65

Davis Brin pass intercepted

1st & 11Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.39

Daba Fofana run for 8 yds to the Navy 10

2nd & 3Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.32

Daba Fofana run for 11 yds to the Navy 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Daba Fofana run for 3 yds to the Navy 24

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Daba Fofana run for 3 yds to the Navy 27

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Daniel Jones run for 1 yd to the Navy 28

4th & 3Punt+5 yds

Riley Riethman punt for 45 yds , Keylon Stokes returns for 5 yds to the Tulsa 32

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -1.48

Braylon Braxton pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Logan Point run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 32

2nd & 7Rush+26 ydsPPA +1.14

Logan Point run for 26 yds to the Tulsa 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Logan Point run for no gain to the Tulsa 6

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Daniel Jones run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 10

3rd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.16

Tai Lavatai run for 7 yds to the Tulsa 3

4th & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.92

V. Terrell Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD, (D. Davies KICK)

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Bill Jackson run for 15 yds to the Tulsa 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Bill Jackson run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 45

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.70

Bill Jackson run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 43

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Braylon Braxton pass incomplete to Malachai Jones

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Lachlan Wilson punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Amin Hassan at the Navy 16

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Logan Point run for 4 yds to the Navy 20

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Logan Point run for 3 yds to the Navy 23

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Logan Point run for 2 yds to the Navy 25

Situational Analysis

Tulsa

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
48%
23 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
38%
8 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
33%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th

Navy

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
38%
29 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
25%
4 plays
50%
8 plays
57%
14 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
86%
7 plays
0%
3 plays
33%
6 plays
4th
100%
2 plays